THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 15 NOVEMBER 1963

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005996664
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: November 15, 1963

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THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST--15 NOVEMBER 1963
1.
INDONESIA?MALAYSIA:
_
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B.
ACTIVITY ALONG THE BORDER IS
SPREADING,
WAK
PLANES BUZZED VILLAGES INSIDE SARA?
INDONESIAN
THE BORDER, HOWEVER, IS POORLY DEFINED.
D.
CHANCES FOR A SERIOUS AIR
INCIDENT
THE
ARE INCREASING.
2. USSR?BERLIN.:
A. THE SOVIET AMBASSADOR IN BONN HAS COMMENTED THAT
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THE RECENT AUTOBAHN INCIDENTS WERE APPROVED BY MOSCOW AND
WERE INTENDED TO DEMONSTRATE THE NECESSITY FOR NEGOTIATIONS
ON ACCESS ROUTES.
..?,,....W.W.61ENNWOMOMMEE~11,
B.
THE AMBASSADOR
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PREDICTS MORE INCIDENTS "IN ORDER TO REMIND THE WESTERN POWERS
THAT THE QUESTION OF THE RECOGNITION OF EAST GERMANY HAS TO
(CONT'D)
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BE RESOLVED IN SOME FORM."
C. UNTIL THE CLIMAX OF THESE INCIDENTS AT SOME UNSPECI-
FIED LATER DATE, MOSCOW WILL TRY TO FIND WEAK SPOTS IN THE
WESTERN NEGOTIATING POSITION THE AMBASSADOR SAID.
D. EAST GERMAN PROPAGANDA MEANWHILE CONTINUES TO:CLAIM
THE WEST HAS NO LEGAL RIGHT TO USE THE AUTOBAHN. THE EAST
GERMAN FIRST DEPUTY PREMIER ALSO SAID YESTERDAY THAT THE GDR
HAD ONLY "TEMPORARILY TRANSFERRED" CONTROL OF ALLIED TRAFFIC
TO THE USSR.
E. A FLAP YESTERDAY OVER THE FIRING OF FLARES NEAR
WESTERN AIRCRAFT IN THE CORRIDORS HAS FIZZLED OUT. US
AUTHORITIES IN GERMANY NOW DISCOUNT THE POSSIBILITY OF DE-
LIBERATE HARASSMENT.
3. BURMA:
A. COUP TALK IN RANGOON IS BECOMING MORE SPECIFIC AS
DISSATISFACTION WITH THE NE WIN REGIME CONTINUES TO MOUNT.
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B.
BE TAKEN BEFORE 18 NOVEMBER. THIS WILL INVOLVE A "CATALYTIC
INCIDENT" INTENDED TO COALESCE ELEMENTS HOSTILE TO THE REGIME,
.POSSIBLY USING BUDDHIST CLERGY OR STUDENT GROUPS.
C, OPPOSITION LEADERS HOPE THIS INCIDENT CAN BE AR-
RANGED BEFORE THE GOVERNMENT CONCLUDES AN AGREEMENT WITH A
COALITION OF COMMUNIST INSURGENT GROUPS.
(CONT 'D)
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D. NE WIN HOWEVER, APPARENTLY STILL HAS THE LOYALTY
OF THE MILITARY. WHILE HE DOES, AN ATTEMPT TO OUST HIM WILL
REQUIRE A LENGTHY BUILD?UP OF POPULAR DISSATISFACTION.
4. SOUTH VIETNAM:
wasksze%asESMONWENWEVOINIIMOWS
A. VIET CONG GUERRILLAS HAVE CONTINUED WIDESPREAD AG?
,Assaika.31.1,0 VO.81.10.3.1, MVISaieggairriZMILIV.
GRESSIVE ACTIVITY AT RECORD HIGH LEVELS THROUGH THE SECOND
CONSECUTIVE WEEK SINCE THE COUP.
B. SOME 1,021 INCIDENTS, INCLUDING MORE THAN 200 SMALL
? SCALE ATTACKS?MORE THAN TWICE THE NORMAL WEEKLY FIGURES--
WERE RECORDED DURING THE WEEK ENDING 13 NOVEMBER.
C. DUONG VAN MINH SAID YESTERDAY THAT ELECTIONS "MIGHT
BE HELD" IN SIX TO TWELVE MONTHS, ACCORDING TO THE GOVERNMENT'S
PRESS AGENCY.
5. IRAQ:
iniutIONEMMINIESINSt
A. THE TURNABOUT IN BAGHDAD HAS CONFUSED JUST ABOUT
EVERYONE.
B. THE EXTREMIST ELEMENTS SUPPORTING EXILE ALI.SALIH
SAADI-7LED BY THE NATIONAL GUARD?REFUSED TO ACCEPT HIS OUSTER
EVEN AFTER THEIR COUP FAILED AND BROUGHT.ABOUT AN IMPASSE.
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(CONT'D)
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PREMIER BAKR AND DEFENSE MINISTER AMMASH, WHO APPARENTLY RE?
MAINED NEUTRAL, CALLED THE BAATH'S INTERNATIONAL LEADERSHIP
TO BAGHDAD TO TAKE CHARGE.
C. THE LEADERSHIP APPARENTLY DECIDED THAT OUSTING THE
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MODERATES--FOREIGN MINISTER SHABIB, INTERIOR MINISTER JAWAD,
ET AL--WAS THE ONLY WAY TO RESTORE PARTY DISCIPLINE.
D. SAADI, WHO DID GO TO MADRID RATHER THAN
TO DAMASCUS, HAS ASSERTED HE HAS WON AND
WILL RETURN TODAY. WE ARE NOT AT ALL SURE THIS WILL BE THE
FINAL SOLUTION.
E. THE INTENTIONS OF AMMASH, WHO HAS BEEN CAUTIOUS
THROUGHOUT AND WHO HAS GOOD CONNECTIONS WITH PARTY CELLS IN
THE MILITARY, REMAIN UNCLEAR. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT HE
MIGHT SEIZE THE OPPORTUNITY TO LEAD AN ARMY MOVE TO COUNTER
THE EXTREMISTS AND THEIR NATIONAL GUARD SUPPORTERS, WHOSE
GROWING INFLUENCE IS PROBABLY RESENTED BY THE REGULAR MILI?
TARY. BLOODSHED WOULD PROBABLY FOLLOW.
F. AT THIS MOMENT, HOWEVER, ALL REPORTS SAY THAT
BAGHDAD IS AT LEAST SUPERFICIALLY QUIET.
6. SOMALIA:
A. THE MILITARY AID AGREEMENT RECENTLY SIGNED WITH THE
USSR APPARENTLY IS A STANDARD SOVIET LONG?TERM PROGRAM TAILORED
TO MOGADISCIO'S EMPTY PURSE.
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(CONT'D)
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7. NOTES:
A. BRITISH GUIANA: JAGAN'S PEOPLE'S PROGRESSIVE PARTY
WILL HOLD WIDESPREAD DEMONSTRATIONS ON 17 NOVEMBER TO PROTEST
LONDON'S DECISION ON PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION. THERE WILL
BE A DEMONSTRATION OUTSIDE THE US CONSULATE GENERAL, BUT THE
GUIANIAN SECURITY CHIEF HAS ASSURED US THERE WILL BE NO VIO-
LENCE, THE PARTY IS ALSO PLANNING A BOYCOTT OF BRITISH AND
US GOODS.
B. USSR: COSMOS 21, LAUNCHED LAST MONDAY
WE HAVE
NOT YET BEEN ABLE TO ESTABLISH WHAT ITS MISSION WAS,
C. COMMUNIST CHINA: THE CHINESE TRADE FAIR WILL BE
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OPENED IN MEXICO CITY NEXT MONTH BY PEIPING'S NUMBER ONE
1,"aapwwwW4SPROL.W.
CULTURAL PROPAGANDIST, ;KU? MO-JO. HE WILL BE THE HIGHEST
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(CONT 'D)
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RANKING CHINESE OFFICIAL EVER TO VISIT A LATIN AMERICAN
NATION OTHER THAN CUBA. THE CHINESE WILL PROBABLY PRESS FOR
PERMANENT TRADE AND PRESS REPRESENTATION.
D. FRANCE: THE OCTOBER POLL ON DE GAUkItE'S POPULARITY--
PUBLISHED IN FRANCE-SOIR ON TUESDAY--SHOWS 46% SATISFIED, 40%
NOT, AND 14% "DON'T KNOW." THE 40% DISSATISFIED MATCHES THE
PREVIOUS HIGH DURING THE MINERS' STRIKE LAST MARCH AND IS 6%
ABOVE LAST AUGUST'S FIGURE. ECONOMIC COMPLAINTS ACCOUNTED
FOR 54% OF THOSE DISSATISFIED, WHILE 15% OF THOSE APPROVING
SAID THERE JUST WAS NOT ANYONE BETTER AVAILABLE,
E. SYRIA:
SOON TRY A COUP.
UNIDENTIFIED SYRIAN MILITARY ELEMENTS MAY
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THE
BAATHIST TROUBLES IN IRAQ WILL SPILL OVER INTO SYRIA AND EN-
COURAGE ANTI-REGIME ELEMENTS TO MOVE,
F. INDONESIA: THE INDONESIANS ARE STILL WORRIED THAT
THERE IS A UK-US PLOT AGAINST SUKARNO, OUR EMBASSY REPORTS
THAT SUBANDRIO AND OTHERS HAVE BEEN QUESTIONING AMERICAN COR-
RESPONDENTS AND FOREIGN DIPLOMATS IN DJAKARTA ON THE SUBJECT.
THE EMBASSY HAS NOTED A MARKED INCREASE IN SECURITY PRECAU-
TIONS AROUND SUKARNO WHO NOW USES HIS OWN CAR AS A DECOY
WHILE HE RIDES IN ANOTHER.
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(CONT'E)
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H. DOMINICAN REPUBLIC:
THE CASTROIST OPPOSITION IS STILL TALK-
ING ABOUT AN ARMED UPRISING
I. BARGHOORN: REUTERS AND UPI NOTE THAT RADIO MOSCOW
AND SOVIET NEWSPAPERS--NOT INCLUDING PRAVDA--HAVE REPORTED
FULLY ON THE PRESIDENTIAL PRESS CONFERENCE. THE NEWS SOURCES
REPORT THIS HAS RAISED CAUTIOUS HOPE FOR SETTLING THE CASE,
. rowaaseos.10M,KeteffiastMla7MVOSTA5E22,.
,BUT TEMPER IT BY POINTING TO A TASS DISPATCH ATTACKING THE
.STATE DEPARTMENT.FOR BUILDING AN AIR "IRON CURTAIN" AROUND
THE SOVIET SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL DELEGATION VISITING THE
US.
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