THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 22-24 JULY 1964
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Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005959318
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RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
10
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
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Publication Date:
July 24, 1964
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
-ISSUED --BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
22 - 24 JULY 1964
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1, South Vietnam: A new crisis has bubbled
up in South Vietnam.
In the wake of recent Viet Cong successes,
General Khanh's position has been a bit shaky.
As we go to press, the situation in Sai-
gon is highly fluid, but Khanh,
seems still in
control.
2. France: In his latest well-staged audi-
ence with the press, De Gaulle this week dwelt
mainly on "what an independent European policy
could and should be."
Europe, he proclaimed, must play a greatly
expanded role in the Atlantic alliance and in
world affairs generally. He apparently intends
to take initiatives which other Europeans will
feel obliged to support. The German Government
has already reacted,unfavorably.
He called for a "Geneva" conference on
all of Indochina among the major powers directly
concerned "in the past and present fate" of
Vietnam. This way of putting it doubtless
pleased Peiping. We note that this formula-
tion also enables De Gaulle to include France
as well.
(Cont' d)
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Given the state of the French budget,
it seems to us unlikely that he actually means
to follow through on his grandiose proposals
for an expanded aid program for all of Indo-
china.
3. Laos: Neutralist forces are now deployed
for Operation Triangle.
Backbiting and incessant maneuvering con-
tinue to mark the rivalries between rightist
and neutr-alist leaders, but Souvanna seems to
be on top of the situation.
The long-discussed talks among the three
main factions may be delayed indefinitely, as
the Pathet Lao have turned down Souvanna's
suggestion that the meeting be held in New
Delhi.
4, Cyprus:I
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5. Italy: Moro's new cabinet is virtually
the same as before. This could mean his posi-
tion is stronger than it seemed earlier, not-
withstanding the hostility toward him on the
part of Fanfani and others in his own party.
However, there is still no evidence of
any real agreement among party leaders on the
issues, and the odds are not good for Moro's
long survival.
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6. Congo: Tshombe is on a tour of dissident
areas in the eastern part of the country, mak-
ing a personal effort to win over tribal and
other local leaders.
Even as he has been talking, rebel bands
have occupied Kindu, the capital of Maniema
Province, which is only four hours by road
from Stanleyville. The government has also
lost more ground in North Katanga.
7. Singapore: The racial violence of the
past several days is likely to persist.
The Indonesians are not known to be
directly involved, but their anti-Malaysia
propaganda during the past several months
stirred up Malay extremists.
The situation is a plus for Sukarno, as
well as the Chinese Communists. So far, there
have been no repercussions in Malaya,
The Indonesians
are still training Over-
seas Chinese from the Malay Peninsula and have
every intention of sending them back onto the
peninsula to set up "guerrilla pockets."
8. USSR-Indonesia
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9. Cuba: President Dorticos has taken on
the two top economic jobs in the regime in the
latest of a series of moves aimed at bringing
some order out of the confusion.
He is to be minister of economy and
director of the central economic planning board.
As president, Dorticos has had prestige,
and perhaps some influence, but he has been
essentially a figurehead. Even if Fidel now
gives him real authority, it appears to us that
the problems of the Cuban economy are bigger
than he is.
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10, Haiti: Duvalier, tormented by an inabil-
ity to bring the rebels to bay, apparently
has developed exaggerated ideas about their
numbers and prowess.
He blames most of his troubles on the US
and threatens to close down our embassy once
the rebels are beaten.
11. Saudi Arabia - Yemen
(Cont'd)
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Husayn has issued a royal decree recogniz-
ing the Yemeni Republic. This is another step
in the growing rapprochement between Husayn
and Nasir(
12. USSR: Our analysis of Moscow's mid-year
economic report indicates that the Soviet eco-
nomic performance in the second quarter was
worse than in the mediocre first quarter.
One trouble, which the economic bosses
have not yet solved, are the distortions which
the high priorities given the chemical industry
and agriculture have introduced.
13. Brazil: As expected, the extension of
Castello Branco's term of office to March 1967
brought only minor outcries, most notably from
Carlos Lacerda, a putative candidate. In
general the step seems to have been favorably
received by the public.
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14. Cambodia: The UN mission will recommend
demarcation of the Cambodian - South Vietnamese
border and the stationing of a UN observation
team on the Cambodian side.
15.
We think this will draw a Soviet or French
veto and get little support from U Thant, who
is chary of getting the UN more involved in
Southeast Asia.
Sihanouk has returned home from Paris,
spouting praise of France and its offers of
military and economic aid.
Burundi:
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USSR: Both packages from Keyhole Mission
1008, 11-13 July, have now been examined.
Results are sparse because of extensive cloud
cover.
Two new missile launch facilities have
been turned up, however, which may shed new
light on the state of the Soviet air defense
program.
One, in the early stage of construction,
is at Cherepovets, about 200 miles north of
Moscow. The other lies just to the west of
Tallinn, Estonia.
Both have important similarities to a test
area at Sary Shagan and to the facility north-
west of Leningrad which had been suspected of
being designed for an ABM role.
No new starts on ICBM launchers were noted.
The photography also disclosed that construc-
tion work has stopped on six SS-7 hard launchers
at the Gladkaya complex.
TOP SECRET
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