CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/07/16

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02018000
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: July 16, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018000
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SECURI NFORMATION
3.5(c)
16 July 1952
Copy Noo 53
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
3.5(c)
DOOMAINT NO. 3.5(c)
_�5-4----_..
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GLASS. CtiAtIGED10:210,64_______
WWI fiEttitEW DATE:
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
3.5(c)
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ET
SECU1 INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Indian Ambassador attempting to influence Japanese policy (page 3).
2.
3. Plan for major Viet Minh offensive reported (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Lebanese-Iranian rivalry developing for Turkish seat on Security
Council (page 4).
5. British banks prevent transfer of Iranian funds (page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Czechoslovakia purchasing tetraethyl lead from the West (page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Comment on East German "reforms" (page 7).
T9,SECA11'
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
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CRET
FAR EAST
1. Indian Ambassador attempting to influence Japanese policy:
3.5(c)
Japan's Foreign Minister Okazaki has in- 3.3(h)(2)
formed Ambassador Murphy that the
Indian Ambassador to Tokyo, K. K. Chettur,
on three recent occasions has tried to in-
fluence Japanese policy by intimating that Japan should be consulted
regarding UN dction in Korea such as the Yalu raid.
Chettur suggested that Japan should indicate
its disapproval of methods now being pursued on the theory that Peiping
would be alienated and peace prospects reduced.
Comment: Chettur, a strong advocate of
India's neutrality, has openly criticized American Far Eastern policy.
He. is supporting neutralist elements in Japan, and is believed to
have been instrumental in influencing Nehru against India's partici-
pation in the Japanese Peace Treaty Conference at San Francisco.
2. Peiping repudiates Korean POW compromise proposal:
In an apparent major reversal of its position,
the Chinese Peoples Government recently
advised that
the Communists are no longer willing to
negotiate on neutral rescreening of POW's at Panmunjom. The note
disclosed that the Peiping government is interested only in negotiating
on the basis of the return of 100,000 Communist POW's, including
20,000 Chinese.
3
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3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
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T&�8ECRET
3.5(c)
3. Plan for major Viet Minh offensive reported:
3.3(h)(2)
/the Viet Minh has prepared
a military plan for a coordinated attack
by all units to penetrate the French de-
fense perimeter north and south of Hanoi (see map on following
page). According to this plan, which covers the period from July
through October, two Viet Minh divisions will attack against the
northwestern sector of the perimeter, followed by another divisional
attack in the area east of Hanoi. In the southern sector of the delta,
a fourth division will create a diversion0
he primary aims of
the operation are to collect rice from the "last" harvest and to in-
crease Viet Minh control in the delta area.
Most reports indicate that the Viet Minh,
currently engaged in training activities and the stockpiling of supplies,
does not intend to mount a major offensive until the beginning of the
dry season in October.
3.3(h)(2)
NEAR EAST AFRICA
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
4. Lebanese-Iranian rivalry developing for Turkish seat on Security Council:
3.3(h)(2)
a general agreement among
the Near Eastern nations provided for the
election in 1952 of an Arab state to replace
Turkey on the Security Council. Beirut stated
that the Arab countries had favored the Leban-
ese candidacy for the past two years.
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3.5(c)
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104 106 108
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INDOCHINA�CHINA
BORDER AREA
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Offeneive reported as being
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104 106 108
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Ryi>aECRET
Comment: Both the Iranian and the Leban-
ese delegates to the UN hive 2-77riady sought American support for
their country's candidacy.
5. British banks prevent transfer of Iranian funds:
London banks have prevented transfer of
sterling funds from official Iranian accounts
Comment: Despite the justification which
may be offered for this procedure, such action tends to encourage
anti-British sentiment in Iran and to increase popular support for
Mossadeq.
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SECT
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T.) ?fECRET
3.5(c
EASTERN EUROPE
Czechoslovakia purchasing tetraethyl lead from the West:
Comment: This is the first indication of
an Orbit purchase of tetraebiy1 from the West. Its source is prob-
ably Italy. This amount would ethylate 30,000 tons of high octane
aviation gasoline, more than the estimated annual consumption in
Czechoslovakia for all purposes.
Orbit requirements in the past have been
met from Soviet production. The marked expansion of Soviet pro-
duction of aviation gasoline, as well as the Soviet policy of stockpiling
it only in ethylated form, have sharply increased requirements for
tetraethyl lead throughout the bloc.
WESTERN EUROPE
Comment on East German "reforms":
Implementation of the administrative "reforms,"
announced at the Socialist Unity Party conference last week� would con-
tinue the trend towardtighter controls and concentration of authority in
East Germany which began with the government reorganization an-
nounced in May. The "reforms" may reflect dissatisfaction with
previous performance, but probably also anticipate the introduction of
additional measures likely to be =popular. These might include still
tighter border controls, party and administrative purges, further cur-
tailment elf "bourgeois" political activity, and ultimately the complete
satellization of East Germany.
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3.3(h)(2
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3.5(c)
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TC,i) CRET
The failure to announce measures for the
immediate formation of a national army suggests either that initial
steps will be taken sub rosa or that the East Germans will await
the lead of the Bonn government.
The possibility that a decision to embark
on full-scale rearmament has not yet been reached is supported by
the continued emphasis on the necessity of obstructing West German
adherence to the European Defense Community while preparing an
East German "socialist" base from which the "vassal Bonn govern-
ment" can be upset.
TOP RET
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018000