CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY REVIEW

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0001397783
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RIPPUB
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U
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4
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June 22, 2015
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September 30, 2009
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F-2007-00355
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April 12, 1956
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%/y%///////////%i 1.2 April 1956 Copy 'No o _~ CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY REVIEW. s~~ac~.r~~~ J~~ r~o.._____..___.._ c:~..n~4~. cfa~r~c~~ri 7c7: ~~~ ~~ ~:, ~~:x~ k3~:vi~_w o,ar~: -----~ ~~ -- - - ~_.. Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL. INTELLIGENCE- AGENCY This document contains information within the meaning of Public Law 513 - 81st Congress, It is to be seen only by US PERSONNEL especially indoctrinated and authorized to receive Special Intelli- gence information< The security of this document must be main- tamed in accordance with SPECIAL INTELLIGENCE -SECURITY REGULATIONS. No action may be taken by any person on the pecia n e igence presented herein, regardless of any advantage which may be gained, unless such action is first. approved by the Director of Central Intelligence. APPROVED FOR RELEASE^ DATE: 26-Sep-2009 (b)(3) TOP ~CRET EIDER CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY REVIEW 12 April 1956 ' PART I I i PATTERNS AND PERSPECTIVES BRITISH POLICY TOWARD THE USSR ON THE EVE OF THE BULGANIN-KHRUSHCHEV VISIT The British government, which has for some months shown increasing concern over the new tactics of Soviet foreign policy, is treating the 18-27 April visit. of Bulganin and Khrushchev as primarily an op- portunity to probe Russian in- tentions, particularly with reference to the. Middle East., The recently concluded tour of ex-premier Malenkov and the preparations for the Bulganin- Khrushchev visit have focused the British public's attention ' to an unusual. extent on vela-~ tions with the USSR. Advance arrangements have been exten- sively debated in the press and by the public; but except among .fellow travelers and some Bevan- ite elements, there so far ap- pears to be no inclination to assume that Soviet policy has undergone more than a tactical change. The arrival of security chief Serov to make advance preparations for the visit was generally considered as confirm- ing this. Egyptian arms deals last Sep- tember and becoming more in- tensive after tie 20th Party Congress in February. The Foreign Office was particularly disturbed by the Soviet entry into areas of tra- ditional British influence as signalized by the Middle Eastern .arms deals and the Bulganin- Khrushchev visit to India and Burma. It saw these moves as meaning that Mo-scow, though re- pudiating full-scale war as an instrument of national policy, was still .bent on Communist ex- pansion through ways that might lead to war. The Soviet policy of com- petitive coexistence through the use of economic enticements to underdeveloped areas~is seen by London as,offering a special threat to its own position in these areas because of Bri:tain's present economic inability to compete in kind. As a result, Britain has been informally trying to interest the United States in expanding economic The efforts of certain Eastern European refugee groups to organize hostile demonstra- tions have received no important support from either Labor or .Conservative Party circles, how- ever, and the US Information Service in London_beleves Malenkov's performance as good- will ambassador, which o~ca- sioned favorable press comment at a ratio of more than two to one, greatly smoothed the way for Bulganin and Khrushchev. Re-examination of USSR Policy This surge of public in- terest in relations with the USSR ha's been paralleled in government circles by an ex- tensive re-examination of Soviet policy, starting with the Czech- aid programs; partd~iarly to the Baghdad pact countries. British officials have also been seeking ways in which Lon- don can regain the initiative on the diplomatic front. Several aspects of the 20th Party Congress caused British officials special con- cern. ?One was the statement that there. was more than one way of~achieving socialism-- and indeed the emphasis .on "socialism' rather than "com- munism." This line, British. officials fear, will be partic- ularly-seductive iri colonial areas and in neutral or un- committod countries. Another aspect was the, de-emphasis of Stalin in favor TOP ~~RET EIDER PART III PATTERNS AND PERSPECTIVE'S Page 1 of 14 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY REVIEW 12 April 1956 of Leninist collective leader- ship. One official saw this line as likely to delude seg- ments of the British public, and stated that the Foreign Office planned a campaign t? expose the dangers of .Leninism. Prime Minister Eden evi- dently shares the Foreign Of- fice worries. ,In mid-March he reportedly gave French pre- mier Mollet his t'persona.l esti- mate" that the present Soviet diplomatic and economic tactics are even more danger?us-than those in use when NATO was established. Attitude Toward the Visit Against this background, the British government evidently sees the Bulganin-Rhrushchev visit, initiated at the. summit conference last Jut1y, as both adiplomatic opportunity and a propaganda hazard. " Every effort is being made to keep the visit as much as possible in a purely diplrrmatic context, avoiding the "triumphal tour" aspects which character- ized Br~;'gariin-''s .and;:Khxushehe~v's visit to India and Burma and Malenkov's trip to Britain, Of the eight full days in their scheduled stay, three provide for talks at 10 Downing Street and two others for dining, with Eden--one of them including'., an overnight stay at the Chequers estate, A trip to only one im- portant industrial center, Birmingham,' will be made. At the same time,the Foreign Of- fice has endeavored to dissuade the leaders of .Eastern European refugee groups from causing any disturbances, and London twice sought to dissuade Moscow from sending Serov to superintend the security arrangements. Diplomatically, on the other hand, Britain has evi- dently tried to capitalize to some extent on the fact that it is the first Western country to receive the top Soviet leaders. Possibly seeing some parallel with the-1954 Geneva conference where he won-great prestige as a "bridge'? between East and West, Prime Minister Eden dis- cussed the impending visit with French premier Mollet during their 10-11 March conference. Foreign Secretary"Lloyd will report on it afterward,: to Mol- let and Foreign Minister Pineau before they undertake their own trip to Moscow. Conduct of the Talks In the talks themselves, Eden-and other top leaders seem to see mainly an opportunity to probe the intentions and mutual relationships of the top Soviet leaders. This idea was an im- portant part of Churchill's ari.g- i~$al_. 1953 proposal for summit talks and has appeared again. in the comments of some of the British leaders--mainly on the Labor side--who talked.with Malenkov: "There is also a general British-hope of correct- ing at least some of the Soviet leaders' dangerous misconcep- ,?ions about the West. The agenda for substantive discussions is extremely loose.,. and the British have emphasized that they have. no intention of turning the "serious talks" in- to negotiations on any question t5f ~nuitilateral interest. T?pics of bilateral concern mentioned by 'the Foreign Office e5f f icial arranging the details of the visit.: include such matters as radii damming and cultural ex- changes British officials have made clear, however,. that they. hip for an exchange of views- cn several matters of key im- po~tance. According to the. .A.rnerican embassy; both Edenn and Lloyd told Ma~lenkov on I6 March that they were anxious to discuss the Middle East. While Britain apparently has no proposals tc~ offer, it would be interested in any .T?.P CARET EIDER. PART III PATTERNS AT~TD PERSPECTIVES Page 2 .of ;14 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY REVTEW 12 April 1956 Soviet overtures that would ap- pear to lessen the prospects of war between Israel and the Arab states ~,,. The British also anticipate a serious exchange of views on disarmament:', presumably-because. Malenkov said that disarmament was the only subject he knew would be on his colleagues' mindso As of late February, the Foreign Office expected the Russians to offer a new friend- ship treaty--which Britain planned to reject on the grounds that there had been insufficient time, since their 1955 abroga- tion of the 194 pact9,to see how~coexistence,workedo Nervousness About US Attitude Several recent remarks by British officials about the Bulganin-Khrushchev visit have T indicated some anxiety lest 'Anglo-American co-operation be imperiled bg~ too great an aura of "good will'' toward the Soviet guestso The British ambassador in Moscow, for example, in tell- ing his American colleagues of London's advice that Serov.be kept. at home, remarked that he hoped the Rutssians would send Serov anyway as a "grim reminder" of Soviet realitya Foreign Office officials have expressed to the American embassy in London a hope for some "clumsy''' Khrushchev re- mark that would serve to further cement ,Q;nglo~-A~nea~i.? can solidarity o 't'hey ~xav~e e~re~ suggested that Eden intends to receive the Russians as leaders of a hostile state--a plan scarcely compatible with the schedule nreAared for themo CRET' EIDER FART III PATTERNS ANU PERSPECTIVES Page 3 of ~,4