GENERAL

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0002018135
• Release Decision: IPPUB U
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: June 23, 2015
• Document Release Date: March 11, 2010
• Case Number: F-2009-01320
• Publication Date: December 7, 1950

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GEC"ATE RAL
1. Chou En-lai's views on wnrlrl *.ar-
(b)(3)
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sad or to Peiping has informed his government of a conversa-
tion he had on 5 December with Chinese Foreign Minister
Chou En-tai, during which Chou declared that a third world
war is inevitable as long as neither UN nor Chinese forces
are willing to leave Korea. Chou said that China has there-
fore made itself ready for World War III.
EUROPE
2. GERMANY: Analysis of recent elections --The US High
Commission in Germany, in making an analysis of the
Socialist victories in the recent Land elections in the US
Zone, estimates that the stability of Adenauer's coalition
government has not been seriously affected for the imme-
diate future. The Commission believes, however, that the
elections have increased the obstacles to the US objective
of securing a German contribution to European defense and
have encouraged demands for the abolition of remaining' occupation controls and the early restoration of German
sovereignty. The Socialists have placed the Adenauer
regime on the defensive regarding the rearmament issue,
and the Commission believes that even if Germany were
accorded military equality in a European defense arrange-
ment, the Adenauer Government could not obtain parliamentary
approval. in the absence of far-reaching Allied concessions
toward political sovereignty as well.
APPROVED FOR
RELEASE DATE:
22-Feb-201 0
Date: ' ' SAN 1978 By:
Auth: D A N G. 77/1733
NO CHANGE in Class.
Q DECLASSIFIED
Cldas. CHANGED TO: TS S
DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77
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 TOP SECRET
NEAR EAST-AFRICA
3. IRAN: Increased Soviet influence seen--US Embassy Tehran
finds evidence of increasing Soviet influence in an apparent
revision by the Razmara Government of previous policies
regarding the suppression of Communist activities, The
Embassy is unable to determine whether this revision is a
result of secret agreements made during the Iran-USSR
trade negotiations or merely a general policy of the Razmara
Government to make concessions to the USSR, but points to
such evidence as several recent developments revealing a
desire by the government to release from jail leaders of the
pro-Communist Tudeh Party. The Embassy also refers to:
(a) mounting evidence, that
the police have been instructed to take a less rigorous
attitude toward Communist activities; (b) reports that the
Tudeh underground has received instructions not to attack
the Shah; (c) a tendency of the Soviet radio to be less critical
of the Iranian Government; and (d) such open government
moves as closing the Voice of America and BBC radio relays
in Iran and increasing restrictions on travel which primarily
affect US and British nationals. The Embassy believes that
the Razmara Government is likely to continue for some time
its "soft policy" toward the USSR, that a legal formula may
be found for the release of the Tudeh leaders, and that
eventually the ban on open Communist activity may be lifted.
FAR EAST
4m INDOCHINA: Views of new French Commissioner--General
Jean de Lattre de Tassigny, newly-appointed French High
Commissioner to Indochina, has told US Ambassador. Bruce
TOP SECRET
 E T
in Paris that one of his principal objectives will be to impress
upon. the Associated States of Indochina that they will be given
full independence within the French Union. In order to give
concrete evidence of his intention, General de Lattre will do
everything in his power to build up the Vietnam national army
immediately. De Lattre also pointed to the extreme military
importance of holding Tonkin and said that in this critical
situation he would rely heavily on the closest possible liaison
with US officials in Indochina,
5. CHINA; Anti-Communist activity discounted--The US Consul
General in Hong Kong heavily discounts press reports of a
recent increase in anti-Communist guerrilla activity in South
China. The Consul General stresses there has been extensive
evidence of guerrilla activity in,. South China ever since the
Chinese Communists took over and admits it still constitutes
a serious problem for local authorities. Moreover, he
acknowledges that some increase may have occurred as a
result of large-scale withdrawals of Chinese Communist
troops from that area, but on the basis of available information
he has concluded that the chief objective of guerrilla units in
South China remains self -preservation, that their leaders are
unwilling to attract greater attention to themselves by increased
activity, and that there is 66no future" for the guerrilla move-
ment without outside aid in quantity.
6. BURMA. Government decision to side with West--US Embassy
Rangoon, on the basis of decisions reportedly reached by
Burmese leaders at a recent emergency conference, concludes
that the Burmese Government has definitely decided to side
with the West in the event of a showdown with the Chinese
RE T
 Communists. Meanwhile, the government will build up Burmese
armed forces but remain neutral in appearance and passive in the
UN, The Embassy believes Burma will again coordinate its action
with the Government of India.
04 E T