STATE CABLE FROM LONDON, NO. 4465, DATED 7 APRIL 1952

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0000382616
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: June 22, 2015
• Document Release Date: February 25, 2009
• Case Number: F-2000-01196
• Publication Date: April 11, 1952

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~_ 0 diDU: FORt ; pecial Assistant, Intelligence
Depart-ent of State
P.PR 11 1952
A -'E,11 'TIT O11-:v Director
C-f ice o Libraries and intelligence _cqu--sition
(b) (1)
(b) (3)
S".;BJ!C.1t State Cable fro-.i London, Yco. 4I;65, dated 7 April 1952
1. With reference to paragraph 1 in the above cable, the CIA es-
ti-ate of USSR synthetic rubber production of 197, 000 tons in
19"2-53 agrees substantially frith the estimate contained in the State
contribution to the ?CIE-I.0 i=;ork3.xg Group, dated 20 Eovember 1971. '.ihds
estimate was agreed to on the -working level by ORR analysts. The slight
difference is due to the use of the ii-193 rate of production instead
of an interpolated average for the year. The estimate of 172, 000 tons
quoted in the cable as the NTT--bO estimate is for the year 19}1 and,
therefore, is not the estimated prodt1ctkion for the year 1972-53. More-
over,, M -33 specifically mentioned an increase in synthetic capacity
of approtdmately 30, 000 tons during 1951. The estimate by QIR of
220,000 to 270,000 tons for 1950 (Soviet kreas, DIR Report No. 4800.27),
referred to in the cable, is dated March 1951 and was thought by ORR to
have been superseded by subsequent esti mtes. The coordinated estimates
prepared in coansetion i th FIE-h0 are dated 20 Uove :der 1951.
did did not hav''L tine,
? 'f t.it .{~uzzJ laS ytguage.
APPROVED FOR
RELEASE DATE:
22-Jan-2009
to ponder fully the nuances of t is some-
 3. With reference to paragraph 3, CIA is "not in position to con-
ment on arq intelligence furnished Mr. Armstrong by other agencies
which it has not had the opportunity to review. As applied to this
,Officers M?-88, the paragraph seems to me unrarranted.
RO3E - A`f s , JR.
Assistant Director
Research and Pe-,orbs
cc: Director Vol"'
Office of Intelligence Research
Department of State