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CIA-RDP79T00975A029200010040-3
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I op Secret
(Security Classification) 251F
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0 Tuesday August 24, 1976 CI NIDC 76-199C 0
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DIA review(s) completed.
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
abMENA Top Secret 25XO
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National Intelligence Daily Cable for Tuesday. Auaust 24. 1976
e NiD Cable is tor the purpose of informing
senior officials.
CONTENTS
KOREA: Situation Report
LEBANON: Situation Report
SOUTH AFRICA: Work Boycott
GREECE-TURKEY: Aegean
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KOREA: Situation Report
25X1 For the third consecutive day, the situation along
the Demilitarized Zone in Korea is quiet.
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25X1 I I Pyongyang publicly continues to play on the theme
tnat war could break out at anytime. North Korea's overall
propaganda treatment, however, does not seem to be as sharply
focused on last week's :incidents as before.
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yang is evident in the sparse coverage incidents are receiving
in Soviet media. Pravda has carried two brief press items
noting increased tensions brought about by the build-up of US
forces after the incident on August 18, but Soviet media have
yet to replay any of the North Korean accounts.
Moscow's desire to maintain its distance from Pyong-
I Chinese, who for some time have favored main-
aining the status quo on the Korean peninsula, also are play-
ing down the situation. Thus far the Chinese media have re-
played Pyongyang's official account of the incident, but Peking
has not commented directly.
Peking plainly does not wish to contra ute to any heightened
tension in Korea and will almost certainly continue to maintain
its low profile on the situation.
LEBANON: Situation Report
ference to discuss Lebanon; the site and agenda of the meeting
may become points of contention.
Syria has agreed to attend an Arab League summit con-
25X1 I I The Syrians and Lebanese Christians have already let
it be known that they want the summit to be held somewhere other
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than Cairo, preferably in Saudi Arabia. The Syrians are also
likely to press, at least initially, for a discussion of the
second Sinai accord, which Damascus contends caused the Leba-
nese civil war.
I For the moment, the conflict appears to have settled
into artillery exchanges, limited ground action, and mutual
recriminations and threats.
The long-threatened Christian offensive against Pal-
estinian-leftist strongpoints in the mountains just east of
Beirut has still not materialized. The Christians are now hint-
ing that Syria may undertake a major offensive in early Septem-
ber, before president-elect Sarkis is to assume office, if ne-
gotiations remain stalled. This appears to be another attempt
to encourage the Palestinians to withdraw from the mountains
without a fight. Asad, however, recently received the approval
of his senior military advisers for a renewed offensive should
it be necessary.
I ILeftist leader Kamal Jumblatt yesterday reiterated
his a refusal to accept the latest Christian demands for a
cease-fire. Jumblatt accused the Syrians and Christians of con-
spiring in a US-Israeli plot against Lebanon and the Palestin-
ians and called on the Arab League to implement its resolutions
despite obstacles thrown in its path by Syria.
Jumblatt's recent call for the creation of a "popular"
liberation army to back up his militant position has met with
little success. Some of Jumblatt's fellow Druze tribesmen and
80 Muslim officers from the regular Lebanese army have repor-
tedly volunteered to serve in the militia, but Jumblatt has not
been able to elicit much enthusiasm among other regional or
Muslim ethnic groups.
I IJumbiatt's aim is to create a united leftist-Muslim
armed orce to confront the Syrians and Christians and thus
eliminate the confusion created by the plethora of small, local
militias that are currently carrying the brunt of the fighting.
Libya and Iraq reportedly have promised to fund the militia and
Fatah has agreed to provide arms and training.
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SOUTH AFRICA: Work Boycott
who last weekend called for a three-day boycott apparently in-
timidated many workers by threatening to burn their homes.
dustrial workers in the South African township of Soweto par-
ticipated in a work stoppage yesterday. Black student militants
student bands attempting to turn workers back at several com-
muter points. At least one student was killed, and six were
wounded.
activists in Soweto to impose a work boycott was followed by
several days of bloody rioting. Black students in Soweto and
elsewhere in South Africa. have become more militant as a result
of the many clashes with police since rioting first erupted
last June in Soweto. A fluid "street leadership" has emerged
that opposes the gradualism advocated by leaders of the adult
"black consciousness" movement, most of whom have been arrested
since June.
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An estimated 70 to 80 percent of the 200,000 in-
The police used. gunfire and tear gas to disperse
An unsuccessful attempt earlier this month by student
25X1 Over the weekend, moderate heads of seven of the
country s tribal homelands called on the government to release
the detainees. They also proposed a series of reforms and re-
quested a meeting with Prime Minister Vorster to discuss them.
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The South African cabinet is scheduled to meet today
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however, suggest that Vorster will remain firm toward student
dissidents and consider only limited concessions for urban
blacks.
and may discuss measures for coping with the country's racial
tension. Tough speeches by government spokesmen in recent days,
Last Friday, the government announced that it will
permit blacks to own homes in the black townships and that
50,000 homes in Soweto are to go on sale this week. This is
a potentially significant. departure from the ruling party's
long-held doctrine that blacks belong in the tribal homelands
and can only reside temporarily in urban areas. Now, however,
only a very small portion. of the urban blacks can afford to
buy homes, even if more are available.
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GREECE-TURKEY: Aegean
Turkish Prime Minister Demirel's statement last week
challenging the Greek right to fortify islands near the Turkish
coast has drawn fire from his political opponents at home as
Principal opposition leader Ecevit on Friday charged
that Demiirel's refusal even to characterize the islands as
Greek played into the hands of the Greeks, who maintain that
the Turks wish to expand their presence in the Aegean.
Demirel has refused to back down, and his position
seems to have hardened. In an interview yesterday he noted that
Greece had received the islands under the terms of treaties
that call for their demilitarization. Demirel was categoric in
his assertion that the islands cannot remain armed.
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Turkey, meanwhile, completed the third phase of its
seismic research in the Aegean yesterday, and the research ship
Sismik I returned to port, allegedly to take on more sophisti-
cated equipment but probably to undergo extensive repairs.
//Demirel last week indicated the ship may stay
in port for six or seven days before departing for the fourth
phase of its voyage. One Turkish newspaper last week speculated
that the next area of operations may be in and around Mandalya
Bay.//
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(Security IapSr Ve loner Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP79T00975A029200010040-3
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