THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 2 SEPTEMBER 1972

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993498
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: September 2, 1972

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The President's Daily Brief
2 September 1972
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of Fe. 11652
exemption category 513111.(21.(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
2 September 1972
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
In the Vietnam fighting, a flurry of Communist shell-
ings and commando attacks has shifted attention from
the principal battlefronts. (Page 1)
Indian Prime Minister Gandhi is said to believe that
India may have to get Bangladesh to soften its posi-
tion on prisoners of war. (Page 3)
China
Pakistan
(Page 4)
Jordanian King Husayn is considering entering negotia-
tions with Israel later this year. (Page 5)
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Violence is on the increase in Chile, as extremists
of both the far right and the far left seek to ex-
ploit shortages and high prices. (Page 6)
The Soviets
(Page 7)
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DEMILITARIZED ZONE
SOUTH
VIETNAM
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VIETNAM
A flurry of Communist shellings and commando
attacks, mainly in Military Regions 1 and 2, has
shifted attention from the principal battlefronts.
Many of the attacks were directed at major high-
ways. Highway 1 was cut in a number of places from
Binh Dinh Province northward, and a half-mile-long
bridge 15 miles south of Da Nang was cut. A 600-
round mortar and artillery barrage against the South
Vietnamese Ranger command post in the district town
of Tam Quan in northern Binh Dinh was followed by
a ground attack, which government forces repelled.
In Pleiku Province, the Duc Co border ranger camp
also was hit by a heavy mortar bombardment and
ground attack.
South Vietnamese Marines report that they
killed a large number of North Vietnamese in a bat-
tle just to the north of Quang Tri City, and terri-
torial forces claim to have captured more than 200
weapons and 20,000 rounds of ammunition in an en-
gagement south of the town. The South Vietnamese
2nd Division's counteroffensive in the Que Son Val-
ley made no major gains yesterday.
On the political side, Hanoi late last evening
made a move to grab the spotlight by announcing
that three US fliers were being released on the
occasion of North Vietnam's National Day.
A recent intercept from the Quang Tri area
indicated that 3,500 tons of cargo had been distrib-
uted to tactical units in the area.
Although no time period for the deliveries
was given in the message, the figure
could represent a monthly summary. If
so, the delivery rate of more than 100
tons daily is substantially higher than
over-all Communist daily requirements and
suggests some stockpiling for the future.
The same logistic unit has continued a
high level of supply activity near Quang
Tri City for several months, using both
the waterways and roads. By using water-
ways the Communists will be able to keep
significant quantities of supplies moving
during the rainy season, which should be-
gin in the area in the next few. weeks.
(continued)
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Heavy logistic activity is also under way in
southern North Vietnam. Most routes remain open,
and some are being improved. Aerial observers have
reported spotting massive concentrations of supplies,
and they have seen heavy vehicle and watercraft ac-
tivity. Large-scale supply deliveries south of Vinh
are continuing. For example, scattered intercepts
during August reflected the southward movement of
about 775 tons of ordnance alone, and actual de-
liveries doubtless were considerably higher.
The second tropical storm in a week is threat-
ening North Vietnam. ?Typhoon "Elsie," packing 65-75
knot winds with gusts over 100 knots, is scheduled
to hit the Vinh area late today. It is expected to
head inland and spare the Red River Delta from di-
rect effects. A flood threat to the delta from
peripheral rains and rivers swollen by inland pre-
cipitation, however, is still a possibility.
Tropical storm "Cora," which hit near Haiphong
on 29 August, was short-lived. The storm lost most
of its power as it moved inland, and by the end of
the day it had been downgraded to a tropical de-
pression. Rainfall reported from selected stations
on 29 August ranged from less than an inch to about
3 1/2 inches. There is no information on changes
in river levels in the delta; in the mountains,
however, rivers rose only moderately.
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SOUTH ASIA
Prime Minister Gandhi now appears to believe
that she cannot profitably prod President Bhutto
any further toward concessions.
?she ?told her cabinet
that India may have to make more concessions
to Pakistan and convince Bangladesh to soften its
position on the prisoners of war.
The Pakistani negotiators who were in New
Delhi earlier this week may have convinced
Mrs. Gandhi that as long as Bangladesh
Prime Minister Mujibur Rahman remains
adamant on the prisoner issue, Islamabad
will not be able to reach an accommoda-
tion with New Delhi.
Unless the Indians now are willing to make
a major effort, however, attempts to budge
Mujib may be no more productive than pre-
vious low-key Indian initiatives. He is
stubborn and has publicly committed him-
self on many occasions to trying Pakistani
"war criminals."
3
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PAKISTAN-CHINA
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JORDAN-ISRAEL
King Husayn told Ambassador Brown on Thursday
that he may enter into peace negotiations with Is-
rael later this year. The King has not yet decided
the specifics of his negotiating position and wishes
to discuss it at length with his advisers. Husayn,
who has been meeting in recent weeks with leaders
from the Israeli-occupied West Bank area of Jordan,
has told them that he believes the time has come for
a peace settlement. He told Ambassador Brown that
the West Bankers he spoke to had posed no objections.
The King's approaches to West Bank leaders
help explain the rash of press speculation
in the past few days on the possibility of
early Jordanian-Israeli negotiation.
Husayn clearly does not yet have a defi-
nite proposal in mind, however, and has
not decided on the timing of his move.
Perhaps by coincidence, Israeli Deputy Prime
Minister Allon privately told US diplomats on the
same day that his government is now ready to make
peace with Husayn. Like Husayn, Allon did not an-
ticipate any, movement toward a settlement for the
next few months. Allon indicated that, at a minimum,
Israel's position would center around his already-
publicized plan, which provides for a string of for-
tified Israeli settlements along the Jordan River
and the annexation of some Jordanian territory.
Allon also said he has recommended to Prime Minister
Meir that Gaza City and its port be included in any
peace settlement in order to give Jordan an outlet
to the Mediterranean Sea.
Israeli leaders differ on the subject of a
settlement with Jordan, however. This week.
Defense Minister Dayan, a long-time polit-
ical rival of Allon, went on record oppos-
ing an end to Israeli control of the West
Bank, even in exchange for peace with Jor-
dan. Such a withdrawal is one of the key
provisions of Allon's plan. Last Wednes-
day, Dayan said in a speech that he did
not believe there was much chance of attain-
ing a contractual peace with Jordan, but
from his point of view, this did not rule
out the possibility of a modus vivendi with
Amman. Neither Dayan, Allon, nor Husayn
made any reference to the city of Jeru-
salem, whose future status has long been
an obstacle to an Israeli-Jordanian settle-
ment.
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CHILE
Disturbances, many of them violent, are
on the increase as extremists of, both
the far right and the far left seek to
take advantage of popular resentment over
shortages and high prices. Each side
apparently believes that violent protests
will serve its ends.
The far rightists, for example, hope to make
so much trouble that the military will abandon
their nonpolitical stance and intervene in the op-
eration of the government. Some businessmen, en-
couraged by the success of a recent shopowners'
strike, are said to have allied themselves with
ultrarightists.1
/ The ?extreme leftists,
? for their part, believe that increasing violence
will force Allende to take a more radical policy
line.
So far, Allende appears to be withstand-
ing these pressures without resorting
to drastic countermoves. He continues
to believe that offering to accommodate
his opponents is the best way to divide
and weaken them.
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NOTE
USSR:
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