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AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIST COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD 1 JANAURY - 30 JUNE 1965

Document Type: 
CREST [1]
Collection: 
General CIA Records [2]
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010020-1
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
64
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 25, 2006
Sequence Number: 
20
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 1, 1965
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010020-1.pdf [3]3.71 MB
Body: 
,j~(,;~p~oved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R0004,OQp10020-1 AID ..AND TRAD;~ AC.'T~~'ITIES OF CC)~~ COUNTRIES ~~ L~~~~ DEVELOPED j~Ls C>F '~I3E F.EE WORLD 1 JANUa R~ ~ 3? JUNE 19 Elt 'f~ 14-5~ 9 ..ECONOMIC IIATEl.~-.~GEt~ICE C~M~~A ~? - of ~f~e UNI~'~R ` ~ATE~ Ifs ELl.1GENCE BOARD Approved For Release 2006/02/07.:CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010020-1 25X1 gpproved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010020-1 Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010020-1 Approved For Release 2006/0?~7C{~,IA~DP92B01090R000400010020-1 AID AND TRADE ACTIVITIES OF COMMUNIS'~ COUNTRIES IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD 1 JANUARY - 30 JUNE 1965 EIC 814-S19 ECONOMIC II\1TELLIGENCE COMMITTEE SECRET 25X1 Approved For Relea 0908000400010020-1 Approved For Release 20Q~/~240jR_~I/11-RDP92B01090R000400010020-1 The EIC-R14 series provides periodic summaries and analyticaa in- terpretations of significant developments in the economic relat:i~~ns and military aid activities of Communist countries with less devf~lope~i. countries of the Free World. These developments are reported on a current, factual basis in tYie Biweekly Reports in the EIC-WGR-.i :er:ie . This report, covering tt~E 6 months from 1 January through _; ~ June 1865, constitutes the nineteenth periodic supplement to EIC-Rl~+, the initial report on Sino-Soviet Bloc Postwar Economic Activit_ie_s i, Underdeveloped Areas, b ~ August l~-SECRET. The present suppiE~: !en t updates the previous semiannual report and includes the more sif;~iifi- cant developments during t~hr reporting period. It also relates .rite- worthy noneconomic activities, including military aid, to economic operations of the Communist countries in less developed areas. ~~ata have been revised to include new information, and figures in the currant supplement supersede those in previous issues. This report was ~re- pared by the Department of ,_;tate and the Central Intelligence Ar;~_ncy. The draft was reviewed and. coordinated by a Working Group of the Eco+ nomic Intelligence Committee, which includes representatives of the Department of State, the Dei'ense Intelligence Agency, the Depart:uen~s of Commerce and Agriculture, the Agency for International Develo-~ment, the National Security Ager..cy, and the Central Intelligence Agenc;7. 1' e final report was approved by the Economic Intelligence Committee on 12 August 1865. In this report the term Communist countries refers primaril;~ to tle following countries that extend aid to less developed countries ~f tY^_ Free World: the USSR, Corr?nunist China, and the following countries c' Eastern Europe -- Bulgaria,, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hunga}~,r, Poland, and Rumania. For certai~i limited purposes the term als,~ ma;T include Albania, Cuba, Mongo]_ia, North Korea, and North Vietnam, none of which is normally a donor of aid. Yugoslavia is not included. The term less developed countries of the Free World include. the following: (1 all countries of Africa except the Republic of k3~:?uth Africa; (2) all countries in South and Southeast Asia; (3) Icela~id, Portugal, and Spain; (~+) s,ll countries in Latin America except ~;-_aba; and (5) all countries in the Middle East, including Cyprus, treeae, Syria, Turkey, and the United Arab Republic. Approved For Release 200~1~1;2/~7R~~l~RDP92B01090R000400010020-1 Approved For Release 2006/0~9~-:~~~P92B01090R000400010020-1 CONTEIV`I'S Summary . A. B. Credits and Grants Technical Assistance 1. Economic Technici~~ Apps ndix Statistical Appendix 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/0~1/~7C~l'A~Ff$P92B01090R000400010020-1 25X1 gpproved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010020-1 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2006/02/07 :CIA-RDP92B01090R000400010020-1 Approved For Release 2006/a~/~Z~_~gl~.k~DP92B01090R000400010020-1 AID AND TRAI>E ACTIVITIES OF COMMiJTTIST COUNI'RIP~S IN LESS DEVELOPED AREAS OF THE FREE WORLD 1_ ~TANUAdZY - 30 JUNE 19 5 summary New Communist economics aid undertakings in less developed countries continued at a relatively 1-~igkr level during the first half of 1.96> see Figure 1). Communist economic credits and grants extended. du~ ng 'the period totaled US X458 mil.-lion, bringing to almost $7 billion ~.;he a~~gr~e-.? gate of economic assistance extended by all Communist countries sine early 1954 (see Figure 2). The USSR may have agreed to contrik}ute , de,~- veloped countries do not include in their trade returns those m~aorts re- ceived under long-term economic credits whereas the Communist c.~n_ntri~~s report as exports all goods furnished on credit, with the result, that the value of this trade according; to Communist sources exceeds the value ~e- ported by less developed countries. - 9 - Approved For Release 20~GG/~;2~p7R_~I~-RDP92B01090R000400010020-1 Approved For Release 2006/0~/(~7 v C~A~F~P92B01090R000400010020-1 with a :L7-percent gain recorded in 1963 over 1962. The growth of trade in 196+ was due almost entirely to increases in Eastern European and Chir7~~se Communist trade with the less developed countries. Soviet trade with these countries held steady at about the $1.1 billion 1eve1 of 1963. As a result, the Soviet snare of Communist trade with the less de- veloped countries fell to 3~ percent compared with 37 percent in 1863. Within the Communist area the countries of Eastern Europe continued to be the most important trading partners for less developed countries, accaunt:ing for !+5 percent of total Communist trade with less developed countries. The largest percentage increase in trade between the Com- munist and less developed countries was recorded by Communist China, whose trade with these countries amounted to X680 million -- an in- crease of ~+0 percent above that of 1963.~- The failure of Soviet trade with the less developed countries to 7?eflect any noticeable increase was due primarily to a leveling off of irnpo:rts by the USSR, resulting largely f nom a reduction of g1,~+00 tons~--~ (roughly $50 million) in its purchases of Malaysian rubber -- a reduction not compensated for by increased Soviet purchases of rubber elsewriere in the less developed world. Soviet exports to these coun- tries irr 196+ increased by only 6 percent, compared with a 15-percent gain in 1863. This slackening in the growth of Soviet exports was due prin~ar?ily to absolute dec7_ines in exports to Brazil, Spain, and Sudan. The iJSSl3's exports to its major marzets in the less developed areas -- Afghanistan, Tndia, and the. UAR -- however, continued to expand. The share of the less developed countries in total Communist trade in 1q6~+ was ~~ percent, the same share as in 1863, whereas the Comrrrunist area`s share in the aggregate trade of the less developed countries remained at 5 percent, the same share as in previous years. Tn spite of these relativE:ly low ratios, the Communist area continued to occuL~y a p~~-:onaF~rant sY?:are of the trade of certain .less developed cc>urtr~e~s. 'I l r' Cor~mrunist area. supplied. between one-fourth and. one-half oi' ?,~F .mport?a c,1' Ai'~hani.tan, Cambodia, Guinea, and. Ma.1i and absorbed ;~Ert~. Err one-f i. h =~~n~ ttivc-i fifths of the exp. arts of Afghanistan, Greece, Muir; ~a, itilali, ~`dria, and. 1;1ie i~AR and. the non.petroleura exports oi' lrarr and _7?a~~ . Mo:r: ~;vF x?, Cor~rrunist countries cgn.tinued to purchase sizab:Le Y~ori i_c:ns of tl~rose :products which are the mayor earners of convertible cum r.c,y for sur~.e 1_ess de iF:loped countries. 'T'hey purchased. 15 percent of Ghar,r3' s total. exports of c~ccoa beans in 196'+, 56 percent of the UAR' s ex- Y>orts poi' cotton during thF= period 1 August l.qr~~+ through 21 June 19e5, and c;5 I ~r.c~t penetration of a key sector. Uganda signed a $3 million grant _and a= economic and_ technical cooperation agreement with Communist China which includes an intere:~t-free credit of ~12 million. Uganda still had not drawn on a Soviet credit of $15.6 million extended last December, and in general none of th.e aid programs envisaged under credit Approved For Release 2006~2~~kY-R6~A~2DP92B01090R000400010020-1 Approved For Release 200~/~2/~7ft ~I~; RDP92B01090R000400010020-1 agreements with Communist countries reacYred the implementation stage. Soviet advisers were assigned to the Ministry of Cormnerce and Industry and the Peonomic Planning Ministry. Soviet economic aid activities in Afghanistan continued at a high level during the period, including new credits and an adjustment of debt payment schedules that served to deepen Afghanistan's economic dependence on the USSR. In an effort to ease .Afghanistan's current foreign exchange and budgetary problems, the USSR discussed deferment for 27 years of repayment of $16.7 rnillion in debts due in 1965-67; extended a $16.7 million long-term credit to cover the maintenance costs of the Salang Pass road and tunnel and the Kabul grain silo and the construction of three bridges; promised to meet all costs for the Soviet teaching staff at the Soviet-built polytechnic school; and agreed to accept natural gas from the Shibargan gasfield as payment for developing the field and constructing a pipeline to the USSR. ~IThe USSR and Afghanistan also signed an $11.1 million commodity credit agreement to generate. local currency for Soviet aid. projects. Delivery under the credit will be made over a :period of 2 years and repayrr~en.t -- in the form of cotton, wool, and other agricultural prod- ucts -- over 10 years at 2 percent interest. A protocol signed to the basic grade and payments agreement of 1950 was significant in that for the third consecutive year Afghanistan resisted Soviet efforts to in- clude in the protocol Afghanistan's major foreign exchange earners, karaku]_ skins and wool carpets. 'IThe Chinese Commmunist credit offer of 'November 19E~4, which had been accepted in principle, was formally signed at the enii of March. The $2~ million credit provides for a 10-year grace period, no interest, and 20 years for repayment. Further discussions are to be held to determine the specific projects to be financed. under the credit. Afghan-Soviet military ties were also strengthened when an $80 milliari protocol was signed in January to an agreement negotiated in July 1g64. The USSR will deliver 24 MIG-21's, 60 T-54A tanks, and fire- fighting equipment and spares at a 7S percent discount with the $20 mil- lion balance to be paid over 15 years at 2 percent interest starting in 1968. The 12 SA-2 SAM's delivered in July 1964 remained in storage, and tYiere was no indication of activity designed to make the SAM's opera- tional. During the first half of 1865, Burma continued to follow a policy of strict neutrality, concentrating primarily on internal prob- lems. Frequent visits by hi.~.-ranking Chinese Communists, including three by Chou En-lai, failed to elicit from Ne Win a more pro-Peiping stance. Chinese aid activities were confined mainly to the start of construction at a Chinese Corrnnunist industrial, project and a modest Approved For Release 2006~/0~/~7 R C~,IArRDP92B01090R000400010020-1 Approved For Release 2006/Q2/hQ7C:_~I~ F~P92B01090R000400010020-1 increase in the number of Chinese technicians. In March 1965 a prc~o- col was signed to the Chinese ~~ million credit, which provi_d in his breaking relations with the United States in May. Theme wer~a no new extensions of Communist military or economic aid duri.n5 the- period, but an agreement was signed in June providing for a small rn un- ber of Chinese Communist military technicians to be sent to CaYr~bodi~, t install a small arms repair workshop and activity on Chinese ~conom~c aid projects increased. In March a cultural and scientific c~~opera-,ion agreement was signed with Communist China which reportedly pr:at-ides for the employment of 100 science instructors for technical schools in ,;am- bodia and for scholarships for Cambodian students. Conditions in Ceylon during the first half of 1965 were higs~- lighted by a deteriorating; economic situation and a change in g;over~i- ment. Following the defeat of the Bandaranike government, opuurtun - ties for an immediate expansion of Communist influence within the country diminished. Whereas the Bandaranike government actively courted the local Communist Party and sought support from Communist countries for its foreign policies, the election of Dudley Ser~snaya_e has resulted in closer ties with Western countries. The Senariayake government is actively seeking-Western economic assistance arr~l s.p- pears willing to attempt to meet the conditions required for such aid. These conditions include the imposition of economic refolfns grid the settlement of the oil compensation dispute. During the Bar~dara~iike regime, deteriorating economic conditions, created in part by incre

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