THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF (AFTERNOON) 10 FEBRUARY 1969

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005976610
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 19
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: February 10, 1969

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The President's Daily Brief
10 February 1969
(Afternoon)
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TOP SECRET
it; DULY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
11 February 1969
LATE NOTES FOR THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF OF
10 FEBRUARY 1969
I. MAJOR PROBLEMS
MIDDLE EAST
There is nothing of significance to report.
EUROPE
There is nothing of significance to report.
SOVIET AFFAIRS
There is nothing of significance to report.
VIETNAM
There is nothing of significance to report.
II. OTHER IMPORTANT DEVELOPMENTS
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I, MAJOR PROBLEMS
MIDDLE EAST
There is nothing of significance to report.
EUROPE
SOVIET AFFAIRS
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The US"Ambassador. in Belgrade. has been told by a,
high-level Yugoslav Foreign Office official that Rumania
is no longer under pressure from Moscow to hold Warsaw
Pact maneuvers this spring because of continuing Soviet
involvement in Czechoslovakia. The Soviet Ambassador
in Bucharest is said to have told his Yugoslav colleague:
that no maneuvers would be held in Rumania, until the end
of the- year.
The. Rumanians also told the Yugoslays that they be-
lieve developments in Czechoslovakia will cause the Mos-
cow.Conference of World Communist Parties, scheduled for
this spring, to be postponed. If and when the confer-
ence is held, the,Rumanians will attend but the Yugoslays,
will not.
The arrival in East Berlin yesterday of Soviet Mar-
shal Ivan Yakubovsky, supreme commander of the Warsaw
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Only one new infiltration group has been noted en
route to South Vietnam so far this month. This lack of
activity continues the downward trend which began sev-
eral weeks ago. /
The decline of infiltration at this
time of year--partly because ?of poor weather conditions--
is not without precedent. The pattern of infiltration
and the numbers involved in the past three months are
almost
year.
expect
year
identical with those for the same period last
If the similarity continues to hold, we would
the February total to be about the same as last
The tactical military situation in South Vietnam re-
mains unchanged. Only limited and small-scale ground ac-
tion was reported.
5
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Pact, probably heralds a meeting of Pact military repre-
sentatives.
VIETNAM
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II. OTHER IMPORTANT DEVELOPMENTS
PERU
Members of the coterie around Velasco have once
again made it clear that the Peruvians are convinced
the US will not apply sanctions in the dispute over the
expropriation of the International Petroleuth Company.
'Secure in this assumption, they are even taking in
stride the fact that trade negotiations with the So-
viets are not going well. The negotiators from Moscow
reportedly are interested mostly in selling trucks and
mining equipment, which the Peruvians do not want. The
Soviets have shown no interest in buying Peruvian min-
erals or sugar.
BRAZIL
? The military are pushing ahead with the "sanitizing"
of Brazil. Nearly a-fifth of the members of the national
legislature have now been purged, and five state legis-
latures have been closed. The Brazilian National Security
Council has also approved the establishment of a military-
police commission to investigate "subversive or counterevo-
,lutionary acts." This could be a vehicle for making har-
assment of the government's real and fancied opponents less
haphazard than it has been so far. ,
'President Costa e Silva may be opposed to all this,
but we are almost certain he lacks the power to reverse
the trend.
6
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Communist Chinese
Activity
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TURKEY
The Annex today deals with problems in US-Turkish
relations.
COMMUNIST CHINA
The Chinese are putting new emphasis on the improve-
ment of air defense and logistic capabilities in southern
Yunnan Province. Satellite photography of late January
shows work well along on extension of the runway at Ssu-
mao airfield to accommodate jet fighters. When the new
concrete runway is completed, Ssu-mao will become the
fourth jet fighter field in the border area. ?China's
air defenses will then be extended to cover all of, the
Vietnam and Laotian frontier.
At the Same time, engineer units are developing a
large military logistic base in the southern Yunnan sa-
lient. Of 800 barracks and storage facilities identified
by aerial photography within five miles of the LaOtian bor-
der, about 700 are new. These structures are not far from
a Chinese road construction project under way for several
months in Communist-held parts of northern Laos.
This activity on both sides of the border will make
it easier for the Chinese to support Laotian Communist
forces in remote parts of northern Laos, as they have
been doing for some years.
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LAOS: Current Situation
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LAOS
Unusually heavy US airstrikes are being targeted
against North Vietnamese positions surrouding Thateng
in support of the government's efforts to bring in re-
inforcements and vital supplies by helicopter. A num-
ber of friendly guerrilla teams will move overland to
harass the Communists. The airstrikes may initially
prove effective, but prospects for lifting the three-
month siege are not good. Even with the arrival of the
relief, force, government forces are heavily outnumbered.
In north Laos, Communist terrorists withdrew today
from Muong Soui af.Ler killing one US military attache and
wounding another. This attack seems more illustrative of
the sporadic terrorism the Communists manage to carry out
in Laos than indicative of a concerted Communist effort
against government forces at Muong Soui.
8
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1-V.K PKESIDEN1. VAIL Y
TURKEY
SIGNIFICANCE: Turkey has great strategic importance for
the US--both because substantial American investment and
prestige is committed there and because it is the south-
eastern anchor of NATO. During the past two decades, the
US has given Turkey over $5 billion in economic and Mili-
tary aid, and has trained and equipped the bulk of its mil-
itary establishment which totals about half a million men.
US installations. in Turkey are of major importance to our
mutual defense effort. Through them we have been able to
stage strategic forces and from them we have monitored
Soviet Missile and space developments. Nonetheless:, and
despite the accumulation over the years of substantial
goodwill in Turkey, the US faces complex problems in its
relations with Turkey, of which anti-American incidents
of recent months are but surface. manifestations. Many of
these problems really stem from the underlying frustration
and xenophobia of a people which is still about 45-percent
illiterate, over 70 percent dependent on agriculture, and
with dome 42 percent under the age of 15.
American prestige and influence in Turkey reached its
zenith in the mid-fifties. The 1960 military revolution
was the major turning point. The forces of rebellion were
aroused by the government's increasing repressiveness, and
fostered by the mounting frustration of the political
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opposition. Some of this animosity toward the ancien-regime
rubbed off on the US. In the poStrevolution.period, the
Turks began to reappraise their foreign relations, and
this reappraisal has been accelerated by new frustrations
growing out of the persistent Cyprus dispute.
For the past two years, the US and Turkey have been mu-
tually reviewing in detail the fifty-four agreements which
undergird our bilateral relations. Many of these were .con-
cluded during the heyday of the pre-l960 Bayat-Menderes admin-
istration and never received parliamentary ratification. Ma-
jor differences have now been reconciled, and hopefully a
new consolidated agreement will be ready for signature within
a few months. A considerable domestic storm could develop,
however, if as now seems quite likely, the government decides
not to put the agreement through the fortal patliamentdry rat-.
The reVolutiOn of 1960, largely a reaction to Menderes'
tight control, ushered in a period of activity by the long-
dormant political left, which has increasingly plagued both
the conservative government of Prime Minister Demirel and
Americans in Turkey. For the first time in modern Turkish
history, socialism and communism became accepted topics for
discussion and debate, The Communist Party per se remains
banned, but the self-styled Marxist Turkish Labor Party
.(TLP) was organized and gained limited parliamentary repre-
sentation.' The TLP has attracted many known and suspected
Communists and has launched a coordinated program of action
and propaganda aimed at undermining the government, driving
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the American military presence from Turkey, and pulling Tur-
key out of NATO.
Leftist extremism has also fostered the emergence of an
extreme right which will
polarization, especially
rightists have organized
mobile shock "troops" to
almost certainly lead to further
among the volatile youth. The
a group of youth "commandos" as
counter Leftist activities. Clashes
have already occurred between these-two extremist factions
in an atmosphere of increasing violence and instability.
In the last five years Cyprus has become a major factor
in US-Turkish relations. It has periodically raised the
spectre of Turkish military intervention, war between Greece
and Turkey, and irreparable damage to the entire southeast
flank of NATO. The Turks have several times planned to re-
store Turkish honor and protect the Turkish Cypriot community
by military intervention. Many Turks blame the US for repeat-
edly forestalling them.
The US also faces the problem of sharply cutting eco-
nomic and military aid without endangering the already sub-
stantial investment in Turkey. Largely under American tute-
lage, the Turks have made significant strides in economic
development and have projected current and future plans on
anticipated foreign assistance. They feel they have an even
firmer US commitment to support the Turkish military estab-
lishment, which is largely committed to NATO.
Other problems include Turkish labor disputes involving
US military installations, and the continuing jockeying for
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position between the US and the pssR at the Turkish Straits.
The first invites direct confrontation with the militant
left; the latter raises the possibility of renewed Soviet
efforts to alter the Montreux Convention-.
Turkish-American relations have indeed entered a po-
tentially delicate period of transition. :Friendship for the
US remains widespread, but the Turks are taking a close look
at the forces at work in NATO, in East-West relations, and
in US-Turkish bilateral relations.
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Top Secret
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