THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 23 JULY 1962

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005995839
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: July 23, 1962

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
23 JULY 1962
TOP-SEGUI_
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a UN Congo chief Gardiner is on
his way to New York to give headquarters
what promises to be a somber report on
the Katanga problem. His customary
optimism was shaken by his recent meet-
ing with Tshombe in Rlisabethville. He
told Ambassador Gullion that he sees
little hope for negotiations on integra-
tion unless Tshombe can be brought back
to the table knowing that "disagreeable
alternatives" await him if they fail.
The UN, the UK, Belgium, and the US,
he says, should agree on what these
would be.
b. Governor Williams went over just
that ground at length with.Spaak and
other top Belgian officials late last
week. Spaak indicated that he sees the
need for the West to act quickly in
order to hold back pressures for a
radical solution. His proposal is for
a blockade, organized through. the UN,
of the exit routes-for Katanga's exports,
in place of the scheme which would have
the Union Miniere cut off its tax pap:-
ments to Tshombe.
a. The military junta's ,internal
grip) is about to face the first
critical test as demonstrations and
strikes continue to spread throughout
the country, independent of the general
strike scheduled to begin today. Haya
de la Torre's APRA party; which will
provide the core of the strike effort,
has pledges of backing from nearly all
sides, the chief exception being the
Communists. The Communists thus find
themselves in an awkward and mostly
accidental alliance with the junta.
(Cont'd)
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3. Soviet nuclear test
announcement
? b. The best indications are that
the military, in an attempt to reduce
International opprobium, will release
President Prado from his shipboard
confinement later this week when his
term of office will have run out.
c. Within the hemisphere, only
Haiti has recognized the regime.
Brazil, however, while deploring
what has happened and approving the
US response, says it will sooner or
later have to extend recognition to
remain consistent with its traditional
position in such matters.
a. Editorial reaction outside
the Bloc to Moscow's test resumption
announcement generally scores the
specious Soviet argumentation,buti
notes that the move was expected and
expresses the hope that, with the final
round out of the way, East and West can
?set about negotiating a test ban treaty
In earnest.
b. The Soviet announcement does
not set a date for resumption. We are
not yet seeing the indications at the
Arctic site which we would expect to
have at least a week before new tests
take place there. In the case of the
Central Asian missile/nuclear test
complex, however, we cannot count on
having any prior forewarning.
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4., Laog
5. Iran
a. The Pathet Lao, taking a page
out of the SovJet book on Berlin, has pro-
posed that Vientiane become a "neutral
city," garrisoned by troops from the
three factions. They can hardly mean
this to be taken seriously, and it seems
rather to be their way of skipping out
on the agreement for stationing a com-
posite battalion in the Plaine des 50X1
Jarres.
b. Souphannouvong
reneged on his original agreement on this
score after making a trip back to Pathet
Lao headquarters in Xieng Khouang, and
we suspect that he had his knuckles rapped
by some of his hard-core comrades who
probably have more to say about Pathet
Lao policy than he does.
c. Souphannouvong, who was pressed
on the question of US prisoners in Pathet
Lao hands by Forrestal in a meeting last
Friday, is not willing to make any com-
mitments on that point either.
The Shah will be very much in charge
of the new Iranian government put together
by Prime Minister Alam. It contains
seven hold-overs from the Amini cabinet,
including the foreign minister and the
prime mover in the land reform program.
Judging from its make-up, it will try
to hold to Amini's general course in
foreign policy and domestic reform, but
we do not foresee the cut in military
expenses needed if Iran is to ease its
serious budgetary problems. As a first
step, the Shah has anticipated opposition
demands by ordering the new government
to prepare for elections, but set no
date.
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. Reaction to Norstad
resignation
7. Soviet mid-year economic
report
8. Algeria
The press in France and elsewhere in
Europe is in nearly complete unison in
tracing General Norstad's replacement to
differences between him and Washington
over a European nuclear force. Expressions
of regret at his leaving predominate.
The comment from Moscow, Peiping, and
'East Germany also plays on the nuclear
policy angle as evidence both of Allied
dissension and of NATO's aggressive bent.
Moscow's figures on economic per-
formance for the first half of this year
? (we generally find such things usable as
far as they go) indicate that industrial
output has climbed back to the planned
level after a downward slide in 1961.
The report claims that across-the-board
performance is running at 103 percent of
plan and that industrial production is
up 10 percent and labor productivity up
6 percent from the same time last year.
Agricultural output also seems to be up
somewhat in certain categories. Light
industry is not mentioned at all in the
report and is presumably still well be-
hind schedule.
In a move designed to cut the
political ground from under Ben Khedda,
Ben Bella has created a 7-man political
bureau which he declares is to be the
rightful government of Algeria. Although
this action sets the stage for Ben Bella
to bring force into play, we think that
he hopes in this way to cause Ben Khedda
to cave in without a resort to arms.
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NOTES
A. In Djakarta, Mikoyan is helping the Indonesians rattle their own
sabres. Yesterday, he told 50,000 of them that only force would
get the Dutch out of New Guinea, "as the Portuguese were routed
in Goa."
B. Communists and other leftists in Ecuador have pretty well taken
over the reins of the strike movement, now in its second week,
and are trying to head it in the direction of serious violence.
Most of the strikes are in protest against the central govern-
ment's failure to provide funds for municipal payrolls and local
development projects.
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
For The President Only?Top Secret
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