THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 21 NOVEMBER 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993991
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: November 21, 1973

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The President's Daily Brief
21 November 1973
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 56(1),(2),(3)
declassified only on approval of
Me Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
21 November 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
A former Lebanese prime minister reports that his
recent swing through Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait
convinced him that all three countries are now eager
for peace. (Page 1)
The Netherlands is trying to repair its ties with
the Arab states and is pressing fellow EC members
to help mitigate the effects of the oil boycott.
(Page 2)
Qadhafi will spend five days in Paris following his
current talks in Belgrade. He apparently is shopping
for military hardware and aid. (Page 3)
Bhutto's recent strong warnings against Afghan pres-
sure have further embittered Pakistan's relations
with Kabul. (Page 4)
Notes on a Brazilian-Algerian oil deal and the Soviet
Union's difficulties with its A-class submarine ap-
pear on Page 5.
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ARAB STATES - ISRAEL
Former Lebanese prime minister Saeb Salaam told
Ambassador Buffum yesterday that his recent two-week
swing through Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait con-
vinced him that a "revolutionary" change had occurred
in the outlook toward Israel. Leaders in all three
countries consider their honor vindicated by last
month's war, and are now eager for peace. He reported
that even some extremist fedayeen chiefs seem to
share this view. Salaam warned, however, that a
failure in the current effort to achieve a durable
peace would trigger an Arab backlash that might in-
clude renewing the war.
Palestine Liberation Organization chairman Ara-
fat has privately stated that the PLO will demand
that a separate Palestinian delegation be seated at
any peace conference once it takes up the Palestinian
question.
the PLO would not attend the first phase
of such a conference, which he expected would focus
on Israeli withdrawal to its 1967 borders.
Fatah antici-
pates that by the time the conference turns to the
future of Palestine, the Palestinians will have
formed a provisional government. Its representatives
would plan to press for Palestinian self-determina-
tion and a return of refugees to their original homes.
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NETHERLANDS
The Dutch government is trying to re-establish
a dialogue with the Arab states and is pressing the
EC members to help mitigate the effects of the oil
boycott. On Monday the Foreign Ministry submitted
a White Paper to parliament designed mainly to con-
vince the Arabs that The Hague has an even-handed
policy on the Middle East. The document reiterates
support for UN Resolution 242 and mentions the need
to give some satisfaction to the Palestinians' po-
litical aspirations. The paper invites representa-
tives of Arab oil-producing states to The Hague to
discuss differences.
Drafting the document was painful for the gen-
erally pro-Israeli Dutch. The paper in effect-ad-
mits that their diplomatic efforts have failed to
budge the Arab states. Charges of ineptitude by
the government's own left wing as well as the oppo-
sition have helped produce the shift. In addition,
three Arab states have begun a boycott against KLM
and are threatening to extend it to Dutch shipping.
Dissatisfaction with-the EC reaction has
prompted parliamentary deputies from several parties
to suggest retaliation against neighboring countries.
Prime Minister den Uyl, in fact, has warned that if
the EC:membersrefuse to share their oil, the Nether-
lands-may ban: exports of natural gas to them. More,
cautiously, the Foreign Ministry has warned the EC
that the Ministerial meeting in Copenhagen this week
muSt- produce Concrete results
Some crude oil apparently still is passing
through the Netherlands but the Arab states have
established .a Monitoring team to ensure that no
shipments are diverted, to Dutch refineries
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LIBYA
President Qadhafi has decided to follow his cur-
rent talks in Belgrade with a five-day visit to Paris.
Judging from the composition of his delegation, Qa-
dhafi is shopping for military hardware and assist-
ance in exchange for assurances of oil supplies.
Libya's intransigence on the Middle East is probably
the main focus of his discussions in both capitals.
This is Qadhafi's first trip outside the Arab
world since he took power in 1969. Until now, he
has been apprehensive about leaving the Middle East
and has always sent Prime Minister Jallud to repre-
sent Libya in Europe. Qadhafi's decision to venture
forth at this point may reflect his determination to
present personally his militant position on the Arab-
Israeli issues.
The trip may also be designed to underscore his
low regard for current peace efforts. Qadhafi re-
portedly will wind up his stay in France with a ma-
jor press conference on November 26, the date set
for the Arab summit in Algiers. He presumably hopes
to upstage the summit, which he recently denounced
as a facade for rubber-stamping decisions already
made in Cairo.
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AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN
Prime Minister Bhutto's remarks during his
recent tour of tribal areas near the Afghan border
have further embittered relations with Kabul. Al-
though there are differing versions of what Bhutto
said, he clearly used strong language to warn the
Afghans against putting additional pressure on
Pakistan. Officials in Kabul characterize his re-
marks as "completely unacceptable" and "deliberately
provocative."
According to A Pakistani Foreign Ministry, of-
ficial, Bhutto has concluded that a.policy of '"re-
straint" has only encouraged Afghan provocations,
and that the time has come to remind Kabul that
Pakistan will not tolerate interference in. its
domestic affairs. The official cited Afghanistan's
stepped-up anti-Pakistan propaganda and personal
attacks on_Bhutto, a marked increase in the number
of Afghan agents in contact with Pakistani tribes,
and Kabul's support for an exiled opposition leader
alleged to be organizing a tribal insurrection.'
The exchange of insults and other provocations
is likely to continue. Neither country wants an
armed confrOntation, but the chances for miscalcula-
tion or overreaction become. greater as tensions rise.
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Soviet A-Class Nuclear-Powered Attack Submarine
554919 11-73 CIA
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NOTES
? Brazil-Algeria: Brazil is taking steps to en-
sure continued access to oil from the Arab countries,
its chief source of supply. The Medici government
has agreed to invest over $30 million in oil explora-
tion activities in Algeria during the next four years
in return for one million tons of Algerian crude oil
per year. Brazil also has recently negotiated con-
cessions for oil exploration and development in
Egypt and Iraq as well as long-term supply contracts
with Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries.
USSR: Difficulties continue with the Soviet
UnionT-g-T-class nuclear-powered attack submarine,
only one of which has been built.
the A-class shows that it has been cut in
half with only the stern section in evidence in a
drydock at Severodvinsk. The A-class appears to
have run into a series of undetermined problems
since it was launched in 1969. Evidence suggests,
however, that the Soviets are continuing attempts
to make it operational.
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iliWaNsote,
Top Secret
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