THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 29 SEPTEMBER 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993944
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: September 29, 1973

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A011700050013-9
The President's Daily Brief
29 September 1973
45
Top Secret
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 513(1),(2),(3)
declassiEed only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
29 September 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The Soviets are unhappy with what they consider
Egypt's drift to the right, and have let Cairo know.
In a major speech yesterday, Sadat defended his pol-
icies and left the door open for fresh diplomatic
efforts to break the Arab-Israeli impasse. (Page 1)
New Delhi's announcement that the USSR will provide
2 million tons of foodgrains will help ease worry
in India over food shortages. (Page 3)
In Burma, the army is preparing a move against Commu-
nist rebels in the northeast who are supplied and in
part directed by the Chinese. (Page 4)
Notes on Portuguese Guinea, ?Saudi Arabia, and Paki-
stan appear on Page 5,
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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USSR-EGYPT
In mid-September the Soviets registered with
Cairo their disapproval
The USSR
stressed that closer ties with "re-
actionaries" hinder "progressive forces" in the area.
In reply, the Egyptians told the Soviets to mind
their own business.
This is the latest sign that Moscow has
decided it cannot remain silent as Cairo's
policies evolve in a direction the Soviets
dislike. Shortly after his return from
Moscow last week, Ambassador Vinogradov met
with President Sadat and his adviser Hafiz
Ismail, apparently to discuss recent strains
in relations.
Cairo's improving ties with Saudi Arabia
and Jordan are symptomatic of a trend away
from the left which extends to domestic
policy as well. Soviet officials in Cairo
have also been openly voicing displeasure
over Egyptian attempts to increase the role
of the private sector and attract Western
capital. A Soviet broadcast after the
Sadat-Vinogradov meeting was unusually ex-
plicit in referring to current tensions.
It condemned "certain functionaries in the
Arab World" who disparage Soviet aid, ac-
cuse Moscow of colluding with the US, and
open the door to foreign capital.
The Egyptians have complaints of their own
with respect to Moscow's sniping and its
lackluster political and military support.
Continued Soviet criticism may prompt
Cairo to attack the Soviets more openly in
the future, but for now the Egyptians seem
determined to avoid a rancorous exchange.
(continued)
1
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
In a major speech yesterday, Sadat did not
mention the USSR. He took considerable
pains to defend Egypt's moves away from
socialism, but the Soviets will take little
reassurance from what he said.
Sadat carefully avoided closing the door on fresh
diplomatic efforts to break the Arab-Israeli impasse.
After commenting negatively on US support for Israel
in the past, he noted approvingly that Secretary
Kissinger "says he wants to hear the Egyptian view-
point." Pointing out that the Secretary is saying
"good and sweet things," Sadat expressed cautious
hope that these will not be used to "freeze our cause
again."
At the end of his speech, Sadat called attention
to the fact that he had deliberately avoided rhetoric
on "the battle." Although he reasserted -Egypt's de-
termination to win back its lost territory, he made
no threats and said nothing to suggest that Cairo has
a military option under active consideration.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
USSR-INDIA
Indian Food Secretary Joneja announced yester-
day that the USSR will provide India with 2 million
tons of foodgrains "on a loan basis." He said
Brezhnev had made the offer in a letter to Prime
Minister Gandhi, who expressed "warm appreciation
for this friendly gesture." Joneja added that ship-
ment of the grain will start immediately. He did
not disclose the terms of payment. In a smaller
deal with Bangladesh in July the Soviets requested
repayment in kind.
This year's excellent harvest helps make
it possible for the Soviets to sell grain
to countries like India in addition to
the USSR's traditional customers. It is
not known how much Soviet grain will ar-
rive in India before the main Indian har-
vest in November. Nevertheless, the an-
nouncement of the Soviet deal, the ar-
rival of other grain imports already on the
way, and the favorable prospect for India's
fall crop will help ease pre-harvest ten-
sion.
3
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
BURMA
The army is readying a 5,000-man force to move
-against the Burmese Communists, who have been extend-
ing their influence in Shan State for the past six
months.
Senior officers have long been frustrated
by their inability to block the growth of
the rebel movement, which is supplied and
in part directed by the Chinese. Up to
now, however, the army command has ruled
out major ground operations in the remote
border area, largely out of fear of pro-
voking Peking, although prospective mili-
tary problems have also been a factor.
Supply lines will be extended; the ter-
rain is rugged, the population inhospita-
ble, and the insurgents--now numbering
upwards of 5,000?well-armed.
The Communists are matching the govern-
ment build-up with one of their own and
could decide to take the offensive. A
defensive posture is more likely, however,
since Rangoon will probably be unable to
sustain a large-scale operation in this
area for long.
4
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PORTUGUESE
GUINEA
SIERRA
LEONE
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
NOTES
Portuguese Guinea: The insurgents have finally
made their long-planned declaration of an independent
state of "Guinea-Bissau," following a "national popu-
lar assembly" that met inside the territory earlier
this week. The rebels hope the move will bring new
pressure on the Portuguese to leave. The Portuguese
still control all the important areas of the new
"state." The rebel government has already been
recognized by Yugoslavia and a number of Arab and
African states. The USSR, which has long provided
the rebels with arms and money, will almost certainly
follow suit.
Saudi Arabia - France - West Germany: Paris
apparently has agreed to sell the Hot and Milan
anti-tank missile systems to Saudi Arabia and may
also sell the Hot system to Kuwait. In accordance
with a Franco-German agreement on the export of
equipment jointly developed and manufactured by the
two countries, the French Government has requested
Bonn's concurrence on the sale to Saudi Arabia.
West Germany is likely to approve the application.
Pakistan: Wali Khan, leader of Pakistan's
largest opposition party, the National Awami Party,
was fired on by unknown assailants yesterday but
escaped injury. As spokesman for most of the coun-
try's Pushtun tribesmen of Northwest Frontier Prov-
ince, Wali Khan could use the incident to rouse fur-
ther tribal unrest.
5
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