THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 16 MAY 1975

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0006014799
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RIPPUB
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T
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14
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Publication Date: 
May 16, 1975
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 The President's Daily Brief May 16, 1975 Top S cret 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Exempt from general declassification scheduk of E.O. 11652 exemption category, 58( I declassified only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY May 16, 1975 'Table.of. Contents Mayaguez Incident: World reaction is reviewed. (Page 1) Laos: Most major urban areas were reported quiet yesterday. (Page 3) Spain 25X1 I visit to Spain maybe.25X1 ill-advised. (Page 4) MBFR: The sixth round of the force reduction nego- tiations opens today. in Vienna. (Page 5) France-NATO: 25X1 Page 7) 25X1 would like 25X1 relations with USSR-China-Taiwan: The Soviets to establish economic and trade Taiwan. (Page 9) 25X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY MAYAGUEZ INCIDENT World reaction to the recovery of the Mayaguez ranges from condemnation by China and North Vietnam to approval by South Korea and Taiwan. Reaction in the UK and West Germany has been gener- ally favorable, and coverage in Soviet media has been essentially factual. Chinese. Vice Premier Li. Hsien-nien has labeled the US action to recover the Mayaguez.."an outright act of piracy" that should be condemned by world opinion. Speaking ata reception given by Vietnam- ese representatives in Peking, Li said-the Mayaguez incident "showed that the US had not learned from its defeats in-Indochina."' He portrayed the inci-, dent.as arising from the intrusionof 4 US ship into Cambodian territorial waters. Li's-comments? the first authoritative statement from Peking, came' after the military action had been.completed. The foreign ministry in Hanoi issued an offi- cial statement describing the Mayaguez as a "recon- naissance ship" and condemning its recovery as a "serious ?act of war." The North Vietnamese pledged support for Cambodia's "right to defend its terri- tory, airspace, and territorial waters"--a state- ment that may come back to haunt Hanoi, given Phnom Penh's recent assertion of its rights to disputed offshore islands. The new government in Saigon, though it has ?not commented yet, can be expected to parrot Hanoi's line. Soviet media have given the incident exten- sive, ?but essentially factual, coverage. Cambodian charges and US denials that the Mayaguez was engaged in. espionage activity have both been reported. Ra- dio Moscow noted Thai protests, as well as criticism in the US, but has offered no editorial comment of its own. The East Europeans have been somewhat out in front of Moscow in their criticism of US actions; the East Germans have used the most pejorative lan- guage. (continued) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Public reaction in. Britain and West Germany has been, generally favorable; French press comment has been. mixed. The French left has condemned the action as "shameful," while the right--still rankled' by Cambodian handling of the refugees in the French embassy--has been basically favorable... Swedish news- papers have, been almost unanimous in their criticism of Washington's use of force In Copenhagen, Foreign Minister Anderson was noncom- mittal after receiving the US embassy's presenta- tion on the Mayaguez incident. A spokesman for the Japanese foreign ministry implied approval for the action, telling newsmen that ships in "open waters must not be' subject to seizure." The spokesman said Tokyo viewed the American action as "limited."- Official and unofficial comment from South Korea and Taiwan has been predictably favorable. Despite the strong Thai reaction, 'a communique issued on the comple- tion of a meeting of foreign ministers of the As- sociation of Southeast Asian Nations--Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore-- made no mention whatsoever of the Mayaguez incident. Of the. Arab nations,. only Algeria has weighed in heavily with invective against Washington. Cuban commentary has been,relatively mild, while Paraguayan and yruguayan officials have expressed satisfaction with the outcome of the incident. The rest of Latin America has yet to make itself heard. 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 -) firedorninontly communist-controlled territory at time of Fe6ruary 1973 cease-fiic MILES ) 1(IS Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY LAOS With the exception of Thakhek, most major urban areas in the non-communist zone as well as the "neutralized" twin capitals of Vientiane and Luang Prabang were reported quiet yesterday. In Thakhek, a rightist stronghold along the Mekong in north-central Laos, an estimated 500 Pathet Lao - inspired students, soldiers, police- men, and low-level civil servants assembled yester- day at the USAID compound. The protesters demanded action on the area's serious economic problems as well as the ouster of a number of local rightist officials. The atmosphere in Thakhek was reported as relaxed, but more radical student agitators apparently are on their way to Thakhek from nearby Savannakhet. The situation in Savannakhet-has stabilized, at least temporarily, following several days of anti-rightist and anti-American demonstrations. The coalition government has formally apologized to the US for the protesters' occupation of the USAID compound and for the detention of three Amer-- ican officials. The three hostages were released late yesterday and allowed to return to their pri- vate residences in the city. The coalition govern- ment-has dispatched a joint peace-keeping delega- tion to Savannakhet to negotiate the protesters' grievances. The coalition cabinet met on May 14 amid con- siderable speculation that replacements for a num- ber of recently ousted rightist ministers would be announced. Action on the cabinet reshuffle, however, was deferred to next week at the earliest. 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 225X1 25X1 SPAIN your visit to Spain may be 25X1 ill-advised. 25X1 doubt that Franco can be encouraged to in- troduce democratic changes. Other 25X1 leaders have res 25X1 tions about the efficacy of the (Similar doubts were expressed 25X1 when Presidents Eisen- 25X1 hower and Nixon visited Spain.) 25X1 you 25X1 will be talking to a "dying regime" when you visit Madrid. 25X1 any bilateral agreement 25X1 reached during the visit might easily be overturned by a post-Franco government. 25X1 25X1 the situation in Spain is 25X1 too complex and fraught with unknowns to hope for even gradual democratic changes simply by encourag- ing Franco to make them. 25X1 25X1 your. visit, will be a boost for Franco.- The very cool reaction to the US proposal that NATO consider establishing closer ties with Spain re- flects a still widespread feeling that Franco Spain. is a pariah In Spain itself, press reaction to the visit generally reflects the varied opinions about the desirability of having US bases in the country. Some commentators view the visit as a reaffirmation of the country's importance to the US because of Spain's strategic position; others imply more di- rectly that the visit should strengthen Madrid's position in renegotiating the base rights agreement. 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 25X1 25X1 20A1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY MBFR The sixth round of the force reduc- tion negotiations opens today in Vienna. The major question, for the Allies as well as the Soviet Union, is whether the US will offer to withdraw US nuclear warheads and delivery systems in return for the Soviet Union's withdrawing ar- mored forces--the so-called Option III. All the NATO Allies were informed in April that the US was studying the matter. They prob- ably expect the US formally to propose that this option be utilized in an effort,to break the dead- lock in Vienna. West Germans remain interested in using such an offer to obtain East European acceptance of the West's common-ceiling proposal to bring Eastern and West- ern ground forces in Central Europe to approximately the same size. West Germans are also con- cerned that if the US offers to withdraw nuclear elements, the Soviets would insist that other West- ern participants withdraw or reduce their aircraft and missiles. Bonn presumably will in- sist on a thorough discussion of this issue within NATO. A lengthy review by NATO officials would make it impossible to offer the nuclear trade-off during this round, The Soviets and their allies have insisted from the beginning of the talks that aircraft and nuclear weapons be included in any force re- duction agreement. (continued) 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY the Soviets expected the US to propose a discussion of the reduction of nuclear missiles some time during this round. The Soviets, in any case, anticipate lengthy talks on this topic and reportedly doubt that any agreement on reducing nuclear weapons can be concluded by the end of the fall round of talks. Moscow is hopeful, however, that the fall round will result in some general agreement on ground forces reductions: In this context, the Soviets probably believe that the West eventually will accept their proposal for a "first-step" agreement in which both sides would reduce by about 20,000 men. 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY FRANCE-NATO 5 (continued) 7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 25X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR-CHINA-TAIWAN The Soviets would like to establish economic and trade rela- tions with Taiwan. The Nationalists are sensitive to complications that any dealing with the Soviets could raise for their relations with the US, but they also appreciate the anxiety contact with Moscow causes Peking. This anxiety has probably been compounded in the wake of the death of Chiang Kai-shek. The Chinese communists have long suspected that Premier Chiang Ching-kuo is less adamantly anti-Soviet than,his father. The Soviets may think that. the Nationalists will be more responsive to their probes in light of your coming visit to Peking, but it is unlikelythat Soviet overture will lead very far. While both parties share ?an interest in worrying Peking, neither sees much utility in closer mutual relations. The Soviets recognize that significant ties with Taipei would preclude improvement of relations with Peking, even after the death of Mao Tse-tung. Chiang Ching-kuo, who would face opposition from the old guard of the Koumintang if he were to pursue an "opening" to Moscow, seems to believe that any serious attempt to explore a meaningful relationship would risk an adverse US reac- tion with only' doubtful gains in Moscow. 9 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010036-8