THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 30 NOVEMBER 1971
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005993002
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
10
Document Creation Date:
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date:
August 24, 2016
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
November 30, 1971
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A010100280001-4
The President's Daily Brief
30 November 1971
25
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
30 November 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
We cover the latest military activity in the India-
Pakistan crisis on Page 1. In addition, Ambassador
Keating yesterday found Mrs. Gandhi in a grim mood.
(Page 3)
Iran today occupied three small islands in the
Persian Gulf, and a new Persian Gulf state formed
from six sheikdoms will declare its independence
on Thursday. (Page 4)
China's military air standdown is over,/
(Page 5)
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N'DI A
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
INDIA-PAKISTAN
The Indians continue to insist that most of
the fighting is being carried on by the Mukti Bahini
guerrillas, but New Delhi did acknowledge yesterday
that its troops have been operating in East Pakistan
near Hilli--an area from whichIndia claims Pakistan
has been shelling Indian territory, The Pakistanis
Claim that Indian troops, supported by armor and ar-
tillery, attacked in the Jessore area and have cap-
tured the town of Jibannagar, which controls.a 165-
square-mile triangle of land jutting into Indian
West Bengal.
jIndian and guerrilla forces have also been
making gains in Sylhet District, wi Pakistani
troops suffering heav casualties.
There is strong evidence that Pakistan's 7th
Division moved out of its Peshawar cantonment on
25 November, possibly toward the? Indian border.
The move of Pakistan's last remaining division up
to the border might indicate plans to initiate ac-
tion on the western frontier, or at least a Paki-
stani belief that the likelihood of hostilities in
the west has increased.
Pakistan also called up its air force reserves yes-
terday, but this does not involve a large number of
men and is probably intended largely for propaganda
purposes.
Ambassador Keating called on Prime Minister
Gandhi yesterday in another effort to defuse the
crisis. Mrs. Gandhi refused to consider withdraw-
ing her troops from the border because, as she said,
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
India was "not in a position to make things easier"
for President Yahya, nor was India going to allow
his "misdeeds" to stand. She criticized Western
efforts to exert pressure on Yahya, contending that
these have yielded "nothing, except that Yahya has
his back to the wall" and wants to be bailed out.
When Ambassador Keating brought up Indian attacks
into East Pakistan, she cut him off with, "We can't
afford to listen to advice which weakens us." Mrs.
Gandhi did say she did not want war, but stressed
that her patience had worn thin and that she didn't
know how long she could tell India it must continue
to wait.
Ambassador Keating observed that Prime-
Minister Gandhi's mood throughout was
grim. She dismissed President Nixon's
proposals by noting they had been covered
during her Washington visit. We agree
with Ambassador Keating's conclusion that
in the absence of some major political de-
velopment, India will do all it can to as-
sure Mukti Bahini efforts to liberate East
Pakistan.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
JORDAN
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552188 11-71
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
IRAN - PERSIAN GULF
Iran today announced the occupation of the is-
lands of Abu Musa and the two Tunbs. The sheikdom
of Sharjah yesterday announced that Iran had agreed
to pay an annual stipend to Sharjah in return for
permission to occupy part of Abu Musa.
Sharjah and five other Persian Gulf sheikdoms
will proclaim on Thursday the independence of the
Union of Arab Amirates, while the former protecting
state, the United Kingdom, will terminate its treaty
arrangements with these states tomorrow. One tiny
sheikdom, Ras al Khaimah, has refused to enter the
union, and has also refused to give up its claim to
the Tunbs and come to terms with Iran.
Iran's action in taking possession of these
islands will add to its ability to control
access to the Persian Gulf. As we noted
in The President's Daily Brief of 25 Novem-
ber, the reaction from Iraq and other Arab
states is likely to be restricted to propa-
ganda.
4
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
NOTES
Communist China: Peking evidently is beginning
to restore the proficiency of the air force after
more than two months of inactivity. Military trans-
ports now are flying about one third of the number
of flights that took place before the start of the
?air standdown in mid-September. Bomber activity is
also increasing after being restricted primarily to
one unit in eastern China for the past month. Jet:
fighters now are flying in all air districts of.east-
ern.and southern China at nearjpre-standdown levels.
Communist China: Recent satellite photography
shows equipment for at least two different surface-
to-surface missile systems at a military installa-
tion near I-thin Shantung Province, where previously
we had only tenuous indications of a missile instal-
lation.
Communist China:
West Germany - Czechoslovakia:
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Top Secret
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