THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 25 MARCH 1964
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Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005996912
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RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
13
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
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Publication Date:
March 25, 1964
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BYTHE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
25 MARCH 1964
-1.1014--SE-CREL
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1. Zanzibar
a. The Indian High Commissioner
in eastern Africa returned from a week-
end visit to Zanzibar convinced that
Karume has lost control and that the
island will end up as a "Communist
showcase."
b. His gloomy prediction may
not be too wide of the mark. The
Communist element, led by Foreign
Minister Babu, "a dangerous and intel-
ligent man," is chalking up point
after point at the expense of Karume
and the moderates.
d. On the political side, he
has been spotting his adherents in
Karume's Afro-Shirazi Party, and may
shortly be in a position to manipulate
that organization.
e. As the situation develops,
East African leaders, though concerned,
have been disinclined to put their
hands into the buzzsaw.
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2. Sudan
3. Cyprus
a. The attempt of the Abbud
government to impose compulsory in-
struction in Islam and use of Arabic
on southern negroes has sharpened
separatist tendencies in the area.
b. 'Dissident southerners have
in recent months carried out a series
of harassing raids on government posts.
c. The government has reacted
by stepping up its military action
against the southerners.
a. The island has been quiet so
far. today. It is Greek Independence
Day, and the Turkish Cypriots, fearing
new incidents, are being careful not
to provoke the Greek side.
(Cont'd)
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c. Makarios points out that the
British were quite wrong to insist on
the Nicosia "green line" and on treat-
ing the Turkish community as a legal
entity.
d. In the Archbishop's view the
situation will turn for the better
if only the UN force will "cooperate"
and the Turkish Cypriots "have con-
fidence" in his government.
e. This does not seem too likely.
The Turkish Cypriots by all reports
are despondent and many feel their
cause is lost. Few will care to place
their trust in their fellow islanders.
f. Agreement has been reached
all around on the Finn, Tuomioja, as
mediator, but little confidence is
expressed anywhere that he will be
able to make much headway in the three
months the force will be on Cyprus.
g. If the UN presence does suc-
ceed in keeping the island calm, there
will still remain immense relief and
resettlement problems. Some 50,000
Turkish and 6,000 Greek Cypriots may
have been displaced by the fighting
since mid-December.
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4. Sino-Soviet
Dispute
a. Evidence is piling up that
there will be a meeting of East Euro-
pean Communist leaders in Moscow
during the celebration of Khrushchev's
seventieth birthday on 17 April. This
is likely to be a big occasion, and
other Communist leaders will be in
town to pay their respects.
b. The Soviet Premier may take
advantage of the occasion to push his
scheme for a meeting of all Communist
leaders to deal with the Chinese.
C. A number of parties question
the wisdom of such a conference, how-
ever, fearing it could have no other
result than to widen the breach in the
world movement. -
d. Most of these would prefer
to temporize in the hope that some-
thing will turn up to spare all con-
cerned further embarrassment.
(Cont d)
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5. ,South Korea
g. The Soviets have been moving
troops toward the border area
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a. The students were in the
streets again today for further dem-
onstrations against the Pak Government's
"humiliating diplomacy" toward Japan.
They are demanding a policy of no con-
cessions to Tokyo.
b. A number of students are
staging a sit-down strike before the
National Assembly and the presidential
mansion. So far the police have met
the demonstrations with restraint.
c. The loser
turn out to be Kim
in Tokyo trying to
in Korean-Japanese
in this could well
Chong-pil who is
break the impasse
negotiations.
(Cont d)
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? 6. India-
Pakistan
? d. Yesterday's demonstrators
denounced "national traitors" and asked
for Kim's recall.
e. Kim has long been a contro-
versial figure, and there are many,
both in and out of the regime, who
would like to break his power and may
feel they now have a live issue.
a. Though the latest wave of
Hindu-Muslim strife seems largely
under control for the moment, we are
not at all confident that the lid can
be kept on for long.
b. Each new outburst creates a
new group of refugees who find their
way to their communal brothers across
the borders bearing tales of brutality.
These provide in many cases the spark
for new outbursts.
c. Some 3,000 Hindu refugees
from East Pakistan are being processed
daily through Calcutta to rehabilitation
centers in central India, and the re-
cent riots in eastern India will doubt-
less send a new wave of Moslem refugees
into East Pakistan.
(Cont'd)
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7. Laos
? d. Local authorities, beset
with their own problems, have generally
been slow to react, and order is re-
stored only when troops appear on the
scene.
e. There is also the nagging
problem of Kashmir, where yesterday,
by Indian accounts, 24 Pakittani soldiers
were killed when they crossed the cease-
fire line into India.
a. A defector has come out of
Phong Saly Province, where the Chinese
Communists wield special influence,
with a story of plans afoot there
for a "true neutralist" government
with the key portfolios reserved for
Pathet Lao bigwigs.
b. This strikes us as the sort
of contingency plan that might well
recommend itself to the Communists,
and we had picked up whispers in Janu-
ary that something of this nature was
in the wind.
c. The scheme will probably not
be surfaced unless Souvanna bugs out
or becomes, in Pathet Lao eyes, ir-
retrievably entangled with Phoumi's
rightists.
d. The Communists would also like
to see what can be made ?of a tripartite
meeting, preparations for which are
still inching along in the usual Lao-
tian style.
For The President Only - IOD Secret
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