THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 22-24 JULY 1964

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005959318
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date: 
September 16, 2015
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 24, 1964
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l'kEf EMI Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 ,,,A; ? THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW -ISSUED --BY THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 22 - 24 JULY 1964 TOP SECRET 3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 F J F L I L.iii I I= [,--1 1 F-4 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 1, South Vietnam: A new crisis has bubbled up in South Vietnam. In the wake of recent Viet Cong successes, General Khanh's position has been a bit shaky. As we go to press, the situation in Sai- gon is highly fluid, but Khanh, seems still in control. 2. France: In his latest well-staged audi- ence with the press, De Gaulle this week dwelt mainly on "what an independent European policy could and should be." Europe, he proclaimed, must play a greatly expanded role in the Atlantic alliance and in world affairs generally. He apparently intends to take initiatives which other Europeans will feel obliged to support. The German Government has already reacted,unfavorably. He called for a "Geneva" conference on all of Indochina among the major powers directly concerned "in the past and present fate" of Vietnam. This way of putting it doubtless pleased Peiping. We note that this formula- tion also enables De Gaulle to include France as well. (Cont' d) 50X1 50X1 PAr TINCh PrIMC;AAnkini. nr. Iv, Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04: CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 Given the state of the French budget, it seems to us unlikely that he actually means to follow through on his grandiose proposals for an expanded aid program for all of Indo- china. 3. Laos: Neutralist forces are now deployed for Operation Triangle. Backbiting and incessant maneuvering con- tinue to mark the rivalries between rightist and neutr-alist leaders, but Souvanna seems to be on top of the situation. The long-discussed talks among the three main factions may be delayed indefinitely, as the Pathet Lao have turned down Souvanna's suggestion that the meeting be held in New Delhi. 4, Cyprus:I Fnr Tho Prociriont nnlv - Teri carrot Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04: CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 (1 11= fMEi Eaa $:=1 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 5. Italy: Moro's new cabinet is virtually the same as before. This could mean his posi- tion is stronger than it seemed earlier, not- withstanding the hostility toward him on the part of Fanfani and others in his own party. However, there is still no evidence of any real agreement among party leaders on the issues, and the odds are not good for Moro's long survival. For The President Only - TOO Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 50X1 - -1 L= ?, r-71 . ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 6. Congo: Tshombe is on a tour of dissident areas in the eastern part of the country, mak- ing a personal effort to win over tribal and other local leaders. Even as he has been talking, rebel bands have occupied Kindu, the capital of Maniema Province, which is only four hours by road from Stanleyville. The government has also lost more ground in North Katanga. 7. Singapore: The racial violence of the past several days is likely to persist. The Indonesians are not known to be directly involved, but their anti-Malaysia propaganda during the past several months stirred up Malay extremists. The situation is a plus for Sukarno, as well as the Chinese Communists. So far, there have been no repercussions in Malaya, The Indonesians are still training Over- seas Chinese from the Malay Peninsula and have every intention of sending them back onto the peninsula to set up "guerrilla pockets." 8. USSR-Indonesia 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy APproved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 ? itZia?r-n P:=1 tt4 F===l r?I r-1 eg EMI IZTI Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 9. Cuba: President Dorticos has taken on the two top economic jobs in the regime in the latest of a series of moves aimed at bringing some order out of the confusion. He is to be minister of economy and director of the central economic planning board. As president, Dorticos has had prestige, and perhaps some influence, but he has been essentially a figurehead. Even if Fidel now gives him real authority, it appears to us that the problems of the Cuban economy are bigger than he is. 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 L. r t r-7771 I I ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 10, Haiti: Duvalier, tormented by an inabil- ity to bring the rebels to bay, apparently has developed exaggerated ideas about their numbers and prowess. He blames most of his troubles on the US and threatens to close down our embassy once the rebels are beaten. 11. Saudi Arabia - Yemen (Cont'd) 50X1 50X1 For The President Only - Too Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 50X1 50X1 f= t7= I= =3 =3 =3LiT? ' Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 Husayn has issued a royal decree recogniz- ing the Yemeni Republic. This is another step in the growing rapprochement between Husayn and Nasir( 12. USSR: Our analysis of Moscow's mid-year economic report indicates that the Soviet eco- nomic performance in the second quarter was worse than in the mediocre first quarter. One trouble, which the economic bosses have not yet solved, are the distortions which the high priorities given the chemical industry and agriculture have introduced. 13. Brazil: As expected, the extension of Castello Branco's term of office to March 1967 brought only minor outcries, most notably from Carlos Lacerda, a putative candidate. In general the step seems to have been favorably received by the public. For The President Only - Too Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 E 1 50X1 50X1 50X6 MEI E=1 Ea EMEI EZEI EM3 r-1 r-1 EaM Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 14. Cambodia: The UN mission will recommend demarcation of the Cambodian - South Vietnamese border and the stationing of a UN observation team on the Cambodian side. 15. We think this will draw a Soviet or French veto and get little support from U Thant, who is chary of getting the UN more involved in Southeast Asia. Sihanouk has returned home from Paris, spouting praise of France and its offers of military and economic aid. Burundi: T.. Declassifiedin Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 50X1 5UX1 50X1 50X1 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7 TOP SECRET USSR: Both packages from Keyhole Mission 1008, 11-13 July, have now been examined. Results are sparse because of extensive cloud cover. Two new missile launch facilities have been turned up, however, which may shed new light on the state of the Soviet air defense program. One, in the early stage of construction, is at Cherepovets, about 200 miles north of Moscow. The other lies just to the west of Tallinn, Estonia. Both have important similarities to a test area at Sary Shagan and to the facility north- west of Leningrad which had been suspected of being designed for an ABM role. No new starts on ICBM launchers were noted. The photography also disclosed that construc- tion work has stopped on six SS-7 hard launchers at the Gladkaya complex. TOP SECRET 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/08/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002900080001-7