THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 12 DECEMBER 1962

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005996084
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: December 12, 1962

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE .CHECKLIST
ISSUED BYTHE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
12 DECEMBER 1962
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SOUTH CHINA
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1. Brunei
c. Though the revolt itself is
fading, its repercussions will be felt
for some time.
d. There is danger it may cause a
breakup in the Southeast Asia Associa-
tion (Malaya, Thailand and Philippines).
Malaya has recalled its ambassador from
Manila and Prime Minister Rahman, not
impressed by Manila's hollow disclaimer,
is considering breaking relations.
e. The Indonesians are somewhat
less coy about their sympathy for the
rebels, Sukarno having announced pub-
licly on Monday that the rebels' strug-
gle for freedom will succeed.
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(Cont'd)
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2. Congo
g. While the two countries have
the common objective of blocking the
Malaysia plan, their respective claims
to North Borneo conflict.
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b. Some reorganization of the gov-
ernment as a sop to the opposition is
under way.
c. Yesterday, through joint action
with the UN, the government succeeded in
preventing a number of opposition Parlia-
ment members from going to Elisabethville
to work out a successor government with
Tshombd.
d. It is clear from Consul Dean's
talk with Tshombe yesterday that Tshombe
had counted heavily on this delegation.
(Cont'd)
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3. Sino-Soviet
dispute
TShombe obviously continues to believe
that by remaining uncooperative he can
bring about Adoula's downfall.
e. We are awaiting TShombe's re-
action to Spa k's letter advising him
of Union Minibre's decision to pay its
foreign exchange earnings to the mone-
tary council in Leopoldville. U Thant
may have crossed some wires by announc-
ing, meanwhile, that he has requested
a boycott of Katangan minerals.
f. The UN force in the Congo is
planning to give Tshombe an ultimatum
to allow it freedom of movement in Ka-
tanga and to release four Tunisian
soldiers now held in jail by this week-
end.
a. The Soviets have moved one step
closer to an open break with the Chinese
by publishing in Pravda excerpts from
recent speeches by Togliatti and Novotny
in which both openly and by name criti-
cize the Chinese for their support of Al-
bania.
b. In Communist protocol, the next
step will be for the Soviets to name the
Chinese themselves.
c. There are signs that Moscow'is
attempting to bring the North Koreans,
who have been leaning toward Peiping,
back into line.
(Cont 'd)
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4. Cuba
5. India-China
d. A high-level North Korean mili-
tary delegation, which has been in Mos-
cow recently, went straight home without
stopping in Peiping, as has been custom-
ary.
e. We imagine the Soviets are re-
minding the Koreans of a clause in their
mutual Defense Treaty which asserts that
both parties will "remain intolerant of,..
backsliding from the principles of socia-
list internationalism."
a. Cuban spokesmen are beginning to
talk more openly than before the October
crisis of Cuban support for insurrectionist
movements in the rest of Latin America.
b. Since late November Che Guevara
and Education Minister Armando Hart have
taken the lead in proclaiming that insur-
rection is the only road to "liberation"
for the Latin Americans.
a. Following Monday's opening pub-
lic session, the representatives of the
six nations forgathered at Colombo have
settled into closed session, evidently
to wrangle over a proposed UAR compro-
mise whereby Indian forces would with-
draw behind the November 1959 line de-
manded by the Chinese and Chinese forces
(Cont 'd)
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6. Yemen
would withdraw behind the September
1962 line demanded by India. A buffer
zone would be set up in between.
b. It is a good compromise only
in the sense that neither party will
agree to it; also each party has its
own version of the 1959 line.
c. Peiping has again charged In-
dia with deliberately sabotaging the
cease-fire, this time by an aircraft
intruding over Tibet. The toughly
worded protest and accompanying propa-
ganda look like groundwork for justi-
fying resumed hostilities if and when
Peiping so decides.
a. The military situation is not
significantly changed. See-saw fight-
ing goes on in the north, but the re-
gime in Sana appears to exercise ef-
fective control over much of the coun-
try.
b. Six more Soviet cargo planes
from Moscow delivered equipment to
Cairo this past weekend.
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7. Iraq.
a. Plotting against Qasim by
both Baath nationalists and Hashemite
royalists is,-yet again--well advanced.
b. One problem has been that the
Baathists who have a better chance of
success, have been waiting for a roya-
list assassination of Qasim.
c. We have reported plots against
Qasim before and he is still around.
Qasim's prestige is at a new low, how-
ever, and the current plans are unusually
circlimstantial. The Baath has in fact
held rehearsals.
d. On the other hand, the Baathists
do not have a good record for keeping
coup plans secret; if we know of this
one, Qasim's security apparatus probably
does too.
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NOTES
A. Haiti-Dominican Republic Haitian President Duvalier
has ignored our demarche of 3 December which urged he
not allow a member of the Trujillo family to come to
Haiti. /V
B. West Germany Bonn probably will reverse itself this
week and embargo the planned shipment of 200,000 tons
of large pipe to the USSR, but its ability to hold to
the new position will depend greatly on how well such
an embargo is observed by otner NATO countries.
C. USSR Moscow has declared an area in tile Kara and
Barents seas (including Novaya Zemlya) dangerous for
all snipping from 15 until 25 December. Tile Northern
Fleet, it says, will hold exercises there jointly with
rocket and air forces.
D. Argentina The vest-pocket revolt of ousted air force
? commander Alsina yesterday quickly came to ndught.
Some implicated naval heads are rolling in the after-
math(
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E. Syria-Israel Neither side is backing down on the ques-
tion of Israeli activities in the Demilitarized Zone.
If the Syrians again open fire as they did last week,
we would expect a major Israeli retaliatory raid.
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