THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 15-17 JULY 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959305
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: July 17, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
15 - 17 JULY 1964
TOP SECRET
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1.
17 July 1964
Cyprus:2
/the Turks are getting
edgy. The military staged a paradrop exercise
Tuesday near Ankara which looked very much
like a rehearsal for Cyprus.
They claim the Greeks are getting ready
to move against Turkey from Thrace, and may use
this to justify a buildup of their own in this
area. Turkish forces, however, have not been
put on the alert.
On Cyprus itself the pattern of only
sporadic and isolated shootings persists as
it has for some time now.
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2. Congo: Things have not been going
smoothly for Tshombe.
He had to cancel his appearance at the
OAU meeting in Cairo after his stated inten-
tion to attend led to a shocked outcry from
Africa's leading nationalists. This stung
Tshombe. At one point he was threatening to
close the UAR, Algerian, and Ghanaian embassies
in retaliation.
His efforts to put down the eastern Congo
rebels are not yet off the ground./
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3. Pakistan: Ayub is to meet with Turkish
President Gursel and the Shah of Iran in Istan-
bul on Monday. We expect that new regional
?cooperation arrangements in economic, technical,
and cultural affairs will result.
While Ayub, still smarting over US aid
to India, hopes that the new links will down-
grade CENTO, we see no signs that the other
two will help him kick over the traces.
The Iranians, for example, say that Ayub
wanted a formal political tie-up but was unable
to budge the Iranians or the Turks on this.
Yet another facet of Pakistan's "new
policy trend" has been coming-to light in
statements by Ayub in London at the Common-
wealth conference.
He has subscribed to the need for a new
14-nation conference on neutralizing Laos. He
followed this up by saying that Pakistan would
not get involved in a confrontation between
China and the US in Southeast Asia.
All the same, Ayub apparently does not
for the moment intend an abrupt pull out from
either CENTO or SEATO.
4. South Vietnam: Three more battalion-sized
Viet Cong actions this week have pushed the
total of such actions to a record eight this
month. This is, in fact, more than in any two-
month period so far.
(Cont'd)
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The high level of activity is likely to
continue, at least through the Monday anniver-
sary of the 1954 Geneva agreement.
It may be extended over the weekend to
include demonstrations and sabotage in the
cities. This could include acts against Ameri-
cans.
There is at least one hopeful sign. Viet-
namese peasants, particularly in the crucial
delta area, may be turning against the Viet
Cong, who have been squeezing them pretty. hard.
This does not mean these peasants are yet fully
committed to the government cause.
5. Laos: Friday's press stories of a Pathet
Lao attack on Muong Soul were a flase alarm.
Such an effort could develop quickly, how-
ever, should Souvanna go through with plans for
Operation Triangle, the neutralist-rightist
push north from yang Vieng..
The kick off for this could come within
ten days, if it has not been hopelessly com-
promised by barroom gossip and if the weather
permits.
There was no discernible progress toward
a Laotian summit meeting this past week. The
latest wrinkle is an attempt by the French to
get one going in Paris "under the aegis of De
Gaulle."
Political quarreling in Vientiane seems
to have quieted a bit, but there are still many
in the capital who could upset the present
arrangements.
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British Guiana: The situation remains as
explosive as ever. Numerous racial incidents
occur every day,and Jagan's headquarters has
been bombed.
Only effective patrolling and other secu-
rity measures by the British have headed off
large-scale reprisals.
/is also trying hard to work up some
sort of a coalition government which would
perpetuate him in power while restoring order.
Other political leaders, seeing Jagan on
the run, are putting a high price on their
cooperation.
7. USSR: The opportunity which Khrushchev
handed trezhnev this week to devote full time
to party work does not make him heir apparent
or even front runner for Khrushchev's mantle.
It does, however, permit him to compete
on an equal basis with his chief rival for the
job, Nikolay Podgorny.
The naming of Mikoyan to succeed Brezhnev
as president will not affect the Armenian's
unofficial and largely personal status as
senior advisor to Khrushchev and chief trouble-
shooter abroad.
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8. UAR:r
9. Lebanon: Promoters of a second term for
reluctant President Shihab have not given up.
They still hope for parliamentary approval
of a constitutional amendment legalizing a
second term, and are promoting demonstrations
in favor of their man.
There is a chance that counterdemonstrations
by their opponents could set off violent clashes.
10. Haiti: The handful of rebels, who landed
nearly three week's ago, has Port-au-Prince in
A turmoil.
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12. Cuba-USSR: Soviet deliveries to Cuba con-
tinue.
Two SO-1 class subchasers, due to arrive
this month, will bring the number of subchasers
the USSR has provided Castro to five SO-is and
six Kronshtadts.
In addition, eight IL-14 twin-engine
transports have been offloaded this week. The
Cuban Air Force has been using this type of
aircraft on coastal patrol missions.
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13. Soviet Venus Probe: Zond I, the Soviet
space probe launched from Tyuratam on 2 April,
should be near Venus about Monday.
14. Indiar
15. Tanganyika-Zanzibar: Nyerere asserts
that Karume's illiteracy is one of the biggest
obstacles to effecting the union. It seems
that Communist hangers-on, who have had
Karume's ear, take advantage of this to get
his signature on decrees they are pushing.
16. UK-MLF: Though their reservations ap-
parently are as deep as ever, the British have
reaffirmed their agreement to work toward com-
pletion of an MLF charter by the end of the
year, provided they will not be required to
make a final commitment at that time.
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