THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 29 DECEMBER 1975

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0006014990
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
11
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 29, 1975
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 The President's Daily Brief December 29, 1975 2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 Exempt from general declassification schedule of E.O. 11652 exemption category, 5B(I ).(2),(3) declassified only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence ?,. Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 December 29, 1975 Table: Of Contents China-USSR: Amicable Chinese handling of the re- lease on Saturday of three Soviet helicopter crewmen is startling in view of the sour state of Sino-Soviet relations. (Page 1) OAU-Angola-South Africa-Zaire: The summit of the Organization of African Unity that opens in Addis Ababa on January 10 to consider Angola increases South Africa's dilemma as to its in- volvement there. (Page 3) Notes: USSR-Angola; Lebanon; Thailand-Laos (Pages 5 and 6) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 CHINA-USSR Amicable Chinese handling of the release on Saturday of three Soviet heli- copter crewmen is startling, given the hitherto sour state of Sino-Soviet rela- tions and the bitterness the helicopter incident initially caused on both sides. The Chinese gesture is the most con- ciliatory move Peking has made toward Moscow since Premier Kosygin was briefly invited to China in 1969. The Soviet crewmen had been held incommunicado since the helicopter went down in northwestern China in March 1974. The announcement of the re- lease Saturday stated that Chinese public security forces had concluded, following an investigation, that the border intrusion had been unintentional. Peking had initially charged that the Soviet crew was engaged in an espionage mission. Despite Soviet efforts to gain the crew's release through diplomatic pressure, propaganda, and threats to re- taliate, the Chinese maintained a stony silence in public from the beginning while inspiring diplomatic rumors that the crewmen would be brought to trial. The description in the announcement of the heli- copter as an "armed reconnaissance" model may have been designed to justify the lengthy detention of the crew. In an especially telling gesture, a senior Chinese Foreign Ministry official gave a dinner for the Soviet airmen before their release. Peking had never before accorded such treatment to foreign na- tionals who had been detained for any reason. The release appears to be an important symbolic act, but the reasons for its timing are not yet clear. The long Chinese public silence on the heli- copter affair suggests that handling of the matter may have been a contentious issue in Peking which has only now been resolved. There have been muffled indications for nearly two years that some fairly important people in China may have been arguing in favor of a less abrasive policy toward Moscow, presumably on the grounds that (continued) 1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 1 \J .1 1 1.1, 1 .1%.1.-J0 I 1.-/ 1- 41 1 \_ .11 L., China's current approach is too dangerous. There have been no recent signs, however, that such a de- bate has come to a head, and in fact exchanges be- tween Peking and Moscow in the past six or eight months have been particularly sharp. The Chinese have also indicated concern in the past several months that the US has not been prop- erly standing up to the Soviets. The implication is that putative US passivity leaves the Chinese in- creasingly exposed. Recent action on Angola by the US Senate undoubtedly has further heightened Chinese concern on this matter. In addition, Peking's move may be intended as a signal to the US that Sino-US rapprochement does not indefinitely preclude some improvement in Sino-Soviet relations. The Chinese may be particularly anxious ?to make this point at a time when their attacks on detente and SALT seem to be having little or no ef- fect on Washington. At a minimum the Chinese probably also hope to complicate Moscow's attempts to use the anti-China theme in connection with its efforts to convene an international communist conference in 1976; they may also hope to complicate Secretary Kissinger's dialogue with Moscow. The release of the helicopter crew removes an important irritant in Sino-Soviet relations, but a host of others remain. A senior Soviet Foreign Min- istry official publicly revealed two weeks ago, for example, that the Chinese hold three other citizens who, he claimed, had strayed across the border. Chinese propaganda, moreover, immediately be- fore and after the announcement of the release, has continued to attack the USSR's "archcriminal" activ- ities in Angola and "expansionist" foreign policy. Moscow, which from the beginning has maintained that the March 1974 border violation was uninten- tional, has merely issued a Tass announcement report- ing the release of the "illegally detained" crewmen. According to a press report, the Soviet ambassador in China described the Chinese action as a "complete mystery." The Soviets undoubtedly calculate that as long as he lives, Chairman Mao is unlikely to acquiesce for long in any Chinese move significantly to lower tensions with Moscow. 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14: CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 I Ain. IIiIi F IN,12011./E.IN N L., 1 OAU - ANGOLA - SOUTH AFRICA - ZAIRE The summit of the Organization of African Unity that opens in Addis Ababa on January 10 to consider Angola in- creases South Africa's dilemma as to its involvement there. Pretoria has decided "in principle" to with- draw South African forces soon, preferably before the summit The de- cision presuma y is intended to permit the Nation- al Front for the Liberation of Angola and the Na- tional Union for the Total Independence of Angola to deny at the summit that South African troops are assisting them. South Africa set no specific date for with- drawal. Pretoria is aware that its aid is a politi- cal liability to the two groups but also recognizes that a precipitous withdrawal would seriously re- duce their military capabilities. Pretoria hopes that military gains can be made before the summit that will give the National Front and the National Union a political advantage over the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola. South Africa's hesitation on setting a date for withdrawal suggests that the decision to leave may be reviewed and could be reversed. Zambian President Kaunda shares Pretoria's pre- dicament over assisting the Front and the Union. With Angola's two rival regimes both trying to line up support before the summit convenes, it is not clear how OAU members would react to a South African announcement of withdrawal. Two more gov- ernments--Ghana and Burundi--last week recognized the Luanda-based Popular Movement under Agostinho Neto. This raises to 17 the number supporting the Movement within the 46-member OAU. Both Ghana and Burundi oppose Soviet involvement in Angola but, like Nigeria and others, they recognized the Popu- lar Movement because of South African support for the National Front and the National Union. (continued) 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14: CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 25X1 25X1 r twin.= Inman, lammext low=7, -1=r Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 k_ily iIIL /IVL.3IL-'L1N1 'J1NL.I Kaunda says he has reached agreement with Tan- zanian President Nyerere and Mozambican President Machel--both of whom recognize the Popular Movement-- on proposals that would avoid a serious split within the OAU and enable it to work for a political settle- ment in Angola. Kaunda claims the three governments will propose that the OAU: --condemn the presence of troops in Angola; --demand the withdrawal of military personnel; --stop further supplies to involved in the fighting; --call for a cease-fire; --call for a government of South African all foreign the parties national unity. 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 AFRICA . .Azores Iporl CANARY ISLANOSISA: Ceo Sp. Sa Gambia Guine7 BISSZU Conakr Siert' Leone ia Eq. Guinea., 500 1000 Miles 0 500 1000 Kilometers `013 ;2-75 Pointe Noire Comoro Is. .1Fr t Mauritius ascar o tiOunt011 tFyi Walvis Bay (s. at4 ambigua the ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 - , Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 k_in. I I iL I IN.L.:J11?,1:d1 N I l./1 N L., I NOTES The Soviet Kotlin-class destroyer approaching Conakry, Guinea, could enter that port todau. The destroyer and the tanker accompanying it were detected Saturday off the coast of Senegal. The Soviet landing ship that has been in the vicin- ity of Pointe Noire, Congo, remains on station. It was located yesterday about 300 miles off the coast of northern Angola. The tanker that refueled it on Friday is returning to Conakry. The holiday lull in fighting in Lebanon con- tinued over the weekend, partly because of freezing rains and high winds. Sniping and occasional heavy exchanges of fire in parts of Beirut continued to make the streets unsafe in the capital, but Tripoli and Zahlah were quiet. Radio Beirut announced Saturday that Prime Minister Karami's coordination committee--which includes representatives of the warring factions as well as Lebanese security officials--had agreed on a timetable for enforcing the cease-fire over the next few days. There is no indication that the latest agreement will be any more effective than other truces worked out over the past eight months. (continued) 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 / I I/1_, 1 1?,/_,J11/1L,/ 4 1_ l_./1 NIL I Thailand may be preparing to reopen its border with Laos. An official of the Thai Foreign Ministry an- nounced late last week that the border would be "temporarily" opened today to facilitate transpor- tation of essential goods to foreign embassies in Vientiane. The official said he expected Thai Prime Minister Khukrit Pramot to order the en- tire border reopened shortly. An "informed source" in Vientiane, however, today told the French Press Agency that the temporary opening will be delayed a week. The Thai announcement could be a trial balloon. Khukrit may well decide to withhold a final decision on reopening the entire border until he has strong public support for such a move. The Vietnamese communists have increased their propaganda attacks against Bangkok's "unilateral" closing of the border and its "economic blockade" of Laos. A statement by the North Vietnamese For- eign Ministry charged on December 24 that the Thai administration has "continuously colluded with US imperialists" against the Lao people. 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14: CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013000010016-5