THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 26 JULY 1962

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005995845
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: July 26, 1962

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
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26 JULY 1962
TOP-SECREL_
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1. West New Guinea
2, Dominican Republic
a. Sukarno showed no relish for
being pinned down on his military plans
vs. West New Guinea when Ambassador
Jones met with him yesterday. Jones re-
ports that Sukarno had the stage so clut-
tered with extras that he had trouble
getting in a few minutes of confidential
dialogue. ?About all he elicited was a
profession from Sukarno that the Indo-
nesian military build-up has been car-
ried out just in case talks with the
Dutch fail.
b. From Djakarta's point of view,
however, the talks have so far held
enough promise that Subandrio's original
deadline for obtaining a preliminary
agreement has been stretched from July
26 to August 1.
C. Dutch evacuation of civilian
dependents from New Guinea has gone into
high gear. The bulk of them are ex-
pected to be out within two months.
The Dominican government is bracing
for trouble today in conjunction with
the anniversary of Castro's revolution-
ary movement. The Dominican navy is on
a special alert and has stepped up its
coastal patrols against the possibility
of landings. The government has also
threatened drastic action if disorders
develop from a general strike called
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for today by the nub3 ic employees' union.
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3. Algeria
4. Laos
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Ben Bella haE50X1
interrupted his deliberate and triumphant
progress toward Algiers because leaders
of one of the military districts are ob-
jecting to having his armed legion ac-
company him through their territory. He
Vice 50X1
Premier Belkacem Krim is still de- 50X1
fiant and is trying to rally his Berber
followers in eastern Algeria to resist.
Activity on
North Vietnam's military 50X1
forces in Laos has begun to fall off
and at some points has stopped alto- 50X1
gether. We cannot be sure yet whether
this means that the North Vietnamese
have begun to pull out or merely that
they are ducking into some more remote
corners. 50X1
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?
5. UAR
6. Burma-Thailand
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a. Nasir is reaping a good propa-
ganda harvest from his recent rocket
display, particularly in the Arab world.
Those of his fellow Arab leaders who
have lately taken to calling him "soft"
on Israel have gone suddenly silent.
The Israelis are not taking Nasir's
rocket claims at face value, but we as-
sume, nevertheless, that they will soon
be doing some shopping for Western mis-
siles.
? c. Terrorism by pro-UAR elements
in Syria has been on the increase in the
past few days. The Syrian government has
countered with a number of arrests, but
the outbreak has given it a good case of
nerves.
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Burmese-Thai relations will soon 50X1
go from bad to worse if Shan insurgents
operating from Thailand go ahead with
an attack across the border.
Although Bangkok is not pushing the Shans,
it is not holding them back either; th,e,x1
Burmese will tar Thailand with responsu
bility for any trouble, with some of it
bound to rub Off on the US.
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7. Communist China
8. Yugoslavia
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a. 7
/morale in the armed
forces has been going downhill ever
since 1959. Food shortages among de-
pendents and the ordering of troops
into the fields to help out in farm-
work are the major causes. 50X1
discipline has been kept 50X1
intact and if there were50X1
any civilian disorders, the troops would
follow orders and put them down.
b. We now have what we regard as
convincing evidence that the Chinese
Communist inventory of operational jets
has been shrinking over the last two
years. We have been crediting them
with approximately 2,000 jets. There
are good indications, however, that the
Chinese have not been keeping pace with
the normal attrition, both because of 50X1
halt in Soviet deliveries and
ment in their own production.
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With Tito now 70, he and his top
aides are beginning to look ahead to
the time for a? changing of the guard.
It is expected that Tito will give up
the premiership, and thus day-to-day
control of the government, later this
year. He would keep overall command by
remaining in the presidency. Edvard
Kardelj is most likely to take over the
reins of government but not of the party,
where Aleksander Rankovic appears to be
in the line of succession.
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NOTES
A. The Shah of Iran is beginning his mediation visit to
Afghanistan today in a hopeful mood. Before leaving he
received word from Ayub that Pakistan is willing at
least to discuss the reopening of the Afghan Consular
and trade offices, which improves the outlook for his
mission considerably.
C. The expectation that Soviet military advisors would be
seeping into Morocco together with the increasing flow "
of military equipment is now being realized. Some of the
equipment, with accompanying Soviet "experts," has just
been assigned to one of the Moroccan military bases.
Moscow has so far, to our knowledge, supplied 14 MIGs,
number of T-54 tanks, plus artillery, small arms, and
ammunition.
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WATCH COMMITTEE CONCLUSIONS--5 JULY 1962
No Sino-Soviet Bloc country intends to initiate direct mili-
tary action in the immediate future.
There are indications that the Soviets will increase tensions
over Berlin, and renewed harassments of Western access may occur.
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I.
DOCUMENT OF INTEREST 50X1
,THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
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