RUSSIA INCREASINGLY INFLUENTIAL IN THE GLOBAL DIAMOND MARKET

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005374629
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
June 23, 2015
Document Release Date: 
June 12, 2009
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
F-2008-01923
Publication Date: 
August 15, 2003
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon DOC_0005374629.pdf208.43 KB
Body: 
~+ CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE ~ . ~ ~' - ~ .. APPROVED FOR RELEASE^ DATE: 06-09-2009 Russia Increasin;l~y :: Influential in the Global Diamond Market ~` 14 t.~. 15 August 2003 OREA 2003-40108 try, as par! of the goven:rnent's effort to comply with WTO rules, set the .stage for Russla to exercise its market power in the diamond trade. Russia mines about 20 percent of the world's rough diamond output and, until recently, had allowed the international diamond conglomerate De Beers to control most of its exports. Russian mining giant Alrosa and many cutting enterprises have responded to deregulation by setting up direct marketing arrangements with foreign customers. ? Growth in export revenues, however, will depend on whether foreign demand continues to expand rapidly enough to absorb an ex ected surge next year in output from new Canadian mines?~ Russia used its clout as a major diamond producer to help scuttle a proposal to set up an international enforcement agency in the Kimber- ley Process-an international initiative to stem [he sale of diamonds by African rebel groups and their allies. The Russian delegation succeeded in convincing others that acountry-based enforcement program was cheaper and less intrusive on national sovereignty than the competing proposal. Because Russia has the potential to be a major conduit for moving smuggled diamonds to market, its ability to implement an enforce- ment regime will be central to an internatiaml effort to shut down this method of frnazcing insurgent and terrorist activities. President Putin's government has Taken steps in recent months to reduce the role of foreign middle- men in tke marketing of Russia's diamonds. Most rough and polished Russian diamonds are exported, earning an estimated $LA-? billion in ?002. The Russian President set the stage last year fnr loosening the country's Soviet-era reliance nn the marketing ser- vices of international diamond giam De Beers when he signcJ a decree deregulating the diamond industry, as part of Russia's program to align its regulations with WTO standards. ? Under the decree`s provisions, diamond mining and cutting enterprises gained the right to sell rough diamonds directly in foreign markets. ? The revival last year in global demand (or gem qual- ity diamonds has encouraged Russia's producers to bu more axkressive in marketing, accordine to prays The Russian Government's moves ur allow its produc- ers to circumvent. its tradilionsl diamond marketing channels came at about the same time that the Euro- pean Commission put a hold on Russian diamond mining giant Alrosa's agreement with De Bccrs to market $800 million in exports of rough diamonds annually. The Commission raised questions shout whether the agreement complies with EU competition rules, The Luxembourg-registered De Beers company already controls 60 percent of global output of rough diamonds through its mining interests in Africa, and its agreement with Russia would boost that to 70 percent, according to press reports. The Commis- sion's linal ruling is due this fall, but it has indicated to Ahosa that it would he wise to develop other mur- keting channels, the Russian media reports. Australia $n.4 billion Namibia ? Alrosa has set u sales offices in New York and London, and earlier this year, it signed a deal with the Lebanese conglom- erate, Huri ron Development, for its assismncc in selling $500 million in rough diamonds per year in the Middle East. ? To take greater advantage ol'thc 12-16-percent markup on cut diamonds, Alrosa reached an agree- ment this summer with a US company to set up a joint venture in Russia for processing rough dia- monds,which could boost Alrosa's exports of cut diamonds from $120 million to ti;500 million per ALRO5.4 also is working with independent Russian diamond-cuing firms in the Diamond Chamber of Russia-mt association chaired by ALROSA Vice President Ulin that also includes Russia s largest cutting firm, Kristall of Smolensk, and some d0 other enterprises. The Chamber has signed an agreement wi[h.4ntwerp's Diamond Council that gives Cham- bcrmembers direct access to market their stones in Belgium's major diamond trading center. ? The Russian Government's decision earlier this year to switch from a one-year [o a five-year export quota regime has facilitated [he cl'lorts ofALROSA and major cutting enterprises to develop Ion *-term marketing relations with foreign customcrs.~ Russia's big two crttiing enterprises are well posi- tioned to puslr exports. Kristall has established out- lets in Hong Kong, London, New York, and Tcl Aviv, and Russia's second-largest cueing lirm, Ruiz, is part Many of Russia's small diamond-cutting enterprises also have close tics to overseas clients. Several for- eign lrms use a tolling scheme-in which they land Russian cutting lrms' purchases of rough diamonds and take the polished diamonds as puymcm-that accounts I'or shout hal(of the rough diamonds cut in Russia, according to industry experts. ? In response to overseas demand, Russian diamond cutters last year adopted world stgndards for grading Exercising its clout in [he global diamond market, Russia was in the forefront of a successful effort during Kimberley Process negotiations to torpedo a plan that would have created an international enforce- ment agency suppress the trade in "conflict dia- monds'smuggled out of insurgency areas ol'Africa. Moscow publicly branded [he initiative as too costly and intrusive on national sm~ereignty and backed u The UN in 2000 sponsored an initiative to block cross-border trade in diamonds smug- gled out of insurgent areas of Africa to finance arms purchases. These "conflict diamonds" account for 2 to 4 percent of global trade in rough diamonds, according to industry experts. Diamond-producing and -consum- ing countries, which account for 90 percent of the trade in rough diamonds, as well as non overnment or anizations participated. Under the certification scheme launched worldwide on 1 January 2003, rough dia- monds may only be transported across frontiers in sealed containers and must be accompanied by a certificate of origin from the producing country attesting that they were mined outside of African insurgency areas. The WTO General Council in May granted the Kimberley Process a waiver allowing signa- tories to refuse to trade rough diamonds with nonsignatories and with signatories that fail to successful compromise diamond certification system based on individual country legislation and industry self-regulation. ? Russia demonstrated its commitment to the Process by being among the first governments this spring to issue regulations implementing the certification Moscow has acknowledged di Fliculties controlling diamond smuggling and culled on the international reports that as much as a quarter ol'the $800 million in rough diamonds allocated to local cutting enter- prises arc smuggled out of the country, depriving Moscow of an estimated $]Q million in export duties. Furthermore, a provision of the deregulation program will give diamond cutters a new informal export channel. Beginning this year, they are pcr- mitted to send diamonds duty-free out to foreign cutting centers with the understanding that they will he returned for additional processing. According to investigative reporting by the Russian press, several diamond-cutting enterprises in the mid-1990s used this "give-and-take" scheme to transfer out the bulk of their large, gem-quality rough diamonds and roplaced them with smaller stones smuggled in IYom Africa umil Moscow banned the practice. ? Taking advantage of the current give-and-take regime, foreign cutting enterprises, for example, could process the rough Russian diamonds and ser them in jewelry, which does no[ require cerHfrcates of origin, at:d then return smuggled diamonds to the Russian enterprises with the certificates that l:ad accompanied the Russima stones. ? Small Russian diamond-cutting enterprises arc espe- cially likely to engage is such smuggling schemes hecause these companies are chronically short of working capitah according to industry ohservers. ? Russia's largest culling enterprise, Krisutll is head- yuartered in Smolensk, an Oblast with a reputation lix atrruption and smuggling that is on the main road connecting Russia with Western Europe. The Baltic states have provided conduits for illegal diamond exports. Latvian banks used their diamond export licenses to funnel diamonds smuggled from Russia into legal trade channels, and Estonia has a reputation as a transshipment point for the ille- gal exports of Russian precious metals and stones, according to press reports. Until they join the Kim- berley Process, however, middlemen in Latvia and Estonia will face more difficulty "laundering"dia- mands because the major cutting centers are in sig- natory countries, and they may not itnport diamonds Alrosa's commitment to developing new dffarnortd fields probably will ensure that Russia remains a major producer of rough diamonds for many years to come. Growth in export revenues, however, will depend ort Russia increasing the portion of polished to rough diamonds it sells overseas and foreign demand for gent-grtality stones growing fast enough to absorb a serge in Canadian mine output predicted Russia's fuhtre influence insetting irdernatimml policy to control smuggling will depend, in part, on whether it can demonstrate a good faith effort to implement the Kimberley Process certification program. Altltougk Russia's position as a large producer wit! always give it a seat at the table,~l Kareliya''., LeningradST~ ;.. \~ rv~`. 6PSkov~"'~..~1 ,r:- ~"-MOSC04l..- KursK.- Proven reserves under development Exploration activities 0 1000 NI1Mileters i tt , 0 1000 Miles Russia has the largest proven diamond reserves in the world, and the Sakha Republic in eastern Siberia is the site of most ot'thc country's diamond mining. Because they havo been in operaton since the 1950x, however, most of the open-pit mines arc ncarexhaus- tion, forcing diamond-mining companies to explore Almost all Russian diamonds are exported. The Almazy Rossii-Sakha Company (Alrosa), which mines 99 percent of Russia's diamonds, sells half of its rough stones overseas, and provides most of the rest to domestic diamond cutters. These cutting enterprises, in turn, export 97 percent of their output. The Russian State Depository for Precious Metals and Precious Stones (Gokhrun), which is under the Finance Ministry, buys small portions of Alrosa`s output, which it later resells to domestic and forei n buyers to raise funds 1'or the governmem The I'edcral government controls key pans of the diamond sector, and senior officials have signaled that they want w maintain a grip nn the diamond trade. The govermnen[ retains 100-percent ownership of the Kristall cutting enterprise in Smolensk, the largest diamond-polishing firm in Russia, and has postponed privatization plans. The Russian Government owns 37 percent ol'theclosed-stock company Alrosa, and the Sakha Republic holds another 32 percent oF'the firm's shares. The rest ol'the eyuiq~ is divided among cmployces and local governments in Sakha. ? Finance Minister Kudrin, who chairs Alrosa's Supervisory Board, has justified a decision to inde0- nitcly delay plans to open the company to private im~cstors, saying that Alrosa has to continue allocat- ing half of its earnings ut social infrastructure in Sakha. ? Moscow's decision last year that valuable natural resources such us diamonds, gold, and oil remain federal property lurther reduces the likelihood that Some 4Q00(1 people ow of Sakha's population of I million work atAlrosa. Its fees for mining rights fund 70 to 80 percent of the Republic's budget, and the company's promissory notes make up a substan- tial informal component o1'the Sakh 's m pply, according to press reports.~~ Rising production casts, as the company switches from open-pit to subsurface mining, are calling into. question whether Alrosa can maintain its goal of making $200 million in prolits annually, according to industry analysts. They predict [hat Alrosa will have to invest $ I million in developing underground mines in the Arctic region just to replace the Udachnaya open-pit mine, which provides 65 percent ofAlrosa's current output. facilities and increase production at its Catoca mine in Angola, where mining costs arc half those in Russia: the mine is a,joint venture with the govern- ment ofAngola and one of Levaycv's companies. Alrosa has enhanced its reputation as a Russian blue- chip asset by rolling over some of its $I.I billion ruble deM into longer term, lower interest foreign debt instruments. Last year, Alrosa secured a $91 million loan from a consortium of Western banks. ? Earlier this year,.4Gosa's $300 million Eurobond issue was oversubscribed, allowing Alrosa to raise the amount to $.500 million. Moodys rated the ALROS.4 bond, "B3;' and S&P gave it a "B;' just 8 6E8flE~/~