THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 26 NOVEMBER 1963

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005996687
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
11
Document Creation Date: 
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date: 
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 26, 1963
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t=1 1=1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 26 NOVEMBER 1963 MECALL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 -cnX1.7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 1=1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 I 1 =1 qii -1 - -IL---lf Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 1. Iraq-Syria a. The shaky new accommodation between the two countries following the recent coup in Iraq has been threatened by Syria's action inPgrant- ing asylum to Ali Saleh Saadi, the exiled leader of the extremist wing of the Iraqi Baath. b. Saadi had arrived in Syria unannounced following a brief stay in Madrid. c. Both regimes continue to be troubled with internal dissension with affairs in one deeply tangled with those in the other. d. In Syria the Baathist regime is split between moderates who desire a broadening of the government's Power base,and a doctrinaire faction which wants to keep all control of the government in Baathist hands. e. In Iraq, the pull is more away from the Baathists. Two minis- ters have threatened to resign unless the government adopts an openly pro- Egyptian policy. Nevertheless the government feels secure enough to ease up on curfew and transport re- strictions imposed since the coup. 50X1 (Cont d) For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 50X1 50X1 1i 1 E I 1---1 17 -I i I ?, Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 Laos f. Iraq has announced that? the military union with Syria remains in force, and that a new commander of the joint armies will be announced soon. govern- ment forces had finally secured yang Vieng and its airfield, long held by the Pathet Lao also the capture of Ban Namone farther south on Route 13. b. The neutralist, rightist Lao Army, and Meo tribal guerrilla forces hope to sustain their coordinated clearing action until remaining Pathet Lao pockets in this area north of Vientiane are cleared. c. Such operations in Laos have often been followed by a Com- munist riposte. 50X1 50X1 (Cont'd) For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 y. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 3. South Vietnam a. According to press reports, Viet Cong attacks on Sunday wiped out two of the government's strategic hamlets in the central highlands about 250 miles north of Saigon. b. More than 1,000 inhabitants in the hamlets--who are minority tribesmen--are missing and possibly have fled into the mountains. They abandoned a significant quantity of weapons to the Viet Cong. c. These attacks not only sug- gest continued erosion of the govern- ment's programs to win over tribal support, but also signal that stepped- up Viet Cong pressure against the new regime is spreading to the north. For The President Only - Too Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 (Cont'd) 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 50X1 S t-- I- _j Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 4.- USSR d. This Communist effort is aimed at discrediting the post-Diem regime before the new leadership is able to get its feet on the ground and capture the loyalty and respect of people in the provinces. e. Although the Viet Cong still continues to draw its main strength from local recruiting, a steady stream of cadre and training personnel con- tinues to make its way to the south from North Vietnam along the Laotian border. f. We are now reasonably sure that at least 784 persons infiltrated from the north during 1963 and the actual total may be much higher. 50X1 ,(Cont'd) For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 LJ cj I I 1 11=3i i r-71 1---I 17-71 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 5. USSR-Berlin a. Embassy Bonn feels that the Soviet Union may be seeking at least a temporary modus vivendi on the autobahn without prejudicing its juridical position, which can be used to cause difficulties there in the future. b. The embassy bases this on the Soviet replies to the Western notification to the USSR on 29 October regarding harmonized convoy procedures--two oral statements on 16 November and a note of 21 Novem- ber. 50X1 50X1 .(conted) For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 Cal =1 ?=3 1=1 gaa .. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 6. Brazil c. The Soviet note was designed to make a record, showing that the USSR exercises "control" of the auto- bahn and that the recent incidents resulted from US refusal to comply with "existing procedures." d. On the other hand, the Soviet procedures described in the oral re- plies seem to reflect actual Allied practices, though there is enough ambiguity to afford the USSR flexi- bility in any future actions. a. The danger of an immediate coup against the Goulart regime has receded with the reported decision of Second Army Commander General Bevilaqua not to join the coup plot- ters. b. Bevilaqua, may have been asked to hand over his command as part of a series of reassign- 50X1 ments made by President Goulart to keep the military off balance. 50X1 50X1 ? c. On the other side of the coin, there is widespread belief that Goulart himself will at some time resort to a coup to establish ?an authoritarian regime. (Cont'd) For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 E1 L] I I Icz:A r 1 F71 A E771 1=1 i LJ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 Goulart seems either out of touch with reality or very poorly informed. Public opinion is not with him and the tradition that po- litical power should only be trans- ferred constitutionally is very strong in the army, coup reports notwithstanding. f. The biggest danger from this quarter is that the opposition may resort to some illegal act,giv- ing Goulart the excuse to take over. For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 t- 50X1 50X1 50X1 L=J - 1 Ii L__J I - I r ., Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0 NOTES A. Ethiopia-Congo Haile Selassie has acceded to our ambassadm"s request and is rescinding his earlier decision to withdraw the 1,743-man Ethiopian con- tingent from the UN force in the Congo. B. Communist China - Africa /Premier Chou En- Lai will leave in mia-pecember tor a tour of some Afro-Asian countries, He is to stop first in Egypt and then visit several other African countries includ- ing Guinea, Ghana, and Mali. Chou would be the high- est ranking Chinese leader ever to visit Africa. 50X1 50X1 C. Indonesia-Philippines 50X1 Tiesident Sukarno plans to go to Manila this 50X1 Thursday to confer with Philippine President Macapagal. No reasons have been advanced for the visit. Our chargg guesses that it is an Indonesian move to head off Philippine recognition of Malaysia. D. Venezuela The terrorists have struck again, this time firing six US-owned oil and gas pipelines near ? the northeastern city of Puerto la Cruz. The elec- tions are still on for Sunday,and we look for a maxi- mum effort from the pro-Castro terrorist organization., E. Congo We now have word that 49 members of the Soviet Embassy, including dependents, left Leopoldville on Saturday aboard a Sabena flight for Brussels. They are expected to book onward passage for Moscow. It is reported that the Congolese will allow one Russian without diplomatic status to stay to look after Soviet property. For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100030001-0