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Research Aid
Production of Machinery and Equipment
in the Peoples Republic of China
A (ER) 75-63
May 1975
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This publication is prepared for the use of U.S. Government
officials. The format, coverage, and contents of the publi-
cation are designed to meet the specific requirements of
governmental users. All inquiries concerning this document
from non-U.S. Government users are to be addressed to:
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Library of Congress
Washington, D.C. 20540
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Production of Machinery and Equipment
in the Peoples Republic of China
May 1975
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Production of Machinery and Equipment in
the Peoples Republic of China
This handbook presents estimates of China's annual production of some 30
major items of machinery and equipment for all or parts of 1949-73. It is intended
to supplement other research on the topic.'
Table 1 groups the estimates in the order in which the products appear in
the State Statistical Bureau's standard industrial classification code 2; it also
serves as an index of page numbers for locating specific production series.
Table 2 lists the space-saving abbreviations adopted for citing the principal
sources of information.
Tables 3 through 9 present the estimates, with footnotes indicating the
sources and methodologies used in deriving the estimates. Because estimating
production by China's merchant shipbuilding industry involved unique difficul-
ties, the methodology is described separately in Appendix A.
Note: Data in parentheses are calculated residuals. Computations in the methodology are, in
general, based on unrounded data, and the results have been rounded.
1 Kang Chao, Capital Formation in Mainland China, 1952-65, Berkeley, University of California
Press, 1974; Chu-yuan Chong, The Machine-Building Industry in Communist China, New York,
Aldine Press, 1971; Robert Michael Field, "The Chinese Machine-Building Industry: A Reap-
praisal," China Quarterly, No. 54, Apr-Jun 1973, pp. 313-314; and Thomas George Rawski, The
Economics of Chinese Machine Building, 1931 1967 (Doctoral 'T'hesis), Ilarvard University, 1972.
2 State Statistical Bureau, Kung-yeh ch'an-p'in mu-lu (Index of Industrial Commodities), Peking,
1953, pp. 41-85. The major categories and subcategories of the code dealing with machinery and
equipment are listed in Appendix B.
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Power and electrical equipment (I
Summary table
Table
Number
3
Page
Number
4
and II)
Steam boilers
3-a
5
Ilydroturbines
3-a
5
Power machinery
3-b
6
Electric generators
3-c
7
Electric motors
3-c
7
Transformers
3-c
7
Machine tools (III and IV) ..........
Machine tools
4
8
Textile machinery (XIX) ............
Looms
5
9
Spindles
5
9
Sewing machines
5
9
Agricultural equipment and tractors
Summary table
6
10
(XXVI and XXVII)
Agricultural machinery
6-a
10
Powered irrigation equipment
6-b
it
Standard tractors
6-c
13
Garden tractors
6-d
14
Transportation equipment (XXVIII,
Summary table
7
15
XXX, and XXXI)
Mainline locomotives and freight
7-a
1.6
cars
Merchant vessels i
Motor vehicles
7-h
17
Telecommunications equipment
Radio sets
8
18
(XXXIII)
Television sets
8
18
Consumer products (XLVII) .........
Bicycles
9
19
Thermos bottles
9
1.9
Clocks
9
19
Watches
9
19
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BBC ...................... British Broadcasting Corporation, Summary of World Broadcasts,
Part 3, the Far East, Weekly Economic Report, Reading,
England.
CB ....................... Current Background, Hong Kong, US Consulate General.
CCTP .................... Ching-chi tao-pao (Economic Bulletin), Hong Kong.
CCYC .................... Ching-chi yen-chiu (Economic Research), Peking.
CIICC .................... Chi-hua thing-chi (Planned Economy), Peking.
CHKY .................... Chi-hsieh kung-yeh (Machine Industry), Peking.
CHKYCP ................. Chi-hsieh kung-yeh chou-pao (Machine Industry Weekly), Shanghai.
CKII W ................... Chung-kuo hsin-wen (China News Service), Canton.
CKCKY .................. Chung-kuo ch'ing-kung-yeh (Chinese Light Industry), Peking.
Communique ............... Kuan-yu fa-than kuo-min thing-chi ti ti-i-ko wu nien (1953 nien too
1957 nien) chi-hua chih-hang chieh-kuo ti kung pao (Communique
on the Fulfillment of the First Five-Year Plan-195`3-1957 for
the Development of the National Economy), State Statistical
Bureau, Peking, 1959.
CP ....................... China Pictorial, Peking.
CR ....................... China Reconstructs, Peking.
ECMM ................... Extracts from China Mainland Magazines, Hong Kong, US Con-
sulate General.
FBIS ..................... Foreign Broadcast Information Service, Washington, DC.
IIC ....................... Hung-ch'i (Red Flag), Peking.
JMJP .................... Jen-min jih-pao (People's Daily), Peking.
JPRS ..................... Joint Publications Research Service, Washington, DC.
KJJP .................... Kung-jen jih-pao (Daily Worker), Peking.
NCNA .................... New China News Agency, Peking and other cities.
Past and Present............ Wo-kuo kang-t'ieh tien-li mei-t'an chi-hsieh fang-chih tsao-chih kung-
yeh ti chin-hsi (Chinese Iron and Steel, Electric Power, Coal,
Machinery, Textile, and Paper Industries-Past and Present),
State Statistical Bureau, Peking, 1958.
.PC ....................... People's China, Peking.
PR ....................... Peking Review, Peking.
SCMM ................... Selections from China Mainland Magazines, Hong Kong, US Con-
sulate General.
SCMP .................... Survey of China Mainland Press, Hong Kong, US Consulate General.
TCKT .................... Tung-chi kung-tso (Statistical Work), Peking.
TGY ...................... Ten Great Years, State Statistical Bureau, Foreign Languages
Press, Peking, 1960.
TKP ..................... To kung pao (Impartial Daily), Peking and Hong Kong.
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Steam
Boilers
Power
Electric
Transformers
Year
(Metric Tons
of Steam
per Hour)
Hydro-
turbines
(Kilowatts)
Machinery
(Thousand
Horsepower)
Electric
Generators
(Kilowatts)
Motors
(Thousand
Kilowatts)
(Thousand
Kilovolt-
Amperes)
1.949.........
255
....
10 1.0,1.81
61.0
71.64
1950.........
585
....
11 22 , 798
199.0
....
1951 .........
956
....
26 31,731
225.0
....
1952.........
1,222
6,664
35 29,678
638.7
1,167.08
1953.........
2,774
17,260
144 (59,525)
918.0
1,961
1954.........
2,885
10,000
172 54,617
957.0
1,961
1955 .........
2,059
33,360
247 107,595
606.9
1,926
1956.........
3,022
102,749
657 288,263
1,069.0
2,891.07
1957 .........
....
74,903
690 312,200
1,445.0
3,590
1958 .........
....
....
2 , 000 1 425,000
6,052.0
12,000
1964 .........
....
....
.... 625 , 000
1965 .........
....
....
.... 780 , 000
Notes and sources:
Steam boilers and hydroturbines: see Table 3-a.
Power machinery: see Table 3-b.
Electric generators, electric motors, and transformers: see Table 3-c.
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Table 3-a
Production of Steam Boilers and Hydroturbines
Steam Boilers
Metric Tons Hydroturbines
of Steam
Units per Hour Units Kilowatts
1949 ..................................... 209 255 .... ....
1950 ..................................... 479 585 .... ....
1951 ..................................... 782 956 .... ....
1952 ..................................... 1,000 1,222 11 6,664
1953 ..................................... .... 2,774 .... 17,260
1954 ..................................... .... 2,885 .... 10,000
1955 ..................................... 1,274 2,059 33,360
1956 ..................................... 1,033 3,022 57 102,749
1957 ..................................... .... .... .... 74,903
Notes and sources:
Steam Boilers
Units
1949-52
1955
1956
Output per hour
1949 51
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
Hydroturbines
Units and kilowatts
1952, 1956
Kilowatts
1953
1954
1955
1957
Past and Present, p. 113.
Ibid., p. 139.
Ibid., p. 122.
Calculated from the 1952 data as 1,222 tons per unit.
Past and Present, p. 122.
CB, No. 292, 15 Sep 1954, p. 3.
Ibid., No. 360, 29 Sep 1955, p. 3.
Past and Present, p. 139.
Ibid., p. 122.
CB, No. 292, 15 Sep 1954, p. 3.
Osnovnye pokazateli razvitiye narodnovo khozyaystva kitayskoy narodnoy
respubliki (Principal Indexes of the Development of the National Economy
of the Peoples Republic of China), State Statistical Publishers, Moscow,
1958, pp. 38--39. This is a Russian translation of a report published by
the Chinese State Statistical Bureau.
CB, No. 474, 12 Aug 1957, p. 3.
Tien-chi kung-yeh (Electrical Industry), No. 10, 1957, p. 6.
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1949
.........................
Total
10
Steam
Engines
(6)
Total
4
Diesel
Other
1950
.........................
it
...
....
1951
.........................
26
1952
.........................
35
7.458
27.621
17.995
(9.626)
1953
.........................
144
1954
.........................
172
1955
.........................
247
1956
.........................
657
(1.16.239)
540.761
371.700
(169.061)
1957
.........................
690
(81.000)
609.000
....
....
1958
.........................
2,000
Notes and sources:
'total power machinery
1949 58
Steam engines
1952
'T'otal internal combustion engines
1949
1952
1956
1957
Diesel engines
1952
1.956
Chu-yuan Cheng, op. cit., p. 253.
Past and Present, p. 123.
Ibid.
Communique, p. 7.
Past and Present, p. 114.
F.CMM, No. 105, 28 Oct 1957, p. 25.
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Electric Generators Electric Motors Transformers
(Thousand (Thousand
1949 ......................... .... 10,181 61.0 71.64
1950 ......................... .... 22,798 199.0
1951 ......................... .... 31,731 225.0 ....
1952 ......................... 746 29,678 638.7 1,167.08
1953 ......................... .... (59,525) 918.0 1,961
1954 ......................... .... 54,617 957.0 1,961
1955 ......................... 2,517 107,595 606.9 1,926
1956 ......................... 6,883 288,263 1,069.0 2,891.07
1957 ......................... .... 312,200 1,445.0 3,590
1958 ......................... .... 1,425,000 6,052.0 12,000
1964 ......................... .... 625,000
1965 ......................... .... 780,000
Notes and sources:
Electric generators
Units
1952
1955
1956
Kilowatts
1949-52
1953
Past and Present, p. 113.
Ibid., p. 139.
Ibid., p. 113.
Ibid., p. 113.
Ibid., p. 74, states that total output in 1953-56 was 510,000 kilowatts.
Total output in 1954 -56, according to the sources cited below, was
450,475 kw. Hence, 1.953 output = 510,000 - 450,475 = 59,525 kw.
1954 CB, No. 391, p. 2.
1955 Past and Present, p. 139.
1956 Ibid., p. 123.
1957 TCKT, No. 10, 1957, p. 6.
1958 PR, 15 Sep 1959, p. 22.
1964--65 The Chinese told visitors that output in 1972 was about 4.5 times that of
1965 which was 25% greater than in 1964. If output in 1972 was 3,500,000
kw (see below), output in 1965 was about 780,000 kw and in 1964 was
about 625,000 kw.
Output in 1972 was 528,000 kw at the Peking Heavy Electrical Machinery
Plant and I million kw at the Shanghai Electrical Machinery Plant
(Report, Canadian Electrical Power Mission to the Peoples Republic of
China, The Runge Press, Ltd., Ottawa, 1974). In estimating a total of
about 3,500,000 kw for the year, it was assumed that the electrical plants
at Te-yang and Harbin produced about the same levels of output as the
Peking and Shanghai plants, respectively, and that smaller plants else-
where in China produced a total of about 500,000 kw.
Electric motors
1949-58 TGY, p. 97.
Transformers
1949 Tien-chi kung-yeh (Electrical Industry), No. 10, 1957, p. 6.
1952, 1955-56 Past and Present, pp. 114, 123, 139.
1953 CB, No. 292, p. 3.
1954 CB, No. 360, p. 3.
1957 CIIKY, No. 3, 1958, p. 3.
1958 TCKT, No. 19, 1959, pp. 14 19.
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Thousand
Units
Metric Tons
Thousand
Units Metric Tons
1949 ..........
1.582
....
1962
..........
25
1950 ..........
3.312
....
1963
..........
35
1951 ..........
5.853
....
1964
..........
40
1952 ..........
13.734
16,298
1965
..........
45
1953 ..........
20.502
24,039
1966
..........
50
1954..........
15.901
23,530
1967
..........
40
1955..........
13.708
....
1968
..........
45
1956..........
25.928
....
1969
..........
55
1957 ..........
28.297
1970
..........
70
1958 ..........
30
....
1971
..........
75
1959 ..........
35
....
1972
..........
75
1960 ..........
40
....
1973
..........
80
1961 ..........
30
....
Notes and sources:
Units
1949 56 TGY, p. 97.
Official sources reported output of 50,000 units in 1958 (TGY, p. 97), 70,000 in 1959
(PR, 5 Apr 1960, p. 16), and a planned figure of 90,000 for 1960 (Ibid., p. 12).
These Leap Forward figures are obviously crude estimates and have been heavily
deflated to exclude the huge volume of primitive machinery thrown together by
unskilled labor in communes and small, poorly equipped shops during this period.
Only about half of the reported output is believed to have been comparable in
quality, durability, and utility to the 28,297 units reported for 1957. Estimates for
1958 and thereafter were derived from fragmentary reports on output trends and
capacity additions at some 30 major machine tool plants. These estimates, for the
most part, should be considered as minimum totals; in any given year, literally
hundreds of small and medium-size machinery plants may have been assigned the
tasks of producing a small assortment of standardized lathes, drilling machines, etc.
Metric tons
L952-54 CB, No. 429, 26 Nov 1956, p. 7.
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Sewing
Spindles Machines
1951...... 4.217
1952 ...... 6.468
1953...... 9.653
1954...... 15.120
1955 ...... 9.291
1956...... 19.251
1957 ...... (12.300)
1958...... 13.700
1959...... 21.900
Notes and sources:
Looms
1951-56
1958-59
1957
Spindles
1951-56
1957-58
1959
196465
Sewing machines
1953-55
1956-58
1959
1972
1965
131.984 ....
383.128
287.424 257
489.044 316
304.400 174
781.020 206
484 278
1, 000 637
1,360 (563)
Sewing
Looms Spindles Machines
1964...... .... 700 1,257
1965...... .... 1,400 1,571
1969...... .... .... 1 , 800
1970...... .... .... 2,400
1971...... .... .... 3 , 000
1972...... .... .... 3 , 300
1973...... .... .... 3 , 894
Past and Present, p. 161.
CB, No. 618, p. 19.
Total output through 1958 was 90,000 units (NCNA, Peking, 18 Sep 1959);
through 1956 it was 64,000 units (Past and Present, p. 161). Ilence, output in
1957 - 90,000 - 64,000 - 13,700 (1958 output) = 12,300.
Past and Present, p. 161.
CB, No. 558, 20 Apr 1959, p. 3.
CKIIW, 11 Apr 1960, p. 12.
Output of 1,400,000 units in 1965 was double output in 1964 (NCNA, 17 and
18 Dcc 1965).
CKCKY, No. 16, 1957, P. 13.
Ibid., No. 5, 1959, pp. 3 4 (JPIIS, No. 981 1, 23 Oct 1959).
According to.IMJP, 7 Apr 1960 (FBIS, I1 Apr 1960, p. 13B23), total output in
1958 59 was 1,200,000 units. Hence, output in 1959 =1,200,000 - 637,000 =
563,000.
According to [IC, No. 6, 16 Feb 1961 (SCMM, No. 256, p. 21), output in-
creased by more than 20%.
A visiting foreigner was told that actual output totaled 1,800,000 units in 1969
and that the 1971 plan called for 3 million units. Interpolation between
these figures gives an estimate of 2,400,000 units for 1970.
An increase of 10% was assumed.
According to NCNA, Peking, 5 Oct 1973 (FBIS, 24 Oct 1973, p. B13), output
in 1972 was 2.1 times the figure for 1965. Hence, 1965 output= 3,300,000(
2.1 = 1,571,000 units.
Output increased by 30% in the first quarter (TKP, Peking, 3 May 1965,
p. 2) and by 20% to 47% in the first eight months (FBIS, 15 Oct 1965,
p. ccc2). On this basis, an annual increase of 25% was assumed. 1964 out-
put=1965 output/L25=1,257,000 units.
According to NCNA, Peking, 5 Oct 1973 (FBIS, 24 Oct 1973, p. B13), output
in the first eight months increased by 18.6%. An annual increase of 18%
was assumed.
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Production of Agricultural Equipment and Tractors
Agricultural
Machinery
(Units)
Powered
Irrigation
Equipment
(Thousand
Horsepower)
Standard
Tractors
(Thousand
15-Horsepower
Units)
Garden
Tractors
(15-Horse-
power Units)
1949 ........................... ....
....
....
...
1950 ........................... ....
....
1951 ........................... ....
....
....
....
1952 ........................... 50,063
....
....
1953 ........................... 100,664
....
1954 ........................... 176,503
1955 ........................... 736,935
....
....
1956 ........................... 2,174,193
170
....
....
1957 ........................... ....
(52)
1958 ........................... ....
720
1.1
....
1959 ............................ ....
1,255
9.4
....
1960 ........................... ....
1,610
23.8
....
1961 ........................... ....
700
(16.2)
....
1962 ........................... ....
955
13.1
....
1963 ........................... ....
640
15.7
....
1964 ........................... ....
(860)
19.3
150
1965 ........................... ....
1,150
23
875
1966 ........................... ....
1,530
32
2,625
1967 ........................... ....
....
27
2,100
1968 ........................... ....
....
30
2,675
1969 ........................... ....
....
40
3,200
1970 ........................... ....
....
70
9,000
1971 ........................... ....
3,089
105
9,625
1972 ........................... ....
4,016
115
21,000
1973 ........................... ....
5,984
138
28,000
Votes and sources:
Agricultural machinery: see Table 6-a.
Powered irrigation equipment: see Table 6-b.
Standard tractors: see Table 6-c.
Garden tractors: see Table 6-d.
Units
Harvesters
1952
.....................
50,063
5,060
344
44,441
218
1953
.....................
100,664
3,007
4,590
92,533
534
1954
.....................
176,503
59,582
12,469
98,780
5,672
1955
.....................
736,935
522,697
24,533
179,502
10,203
1956
.....................
2,174,193
1,793,186
76,683
300,527
3,797
Notes and sources:
1952-56: KJJP, 21 Sep 1957.
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Table 6-b
Inventory
1949 .......... 97
1951.......... 118
1955 .......... (338) ....
1956 .......... 508 170
1957 .......... 560 (52)
1958 .......... 1,280 720
1959 .......... 2,535 1,255
1960 .......... 4,145 1,610
1961 .......... 4,845 700
Notes and sources:
Where data on both inventory and production were not available, it was assumed that production
in the current year was the difference between inventory in the current year and inventory in the
previous year.
1949 inventory: 4'KP, Peking, 19 Dec 1957, p 1.
1951 inventory: PC, 1 Oct 1952, p. 28.
1956 inventory and production: 390,000 horsepower of equipment was manufactured in 1952-56
(ECMM, No. 127, 5 May 1958, p. 48); hence, inventory in 1956 =390,000+118,000=508,000.
From 1 Oct 1955 to 30 Sep 1956, 170,000 horsepower were added (ECMM, No. 99, p. 1).
1955 inventory: 508,000 - 170,000 = 338,000.
1957 inventory and production: Inventory (JMJP, 14 Jan 1961); hence, 1957 production =
560,000 - 508,000 = 52,000.
1958-63 inventory and production: Figures for production in these years were reduced to account for
discrepancies between official data reported from year to year and total capacity reported for
1957 .and 1962. Yearly production and inventory figures indicate an addition of 7,480,000 horse-
power during the period, whereas a later figure indicates that the inventory rose by 5,240,000
horsepower. Thus production figures derived from official data were reduced by 30%. The differ-
ences in official figures probably are due mainly to the manufacture of unusable equipment dur-
ing the Leap Forward (1958-60). Derivation of the unadjusted and adjusted series is shown below
(in thousand horsepower):
Unadjusted Series Adjusted Series
Inventory Production Inventory Production
1957 ................... 560 52 560 52
1958 ................... 1,590' 1,0302 1,280 720
1959 ................... 3,3803 1,790 2,535 1,255
1960 ................... 5,6805 2,300`' 4,145 1,610
1961 ................... 6,6807 1,0006 4,845 700
1962 ................... 5,8008 1,3609 5,800 955
1963 ................... 6,44019 6409 6,440 640
1 560 + 1,030.
2 3,380-560-1,790 = 1,030.
3 CB, No. 618, 17 \la.v 1960.
Planned output for 1960 was 2,500,000 horsepower, or 40'%, above actual output in 1959 (C73,
No. 618, 17 \lav 1960). Hence, actual output in 1959 was 2,500,0001.4 - 1,790,000.
3,380 + 2,300 -5,680.
u NCNA, Peking, 26 Sep 1962. The total figure for 1960 61 (3,300) is verified in JPRS, No. 13,828,
28 May 1962, p. 48.
7 5,680 + 1,000 = 6,680.
8 PR, 28 Jun 1963, p. 20.
9 Some 3,000,000 horsepower in equipment was added in 1961 63 (CKIIW, 14 Aug 1964, p. 9)
and 640,000 in 1963 (FBIS, 3 Jan 1964, p. cccl i). Hence, 1962 output =3,000,000 -640,000 =
1, 360, 000.
05,800+640 =6,410.
1962 .......... 5,800 955
1963.......... 6,440 640
1964 .......... 7,300 (860)
1965.......... 8,450 1,150
1966.......... 9,980 1,530
1970 .......... 16,911 ....
1971 .......... 20,000 3,089
1972 .......... 24,016 4,016
1973 .......... 30,000 5,984
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1964 inventory and production: The inventory increased by 12 times over 1957 (Cl?, Mar 1965,
p. 3)-13 x 560,000 = 7,300,000. Output in 1964 = 7,300,000 - 6,440,000 - 860,000.
1965 inventory and production: Output was one-third higher than in 1964 (Far East Trade and
Development, May 1967, p. 461) -1.333 x 860,000 = 1,150,000. Inventory = 7,300,000 + 1,150,000 =
8,450,000.
1966 inventory and production: Supplies were one-third higher than in 1965 (FBIS, 9 Jan 1967
p. cec4) 1,333 x 1,150,000=1,530,000. Inventory=8,450,000+1,530,000=9,980,000.
1970-73 inventory and production: 1971 inventory (FBIS, 23 Oct 1974, p. El); 1973 inventory
(NCNA, Peking, 16 Sep 1974). Output in the first eight months of 1972 was 30% higher than in the
same period in 1971 (:VCNA, Peking, 5 Oct 1972) and 49% higher in the first eight months of 1973
compared with the same period in 1972 (FBIS, 5 Oct 197:3, p. 132). On the assumption that those
rates of increase were maintained throughout the year, inventory and output were derived as
follows:
Let '71 and I7, represent inventories at the end of 1973 and 1971, .respectively, and Q.7,, Q72,
and Q7;; stand for production in 1971, 1972, and 1973. Then, in thousands of horsepower,
30,000 20,000 1.30(2; 1 l.40Q72
10,000=2.49 x 1.30Q71
Q71=3,089
Q72 4,016
Q7:1= 5,984
17,, = 16,911
1;,=24,016.
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1949...... 0.401 ....
1950...... 1.286 ....
1951...... 1.410 ....
1952...... 2.006 ....
1953...... 2.719 ....
1954...... 5.061 ....
1955...... 8.094 ....
1956...... 19.367 ....
1957...... 24.629 ...
1958...... 45.330 1.1
1959...... 59 9.4
1960...... 79 23.8
1961...... .... (16.2)
1962...... 1.03 13.1
1963...... 115 15.7
1964...... 123 19.3
1965...... 23
1966...... 150 32
1967...... .... 27
1968...... .... 30
1969...... .... 40
1970...... 272 70
1971...... .... 105
1972...... 354 11.5
1973...... .... 138
Notes and sources:
Production
Production of tractors began in 1958. Standard units measure each type of tractor in terms of
horsepower rather than physical units and thus provide an adjustment for differences in size, weight,
complexity, and cost. China follows the practice of other Communist countries and converts each
tractor to standard units of 15 drawbar horsepower. The drawbar horsepower of Chinese tractors
ranges from 50%, to 70% of the more commonly used brake horsepower. I' or most years, the tractor
produced in the greatest volume probably has been it 54 brake horsepower inodel that develops 36
horsepower at the drawbar. One, physical unit is equivalent to 36, 15 2.1 standard 15-horsc-
power units.
1958: Production was 957 physical units (TG )-, p. 98). A perusal of reports discussing tractor models
produced in 1958 suggests that an average tractor was the equivalent of about 1.2 standard 15-
horsepower units. Thus, 957 x 1.2 1,100 standard units. '['his estimate, is consistent with a report
that annual average output in 1960 61 20,000 standard units was about 20 times that of 1958
(SCMM, No. 315, 28 May 1962, p. 21).
1959: Ekonontika sotsiuli.eliche.skihk .slrun r lsifrukh 1;K;2, Kralki;11 Slatisliche.skiy Sbornik, Moscow.
1963, p.32.
1960: Chunq-kuo ch'iny-nicrz pao (China ) oulh Daily), 12 lInr 1961.
1961: Output of 40,000 standard units was reported as the total for the two years 1960 61 (SCMM,
No. 315, 28 May 1962, p. 21). Output in 1961=40,000-23,800-16,200 units.
1962-63: Output of 45,000 standard units was reported as the total for the three years 1961 63
(CKII W, Can ton, 14 Aug 1964, p. 42). Output in 1962-63 = 45,000 - 16,200 = 28,800 units. Output
in 1963 was about 20% above that in 1962 (PR, 3 Jan 1964, p. 42). Algebraically,
Q 62 I (Z6a= 28,800
Q,1 - 1.2(Z62-
(Z,;2 = 13,100
(Z,;;,= 15,700.
1964: Output in the first eight months was about 23% above that in the corresponding period of
1963 (PR, 11 Dec 1964, pp. 26 27). This rate of increase was assumed for the entire year.
1965-70: Rough estimates based on fragmentary information on output at the Lo-yang and other
major tractor plants.
1971: Derived from the 1972 figure on the basis of a report that output in 1972 was 10% above that
of 1971 (FBIS, 15 May 1973, p. 113).
1972: Output in 1972 was five times that of 1965. (Economic Reporter, English supplement, Hong
Kong, No. 4, Oct-Dec 1973, p. 23).
1973: Output was six times that of 1965. (CR, Jan 1965, p. 6).
Inventory
These figures refer to tractors for use in agriculture.
1949--58: TGY, p. 135.
1959: PR, 1 Mar 1960, p. 6.
1960: PR, 20 Jan 1.961, p. 4.
1962: PR, 10 May 1.963, p. 13.
1963: PR, 11 Dec 1964, pp. 26-27.
1964: PR, 1 Jan 1965, p. 8.
1966: Soviet source citing official Chinese figures (FBIS, Vol. III, 8 Nov 1974, p. C4).
1970: PR, 22 Oct 1971, pp. 5--7.
1972: Cheng Shill, A Glance at China's Economy, Peking, Foreign Languages Press, 1974, p. 18.
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Thousand Units
Production
15-Horsepower 15-Horsepower
Physical Units Units Physical Units Units
1964 ................... 0.6 0.150 0.6 0.150
1965 ................... 4.1 1.025 3.5 0.875
1966 ................... 14.6 3.650 10.5 2.625
1967 ................... 23.0 5.750 8.4 2.100
1968 ................... 33.7 8.425 10.7 2.675
1969 ................... 46.5 11.625 12.8 3.200
1970 ................... 82.5 20.625 36.0 9.000
1971 .................... 121.0 30.250 38.5 9.625
1972 ................... 205.0 51.250 84.0 21.000
1973 ................... 317.0 79.250 112.0 28.000
Notes and sources:
Production of garden tractors was negligible prior to 1964. The garden tractor produced in the
greatest volume probably has been a model with a brake horsepower of 7. Assuming a drawbar horse-
power of 4, one physical unit is equivalent to about one-fourth of a standard 15-horsepower unit.
figures in the table were derived by first estimating output in physical units and then dividing these
estimates by 4 to obtain output in standard 15-horsepower units.
With the exceptions noted below, the estimates were based on fragmentary reports of output
trends at numerous, widely scattered, small-scale tractor plants. Inventory estimates were made by
adding production in the current year to inventory in the previous year, with no allowance made
for depreciation.
Production
1966: Output in the first nine months was up by 200% over that of the corresponding period in 1965
(SCMP, No. 3807, 25 Oct 1966, p. 14). This rate of increase was assumed for the entire year.
1970: Output in the first seven months was almost twice as high as that for all of 1966 (CR, Dec
1970, p. 20). Output in the first seven months was 21,000 and for the entire year was esti-
mated as 21,000 x 12/7 = 36,000,
1972: Output was 24 times that of 1965 (Chong Shih, Al Glance at China's Economy, Peking, Foreign
Languages Press, 1974, p. 23).
1973: Output was 32 times that of 1965 (CR, Jan 1975, p. 6).
Inventory
1972: Inventory in 1972 was more than 50 times that of 1965 (Cheng Shih, op. cit., p. 18)-50 x
4,100 = 205,000. This estimate of inventory served as a control total in estimating output for the
years not specifically listed above.
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Mainline
Locomotives
(Units)
Freight Cars
(Thousand
Units)
Merchant Vessels
(Thousand Tons
of Light Ship
Displacement)
Motor Vehicles
(Thousand
Units)
1949
...................
....
3.155
1950
...................
....
0.696
1951
...................
....
2.882
....
1952
...................
20
5.792
6.1
....
1953
...................
10
4.501
14.8
....
1954
...................
52
5.446
31.4
....
1955
...................
98
9.258
50.2
....
1956
...................
184
7.122
51.2
1.654
1957
...................
167
7.3
46.4
7.5
1958
...................
350
11.0
56.6
16.0
1959
...................
533
17.0
64.5
19.4
1960
...................
602
23.0
41.4
15.0
1961
...................
100
3.0
28.2
1.0
1962
...................
25
4.0
23.1
8.4
1963
...................
27
5.9
25.8
16.8
1964
...................
27
5.7
34.2
20.3
1965
...................
50
6.6
29.1
30
1966
...................
140
7.5
19.8
43
1967
...................
200
6.9
22.5
32
1968
...................
240
8.7
48.0
27
1969
...................
261
11
108.9
60
1970
...................
285
12
193.2
70
1971
...................
205
14
231.9
86
1972
...................
225
15
163.5
100
1973
...................
240
16
161.7
110
Notes and sources:
Locomotives and freight cars: see Table 7-a.
Merchant vessles: see Appendix A.
Motor vehicles: see Table 7-b.
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Freight
Total Steam Diesel Electric Cars
1949 ....................... .... .... 3,155
1950 ....................... .... .... .... .... 696
1951 ....................... .... .... 2,882
1952 ....................... 20 20 .... 5,792
1953 ....................... 10 10 .... 4,501
1954 ....................... 52 52 .... 5,446
1955 ....................... 98 98 .... 9,258
L956 ....................... 184 184 .... .... 7,122
1957 ....................... 167 167 .... 7,300
1958 ....................... 350 346 2 2 11,000
1959 ....................... 533 530 3 .... 17,000
1960 ....................... 602 600 .... 2 23,000
1961 ....................... 100 100 ... .... 3,000
1962 ....................... 25 25 .... .... 4,000
1963 ........................ 27 25 .... 2 5,900
1964 ....................... 27 25 2 ... 5,700
1965 ....................... 50 20 30 .... 6,600
1966 ....................... 140 70 70 .... 7,500
1967 ....................... 200 100 100 .... 6,900
1968 ....................... 240 100 140 .... 8,700
1969 ....................... 261 100 160 1 11,000
1970 ....................... 285 100 180 5 12,000
1971 ....................... 205 .... 200 5 14,000
1972 ....................... 225 .... 220 5 15,000
1973 ....................... 240 .... 240 .... 16,000
Notes and sources:
Mainline locomotives
1952-58: TGY, p. 98.
1959: Planned output in 1960 was 800 units, an increase of more than 50% over that of 1959 (PR,
5 Apr 1960, p. 12) hence, 1959 output was 800(1.5-533 units.
1960-73: Estimated from fragmentary reports on production trends at major manufacturing facili-
ties in Chu-thou, Dairen, Ta-t'ung, and Tsingtao.
Freight cars
1949-52: Past and Present, p. 113.
1953: CB, No. 360, 29 Sep 1955, p. 3.
1954-55: PC, No. 14, 16 Jul 1956, supplement, p. 4.
1956: Past and Present, p. 123.
1957-58: CB, No. 556, 1959, p. 5, and Communique, p. 17.
1959: Kunq-lu (Highways), Peking, 5 Dec 1959.
1960-73: Estimated from fragmentary reports on production trends at major manufacturing facili-
ties in Ch'i-ch'i-ha-erh, Chu-chou, Dairen, and Wu-ch'ang.
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1956......
1 .1151
1 .654
....
1965 ......
30
27.5
2.5
1957......
7.5
7.5
....
1966 ......
43
37.4
5.6
1958 ......
16.0
16.0
....
1967......
32
28
4
1959 ......
19.4
19.4
....
1968 ......
27
24
3
1960......
15.0
15.0
....
1969 ......
60
42
18
19(11......
1.0
1.0
1970......
70
50
20
1962 ......
8.1
7.3
1.1
1971......
86
60
26
1963 ......
16.8
(1(1.2)
0.6
1972......
100
47
53
1964......
20.3
19.5
0.8
1973......
110
50
60
Notes and sources:
For all practical purposes, the ('h'ang-rh'un Motor Vehicle Plant was the only producer
during 19511 61.
1956 58: TGY, p. 98.
1959: JMJP, 25 Jan 1960.
1960-61: Arbitrary estimates based on reports that Ch'ang-ch'un was extensively reorganized
(JMJP, 22 May 1960), with assembly operations apparently reduced in order to expand
production of spare parts (Ibid., 17 May 1961) and gasoline engines for mining locomotives
(Radio Peking, 3 Oct 1960).
1962 61: :Ax of 1,ep 196l, total output was running at an annual rate that ucs.s 2.7 limes that of
1957; 1961 output, hence, Naas 2.7 x 7,500 20,300 LSCMI', No. 3:306, 28 Sell 1961, p. 16). Total
output in 1961 rose by more than 20`%, over that of 1963; 20,300/1.21 - 16,800 (Ibid., No. 3391,
5 Feb 19115, p. I ). Total output in the first eight months of 1963 was double that of the same
period in 1962; assuming this rate was maintained, 1962 output must have been around
16,800/2=8,400 (CIIKY, 10 Oct 1963, p. 3). At Ch'ang-ch'un, output in 1964 was the highest
ever-a minimum of 19,500 is assumed (NCNA, Peking, 30 May 1965). Output in 1963 at the
Shanghai Truck Plant was about 600 units; so output at Ch'ang-ch'un was 16,800-600=16,200
units (La Citta Futura, Rome, No. 12-13, Jul Aug 1965, pp. 14-16). Output at Ch'ang-ch'un
in the first nine months of 1963 increased by 123% over the same period in 1962; assuming
that rate was maintained, output in 1962 was t6,200/2.23=7,300 (Wen-hui pao, Hong Kong,
4 Oct 1963, p. 2).
1965 (16: Output at ('li'ang-ch'un in 1965 rose h} 40.8'% over that. of 1961; I.11 x 19,500-
27,500 (C'/i 111t', 12 Apr 1966, p. 1 ). 't'otal output is estimated to have risen to at least 30,000.
Output at Ch'ang-ch'un in the first 11 months of 1966 was 36.3% higher than in all of 1965;
assuming 36% for the year,. 1,36 x 27,500=37,400 (SCMP, No. 3839, 13 Dec 1966, p. 21).
Production at other plants in Shanghai, Nanking, Tientsin, and Tsinan is estimated at 5,600;
hence total output was about 1:1,000 units.
1967 (18: I"igures are rough estimates based on fragments'}- reports of worl< stoppages in
Ch'ang-ch'un and elsewhere (see, e.g., h'BIS, 15 May 1967, p. dd(122).
1969-73: A visiting foreign industrial group was told that total output in 1969 was 55,000 to
65,000 units (American Machinist, 27 Dec 1971, p. 21). Output at Ch'ang-ch'un in 1970 surpassed
the plant's designed capacity by 67% (PR, 13 Aug 1971, p. 30); since the original capacity was
30,000 units, output in 1970 was 30,000 x 1.67=50,000. Output at Ch'ang-ch'un increased by
20% in 1971 (JPRS, No. 58070, 26 Jan 1973, p. 1); 50,000 x 1.2=60,000. Output at
Ch'ang-ch'un in 1972 was 69.8% higher than in 1965 (FBIS, 27 Jul 1973, p. G2); 1.7 x 27,500 =
47,000. Output at Ch'ang-ch'un in the first six months of 1973 was 7.8% above that in the same
period in 1972 (Ibid.); assuming 7% for the year, 1.07 x 47,000=50,000. Total output is
estimated to have grown much faster than output at Ch'ang-ch'un during this period because
of the proliferation of small-scale plants engaging in batch production of motor vehicles. By
1970 the Chinese reported that "cars and trucks are not only produced in large modern plants
but over 20 provinces, cities, and autonomous regions have plants of their own turning out
mostly trucks for local use under local conditions" (CR, Oct 1970, pp. 32-34).
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Table 8
Production of Telecommunications Equipment
Radio Television Radio Television
Sets Sets Sets Sets
1953 ................ 25 ....
1954 ................ 28.5 ....
1955 ................ 123 ....
1956 ................ (220) ....
1957 ................ 390 ....
1958 ................ 1,200
1959 ................ 1,560 ....
1960 ................ 1,500 ....
1961 ................ 1,250 2
1.962 ................ 1,000 3
1963 ................ 1,000 3
1964 ................ 1,000 5
1965 ................ 1,000 5
1966 ................ 1,000 8
1967 ................ 1,000 5
1968 ................ 1,000 5
1969 ................ 1,000 10
1970 ................ 3,800 15
1971 ................ 4,000 20
1972 ................ 4,480 40
1973 ................ 8,060 75
Notes and sources:
Radio sets
1953, 1957, 1960: Output in 1960 "was over 60 times more than in 1953" (SCMP, No. 2439, 17 Feb
1961, p. 10 11) and in 1957 and 1960 it amounted to 390,000 and 1,500,000 sets, respectively-
(NCNA,Peking, 8 Nov 1961); hence, output in 1953 was 1,500,000/60=25,000 sets.
1954: .KJJP, 16 Jun 1958.
1955-56: Output in 1957 was 170,000 sets greater than in 1956 (SCMP, No. 1684, 6 Jan 1958, p. 5)
390,000 - 170,000 = 220,000 sets in 1956. Output in 1956 was 79 % greater than in 1955 (Radio
Peking, 9 Mar 1957) 220,000/1.79 - 123,000.
1958: NCN,4, 9 Nov 1959.
1959: According to Wu-hsien-lien (Radio), No. 2, Feb 1960, at the end of 1959, output was four
times that in the last stage of the First Five-Year Plan (assumed to refer to 1957).
1961-69: Estimated from fragmentary press reports on output trends in major radio plants.
1970: Sales of transistor radios increased by 280% compared with sales in 1969 (BBCISWB/FEI
W604/A/13, 13 Jan 1971); on the assumptions that sales equaled domestic production and that
transistor radios made up 75% of production in 1965 and 95% in 1969-70:
1965 ....................... 1,000,000 750,000 250,000
1969 ....................... 1,000,000 950,000 50,000
1970 ....................... 3,800,000 3,600,000 200,000
1971: Output was four times that of 1965 (FBIS, 19 May 1972, p. B2).
1972: Output increased by 12% over 1971 (FBIS, 7 Aug 1973, p. B5).
1973: Assumes an 80% increase based on a report that output increased by 83.2% in the first five
months (FBIS, 7 Aug 1974, p. B5).
Television sets
1961-71: Estimated from fragmentary reports on output trends in major television plants. China
reportedly had 20,000 sets in use throughout the country in 1960 (TKP, Hong Kong, 4 Sep 1960)
and 100,000 sets in use in 1971 (South China Morning Post, Hong Kong, 29 Nov 1972). Since China
did not begin series production of television sets until 1961, the sum of the 20,000 sets (mostly
imported) in 1960 and the accummulative production in 1961-71 should approximate 100,000
sets. The estimates do, in fact, sum to 101,000 sets.
1972-73: Output rose by 100% in 1972 and by 88.8% in the first few months of 1973 (FBIS, 7 Aug
1973, p. B5). The increase for 1973 is assumed to have been maintained throughout the year.
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Watches
Bicycles
Thermos
Bottles
Clocks
- -
Total
-
Shanghai
1949 .......................
14
....
....
....
....
1950 .......................
21
....
....
....
....
1951 .......................
44
....
....
....
....
1952 .......................
80
5,536
152
....
....
1953 .......................
165
12,007
306
....
....
1954 .......................
298
14,841
578
....
....
1955 .......................
335
17,958
812
....
1956 .......................
640
16,310
1,699
....
0.4
1957 .......................
806
20,870
2,040
....
....
1958 .......................
1,174
27,611
3,068
....
13.0
1.959 .......................
1,479
37,000
5,700
....
74.0
1960 .......................
1,840
....
....
650
450.0
1961 .......................
634
....
....
....
545.0
1962 .......................
1 , 000
....
5 , 000
....
....
1963 .......................
1,101 101
33 , 216
....
....
....
1964 .......................
1,209
....
....
....
....
1965 .......................
1,792
....
....
1,200
840.0
1966 .......................
2 , 044
....
....
....
925.0
1968 .......................
2,412
....
....
....
....
1969 .......................
3 , 026
....
....
....
....
1970 .......................
3 , 640
....
....
....
....
1971_ ......................
4 , 030
....
....
6, 200
2,500.0
1972 .......................
4,300
....
....
6,950
2,500.0
1973 .......................
4,859
....
....
7,800
2,650.0
Notes and sources:
Bicycles
1949-58: T G Y, p. 99.
1959: An estimated 25% increase, the increase as estimated for Shanghai-262,000 units in 1958
and 330,000 in 1959 (NCNA, Peking, 3 Jan 1958 and 27 Dcc 1960; JPRS, No. 4748, 30 Jun 1961).
1960: Output increased 22-fold compared with that in 1952 (Wen-hui pao, Hong Kong, 21 Mar 1961,
p. 1) and was more than 20% greater than in 1959 (SCMM, No. 256, p. 21).
1.961-62: Output in 1962 was estimated from data on five major plants (SCMP, No. 2827, 29 Sep
1962). Output in 1961 was estimated from a report that, in Shanghai, output in the first seven
months of 1962 amounted to 92% of total output in 1961 (NCNA, Shanghai, 22 Dec 1962)-
7112 x 110.92 x 1,000,000 -634,000.
1963: Assumes that the 10.1% increase reported for the first six months (FBIS, 13 Jul 1963, pp.
ccc8-ccc9) was maintained throughout the year.
1964: Market supply was 50% greater than in 1957 (FBIS, 31 Dec 1964, p. ccc2).
1965, 1971-72: Output in 1971 was five times that of 1957-5 x 806 =4,030 (PR, 13 Oct 1972, p. 11).
Output in 1972 was 6.7% above that in 1971-1.067 x 4,030=4,300 (FBIS, 19 Mar 1973, p. B5).
Output in 1972 was 2.4 times that in 1965-4,300)2.4 = 1,792 (FBIS, 24 Oct 1973, p. 1313).
1966: An estimated 11% increase over 1960, the same increase as reported for Shanghai-495,000
units in 1960 and 550,000 in 1966 (NCNA, Peking, 27 Dec 1960 and CKIIW, 21 Oct 1966, p. 10).
1968: Assumes that the 18% increase in the first half of the year compared with the previous
peak output for that period (1966) was maintained throughout the year (FBIS, 10 Jul 1968,
p. B4).
1969: Interpolated between 1968 and 1970.
1970: Output was 260 times that in 1949 (CR, Feb 1972, p. 47).
1973: Output in the first eight months was 13% above that in the same period of 1972 (FBIS,
24 Oct 1973, p. B13).
Thermos bottles
1952: CKCKY, No. 20, 1957, pp. 2-4.
1953-55: Ibid., No. 16, 1957, p. 13.
1956 57: Ibid., No. 5, 1959, p. 3.
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1958-59: SCMP, No. 2192, 9 Feb 1960, p. 13, and CB, No. 618, 17 May 1960, p. 1.
1963: SCMM, No. 446, 7 Dec 1964, p. 35.
Clocks
1952: CKCKY, No. 20, 1957, pp. 2-4.
1953-56: Calculated from percentage figures in CKCKY, No. 16, 1957, p. 11.
1.957-58: JPRS, No. 3243, 13 May 1960.
1959: SCMP, No. 2192, 9 Feb 1960.
1962: Ibid., No. 2806, 24 Aug 1962.
Watches
Shanghai
The figures for Shanghai probably are for Shanghai Watch Plant No. I. Total output from all
watch manufacturing plants in the city was 3,040,000 units in 1973 (FBIS, 17 Oct 1974, p. G5).
1956: Trial production (NCNA, Shanghai, 21 Mar 1957)-mass production did not begin until 1958.
1958-60: Chih-fang chih-pao, Shanghai, 11. Dec 1961, p. 2.
1961: Ibid., also gave an 11-month figure of 500,000 for 1961- this was extrapolated to 12 months.
1965: Derived from an estimated increase of 10% for 1966.
1966, 1972: Output in 1972 was 2.5 million, a 1.7-fold increase over 1966 (TKP, Hong Kong,
13 May 1973, p. 3); hence, output in 1966 = 2.5/2.7 = 0.925 million.
1971: CR, Feb 1972, p. 48.
1973: FBIS, 23 Sep 1974, p. G3.
Total
1960: Planned production (SC&IP, No. 2298, 15 Jul 1960).
1965: Derived by adding an estimated 850,000 for Shanghai as a whole, 153,500 for the Tientsin
plant (Barry M. Richman, A First Hand Study of Industrial Management in Communist China,
University of California, Los Angeles, 1967, p. 61), and at least 100,000 from a new plant in
Nanking.
1971-72: Output in 1972 was 5.8 times that in 1965 (FBIS, 24 Oct 1973, p. B13)-1,200 x 5.8=
6,950 and 12% above that in 1971-6,950/1.12=6,200.
1973: Assumes that the 12% increase in the first eight months was maintained throughout the year
(FBIS, 24 Oct 1973).
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Merchant Shipbuilding
The Chinese have released a good deal of information about their merchant
shipbuilding industry, but most of it is fragmentary and restricted to
announcements of the launchings of major new vessels. Virtually the sum total
of official aggregative statistics on nonnaval shipbuilding is arrayed in
Table A-1. In filling the gaps in Table A-1 and extending the time series through
1959-73, several simplifying assumptions and adjustments had to be made. The
methodology is explained step by step in the footnotes to Tables A-2 through
A-4 and is briefly summarized here.
The first step involved the choice of an appropriate unit of measurement.
Tonnage in terms of light ship displacement (LSD) was selected because it is
the best measure for use in estimating construction costs. LSD of a vessel is
calculated by subtracting the deadweight (DWT) tonnage from the full load
displacement (FLD) tonnage. LSD is, in short, the weight of the ship fully
equipped and ready for sea but empty (or "light") of cargo, passengers, stores,
fuel, or fresh water.* LSD for the missing years 1953-55 and 1957-58 was
derived by extrapolation (see Table A-2).
*Examples of Chinese use of the units FLI), DINT, and LSD can be found in Chung-kuo Isao-
ch'uan (China Shipbuilding), Shanghai, No, 4, 15 Oct 1959 (translated in JPRS 2850, 17 Jun 1960).
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Official Statistics on the Production of Merchant Vessels
Tons
1952 ............... 21,485 16,000 (5,485)
1953 ............... .... 35,000
1954 ............... .... 62,000
1955 ............... .... 120,000
1956 ............... 160,919 104,000 (56,919)
1957 ............... .... 54,000
1958 ............... .... 90,000
1959 ............... .... 122,3004
1960 ............... .... 168, 000 ....
Past and Present, p. 123.
2 TGY, p. 98.
3 Calculated from the equation FLD - DWT=LSD.
4 Planned production (CHKYCP, 1 Oct 1959, p. 4).
Planned production of "ships and barges" was to he 37%
higher than actual production in 1959 (PR, 5 Apr 1960, p. 12).
Actual production in 1959(i0 was not reported.
1951
.......................
Negl.
DWT 1
Negl.
LSD 2
Negl.
LSD of
Work
Done 3
Negl.
LSD%DWT
Ratio
....
1952
.......................
21.5
16
(5.5)
(6.1)
(0.34)
1953
.......................
....
35
(13.5)
(I1.8)
(0.39)
1954
.......................
....
62
(26.9)
(31.4)
(0.43)
1955
.......................
....
120
(58.4)
(50.2)
(0.49)
1956
.......................
160.9
104
(56.9)
(51.4)
(0.55)
1957
.......................
....
54
(33.2)
(46.4)
(0.61)
1958
.......................
....
90
(62.2)
(56.6)4
(0.69)
1 From Table A-1.
2 The figures for 1952 and 1956 were taken from Table A-1, and those for 1953-55 and 1957-58
are estimates extrapolated by the Kaplan-Nloorsteen method (Norman N1. Kaplan and Richard 11.
4[oorsteen, Indexes of Soviet Industrial Output, Santa :Monica, 1960).
Ii These estimates of work actually done in each year were derived as a three-year moving aver-
age of LSD in which estimates for production during the preceding and following years were each
weighted by 0.25 and production during the current year by 0.50.
4 In deriving the moving average, LSD in 1959 was taken from Table A-l. LSD of major ships
(25.6) was added to LSD of minor vessels (13.0) to obtain total LSD (68.61. Thus, work actually
done in 1958 was calculated as follows: 0.25 x 33.2+0.5 x 62.2+0.25 x 68.6 56.6, Note that, for
minor vessels, it is assumed that LSD of ships launched=LSD of work done.
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LSD figures so derived were then adjusted to account for the fact that the
actual work of construction and fitting-out in shipbuilding is usually spread
over a year or more. Accordingly, LSD in "work done" terms was estimated
by use of a three-year moving average in which one-fourth of the work done
each year was allocated to the preceding and following years and one-half to
the current year.*
Derivation of LSD estimates for later years required much more complicated
procedures. Essentially, the "hard core" of the estimates was China's sporadic
announcements of major ships completed. For example, official sources re-
ported the launching in 1958 of the Ho Ping 28, an oceangoing freighter
with a FLD of 8,730 tons and a DWT capacity of 5,000 tons.** The sum of
other such tonnages for specific ships announced in 1958 was about 37,200 DWT
tons, or about 40% of China's total DWT tonnage reported for that year.
In 1959, similar reports yielded a DWT figure of some 37,700 tons, or about
30% of the planned total production of 122,300 tons. Based on these percentages,
it was assumed that the DWT of announced major ship launchings typically
constituted one-third of total merchant shipbuilding for 1959--73 and that
barges, tugs, and other smaller vessels accounted for the other two-thirds.
With estimates of the minimum DWT tonnages of major ships launched
each year, a technique had to be developed for converting DWT into LSD
tonnages. On the basis of the relationships detailed in Table A-3, the average
LSD was assumed to represent 68% of DWT. Derivation of the estimates
for total output of merchant ships for 1959--73 is explained in the footnotes
to Table A-4.
As a rough test of feasibility, the estimates were compared with a somewhat
ambiguous Chinese claim that ships built in each of the years 1971-73 ex-
ceeded in tonnage China's total for the preceding decade.*** The estimates
are in close agreement with the Chinese claim if the statement is interpreted
to mean that total tonnage for the entire period 1971-73 exceeded the total
for 1961-70. The estimates show a total of 804,200 DWT for 1971-73 and
766,600 DWT for 1961-70. Clearly, the phrase "in each year" is a mistake in
translation; for that to be true, output in 1.971, 1972, and 1973 would have to be
enormous and output in 1961-70 would have to be almost negligible.
*Cf. Robert Michael Field, "The Chinese Machine-Building Industry: A Reappraisal," China
Quarterly, No. 54, Apr-Jun 1973, pp. 313-314.
**.IPRS, No. 514-D, 3 Feb 1959.
***PR, 15 Feb 1974, p. 22.
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Relationships Among Full Load Displacement, Light Ship Displacement, and Deadweight
Tonnages of Chinese Merchant Vessels
Type of Ship and Year of Launching
FLD
DWT
_
LSD
LSDIDWT
Ratio
Oil barge, 19551 ...........................
5,100
3,700
1,400
800
2
0.38
56
0
Small tanker, 19712 .......................
7 , 800
5 , 000
,
000
7
.
47
0
Ocean tanker, 1969'; .......................
22,000
15,000
,
534
2
.
05
1
Train ferry, 19574 .........................
4,950
2,416
,
212
2
.
77
0
19595 .........................
Train ferry
5,090
2,878
,
900
.
50
0
,
River freighter, 1953 e ......................
2,700
1,800
000
1
.
00
1
River freighter, 19547 ......................
2,000
850
4
1,000
465
3
,
1 , 385
.
0.40
Coastal freighter, 1959 8 ....................
9
,
730
8
,
5,000
3,370
0. 67
.....................
Ocean freighter, 19,58
Ocean freighter, 1908 W .....................
,
22,100
13,400
8,700
420
4
0.65
88
0
Ocean freighter, 195911 .....................
9,420
5,000
,
100
7
.
61
0
Ocean freighter, 196512 .....................
18,800
11,700
,
000
6
.
0
46
Ocean freighter, 196713 .....................
19,000
13,000
,
400
7
.
59
0
Ocean freighter, 197014 .....................
20,000
12,600
,
.
69
0
Ocean freighter, 1973 15 .....................
22,000
13,000
9,000
650
1
.
65
1
Small liner/freighter, 19581. ........... . . . . .
2,650
1,000
,
.
Total for the year
000
485
5
0.34
195217 ...............................
21,485
16,
,
919
56
55
0
19561? ...............................
160,919
104,000
,
""
.
0.68
Average of LSD/DWT ratios............
....
1 Tonnages were estimated from a photograph in PC, 16 Jan 1956, p. 19.
2 The To Ch'ing 409, built by the .Jung-hsing Shipyard in Tsingtao (BBC/SWB/FE/W630/Ai9,
14 Jul 1971).
3 The Ta Ch'ing 27, built by the Flung-ch'i (Red Flag) Shipyard in Dairen. For photos and
details of this ship and others of the same class, see CR, Aug 1969, pp. 2,14; BBC No. 11, 1969, ~ pp
4, 5, 11, and No. 9, 1971, p. 16; SCMP, No. 4514, 10 Oct 1969, pp.
A/8; and PR, 24 Dec 1971, p. 21.
4 The Shanghai, built by the Chiang-nan Shipyard in Shanghai. See JPRS, No. 2850, 17 Jun 1960,
pp. 59-61; SCMP, No. 1937, 20 Jan 1959, p. 30; and SCMP, No. 1955, 17 Feb 1959, p. 26.
5 The Kiangsu and Chin Ling, identical ships built by the Chiang-nan Shipyard in Shanghai. See
the sources in footnote 4.
6 The 1'a Chung, built by the Chung-hua Shipyard in Shanghai. See C'hngoku keizai no genjo to
Lembo (Present Condition and Future Prospects of China's Economy), 1971 edition, published by the
China Economy Research Bureau of Fuji Journal, Japan, p. 68; hereafter referred to as Present
Condition.
7 The Jen Min 1, built by the Flu-tung Shipyard in Shanghai. See Present Condition, p. 68.
8 The Ho P'ing 49, built by the Shanghai Shipyard in Shanghai. For photos and details, see
JPRS, No. 2850, 17 Jun 1960, pp. 1-49, and SCMP, No. 1955, 17 Feb 1959, pp. 25-26.
9 The Ho Ping 25, built by the flung-chi Shipyard in Dairen. For photos and details, see JPRS,
No. 514-D, 3 Feb 1959, p. 1; CP, Dec 1958, p. 31; CR, Nov 1963, pp. 6-10; PR, 13 May 1958, p. 5;
and PR, 30 Sep 1958, p. 17.
16 The Yueh Chin, built by the liung-chi Shipyard in Dairen. For photos and details, see CP,
5 Jan 1959, pp. 24-25, and PR, 16 Dec 1958, p. 15.
11 The Ho P'ing 58, built by the Chiang-nan Shipyard in Shanghai. ai. r photos Peking, details, No. asee
SCMP, No. 2139, 19 Nov 1959, p. 22; CP, 20 Oct 1959, p. 34; Evergreen,
pp. 25---26.
12 The Tung Feng, built jointly by the Chiang-nan and Hu-tung Shipyards in Shanghai. Several
years were required to make this ship operational. For photos and details, see SCMP, No. 2246,
28 Apr 1960, p. 27; PR, 10 May 1960, p. 4; CR, Jun 1968, pp. 25-28, 44, and back cover; and CP,
No. 6, 1968, pp. 20-23.
13 The Ch'ao Yang, built by the Chiang-nan Shipyard in Shanghai. For photos and details, Ape
China's Foreign Trade, Peking, No. 1, 1974; JMJP, 14 Jan 1967, p. 3; CP, No. 4, 1967; 1967, pp. 1, 28, and inside back cover; and Present Condition, p. 69.
14 The Feng Lei, built by the Shanghai Shipyard in Shanghai. For photos and details, see JMJP,
10 May 1970, p. 2; CR, Sep 1970, pp. 26-28; and FBIS, 13 May 1970, p. C8.
15 The Feng Ching, built by the Chiang-nan Shipyard in Shanghai. For photos and details, see
JMJP, 5 Nov 1974, p. 4; FBIS, 10 Oct 1974, pp. El-2; and FBIS, 5 Nov 1974, pp. El-6.
L6 The Min Chu 10 and Min Chu 11, identical ships built by the Chiang-nan Shipyard in 5; PC, 16 Jan 1956, p. 19; and JPRS,
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17 From Table A-1. 24
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Table A-4
Estimated Production of Merchant Vessels
Major Ships
Minor Vessels
Total
DWT of
Ships
LSD of
Ships
LSD of
LSD of
DWT of
Ships
DWT of
Ships
LSD of
Launched'
Launchedz
Work Done3 Work Done4 Launched5
Launched?
Work Done?
1959 ................
37.7
25.6
21.5
43.0
63.2
100.9
64.5
4
41
1960 ................
13.7
9.3
13.8
27.6
40.6
54.3
.
2
28
1961 ................
16.2
11.0
9.4
18.8
27.6
43.8
.
22
8
1962 ................
9.4
6.4
7.6
15.2
22.3
31.7
.
8
25
1963 ................
10.0
6.8
8.6
17.2
25.3
35.3
.
2
34
1964 ................
20.9
14.2
11.4
22.8
33.5
54.4
.
1
29
1965 ................
15.5
10.5
9.7
19.4
28.5
44.0
.
19
8
1966 ................
5.3
3.6
6.6
13.2
19.4
24.7
.
22
5
1967 ................
13.0
8.8
7.5
15.0
22.0
35.0
.
8
49
1968 ................
13.0
8.8
16.6
33.2
48.8
61.8
.
6
108
1969 ................
59.0
40.1
36.2
72.4
106.11
1.65.4
.
2
193
1970 ................
82.3
56.0
64.4
128.8
189.3
271.6
.
231
9
1971 ................
155.2
105.5
77.3
154.6
227.3
382.5
.
163
2
1972 ................
62.0
42.2
54.4
108.8
159.9
221.9
.
160
8
1.973 ................
41.0
27.9
53.6
107.2
157.6
1.98.6
.
1974 ................
171.0
116.3
....
I These estimates should be considered minimum totals. They were compiled by adding up the tonnages of major
ship launchings announced each year by the following Chinese newspapers and periodicals: C11, C'R, Pier green. JIl1JP,
PR, and TKP. This information from direct sources was supplemented by translations of Chinese publications and
monitored radio broadcasts by the JPRS, SCMP, FB I S, and BBC.
Derived by multiplying column I by 0.68, the arithmetical mean of the 18 LSD/DWT ratios calculated in
Table A-3.
3 Derived by the moving average method described in footnote 3 in 'f'able A-2.
4 Derived by multiplying column 3 by 2.0. The assumption here is that work done on major ships typically accounts
for one-third of total work done in any given year. This is based on the estimates for 1958-59, in which DWT of
major ships launched accounted for about 30%-40% of total reported (1958) and planned (1959) production.
5 Derived by multiplying column 4 by 1.47, the reciprocal of the 0.68 figure used in column 2 (LSD= 0.68 x DWT;
DWT=1.47 x L") 1)).
8 Derived by adding column 1 to column 5.
7 Derived by adding column :3 to column 1.
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APPENDIX B
Category
Number Category Code Number
Power equipment ........................................ 215-21842
1 Steam boilers ......................................... 2151-2155
2 Boiler accessory equipment ............................. 2156
3 Steam turbines ........................................ 2159 21615
4 Hydroturbines ........................................ 2162-21624
5 Steam engines ......................................... 2163-21632
6 Portable steam engines ................................. 2164-21642
7 Internal com bustion engines ............................ 2165-2172
8 Gas producers ......................................... 2173
9 Electric generators ..................................... 2175-217723
10 Electric motors ........................................ 2181-21842
II Electric equipment ...................................... 220-22475
1 Transformers ......................................... 2201-22033
2 Mutual inductors for instruments ........................ 2205-22052
3 Switching equipment ................................... 2216-22164
4 Starting and control equipment ......................... 2219-22214
5 Safety equipment ...................................... 2225-22294
6 Rectifying equipment .................................. 2231-22317
7 Electrical appliances ................................... 2234-22363
8 Electric light bulbs .................................... 2238-2242
9 Storage batteries ...................................... 2245 22457
10 Dry batteries ......................................... 2247-22475
III Metal-cutting machine tools .............................. 225--23083
1 Lathes ............................................... 2251-2259
2 Borers ............................................... 2261-22612
3 Drills ................................................ 2263-2267
4 Planers ............................................... 2271-2273
5 Slotters .............................................. 2274
6 Milling machines ...................................... 2276-2284
7 Drawing benches ...................................... 2238
8 Gear makers .......................................... 2291-2295
9 Grinders ............................................. 2301-23019
10 Thread cutters ........................................ 2303-23033
it Tool grinders ......................................... 2305 23054
12 Metal saws ........................................... 2306 23063
13 Other metal-cutting machine tools ....................... 2307
14 Electric spark machine tools ............................ 2308-23083
IV Forging and pressing equipment ........................... 231-2348
1 Forge hammers ....................................... 2311-2314
2 Presses ............................................... 2316-2320
3 Forges ............................................... 2341-23412
4 Punch presses ......................................... 2342
5 Shears ............................................... 2343-23433
6 Forming machines ..................................... 2344--23445
7 Tube drawing benches ................................. 2348
V Casting equipment ...................................... 236-2366
VI Geological prospecting equipment ......................... 240-24512
1 Testing drills ......................................... 2401-24015
2 Manual punch-drill testing drills ........................ 2402
3 Hand-operated testing drills ............................ 2403
4 Hydrologic drills ...................................... 2451-24512
VII Water conservation construction equipment ................ 246-2461
VIII Ore dressing and washing equipment ....................... 249-25012
1 Dressing equipment .................................... 2491-24916
2 Sintering equipment ................................... 2501-25012
IX Metallurgical equipment ................................. 251-2551
1 Metallurgical equipment for the ferrous metals industry.... 2511 25121
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Major Divisions of the Metal Processing Sector I (Continued)
Category
Number Category Code Number
2 Steel refining equipment ................................ 2515 25151
3 Steel rolling equipment ................................. 2517-2521
4 Other metallurgical equipment .......................... 2551
X Coking equipment ....................................... 258-2584
XI Coal industry equipment ................................. 260 26261
1 Excavation machinery ................................. 2601 2613
2 Loading and transport equipment ....................... 2621--26252
3 Ventilation equipment ................................. 2626 26261
XII Petroleum industry equipment ............................ 265-2683
1 Well drilling rigs ...................................... 2651
2 Pumping well rigs ..................................... 2652
:3 Well drilling tools ..................................... 2653
4 Oil well salvage (fish-up) tools .......................... 2654
5 Gusher prevention machinery ........................... 2655
6 Oil and gas extraction machinery ........................ 2656
7 Petroleum refining machinery ........................... 2657-26574
8 Gas station machinery ................................. 2681-26812
9 Barrel manufacturing machinery ........................ 2682
10 T'ing manufacturing equipment ......................... 2683
XIII Chemical industry equipment ............................. 269-2786
1 Evaporation equipment ................................ 2691-26954
2 Absorption towers ..................................... 2698-26982
3 Distillation equipment ................................. 2701-27013
4 Mixing equipment ..................................... 2704-2707
5 filtration equipment ................................... 2711-2713
6 Mechanical separation equipment ....................... 2715-2718
7 Drying equipment ..................................... 2721-2725
8 Heating and cooling equipment ......................... 273-2732
9 Crystallization equipment .............................. 274-2741
10 Reaction equipment ................................... 275-2754
11 Mechanical furnaces for the chemical industry ............ 2761
12 Other machinery ...................................... 278-2786
XIV Glass industry equipment ................................ 281-2819
XV Building materials and refractory materials industry equip- 291-29156
ment
1 Forming machines ..................................... 2911-29114
2 Mechanical kilns ...................................... 2912-29122
:3 Drying machinery; cement kilns ......................... 2914-29143
4 Clay-working machinery ............................... 2915 29156
XVI Lumbering and lumber milling equipment .................. 295-2981
Lumbering machinery .................................. 2951-29516
2 Lumber making machinery ............................. 2955-29564
3 Lumber milling machinery .............................. 2961-29619
4 Pressed-board manufacturing machinery .................. 2981
XVII Paper industry equipment ................................ 300-30068
1 Raw material processing machinery ...................... 3001-30016
2 Pulp machinery ....................................... 3004-30045
3 Papermaking machinery ................................ 3006 30068
XVIII Match industry equipment ............................... 3011-30119
XIX Weaving, knitting, sewing, and printing and dyeing industries 304-3225
equipment
1 Cotton textile machinery ............................... 305--30819
2 Wool textile machinery ................................. 310--3106
3 Hemp textile machinery ................................ 311-3116
4 Silk textile machinery .................................. 315--3195
5 Knitting and sewing machinery ......................... 320-32151
6 Printing and dyeing machinery .......................... 322-3225
XX Tanning and shoe industry equipment ..................... 323-32512
1 Tanning machinery .................................... 3231-32322
2 Shoe manufacturing machinery .......................... 3251 32512
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Category
Number Category Code Number
XXI Printing industry equipment .............................. 328 32917
1 Type foundry machinery ............................... 3281 32814
2 Printing machinery .................................... 3285-32855
3 Lithographic plate machinery ........................... 3288-32887
4 Bindery machinery .................................... 3291-32917
XXII Food industry equipment ................................. 333-35316
1 Flour milling machinery ................................ 3331-33322
2 Edible oils and fats industry machinery .................. 3351 33534
3 Sugarmaking machinery ................................ 3355 33561
4 Rice milling machinery ................................. 3381-33814
5 ("an manufacturing machinery. .......................... 3402 340215
6 Noodle products machinery ............................. 3421-34213
7 Tobacco manufacturing machinery ...................... 3451-34519
8 Tea processing machinery .............................. 3471-34712
9 Distilling machinery ................................... 3491-34916
10 Egg processing machinery .............................. 3511-35114
11 Cold drink and icemaking machinery .................... 3531-35316
XXIII Rubber industry equipment ............................... 362 36371
1 Rubber preparation machinery .......................... 3621-36212
2 Masticating machinery ................................. 3623-36233
3 Forming machinery. .................................... 3625-36254
4 Vulcanizing machinery, ................... ...... ..... 3631-36311
5 Cutting machinery .................................... 3634 -36344
6 Extrusion machinery ................................... 3635-36352
7 Scraping machinery .................................... 3637-36371
XXIV Specialized equipment for other industries .................. 3651-3704
1 Wire and nail making machinery ........................ 3651-36514
2 Electric wire making machinery ......................... 3671-36715
3 Bicycle making machinery .............................. 3691--36913
4 Other specialized machinery ............................ 370--3704
XXV Construction and roadbuilding machinery .................. 390-3923
XXVI Agricultural machinery ................................... 395-3984
1 Tilling tools .......................................... 3951 39552
2 Sowing machinery ..................................... 3957 3961
3 Cultivating machinery ................................. 3962 3961
4 Harvesting machinery .................................. 3971 3975
5 Fertilizer applicators ................................... 3976-39762
6 Pesticide machinery ................................... 3978-39783
7 Irrigation water-lifting machinery ....................... 3979 -39792
8 Fodder machinery. . ................................... 3980 39804
9 Grain sorting machinery ................................ 3981
10 Processing machinery .................................. 3982-398242
11 Windmills ............................................ 3984
XXVII Tractors ................................................ 399-39983
a. 15-horsepower units ............................... 3991
b. Actual units ...................................... 3992
1 Caterpillar tractors .................................... 3993-39933
2 Wheeled tractors ...................................... 3995-39983
XXVIII Railroad rolling stock and equipment ...................... 401--40421
1 Steam locomotives ..................................... 4011-40123
Steam locomotives, by type ............................ 4012
2 Diesel locomotives ..................................... 4015
3 Electric locomotives ................................... 4016
4 Passenger cars ........................................ 4017-40178
5 Freight cars .......................................... 4021-40226
6 Parts for locomotives, passenger and freight cars .......... 4025-40281
7 Rail line tools and materials ............................ 4031-40319
8 Signal equipment ...................................... 1041 40416
9 AC line relays ......................................... 40117
10 DC nonpolarized line relay, ............................ 10118 40121
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Category
Number Category Code Number
TXXX Streetcars and parts ..................................... 408-40867
XXX Merchant vessels ........................................ 419-4273
Self-powered boats ................................... 4190
1 Seagoing boats ........................................ 4191-4195
2 Coastal boats ......................................... 420-4205
3 Inland-waterways boats ................................ 421-4215
4 Special boats .......................................... 423-4239
5 Working boats ........................................ 4251-4262
6 Other boat machinery .................................. 427-4273
XXXI Motor vehicles and parts ................................. 430-44155
Motor vehicles ...................................... .1301 4305
Motor vehicle parts .................................. 4321
1 Vehicle engine parts ................................... 4322-43245
2 Front axle and steering mechanism parts ................. 4331
3 Transmission parts .................................... 4351-43516
4 Rear axle and differential parts ......................... 4371
5 Brake system parts .................................... 4391
6 Shock-absorber parts ................................... 4411
7 Body parts ........................................... 4413-44134
8 Other parts ........................................... 44151-44155
XXXII Roller bearings .......................................... 444-44442
XXXIII Telecommunication equipment and parts ................... 446- 44814
1 Wire telegraph equipment .............................. 4461-44614
2 Telephone equipment .................................. 4463-44633
3 Telephone exchange equipment .......................... 4464-44644
4 A ug menters ........................................... 4466
5 Wave carriers ......................................... 4467
6 Wireless transmitters .................................. 4468-44683
7 Wireless receivers ...................................... 4469
8 Small transceivers ..................................... 4470
9 Radio receivers ........................................ 4471
10 Amplifiers ............................................ 4472
11 Broadcasting equipment ................................ 4473
12 Telecommunication equipment major parts ............... 4477-44781
13 Hand-operated generators .............................. 4480
14 Electronic tubes ....................................... 4481-44814
XXXIV Hoisting and transporting equipment ...................... 450-45264
1 Elevators ............................................. 4501-45012
2 Cranes ............................................... 4502-4509
3 Transport machinery .................................. 4521-45216
4 Light mine and industrial railway rolling stock ............ 4523-45264
XXXV Pumps and air compressing equipment ..................... 454-45614
1 Pumps ............................................... 4541-45418
2 Air compressors ....................................... 4551--45513
3 Common air blowers ................................... 4561-45614
XXXVI Crushing and grinding equipment ......................... 458-4588
XX XVII Welding machinery ...................................... 460-4604
XXXVIII Industrial tools .......................................... 462-46852
1 Cutting tools ......................................... 4621-46218
2 Hand tools ........................................... 4651 46517
3 Woodworking tools .................................... 4655 46553
4 Clamping tools ........................................ 4661 46613
5 Pneumatic tools ....................................... 4663--46633
6 Electric tools ......................................... 4665-46653
7 Measuring tools ....................................... 4667-46675
8 Grinding tools ........................................ 4669-46695
9 Molding tools ......................................... 4681-46814
10 Turning tools ......................................... 4685--46852
I XT, Industrial equipment .................................... 470--4707
X1, Heating equipment ...................................... 1801 4808
Approved For Release 2001/03 03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000200010002-1
Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000200010002-1
Category
XLI Firefighting equipment ................................... 483 -48362
1 Firefighting machinery ................................. 4831-48312
2 Fire extinguishers ..................................... 4832-48322
3 Fire hydrants ......................................... 4834
4 Fire engines .......................................... 4835-48352
5 Fire ladders ........................................... 4836 48362
XLII Medical instruments ...................................... 485-48923
1 Pharmaceutical machinery .............................. 4851-48517
2 Chemical pharmaceutical apparatus ....................... 4881-48814
3 Medical instruments ................................... 4891-48923
X LIII Meters and testing equipment ............................. 493-49975
1 Inspection equipment .................................. 4931-49320
2 Instruments and meters ................................ 4941-49975
XLIV Motion picture machinery and parts ....................... 510 -5114
XLV Electric wires ........................................... 516 51914
1 Copper wires ......................................... 5161-5166
2 Aluminum wires ....................................... 5168-51681
3 Electric cables ........................................ 5170-51725
4 Other alloy and metal electric wires ...................... 5191-51914
XLVI Metal structures ........................................ 5201-5212
XLVII Cultural and consumer products ........................... 5331-5502
XLVIII Metal products .......................................... 6011-60538
1 State Statistical Bureau, Kung-yeh ch'an-p'in mu-lu (Index of Industrial Commodities), Peking,
1953, pp. 41-85.
Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA,3RDP79-00928A000200010002-1