REVIEW OF NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE

Document Type:

CREST [1]

Collection:

General CIA Records [2]

Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):

CIA-RDP83M00171R000800040003-3

Release Decision:

RIPPUB

Original Classification:

Document Page Count:

Document Creation Date:

December 19, 2016

Document Release Date:

March 22, 2005

Sequence Number:

Case Number:

Publication Date:

February 1, 1975

Content Type:

REPORT

File:

Attachment	Size
CIA-RDP83M00171R000800040003-3.pdf [3]	589.04 KB

Body:

Approved For Release 2005/12/23: CIA-RDP83M00171 R0008000TOcret Review of. National Intelligence February 1975 Published Several Tit: c a Dar by the nntelligence Community Staf for tbe: Director of Centrt Intelligence Top Secret Copy N 2 1 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Warning Notice Sensitive Intelligence Sources and Methods Involved NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Approved For Release 2005/12/21: Cl -RE)POSM 01 171 R000800040003-3 op ecre A Statement from the Director of Central Intelligence I welcome this first issue of the IC Staff's Review of National Intelligence because I see in this new enterprise an opportunity to further the community's efforts to improve the quality of finished national intelligence. I look upon this to a degree as a companion of our Studies in Intelligence publication, which also deals, in its own way, with matters affecting and attending the development of intelligence as a profession. The reviews and critical appreciations which appear here should permit us to identify the strengths and weaknesses of both our coverage of current events and our estimates of longer term developments; the special articles and studies should help us to assess a variety of intelligence matters in a broad community perspective; and the statistical surveys should help us to examine the substantive focus of our efforts, their relationship to the K[Qs, trends in production, etc. These at any rate are the hopes of the publisher and, indeed, represent my own expectations as well. i Top Secret Approved or Release 005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-PPPRAWA! 000800040003-3 op Secretr- 'T STATEMENT OF PURPOSE The Product Review Division (PRD) of the Intelligence Community Staff regularly reviews a wide variety of intelligence products (the NID, NIB, DIN, Sigint Summary, Interagency Memoranda, DIEs, NIEs, etc.) and evaluates sub- stantive coverage in all of the major categories of intelligence production---cur- rent, estimative,'rand basic. PRD's findings have hitherto been presented only in special surveys (e.g., post-mortem reports) and in informal reports to individual addressees. This new publication, The Review of National Intelligence, brings the work of product review to bear on a broader set of interests and concerns and presents PRD's findings to a larger, community-wide audience. Our fundamental purposes in this enterprise are wholly constructive: to develop a series of extensive-and unique-files concerning various aspects of intelligence and intelligence proc- esses; and to provide the kind of critical appreciation of published intelligence which will be of value to the DCI, to USIB, and to the actual producers of in- telligence. Our emphasis in this first issue is on the review of current publications, but we plan in future issues to provide full coverage of a diverse array of finished intelligence issuances. Your comments concerning this publication, its contents, or, indeed, on any matter of interest to the production community, will be most welcome. Please address them (with permission to re-print them in this journal, if appropriate) to the Chief, Product Review Division, ICS, Room 6 E 04, Headquarters Building. Samue VV Wi -Wilson Lieutenant General, USA Deputy to the DCI for the Intelligence Community iii Top Secret Approved For Release 005/12/23: CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 1 -1 Review of National Intelligence February 1975 CONTENTS A Statement from the Director of Central Intelligence ..................... i Statement of Purpose ..................... ............................ iii 1. HIGHLIGHTS OF THE REVIEW, DECEMBER-JANUARY ......... A. Comments on Coverage, Current Publications, KIQs, Sources, and So Forth ...................................................... B. Special Studies and Commentaries 5 II. SPECIFIC COMMENTARIES AND STATISTICS BY AREA AND TOPIC ......................................................... i Western Europe ............................................... 7 The Middle East ............................................... W Conventional Forces ......................... .................. 11 USSR and Eastern Europe ...................................... 1.1 Economics and Energy ......................................... 17 Latin America ................................................. 19 Sino-Soviet Relations ............... ........................... 21 South/Southeast Asia .......................................... 23 Far East .......................... ........................... 25 Strategic Forces ............................................... 27 Science and Technology ............ ........................... 29 III. SPECIAL STUDIES AND COMMENTARIES ..................... 31 Excerpts from the Preliminary ICS Post-Mortem Report on the Cyprus Crisis of July 1974 .................. .......................... 31 IV. STAFF STUDY ...................... .......................... 33 Principal Findings of A Survey of Intelligence Community Periodicals .. 33 V. SPECIAL ARTICLE ................. ........................... 35 "Wohlstetter, Soviet Strategic Forces, and NIE's" 35 VI. LETTERS (for future issues) VII. COMMENTS FROM CONSUMERS (for future issues) V Approved For Release 2005/1 2/23?Pd?f1 DP83M00171 R000800040003-3 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Next 33 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Top Secret Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 TOP S SAMPLE ISSUE No Dissemination Review of National Intelligence December 191'4 Published every other month b v the Intelligence Community ~,taxlf for the I)iri)ctor of Central Intelligence TOP 114'(11? Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 The Product Review Division (PR)) of the Intelligence Community Staff regularly reviews a wide variety of intelligence products (the NID, NIB, DIN, Sigint Summary, Interagency Memoran- da, DIES, NIEs, etc.) and evaluates substantive coverage in all of the major categories of intelligence production -- current, estimative, and basic. PRD's findings have hitherto been presented only in special surveys (e.g., post-mortem reports) and in informal reports to individual addressees. This new publication, The Review of Nation,] Intelligence, brings the work of product review to bear on a broader set of interests and concerns and periodically presents PRD's find ings to a larger, community-wide audience. Or fundamental purposEs in this enterprise are wholly constructive: to develop a series of extensive -- and unique -- files concerning various aspects of intel- ligence and intelligence processes; ar;d to provide the kind of cr? # i c? appreciation of published intelligence which will be of value to te DCI, to USIB, and to the actual producers of intelligence. Your comments concerning this publication, its contents, or, indeed, on any matter of interest to the production community, wii be most welcome. Please address them (with permission to re-print them in this journal, if appropriate) to the Chief, Product Review Division, ICS, Room 6 E 04, Headquarters Building. Samuel V. Wilson Lieutenant [_'eneral, USA Deputy to the DCI fox the Intelligence Community SECRET Approved For Release 2005/1 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Approved For Relea [A-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 TUF tf REVIEW OF NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE CONTENTS" STATEMENT OF PURPOSE CONTENTS I. HIGHLIGHTS OF THE REVIEW Principal }'findings Other, Highlights II!. SPECIFIC COMMENTARIES The Middle East Far E.st Southeast and South Asia 17 Latin America L9 Strate i c Forces 21 Economic s Science and Technology 27 Approved For,Relea OSE 'B .:PCIA-RDP83MOO171R000800040003-3 Approved For Release 2005/1 to Ei?f3MOOl7lROOO8OOO4OOO33 CONTENTS (cont'd) II. SPECIFIC COMMENTARIES (cont'd) B. Assessments Excerpts from the Preliminary ICS Post- Mortem Report on the Cypr is Crisis of July 1974 Principal Findings of A Sur,rey of Intelligence Community Periodicals 33 VI. OUTSIDE LOOKING IN- -THE CONSUMER'S VIEW 35 Approved For Release 2005/1 2/23 f Q A-SEA 00171 R000800040003-3 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Approved For Release 2005/12/23 : CIA-RDP83M00171 R000800040003-3 Approved For Release 2005/12/a I 00171 R000800040003-3 ET Sample Issue National Review of Intelligence - December 1974 I. HIGHLIGHTS OF THE RE VLE W Our review this month focuses on three current inteliige,i