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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY

Document Type: 
CREST [1]
Collection: 
General CIA Records [2]
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
44
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 29, 2005
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1
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Publication Date: 
October 19, 1999
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SUMMARY
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Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 tONFIDEa i if11. CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 7 NO CHANGE IN CLASS. 0 Q DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S NEXT REVIEW DATE: AUTH: HR 70-2 CENTRAL 14 MAY 1980 INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CONFIDENTIAL h702 'Vq r State Department review completed COPY NO. fig OCR NO. 4900/60 20 October 1960 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECT- ING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECTIONS 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMIS- SION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. The Current Intelligence Weekly Summary has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current situations. Comments and conclusions represent the immediate appraisal of the Office of Current Intelligence. Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Next 6 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 20 October 1960 OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST BLOC COMMENTARIES ON KHRUSHCHEV'S UN PERFORMANCE In his public speech in Moscow on 20 October, reporting on the results of his UN mission, Khrushchev elaborated on his proposals to reorganize the Se- curity Council, the executive organs, and the office of the secretary general. He justified his activities in New York as not only worthwhile but neces- sary in order to raise the "fun- damental" proposition that the UN is obsolete and must be re- constructed to reflect the ac- tual balance of forces in the world. He implied that both India and Indonesia deserved permanent seats on the Security Council, and repeated his previ- ous warnings that decisions taken by the UN would not be re- spected until a reorganization was effected. The Soviet view, he claimed, had gained sympathy and understanding among a number of important states. Khrushchev used the disarm= ament issue as the basis for a vigorous reaffirmation of his position on points at issue with the Chinese Communists. He em- phasized that Marxist-Leninists must adopt a realistic view of the world and realize that in the present balance of power it is necessary to seek solutions to the main international prob- lems on the basis of peaceful coexistence. He described a nuclear war as causing unprece- dented destruction and the death of "hundreds and hundreds of millions," and said,"Only adven- turers can think that a change in the social order can be a- chieved by unleashing wars." Khrushchev also justified his position on disarmament as being based on "realistic political, economic, and moral factors,"in contrast to a position--by im- plication China's--of "fatalism and passivity" on the question of war and peace. Khrushchev claimed a great victory on the question of the Soviet proposal for eliminating all colonies. He reiterated his statement concerning de facto recognition of the Alge- rian rebel government, and de- clared that there could be no "unity" with colonialism. In a reference to voting results he described as a "temporary thing" the fact the neutralist countries sometimes;:echo the colonial powers. As to the future, Khrushchev cautioned against optimism on new disarmament talks. He de- scribed Western proposals as an "ill omen" which indicated that the West still refused to ap- proach the question seriously. He again called for a special session of the UN General As- sembly in March or April for heads of government to consider an agreement on disarmament principles, which would be sub- mitted to a new 15-nation com- mittee. As to a new summit meeting, he repeated his claim that agreement had been reached at Paris to convene another meeting. In its propaganda Moscow has endeavored to create the im- pression that the Soviet premier set in motion forces which will open the way for future Soviet victories in the UN, closer co- operation between the bloc and SECRET PART V (W IMMEDIATE INTEREST Page 1 of Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY the Afro-Asian states, and the ultimate destruction of the "US voting machine." As Radio Moscow summed up the session, "The socialist states launched a far-flung and irresistible offensive, forcing the supporters of imperialism and colonialism to take up a defensive position." Soviet propaganda claimed that Khru- shchev scored victories on several key issues. He was credited with an initial triumph in defeating Western attempts to prevent the meeting from becoming an "unprecedented top-level forum," Second, Moscow asserted that the discussion by the world's leading statesmen re- vealed that the West came to the meeting with nothing new or constructive to offer on press- ing international problems. Khrushchev was also pictured as gaining a "big victory" in focusing the debate on the issue of complete and general disarma- ment and immediate abolition of the colonial regimes. On both issues, Moscow claimed success in exposing Western opposition to disarmament discussions and in forcing the West to retreat on resisting a full-scale as- sembly debate on colonialism. A principal, theme which emerges from bloc propaganda is that the UN debates should not be appraised only in terms of initial successes, but viewed as a long-range effort begun by Khrushchev. Bloc media have picked up and featured Khru- shchev's remarks that the USSR "sowed good seeds" which will inevitably bear fruit. The bloc has adopted this approach in dealing with the adverse reaction to Khrushchev's proposals to re- vamp the UN executive machinery. In an address after return- ing from New York, Czech Presi- dent Novotny acknowledged that "for the time being" the neutral states did not want to go quite so far on the issue of revising the secretariat, "even though they are in general agreement and want a change...." Novotny also attempted to convey the im- pression that the voting record of the neutralists was in the process of shifting in favor of bloc positions. He stressed that "one must know and under- stand" that the reason for neu- tral opposition on certain is- sues was that they still have "illusions about the work of some UN committees" and fail to see through "US machinations." Novotny also cautioned against accepting the participa- tion of these countries in in- ternational politics "uncriti- cally" or "overestimating it," He explained that the voting on the China issue revealed that many African countries "appar- ently do not yet have their bearings and are in many cases linked with the former colonial powers." In his arrival speech in Budapest, party leader Kadar took a similar line in differ- entiating between the general debate and voting records. He portrayed the bloc and neutralist countries as firmly united in discussion on the issues, but claimed that "for the time being, the influence of the imperial- ists is decisive in voting," since votes are not yet determined SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST nnae 2 of 7 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 VWf SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY by "arguments or convictions. Both Pravda and Izvestia also claim that the USSR was "let down" by inexperienced repre- sentatives of newly independent states and by other countries, such as Yugoslavia, which re- fused to raise their voices in support of Soviet proposals. Sino-Soviet Dispute Overtones of the dispute between Moscow and Peiping also figure in the Soviet public assessment of Khrushchev's UN activities and in bloc inter- pretations. Pravda on 15 Octo- ber connected the Soviet views on foreign policy with the en- tire Communist bloc by claiming that Khrushchev "defended the Communist world outlook" in the international arena. As a re- sult of this, Pravda asserts, the "leading role" of the So- viet Union in international af- fairs became "even more percep- tible and obvious to every in- habitant of the earth...." Speeches by three satellite leaders on their return to their own countries also stressed the importance of Soviet leadership and Khrushchev's paramount role, and made it clear that they were standing behind the Soviet pre- mier's views of the correct course to be pursued in inter- national relations. Novotny devoted considerable attention to personal praise for Khrushchev and expressions of strong support for the "Leninist principle of peaceful coexist- ence,.''- which he characterized as the basis for bloc policy during the UN session. Novotny also emphasized that the his- toric significance of the General Assembly debate was due to the untiring initiative reflected in policies of the Soviet Union and that Khrushchev's appearance and Soviet proposals were the main contributions of the ses- sion. Polish party First Secre- tary Gomuitca also stressed that the Soviet proposals made in the UN constitute a platform for a world-wide struggle for peace- ful coexistence. Kadar may have had the forthcoming world Communist meeting in mind when he ended his speech by calling for "loyalty to the alliance that ties us to the Soviet Union and the socialist camp." In contrast to other bloc propaganda, Peiping has not lauded Khrushchev for his ac- tions at the United Nations. Furthermore, unlike Moscow's summation of the session as a "far-flung and irresistible offensive" by the USSR a Pei- ping People's Daily editorial on 19 October concluded that "the socialist camp headed by the Soviet Union was pushed around in a most outrageous way. The editorial intimated that the Soviet Union should draw from the session the lesson that the only hope for peace lies in resolute struggle against Ameri- can imperialism, a struggle de- void of illusions about the United States or the UN, which is under its control. Since the debate on the Chinese representation issue, the Chinese have devoted con- siderably more attention to the General Assembly proceedings and to Khrushchev personally. Peiping had previously been virtually silent on his activi- ties. The contrast between Peiping's initial reticence and later attention indicates that the Chinese adopted a wait-and- see attitude toward Khru- shchev and underscores the freedom of action they are taking toward Soviet moves. SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Page 3 of 7 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY The UN's refusal to ac- quiesce in the arrest of Lu- mumba by Mobutu has continued the political stalemate in Leopoldville. Although Mobutu continues to take sporadic actions against Lumumba ad- herents, the protection af- forded the deposed premier,by the UN and the prestige which stems from occupying the premier's residence may enable Lumumba to wait out his opposition. In contrast to Lumumba's protection from the UN, Mobutu remains dependent on the Congo's student bureaucracy and the poorly disciplined army. Several of the student "com- missioners" have openly crit- icized Mobutu for failing to carry out his threat to ar- rest Lumumba. The almost total lack of discipline with- in the army was reflected in the recent departure from Leopoldville of one 120-man contingent despite a plea by Mobutu to stay. UN Under Secretary Bunche on 17 October expressed to American officials his hope that "in a matter of weeks" the Congo Parliament sight be reconvened and a government created "which the UN could support." In Leopoldville, however, neither Mobutu nor Lumumba appears anxious to reconvene Parliament. Mobutu adherents, while claiming the support of a majority of deputies, no longer propose the convening of Parliament for the purpose of stripping Lumumba of his legislative im- munity. On 17 October, Mobutu announced that he would con- tinue to exercise government power through the army and the student commissioners until the end of the year. Mobutu's arrest of 16 pro-Lumumba politicians on 19 October appears to have been designed as a warning to demonstrators in Leo- poldville, whose activities on behalf of Lumumba have taken a particularly violent turn in the past week. Most of those arrested were re- leased the same day, probably after a search for incrimi- nating documents such as those found among Lumumba's possessions in late Sep- tember. Press reports indicate that the leftist Antoine Gizenga, Lumumba's erstwhile vice pre- mier, has proceeded to Stan- leyville, possibly to scout the prospects for setting up a Lumumba "exile" government there. Although Orientale Province has been considered a Lumumba stronghold, its po- litical leanings have been obscure since early October, when Mobutu's soldiers success- fully arrested several. pro- Lumumba leaders there, includ- ing Lumumba's brother. In Katanga Province, Pres- ident Tshombd's irritation with what he considers the limited extent of Belgian support, to- gether with his apprehension over continuing tribal violence, has led him to improve his relations with the UN Command. In a joint communiqud issued on 17 October, Tshombd and the UN agreed on two areas in northern SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Page 4 of 7 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 _MW SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 20 October 1960 Katanga in which UN forces would be responsible for security a- gainst the depredations of anti- Tshombd Baluba tribesmen. Earli- er, Tshomb6 had been extremely critical of UN efforts to main- tain security. Tshombd has al- so indicated a disposition to have all aid to Katanga chan- neled through the UN, despite the fact that such a move might reduce Belgian aid, as well as make Katanga dependent on the UN. SITUATION IN LAOS Premier Souvanna Phouma has made several moves apparently designed to put his regime in a more favorable light as an ef- fective vehicle for combating Communism in 1~aos . At his in- stigation, the National Assembly passed a resolution condemning Communism as incompatible with Laos' aspirations and claiming that Pathet Lao functionaries will in the future be integrated into the bureaucracy only if they forswear their allegiance to a "foreign ideology." The premier also canceled at the last minute another rally spon- sored by the leftist Youth par- ty and succeeded in having the party's headquarters moved from downtown Vientiane to an out- lying area. Souvanna's rebuke of Captain Kong Le by placing him under technical house ar- rest was publicly attributed to Kong Le's unauthorized red-car- pet reception for Soviet Ambas- sador-designate Abramov on his arrival in Vientiane on 13 Octo- ber. A strong attack on the USSR by the Laotian UN delegate in a UN General Assembly commit- tee on 18 October may also have been stimulated by Souvanna. The Communist Pathet Lao has agreed to restore Sam Neua Province to the Souvanna govern- ment and to stop attacks on Laotian Army elements loyal to the Souvanna government. The Pathet Lao negotiators insisted on the right, however, to deter- mine for themselves which areas were loyal to Souvanna. Sou- vanna had previously made these demands as preconditions for continuation of the negotiations, which began in Vientiane on 13 October. Although government control in Sam Neua will prob- ably only be nominal and the Pathet promise to stop attacks was somewhat less than categor- ical, the premier will probably choose to consider the Pathet Lao concessions sufficient to permit the talks to move on to discussion of substantive points at issue. The Pathet Lao radio on 17 October broadcast a new ver- sion of Pathet terms for a set- tlement with the government, in- cluding unification of "all patriotic armed forces" and par- ticipation of the Pathet Lao's legal front--the Neo Lao Hak Sat party (NLHS)--in a coali- tion government. These demands probably represent a maximum bargaining position. The Pathet Lao may be willing to defer entry into a coalition govern- ment if Souvanna offers as- surances of early elections. The immediate Pathet aim is SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTERRST '0--e 5 of 6 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 *AW SECRET BURMA NORTH en Bien Phu VI ETNAM .Hanoi Sam Neua ' :TIANE Pak San VIENTIANE; THAILAND Savannakhet probably to resume normal po- litical activity through the NLHS so as to take advantage of the present favorable cli- mate for such activity. There are fragmentary in- dications that the forces back- ing Kong Le in Vientiane may be beginning to lose their cohesion. Morale is reported to be declining in the key Second Paratroop Battalion, the main basis of Kong Le's power, to take action independent of the Souvanna government. Fac- tionalism centered on'the is- sue of Communism is also al- GULF OF TONKI u OPEW ttopeu leged to be developing in the Youth party, or- ganized after Kong Le's coup and previously active in directing popular support for Kong Le. These indi- cations are tentative but may become more pronounced in the ab- sence of some new ini- tiative by Kong Le or his lieutenants. General Phoumi and his Savannakhet Revolutionary Commit- tee appear to have consolidated their control of the Second Military Region follow- ing its: break from Vientiane on 9 October. Phoumi has sent one of his top commanders, Col. Sourith, previously commander of Laos' paratroop battalions, to assume command of the region. His pur- view will be restricted to Xieng Khouang Prov- ince, however, since Sam Neua, nominally loyal to Souvanna, is probably under the real control of the Pathet Lao. Newly designated Soviet Ambassador Abramov, whose post of residence is Phnom Penh, has not yet presented his credentials to the King. He apparently has lost no time, however, in in- dicating to Premier Souvanna the Soviet Unions': willingness to-provide aid. He also re- vived the subject of the Inter- national Supervisory and Con- trol Commission (ISCC) for Laos by recalling in a public statement that the USSR was a co-chairman of the Geneva truce conference that set up the ISCC SECRET ANNAKt1ET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Page 6 of 7 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 JCI:Kt I v in 1954. Before the ISCC's dis- bandment in 1958, a move opposed by the Polish member, the pres- ence of the group was a limiting factor in the government's efforts to suppress the Pathet Lao. Radio Moscow has emphasized in its broadcasts the Souvanna Phouma government's declared adherence to the Geneva agree- ment and has also charged that American representatives in Laos tried to wreck the talks between Souvanna and Pathet representatives. The United States was accused of "impudent interference" in Laotian in- ternal affairs, and propaganda commentary stresses the legit- imacy of the Souvanna regime in contrast with Phoumi's rebel clique, which is alleged to have American support. SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Pace 7 of 7 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY NOTES AND COMMENTS CUBAN D13VELOPMENT.S' The Cuban nationalization decrees of 14 October and the urban reform law of 15 October have the most drastic social and economic implications of any measures yet taken by the Castro regime. They virtu- ally wipe out sources of in- come for the upper and upper- middle classes and give the state complete control over urban real estate. The 382 businesses expro- priated on 14 October, mostly Cuban owned, represent the bulk of large and medium companies that had remained in private hands, and they have an estimat- ed total value of $2 billion. They range from theaters and department stores to railways and the Bacardi rum distiller- The government is'to pay the former owners an income equivalent to what they had received in rent, but only up to $600 per month; the excess goes to the state. Heirs of former owners get nothing. National and provincial urban reform councils are set up to implement the law, the objec- tive of which is stated to be to provide "every family with a decent home." The law is likely to have an initial strong appeal to lower and middle in- come renters in the cities, where abusive real estate prac- tices have long been prevalent. Active opposition to Cas- tro continues among scattered groups inside Cuba despite the fear instilled by recent exe- ies. The seizures complete the cutions and the increased gov- government takeover of the sugar ernment repression. Several and textile industries. The ,hundred guerrillas are reported move is frankly explained as a measure to "liquidate the priv- ileges of certain economic classes" standing in the way of the revolution. Another law issued the same day nationalized all Cuban private banks. The urban reform law eliminates an - or ism in Cuban urban areas. All leases are declared void and mortgages canceled. Rent still active in the Escambray Mountains despite government claims that virtually all guer- rilla forces have been liquidated. the 25X1 guerrilla groups are poorly armed and provisioned; among their biggest problems is a lack of unity and popular ef- fective leaders. A block-warden informant system, called for on. 28 Sep- tember by Castro to control counterrevolutionary activity payments are to be made to the !in the cities, has reportedly state and applied toward purchase already been instituted in San- of the properties by the former tiago, where the people appear ---- - t th +hrou h l VP- i n t i m i d a t e d b t se e g y y government. Purchasers cannot resell without government per- mission, and the state is to have the first option to buy. cent developments. SECRET 25X1 25X1 PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 1 of 23 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY BERLIN SITUATION Khrushchev used his 20 October public speech in Moscow, reporting on his UN mission, to clarify the Soviet position on the Berlin question. firmed his post-summit commit- ment to maintain the situation in Berlin if a new summit con- ference is agreed on after the American elections, but provid- ed there were no "provocations"' by the West. In the USSR's first authori- tative response to Bonn's denun- ciation of the interzonal trade agreement, Khrushchev stated this could lead to a further de- terioration of the Berlin SECRET Although reports are still unconfirmed that Soviet MIG fighters have arrived in Cuba they have not yet been. Reports of construction work by Czech and Soviet personnel around Havana and near several air bases probably involve placement of antiaircraft guns and fire- control apparatus. Antiair- craft artillery, as well as machine guns and at least 100 jeeps, have been among the equip- ment in recent Soviet shipmehts. Cuba appears about to rec- ognize East Germany and would thus become the first non - Com- munist bloc 'state--except. Yugo slavia--to do so. will soon be sent to Cuba if thus far, such planes probably A Rumanian commercia a ega ion has ar- rived in Cuba, probably presag- ing diplomatic recognition and a trade agreement with Bue arest.____. PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 2 of 23 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 " j SECRET situation, since East Germany would be forced to reply with economic measures. Khrushchev declared that "if any new pol- icy is 'thrust on the bloc," the Western powers will bear, the main responsibility. He called for both sides to refrain from steps which would aggravate the situation. The East German regime has stepped up pressure on Bonn to open negotiations for a new interzonal trade pact, fol- lowing West Germany's denuncia- tion of the existing instrument on 30 September. After issuing a formal statement on 13 Octo- ber calling for new talks, the regime now has threatened, al- though not explicitly, to dis- rupt traffic between West Berlin and Bonn if no agreement is reached. In a Neues Deutschland ar- ticle on 16 October, a medium- level Ministry of Foreign Trade official claimed that agreements on traffic would lapse when the trade pact expired on 31 Decem- ber. He stressed that while the East Germans had "generously" granted official permits for movement of goods, this situa- tion could not be expected to continue without a new contrac- tual regulation. The threat was also extended-to include East German electric power, gas, and water services to West Ber- lin, which the East German offi- cials alleged are covered by an appendix to the trade agreement. Although West Berlin obtains some gas, electricity, and water from East Berlin and East Ger- many, the city is not dependent on the East for them. In the official statement on 13 October, the Communist regime indicated that new talks should be conducted on a govern- mental level, but thus far the East Germans have not rejected the use of the normal interzonal 25X1 A Soviet Foreign Ministry official on 5 October raised the Berlin problem in a conver- sation with an American Embassy officer and asked for American reaction to including all of Berlin in a free city. He de- nied that there was no altbr- native to making only West Berlin a free city, but ex- plained that inclusion of East and West Berlin would have to be within the framework of a German confederation, with each SECRET PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 3 of 23 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 SECRET sector of the city retaining a "large measure" of autonomy. Although the USSR in offi- cial statements has rejected this approach on the grounds that East Berlin is the capital of East Germany, Moscow would prob- ably hope to represent any such Western offer as a retreat from the fundamental position that the occupation rights are based on Germany's unconditional surren- der and cannot be the subject of bargaining apart from an agreement on German unification. The USSR would also claim that Western ac- ceptance of the general concept of a free city constitutes recog- nition that the city's status is "abnormal" and should be chap ed. 25X1 Factionalism in the Alba- nian Communist party, which be- came evident on 9 September with the announcement of the ouster of politburo member Belishova at a central committee plenum, apparently was aggravated by differences regarding Albania's ADRIATIC SIA tSAM Sit.* res Tirane support of Peiping in the Sino- Soviet controversy. Recent evidence suggests that Beli- shova, who had been a princi- pal figure in the formulation of the party ideological line and ranked fifth in the hier- archy, favored a pro-Soviet position. SECRET _ USSR Since her ouster, the regime has assumed a less equivocal pro- Chinese position, as shown in party boss Hoxha's speech on the eve of the 1 October Chinese lib- eration anniversary and by the conduct of Deputy Premier Kellezi on a trip during the ;past three weeks in China. Kellezi, in his tour of rural China since the 1 October celebrations on behalf of the Albanian-Chinese Friendship Society, has exchanged pledges of support with the Chinese and has drawn attention to the two coun- tries' joint stand in the defense of the purity of Marxism-Leninism. PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 4 of 23 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 qw, SECRET Despite reports over the years of a rivalry between party leader Hoxha and Premier Shehu, the two leaders do not appear to have any serious dis- agreements in their views con- cerning the Sino-Soviet differ- ences, Premier Shehu, who owes his rise in power to his control over the police, has tradition- ally held "hard-line" views, is very strongly anti-Yugoslav, and apparently favors the Chi- nese stand. Party leader Hoxha, who has directed the Albanian party without interruption since 1943, has generally assumed a some- what less extreme position on issues, although he clearly led the fight against the pro-Yugo- slav faction, headed by Koci Xoxe, which was purged in 1948. It is unlikely, however, that Hoxha--through his position as party first secretary--could not bring the party solidly in- to support of the USSR if he should choose. Because of his recent pro-Chinese speech, any such action seems unlikely. In addition to the personal and diplomatic snubs tendered to the Albanian delegation in New York by bloc personnel, Albanian Ambassador to Poland Musin Kroi --now in Albania on leave--was reportedly told by the Poles not to return to Warsaw. These acts reflect the existing dis- cord between the Albanians on the one hand and the Russians and other European satellites on the other. Nevertheless, the willingness of the Albanian leaders to proceed with their party congress--which was post- poned from November to December, presumably to allow them to at- tend the Moscow meeting of world Communist leaders--suggests Hoxha believes he will be able to restate the party's 25X1 existing ideological and policy positions without significant alteration. DIFFICULTIES IN SOVIET AGRICULTURE Two Soviet agricultural programs, heretofore closely associated with Khrushchev in Soviet propaganda, face a set- back this year. Sizable grain losses, probably'larger than those of 1959, are expected in the New Lands, and partly as a result of this the total 1960 Soviet grain harvest will prob- ably be mediocre--about the same as last year. The Soviet press SECRET PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Psi 5 of 23 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900080001-3 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY AZERBAIJAN Zi SSR ?t~ 5 SSR ~-''L. ~1< S 1~ .7 TADZHIK Stalinabpd' SSR recently acknowledged that pro- duction of meat and milk is lag- ging well behind the planned goals. Since the New Lands pro- gram was begun in 1954, one third of the total Soviet grain area has been in Siberia and Kazakhstan, and these areas have accounted for 40 percent of the grain delivered to the state. By 1 October less than two thirds of the grain had been gathered in the New Land areas and de- liveries of grain to the state were running behind the average for previous years. Harvesting has been later than in 1959, when large areas were covered with snow before the grain could be gathered. There have already been a few snow flurries in the New Lands, and strong winds were reported earlier this month. The area remaining to be harvest- ed will yield only a small a- mount of usable grain--much of the unharvested grain has already either been damaged by rain and wind or has failed to ripen. It now appears that the Soviet corn crop, although some- what larger than average, will not be large enough to offset the harvesting losses of wheat in the New Lands and the grain losses in the European USSR from winterkill and spring dust storms. The lateness of the harvest this year has delayed prepara- tions for next year's crop. By 1 October less than one third of Siberia's autumn plowing plan had been completed--a good indication that the major share of the field work in the New Lands must, as last year, be postponed until spring. A recent Pravda editorial admits that per o3` rmance in the SECRET ,,

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