THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 25-27 MARCH 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005996916
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: March 27, 1964

? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002400300001-7
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
25 - 27 MARCH 1964 50X1
--TOrt-EGRE-1-
26
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27 March 1904
Cyprus: The island has been relatively calm all
week. General Gyani arrived on 27 March, and UN
mediator Tuomioja is expected next week.
Nearly all the 1,150-man Canadian force is there.
A few Swedes and Finns have arrived and a total of
700 each, along with 600 Irishmen, are expected in the
next few weeks. These,added to the 3,500 British who
will remain, make 6,650, only 350 short of U Thant's
original target of 7,000.
One of their first jobs will be to resolve the
conflict over the UN's role. Makarios continues to
insist on the UN forces working in conjunction with
local security forces. He wants the UN to help disarm
both Greek and Turkish irregulars, a job U Thant feels
belongs to the Cypriot government.
The Greek Cypriot leadership Appears to be split-
ting. Interior Minister Georkattis is reported push-
ing for enosis--union with Greece--in an effort to
undermine Makarios. There has been a recent resurgence
of Greek Cypriot feeling in favor of union.
Makarios probably opposes the idea since it would
almost certainly cut heavily into his own political
authority. Since the enosis movement is strongly anti-
Communist, Makarios may be forced to turn to local
Communists for support in fighting it, or try to take
over its leadership himself.
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2. Turkey: In Turkey, Inonu's government ls head-
ing into a showdown with the opposition Justice Party
over Inonu's tax bill.
The Justice Party appears determined to defeat the
measure and may be able to marshal enough strength in
Parliament to do so.
Inonu threatens to resign if he does not get the
bill passed.
3. South Vietnam: General Khanh's prospects appear
to be improving.
he is gaining the respect
of the military by his conduct of operations against
the Viet Cong. These operations have been producing
some favorable results.
In the north, Khanh is ingratiating himself with
civilian political party leaders by giving them admin-
istrative authority. They appear now to be building
a strongly anti-Communist and popularly based admin-
istrative structure. A drawback here is the possibility
that his moves may cause political feuds within the
faction-ridden parties.
Communist activity, however, has risen substantially.
Armed attacks in the Mekong delta have increased sharply,
and Viet Cong pressure in the northern coastal plains
continues. The Communists are also stressing harassment
of communications lines and routes.
(Cont 'd)
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Khanh, meanwhile, has asked De Gaulle to make a
public disavowal of neutralism as a solution to the
South Vietnam problem. He offered in return to lift
economic restrictions and appoint an ambassador to
Paris.
The French tell us this sounded too much like an
ultimatum, which Would make the general bristle.
4. Brazil: The Brazilian armed forces are beginning
to step on stage.
About 600 naval and marine enlisted men in Rio
demonstrated for radical reforms on 26 March.
No violence occurred and the government seems in
control. The incident adds, however, to concern over
the reliability of the armed forces for controlling
political excesses.
High-ranking military leaders
are organizing to keep
Goulart within constitutional bounds.
Keeping the politicians in line has been a tradi-
tional role of the military in Brazil. However, there
?is some doubt that the armed forces will act decisively
enough in this case to curb Goulart.
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5. South Korea: Another 20,000 students demonstrated
in Seoul on 27 March, the fourth straight day.
The pressure on the Pak regime has brought the
recall of Kim Chong-pil from his negotiations in Japan.
? Prospects for the critical South Korean-Japanese fish-
? ing agreement now seem dimmer than ever, although talks
will continue.
The demonstrations have the backing of Pak's
political opponents, who see them as a means of ousting
the regime, as happened to Rhee in 1960.
? So far there have been few anti-American overtones
to the demonstrations. If Pak feels himself in real
trouble, however,he might attempt to deflect the agita-
tion toward the US.
6. Sino-Soviet Dispute:
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there will
be a meeting of East European Communist leaders in
Moscow during the celebration of Khrushchev's seventieth
birthday on 17 April. This is likely to be a big
occasion, and other Communist leaders will be in town
to pay their respects.
The Soviet Premier may take advantage of the
occasion to push his scheme for a meeting of all Com-
munist leaders to deal with the Chinese. A number of
parties question the wisdom of such a conference, how-
ever, fearing it could have no other result than to
widen the breach in the world movement.
7. Libya: Libyan parliamentary opposition leaders
have indicated they would accept a government agreement
giving the US and UK three to four years to withdraw.
Prime Minister Muntassir had earlier told us that
he thought ?two to three years would be reasonable. Be
wants the US to start negotiating within a month. The
UK has agreed to begin discussions with the Libyans
this weekend.
8. Panama: Banana workers in western Panama have
struck -12e United Fruit Company, idling about 1,000 of
the company's 5,000 employees in the area. There is a
possibility that the strike may spread after Easter.
Bananas are Panama's primary source of foreign exchange.
9. Spain-Panama: Out of deference to the US, it says,
and in order not to complicate our problem with Panama,
Spain has turned down an urgent Panamanian request for
a 810 million loan which the Panamanians said was needed
to "forestall strikes and prevent chaos."
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10. Zanzibar: Zanzibar appears now to be only a step
away from becoming Africa's first Communist state.
President Karume seems almost willfully unconcerned,
as Foreign Minister Babu strengthens his pro-Communist
apparatus. Last Wednesday's cabinet changes brought
all the key government jobs under his control.
Karume is also wallowing in the fine treatment
being accorded him by the ?USSR.
Soviet military advisers
a Zanzibar army.
will soon begin training
East African leaders lament the situation, but
are not Drone to do anything about it./
11. France-USSR: Khrushchev's son-in-law, Alexei
Adzhubei,is due to visit France shortly as a guest of
the France-USSR association.
so far he has not requested
any interviews with government officials. However, we
doubt Adzhubei would pass up the chance Of a chat with
De Gaulle. Meanwhile Edgar Faure, whose visit to the
? USSR was postponed at the beginning of March, left for
Moscow on 26 March.
12. India-Pakistan: Ayub has accepted Nehru's offer
of ministerial talks, which should have a calming
effect on the Hindu-Muslim conflict. Ayub is likely
to try to bring Kashmir into the talks, but the Indians
will probably want to limit them to removing some of
the causes of communal tension.
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13. Gabon: President Mba apparently still intends
to play rough with the opposition, and may have to
pay for it.
He is likely to use more brutality and repression
to cow his enemies before the 12 April elections. His
principal opponent, Jean Aubame, is already in jail.
There is some concern in Libreville that Mba may have
hiti executed or murdered.
The result could be more anti-government and--the
same thing--anti-French riots.
British Guiana: The threat of a general labor
tieup is receding. Jagan appears to be losing his
fight to woo Guianian sugar workers away from his
bOte noire, the Trade Union Congress. He is unlikely
to give up entirely, but violence has abated and large-
scale trouble appears at least temporarily averted.
15. France: France appears to be considering con-
strudfiiiii?Uf a space or missile test facility in French
Guiana.
In his major speech in Cayenne on 21 March, De
Gaulle said that France is determined to overcome the
obstacles of nature in Guiana, and that important devel-
opments have already begun there. A source of the US
consul in Martinique reports that the "fact"that a
missile range is being planned is fairly widely known
in Cayenne.
(Cont'd)
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These and other reports refer to the construction
of a military missile test site, but a space-associated
facility would be more likely. France must give up
its missile/space facility at Colomb Bechar in the
Sahara in 1967, and it is building a new military mis-
sile test site south of Bordeaux.
A major project would have several political
advantages from De Gaulle's point of view. In addi-
tion to supplying a reason for developing the economy
of the area, it would encourage immigration from the
French West Indies. Announcement of such a project
would assist De Gaulle's effort to build French prestige
in Latin America,
16. Chile: The outcome of the Chilean presidential
election inSeptember may hinge on the 400,000 votes
of the Radical Party (PR). (
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