THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 8-10 APRIL 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959086
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: April 10, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
8 -10 APRIL 1964
l'ef-SE-CREL
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1.
10 April 1964
Brazil: The military show .no signs of being
ready at this time to step down from the stage and
return control to the civilian politicians.
Brazilian congressional leaders, under heavy mili-
tary pressure, apparently have agreed to elect General
Castello Branco as provisional president. The vote
is expected this weekend.
On 9 April, War Minister Costa e Silva promul-
gated an "institutional act" which he says will re-
main in effect until January 1966. It suspends certain
constitutional guarantees and gives the revolutionary
leaders the authority they have been seeking to pro?
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ceed against elements in Congress, the government, and
the military.
He did not wait for congressional approval, which
might have been obtained, suggesting that the key
figures now see no need to seek "legitimacy" through
Congress. At least two Congressmen were arrested on
the 9th and dozens more ?are on the military's list.
Ambassador Gordon is concerned that the antisub-
versive campaign may go too far. Some Brazilians,
naturally enough, are also worrying about the regime's
overly vigorous roundup of suspects. Mexican President
Lopez has said he fears that Brazil is headed for a
military dictatorship and a totalitarian regime.
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2. Cyprus: Turkey, may ask 50X1
?for an urgent Security Council meeting on the question
of the Turkish Army contingent on Cyprus.
Last weekend, the UN command announced that it
would set about clearing all major roads:of roadblocks
and fortifications. This was to be done by Thursday,
but all efforts to persuade the Turkish contingent to
relinquish their hold on the Nicosia-Kyrenia road have
proved unavailing. The Turks, on shakier legal grounds
than Makarios in this case, apparently hope to beat
Makarios to the punch in the Security Council.
Inonu has warned Makarios that Turkey will take
all necessary steps in the face of any action or aggres-
sion to deprive it of its rights under the 1960 Treaty
of Alliance, which Makarios abrogated last week. The
Turks make a clear distinction between their treaty
rights to intervene in behalf of the Turkish Cypriots,
which they have so far chosen not to exercise, and
their obligation to react instantly to any attack
against Turkish troops on the island.
The Turks are coming to feel that all is lost in
? Cyprus and may be moving to settle the issue in the
context of Greek-Turkish relations. Three hundred
more Greeks in Turkey have.been given 15 days to
liquidate their businesses and leave their jobs.
Makarios is due to arrive in Greece on 11 April.
Much of his talk with the Greeks will be on the growing
pressures for Cypriot union with Greece. Makarios
is unlikely to see any benefit for himself in unionl
(Cont'd)
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Demonstrations have continued among Greek
Cypriots for the return from Athens of former under-
ground leader, George Grivas. Grivas is said to have
indicated his intention to return, despite the op-
position of Makarios and the Greek Government.. The
Communists are now putting it about that the "impe-
rialists" are behind Grivas and the move for union.
Only sporadic fighting has occurred on the island
in the past few days.
3. South Vietnam: Former junta leader General
Duong Van Minh may yet give the Khanh regime some
trouble.
He claims Khanh is making the same mistakes that
Diem made and that the US cannot win by backing the
present regime. Minh, obviously bitter over losing con-
trol himself, may still feel he has a significant mili-
tary following. He is indeed a popular officer and
could become a focal point for Khanh's critics.
The Viet Cong is keeping up pressure on the regime.
The incident rate has stayed above 400 a week since
early last month, well over the average of the past two
years. Wednesday's raid on a military training center
only 15 miles from Saigon netted the Communists a nice
haul of small arms and equipment. It was followed by
the ambush on Thursday of a government battalion in
the delta.
The Communists are beginning to act like a de
facto government in guerrilla-infested Quang Ngai.
In this province, small Viet Cong bands enter govern-
ment hamlets, "eliminate" the local leaders, and begin
issuing directives to the residents.
(Cont'd)
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The picture is not all black, however; govern-
ment action in some provinces is getting results, slow
and painful as the going may be. The French charge
in Saigon has volunteered that Khanh seems to be get-
ting better control of himself and his government.
4. Zanzibar: The Zanzibar Government may soon ex-
pel all VS representatives.
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/some 3,500 Zanzibaris, led by govern-
ment officials, demonstrated before our embassy. Their
posters called for the closing of the embassy and
stated "the Americans are our greatest enemies."
President Karume, in addressing the crowd, guar-
anteed that the NASA space tracking station would be,
expelled within 17 days. Earlier this day our charge
had received assurances that a 60-day time limit set
earlier in the week for the station's removal still
held.
5. Gabon: In next Sunday's elections we expect
Leon Ela-Tind his French helpers to stuff the ballot
boxes even in cases where Mbats men would win anyway.
(Conted)
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This will set off the opposition, which has been
at hair trigger ever since the French plucked Mba
out of the bush in February and restored him to the
presidential chair.
The French are saying, for our benefit at least,
that once the elections are over, Mba will be on his
own. They anticipate that once French troops are
removed Mba will have to compromise with his opponents,
something neither Mba nor the French have encouraged
so far.
We doubt that these opponents would accept any-
thing except his ouster. Ambassador Darlington thinks
that Mba will be forced to go "sooner rather than
later."
6. Burma: Ne Win is plunging ahead with his xeno-
phobre-Wrigram to socialize the country and rid it of?
foreign influences.
Yesterday he extended the nationalization of
wholesale and retail concerns from Rangoon, where they
were taken over last month, to the rest of Burma.
Most affected by these steps are Indian and Chinese.
businessmen; the former are leaving Burma at the rate
of 150 a day.
All of this bears more than a superficial resem-
blance to the Indonesian action a ainst foreign shop-
keepers several years ago.
(Cont'd)
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Last week the Burmese leader forced the closing
of USIA and British Council libraries as well as the
Burmese-American Institute.
7. Nationalist China - Communist China:
8. Pakistan:
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9. Indonesia-Malaysia: Senior British officers in
Malaysia are seeking London's approval to strike
Indonesian supply and communications lines along
the Sarawak border.
10. Afro-Asian Conference: A preparatory meeting
for an Afro-Asian beads-of-state conference--Bandung
II--began in Indonesia on 10 April. Sukarno and the
Chinese Communists are pushing it in competition
with the nonaligned get-together--Tito, Nasir, Nehru
et al--scheduled for Cairo in October. The nonaligned
chiefs hope to put off a full-scale Bandung affair
until next year. (Bandung I was in 1955)
11. USSR-Space:
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12. Argentina: The government is worried over a
possible resurgence of guerrilla activity in the north-
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with a quantity of supplies, were picked un ear the 50X1
Bolivian border last month. 50X1
13.
Cuba:
14. British Guiana: The pro-Jagan union has again
resorted to violence in pressing its so far unsuccess-
ful effort to wrest control of the sugar workers from
an anti-Jagan union. The latter is threatening
reprisals. In Jagan's People's Progressive Party,
dissension between extremist and moderate factions
is growing,with Jagan's own sympathies and indeed con-
trol over the party unclear.
15. Chile: Radical Senator Duran's decision to re-
enter the presidential campaign may help rather than
hurt the chances of left-wing candidate Allende.
Leftist members of Duran's Radical Party are likely
to vote for Allende anyway, and Duran may only pull
?his party's conservative votes away from the Christian
Democratic? candidate, Eduardo Frei.
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16. Mexico-China: An official seven-man Mexican
trade delegation is visiting the Far East to look in-
to opportunitie,s for expanding trade, including trade
with Communist China. In fact, the primary purpose
of the trip, probably, is to arrange for a Mexican
trade fair in Peiping and to establish a permanent
Mexican trade commission there. Cuba is the only
Latin American country which now has such an office
in Communist China.
17. Jordan-USSR: King Husayn has souldpd out the
USSR for technical and financial aid.
Husayn
has already indicated he may also ask for Soviet
rrns if he cannot get enough from the West.
18. Libya: Some of the pressure for early evacua-
tion of Westernbases may be easing.
The King has told Ambassador Lightner that in
a few months a new, more pliable parliament will be
elected to replace the one which has urged the US-
UK ouster.
While these are hopeful signs, it is almost
certain that if the negotiations become too prolonged,
the pressure will again start to build.
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