THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 30 NOVEMBER 1971

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005993002
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 30, 1971
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 The President's Daily Brief 30 November 1971 25 ----7b-rsec4e.L2OX1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 30 November 1971 PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS We cover the latest military activity in the India- Pakistan crisis on Page 1. In addition, Ambassador Keating yesterday found Mrs. Gandhi in a grim mood. (Page 3) Iran today occupied three small islands in the Persian Gulf, and a new Persian Gulf state formed from six sheikdoms will declare its independence on Thursday. (Page 4) China's military air standdown is over,/ (Page 5) 50X1 50X1 50X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 N'DI A Shillong() 552192 11-71 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY INDIA-PAKISTAN The Indians continue to insist that most of the fighting is being carried on by the Mukti Bahini guerrillas, but New Delhi did acknowledge yesterday that its troops have been operating in East Pakistan near Hilli--an area from whichIndia claims Pakistan has been shelling Indian territory, The Pakistanis Claim that Indian troops, supported by armor and ar- tillery, attacked in the Jessore area and have cap- tured the town of Jibannagar, which controls.a 165- square-mile triangle of land jutting into Indian West Bengal. jIndian and guerrilla forces have also been making gains in Sylhet District, wi Pakistani troops suffering heav casualties. There is strong evidence that Pakistan's 7th Division moved out of its Peshawar cantonment on 25 November, possibly toward the? Indian border. The move of Pakistan's last remaining division up to the border might indicate plans to initiate ac- tion on the western frontier, or at least a Paki- stani belief that the likelihood of hostilities in the west has increased. Pakistan also called up its air force reserves yes- terday, but this does not involve a large number of men and is probably intended largely for propaganda purposes. Ambassador Keating called on Prime Minister Gandhi yesterday in another effort to defuse the crisis. Mrs. Gandhi refused to consider withdraw- ing her troops from the border because, as she said, FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY India was "not in a position to make things easier" for President Yahya, nor was India going to allow his "misdeeds" to stand. She criticized Western efforts to exert pressure on Yahya, contending that these have yielded "nothing, except that Yahya has his back to the wall" and wants to be bailed out. When Ambassador Keating brought up Indian attacks into East Pakistan, she cut him off with, "We can't afford to listen to advice which weakens us." Mrs. Gandhi did say she did not want war, but stressed that her patience had worn thin and that she didn't know how long she could tell India it must continue to wait. Ambassador Keating observed that Prime- Minister Gandhi's mood throughout was grim. She dismissed President Nixon's proposals by noting they had been covered during her Washington visit. We agree with Ambassador Keating's conclusion that in the absence of some major political de- velopment, India will do all it can to as- sure Mukti Bahini efforts to liberate East Pakistan. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY JORDAN 3 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 (.> Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 agr? Ba ra ibad. Shaft al Arab KUW IT GsaO-hsZtri Shirs'az Mina al Ahmadi Bushire PERSIAN Ras Tanura bbahra Bandar 'Ab as .,--, -,----7-. , GULF , and..... Strait of engeh Hormuz The a Tunbs. Abu Musa * \ iaKhaimah e. Umm al Qaiwain Ajman QATAR Doha Union of Arab Sharjah TRU IA Dubai ?? Amirates i 1.>, ? . BAHRAIN anam i:Hofuf : SAUDI 552188 11-71 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY IRAN - PERSIAN GULF Iran today announced the occupation of the is- lands of Abu Musa and the two Tunbs. The sheikdom of Sharjah yesterday announced that Iran had agreed to pay an annual stipend to Sharjah in return for permission to occupy part of Abu Musa. Sharjah and five other Persian Gulf sheikdoms will proclaim on Thursday the independence of the Union of Arab Amirates, while the former protecting state, the United Kingdom, will terminate its treaty arrangements with these states tomorrow. One tiny sheikdom, Ras al Khaimah, has refused to enter the union, and has also refused to give up its claim to the Tunbs and come to terms with Iran. Iran's action in taking possession of these islands will add to its ability to control access to the Persian Gulf. As we noted in The President's Daily Brief of 25 Novem- ber, the reaction from Iraq and other Arab states is likely to be restricted to propa- ganda. 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NOTES Communist China: Peking evidently is beginning to restore the proficiency of the air force after more than two months of inactivity. Military trans- ports now are flying about one third of the number of flights that took place before the start of the ?air standdown in mid-September. Bomber activity is also increasing after being restricted primarily to one unit in eastern China for the past month. Jet: fighters now are flying in all air districts of.east- ern.and southern China at nearjpre-standdown levels. Communist China: Recent satellite photography shows equipment for at least two different surface- to-surface missile systems at a military installa- tion near I-thin Shantung Province, where previously we had only tenuous indications of a missile instal- lation. Communist China: West Germany - Czechoslovakia: FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 50X1 50X1 bUAl 50X1 50X11 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4 \ _ - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4