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ecrrat
Middle fast
Africa
South Asia.
State Dept. review completed
Secret
139
No. 0842/75
August 13, 1975
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SECRET
MIDDLE EAST - AFRICA - SOUTH ASIA
This publication is prepared for regional specialists in the Washington com-
munity by the Middle East - Africa Divisinn, Office of Current Intelligence,
with occasional contributions ;tom other offices within the Directorate of
InWlligence. Comments and queries are welcome. They should be directed to
the authors of the individual article:,.
Pakistan-Afg-i\anistan: Possible New Round
of Accusations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Rhodesia: Frictions in the African
National Council . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Cabinda: Government Announced . . . . . . . . . 4
Aug 13, 1975
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Pakistan-Afghanistan
Possible New Round of Accusations
The Afghan government reportedly plans to surface
evidence that the government of neighboring Pakistan
was involved in disorders in Afghanistan last month.
Such a development could lead to a new round of hostile
rhetoric between the two countries.
According to the Afghans, interrogations of persons
arrested during the disorders have yielded evidence
that some of the participants were trained in Pakistan.
Islamabad has denied that it was involved in the
disorders. Pakistan's ambassador to Afghanistan, in
fact, has told the US charge in Kabul that Prime
Minister Bhutto personally expressed chagrin that the
trouble had occurred at a time when Islamabad was hoping
for some improvement in its relations with Kabul. US
officials in Pakistan believe, nevertheless, that them
is a possibility Pakistan may have had a hand in the
disorders to retaliate for what many Pakistanis believe
is Afghanistan's involvement in occasional violent
incidents on the Pakistani side of the border.
Many of the rebels are said to be members of an
Islamic-oriented movement that is unhappy about leftist
influence in Daoud's government. Ethnic and economic
grievances may also have played a part in the violence.
According to the US embassy in Kabul, the disorders,
which occurred in several parts of the country, caused
Daoud's government considerable concern but do not
appear to have posed a major threat to its survival.
Up to now, Kabul has kept its claims of Pakistani
involvement in the disorders in a low key. Daoud,
aware that Afghanistan's army is no match for Pakistan's,
(Continued)
Aug 13, 1975 1
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also has continued to keep his long-standing dispute
with Islamabad over the status of Pakistan's two
western border provinces from deteriorating to the
oint of open hostilities.
Daoud may place
-
some imitations on anti-Pakistani publicity accompany
ing any trials of the captured rebels, but he will not
curtail such publicity completely, and it could well
touch off a new round of recriminations by both sides.
Aug 13, 1975 2
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Rhodesia
Frictions in the African NationaZ'Council
Relations between the national executive of the
African National Council and the provincial, district,
and branch officials in Rhodesia have become seriously
strained in recent weeks because of the national
executive's failure to consult local constituencies
on the selection of the Council's leadership.
Meeting last weekend, representatives from the
Council's eight provinces in Rhodesia demanded that
Council president Bishop Abel Muzorewa convene a
national congress by September to elect a new execu-
tive. This amounts to a grass-roots rejection of the
executive's decision in July that Bishop Muzorewa
continue as president and that plans for holding a
congress be indefinitely postponed.
The executive's decision for postponement was
prompted by the fear that a breach might occur in the
organization if Muzorewa were to be replaced by either
of the principal factional leaders, Joshua Nkomo or
Ndabaningi Sithole. The provincial officials have
argued, however, that the Lusaka Unity Agreement
reached in December specified that a congress be held
by last March. Because the congress was not held,
several provincial officials have charged that the
present leadership is illegal and that its unilateral
decision to postpone the congress amounts to a
"dictatorship" of the national executive.
The protests of the provincial officials will
not influence the Council's settlement talks with
the Smith regime, to be resumed this month, and will
probably not induce the national executive to call
a congress. Members of the national executive are
unlikely to risk their fragile unity at a congress
before a settlement is reached with Smith. Apparently
even Joshua Nkomo, who actively pressed for a congress
in June when it appeared his People's Union faction
would control the proceedings, has dropped the issue.
Aug 13, 1975
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Cabinda.
Government Announced
The President of the Zairian-based Cabindan
liberation front, Luis Franque, yesterday announced
the composition of an independent "government" for
the Angolan exclave. It includes Franque himself
as President and a 12-member cabinet.
Franque had declared Cabinda independent of
Angola and Portugal at an August 1 meeting of the
Organization of African Unity in Kampala.
The new government is likely to remain in exile
in Zaire. The Popular Movement for the Liberation
of Angola, which regards Cabinda as an integral part
of Angola, is the dominant military force in the
exclave, and Franque's group is in no position to
challenge it.
The announcement, however, probably signals
the beginning of an extensive publicity campaign
for Cabindan independence that will add to tensions
in Angola itself.
The front's only support comes from Zairian
President Mobutu, who wants to keep the group alive
in case the Popular Movement, which he opposes,
eventually wins control of Angola. For the time
being, however, even Mobutu will refuse officially
to recognize the new government.
Aug 13, 1975
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