CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/05/02

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02692630
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: May 2, 1952

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SECUBf INFORMATION
2 May 1952
Copy No, 3
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
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NEXT EVIEW DATE:_A�
ALITHt HR1711),rir14-0
DATE. IV REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Soviet fighters ordered to attack aircraft in Kpethen area
FAR EAST
age 3).
2. Recent enemy messages in Korea suggest no major operations
planned in May (page 3).
3. Burmese Government and Communists seeking agreement with
Karens (page 4).
4. Important Huk leader seen ready to cooperate with Philippine
Government (page 4).
5. Indian official foresees no recognition for Vietnam (page 5).
SOUTH ASIA
6. High Indian official advocates partition of Kashmir (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Austrian conservatives may file strong protest against American
Interference (page 5).
8. Trieste issue jeopardizes Italian government position in elections
(page 6).
9. Belgium and Netherlands threaten not to sign Defense Community
treaty (page 7).
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GENERAL
1. Soviet fighters ordered to attack aircraft in Koethen area:
four Soviet fighter aircraft were ordered
to attack an unidentified aircraft, called "a
big one" at a point
near Ic�oethe4 ii the Soviet Zone of Germany.
stated that the aircraft was "not flying in any corridor."
Comment:
observers in Berlin indicated that th was at-
tacked on 29 April was outside the authorized corridor when attacked.
FAR EAST
2. Recent enemy messages in Korea suggest no major operations planned
in May:
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An unidentified North Korean nuniat ossibly sub-
ordinate to the V Corps in the Wonsan-Hamhung area, on
29 April that "the training course at the Corps will be ei rom the
1st of May to the 30th of May."
Comment: The continuance of April
procedures during May and continued training in a major or
orean command may be interpreted as an indication that no major
enemy operation is contemplated in the immediate future.
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3. Burmese Government and Communists seeking agreement with Katens:
The Minister for the Karen State is reliably
reported to be discussing with insurgent Karen
leaders a proposal for general amnesty if they
surrender to the Karen State Government.
The creation of a joint Karen-Burman commission to determine the
boundaries of an autonomous Karen state is also promised.
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Meanwhile, discussion of an alliance between
Karen and Communist forces is continuing, according to another report,
which alleges that top Karen leaders are now in favor of such an alliance.
Comment: This reported Burmese offer to the
Karens is the most attractive to date.
4. Important Huk leader seen ready to cooperate with Philippine Government:
cause.
A Manila journalist has received an apparently
authentic letter addressed to President Quirino
from Huk leader Luis Taruc in which Taruc in-
dicated disillusionment with the Communist
tie proposed that Quirino call and preside over a meeting of
major land owners to attempt a genuine and peaceful solution of Philip-
pine agrarian problems. Defense Secretary Magsaysay has directed
that an answer be sent suggesting a meeting of Taruc, the journalist and
himself.
Philippine authorities consider Taruc the
"softest" of the top Communist leaders and believe that the letter signi-
fies a break in the Huk front which can be exploited.
Comment: Taruc in the past has been recog-
nized as the top Huk leader. Recent evidence indicates, however, that
the first echelon of Philippine Communist leadership is now composed of
"harder" Communists.
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5. Indian official foresees no recognition for Vietnam:
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Indian Consul General Kamath, during a fare-
well call on American Minister Heath in Saigon,
discounted the possibility of Vietnam being
recognized soon by India. He believed such
an action would not only unnecessarily link India with one side in the
"cold war" but align it with "dubious" French and Vietnamese political
elements.
SOUTH ASIA
6. High Indian official advocates partition of Kashmir:
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In two recent conversations with American Am-
bassador Bowles, Secretary General Bajpai of
the Indian Ministry of External Affairs expressed
his conviction that further discussions between
India and Pakistan on Kashmir would be useless unless the subject of
partition could be raised. Bajpai stated that the Indian Government has
not fully considered its position on the partition question. He thought,
however, that if an agreement on Kashmir were ever to be reached, it
would have to be based on partition with a plebiscite only in the most
densely settled portion of the state.
Comment: Indications are that the Indian
Government, anxious to avoid the onus of terminating negotiations but
uncertain of its ability to maintain its stand on the number of troops to
be kept in Kashmir, is attempting to postpone discussions or to turn
them into a new channel.
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Austrian conservatives may file strong protest against American inter-
ference:
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Austrian Foreign Minister Gruber reportedly
contemplates strong protests to the US Govern-
ment regarding the public release of an American
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report on restrictive business practices in Austria. Gruber allegedly
connects the release of the report with the current investigation of illegal
diversions of dollar funds from the European Recovery Program for pri-
vate purposes and feels that the United States is trying to weaken the
People's Party position.
Comment: Preliminary findings of the current
investigation suggest that full disclosure of the magnitude of illegal dollar
diversions may seriously embarrass and further weaken the People's
Party in the coalition government.
8. Trieste issue jeopardizes Italian government position in elections:
In view of the elections in southern Italy on 3.3(h)(2)
25 May, the British and the American Em-
bassies in Rome are disturbed by the lack of
progress at the London tripartite talks on the
administration of Zone A of Trieste.
The US Embassy points out that the Italian
Government's policy has weakened its domestic popularity at a critical
time. By exploiting the issue of nationalism, "to the extreme limit of
irresponsibility," the neo- Fascists and other extreme rightist groups,
which substantially supported the Christian Democrats in 1948, have
grown so much in the past year that the electoral margin of the political
center over the left is seriously reduced.
The Embassy observes that a reverse for the
middle-of-the-road groups in the elections could start a chain of political
developments seriously blocking American objectives in this area.
Comment: Neo- Fascist and other nationalist
elements are successfully explottfng the Trieste issue to prove that
Italy's alliance with the Atlantic Pact powers is unprofitable. The neo-
Fascist movement seems to be increasing its electoral potential and,
even more considerably, its political influence, first manifest in the
1951 elections.
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9. Belgium and Netherlands threaten not to sign Defense Community treaty:
The Belgian Ambassador in Washington notified
the Department of State on 30 April of hisgovern-
ment's "misgivings" about initialing the European
Defense Community treaty unless all member
countries adopt a uniform twenty-four month 3.3(h)(2)
military service period. He added that the
Belgian delegate to the Community conference
has already been instructed to state that Belgium
cannot sign the treaty unless this condition is met. He proposed that the
Community adopt the twenty-four month figure now but leave the Commu-
nity Council free to modify it later.
On the same day the Dutch EDC delegate stated
that he could not even initial the articles of the treaty already agreed upon
unless his government knew how Germany's financial contribution for the
first year wap to be divided.
Comment: A reduction of the Belgian term
of military service to eighteen months - equal to that of France and ,
Italy - would force Belgium to cut its commitment of forces to NATO.
There is little chance that France and Italy would increase the levels of
their military service to meet the Belgian demand.
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