THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 23 SEPTEMBER 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992876
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: September 23, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
23 September 1971
46
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
'.23 September 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The official Communist Chinese explanation for the
cancellation of National Day ceremonies is uncon-
vincing. (Page 1)
,Japan appears ready to revalue the yen. (Page 2)
Italy has responded favorably to a Yugoslav request
for military cooperation. (Page 4)
The most recent satellite photography of Soviet ICBM
complexes is discussed on Page 5,
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COMMUNIST CHINA
The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs an-
nounced yesterday that cancellation of the usual
parade in Peking and other major ceremonies through-
out the nation on 1 October is merely a "reform" of
the traditional way of celebrating the National Day.
The official line)
"portrays the change as an economy move
? which will also encourage the nation to concentrate
on achieving "concrete deeds in production and con-
struction," a formulation previously used to explain
the remarkably low-key celebration last July of the
50th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party.
? Peking's attempt to play down the signifi-
cance of this episode appears singularly
thin. Anomalous developments, such as the
abrupt way the unprecedented decision ap-
parently was reached and the continuing
standdown in military flight activity, sug-
gest that the decision was prompted by
some major problem besetting China's un-
settled leadership coalition.
Thus far, Peking has not reacted to foreign
press speculation that Mao Tse-tung or Lin
Piao is ill or dead. Chinese spokesmen in
Hong Kong and in several foreign embassies
claim that Mao is in excellent health.
There are also no indications of public
disruptions in Peking as a result of the
decision.
1
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JAPAN
Tokyo will revalue the yen in relation to the
coming weekend,
The timing is con-
venient, since the money market will be closed Fri-
day through Sunday because of Japanese holidays.
One Japanese trading company is already reported to
be signing foreign trade contracts at the new rate.
Unilateral revaluation at this time would
suggest Tokyo believes the present impasse
between the US and the other Group of Ten
nations will not soon end, and that the
step was necessary to facilitate Japan's
international trade during the interim.
A 12-percent revaluation of the yen would
be roughly consistent with the apprecia-
tion of the European currencies that has
already occurred. Moreover, Japan could
cite the move as an unselfish effort to
break the current deadlock prior to the
IMF meetings in Washington next week.
dollar by about 12 Dercent this
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SOUTH VIETNAM
(some 2,000 veterans are
converging on the capital from the provinces this
week for demonstrations that he expects will be con-
siderably larger than last year's and will include
self-immolations. The main targets of the demon-
strators will be the presidential palace and the US
Embassy, in that order. believes the veterans
have close ties with student groups and with the An
Quang Buddhists, and that Vice President Ky is be-
hind the protests as part of his campaign against
President Thieu's election policy. Students from
the Buddhist university in Saigon plan to demonstrate
today in protest against forcible police repression
of an earlier demonstration on 18 September.
fears that the veterans' demon-
strations might get out of hand. He is concerned
that. mass support for the veterans might develop,
ultimately leading to the danger of a military coup.
The government has elaborate plans to dissuade
groups of veterans and the population from support-
ing the demonstrators and will make arrests only
when absolutely necessary.
In the past, the government has acted
with considerably greater restraint when
dealing with protesting veterans than it
has with other agitators. It probably
is still concerned that elements of the
military might view the protests by their
former comrades with some sympathy.
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ITALY-YUGOSLAVIA
:he Yugoslays had raised the subject of
military cooperation with the Italians. Early this
month the Italian Foreign Ministry responded favor-
ably, proposing that a technical delegation visit
Belgrade later this year to discuss specific areas
of cooperation. The Yugoslav military attache in
Rome has said his country is interested in copro-
duction of armaments and in the possibility of mil-
itary collaboration "on the operational level."
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USSR
The most recent satellite photography provided
at least partial coverage of 21 of the 24 Soviet
ICBM complexes, but neither Derazhnya nor Pervomaysk,
where SS-11s are deployed with MRBMs and IRBMs, was
covered with usable photography. No additional silos
of the new type were detected, nor have we picked up
any new details about them. Our count thus remains
at 66 new-type silos at Derazhnya and Pervomaysk,
and 25 at complexes where SS-9s are deployed.
Analysis of the photography is continuing, and
further details may become available.
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NOTES
East - West Germany: As expected, the talks
between the two Germanies broke down yesterday be-
cause of East Germany's unwillingness to negotiate
differences over the German-language text of the
quadripartite Berlin agreement.
/ No date has been set
for a resumption of the meetings, and the West Germans
are beginning to look for a face-saving way out of
the situation. Parallel talks on West Berlin issues
have been in abeyance since last week in anticipation
of the impasse.
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