THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 1 NOVEMBER 1962

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005996014
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: November 1, 1962

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
,LNOVEMBER 1962
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1. Cuba-UN
2, Cuba-USSR
(Cont d)
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c. Havana is, making much of
Soviet statements of support for Cuba.
Our reading of Soviet propaganda,
however, is that it is falling con-
siderably short of endorsing Castro's
proposals. We are inclined to doubt
that the Soviets will go much beyond
a try for firmer guarantees that Cuba
will not be attacked.
3. Cuba-- a. We have no new evidence to
missile confirm or deny Russian assertions
sites that the missile bases are being
dismantled.
b. We do know, however, that the
Soviets yesterday made what looks like
an about-face on the question Of UN
inspection of the sites./
[-We-do not know
whether thiS word reached U Thant before
he left Cuba or not,
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(Cont' d)
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4. Bloc
shipping
c. The Soviets are now saying
that it will be some time before they
will be able to move the missiles out
of Cuba. They attribute this to
packing problems and the absence of
shipping in Cuban ports.
d. By our calculations, it
would require two, perhaps three
weeks to assemble in Cuban ports
those Soviet dry-cargo ships with
hatches suitable for loading missiles.
e. We also estimate that ,the
dismantling and movement of essential
missile facilities to port areas could
probably be accomplished within abbut
24 hours, but about a week would be
required for loading.
The number of bloc ships en route
to Cuba is now eleven. Three of these
are wallowing at the edge of the
quarantine line.
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5. India-China a. There has been little fighting
in the p21-A two days.
b. Heavy snow in the northeast
probably explains the lull in that
sector. Snow or not, the Indians
have brought their forces defending
the Se La pass up to division strength.
c. Krishna Menon's new job is
Minister of Defense Production. This
gets him out of the main stream in the
?present crisis, but it remains to be
seen whether he has lost much of his
personal influence with Nehru.
? d. Just how badly the defense
ministry has been managed under Menon
may not be evident for several days.
A survey of the shambles has begun.
e. Chou En-lai has turned
aside Nasir's proposals for a cease-
fire, arguing instead for a restora-
tion of the situation as it stood in
1959. In doing so, he appears to have
tipped his hand on what Peiping is af-
ter; a Chinese pull back behind the
McMahon line in exchange for 12,000
square miles of Ladakh. New Delhi
has turned that one down more than
once.
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6. USSR
f. In New Delhi, sentiment for
better relations with Pakistan is be-
ginning to develop. So far, the Pak-
istanis, who are fearful that India
will get too far ahead in their pri-
vate arms race, have not done much to
encourage its growth.
a. The feeling in Moscow's dip-
lomatic circles is that sooner or later
heads will roll as a result of the Cu-
ban fiasco. However, nobody has yet
been able to put the finger on evidence
of a falling-out within the Soviet lead-
ership.
b. Whatever the tensions in the
Kremlin, all indications are that the
man in the street has been much re-
lieved by the recent turn of events.
c. Moscow has ordered its radio
and TV writers to hold themselves in
when preparing material for this year's
anniversary of ?the November revolution.
The word is that their scripts should
"in some way be milder, simpler, more
human and without unnecessary bombast."
d. The Soviets yesterday con-
ducted another nuclear test in the at-
mosphere over Semipalatinsk./
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7. Saudi Arabia
8, Yemen
a. Faysal yesterday pulled to-
gether a cabinet dominated by men who
are tough-minded enough, but who have
never been convinced that Saudi Arabia
needs very much reform. We thus fore-
see a tightening of the government's
administrative bailing wire, but are
unable to say whether it will hold
things together for very long.
b. In any event, it seems in-
evitable that the new line-up will in-
spire Cairo's propagandists, who have
been coasting for a week, to start
beating their anti-Saudi drums with
renewed vigor.
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9. Germany
local officials are
busily fanning the flames of anti-
American sentiment
a. The East Germans, in re-
cent days, have been broadly hint-
ing that they will make political
concessions if Bonn will give them
a better trade deal.
b. They are holding out the
promise of easier access to West Ber-
lin, reunification of families, and
amnesty for people convicted of abet-
ting the escape of refugees.(
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NOTES
A. Laos The Soviet airlift suddenly tailed off to five
flights during the past week. There is no ready
explanation for this, but we are sure it is not due
to bad weather. It is possible that the Russians are
preparing to shift their base of operations from
North Vietnam to Vientiane.
B. Brazil ? It now looks as though Leonel Brizola,
Brazil's mouthpiece for the left who broke all voting
records last month in getting himself elected to the
Chamber of Deputies, may be headed for appointive
Office instead. The speculation in Rio is that he
will join the cabinet or, what is more in his line,
be given the directorship of PETROBRAS, the national
oil monopoly.
C. Belgium Resurgent opposition to legislation redrawing
the line dividing the Flemish and French speaking
sections of the country has got the government into
hot water again, The crucial vote in parliament was
set for last night, but we have not yet heard what
happened.
D. Congo-Belgium Spaak was not at all encouraging on
Tuesday when Ambassador MacArthur urged that Belgium
participate in an emergency import aid program for
the Congo. He asserted such a program, far from
hastening Katanga's reintegration, would only make
Adoula more bull-headed in dealing with Tshombe.
L, Communist China Japan On Tuesday,
barter trade agreement with Japan was
Peiping. Only a few commodities like
are involved, but the doorway to more
trade has now been set ajar,
a five-year
initialed in
fertilizers
Sino-Japanese
(Conted)
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F. Rumania Reports of rural disturbances stemming from
food shortages and harsh treatment of the peasantry
are beginning to appear more substantial.
G. France French officials tell us that underground
nuclear tests in the Sahara, originally set for this
fall, have been put off until early next year. The
French were not completely successful in keeping
last spring's explosion from leaking into the atmosphere
and are taking the extra time to make sure it won't
happen again.
H. USSR Deployment of Soviet instrumentation ships
suggests that Moscow is set for more ICBM shots into
the Pacific.
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