CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/28

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02692637
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 28, 1952

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SECURI FORMATION
28 October 1952
Copy No.
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Office of Current Intelligence
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN Ct. SS.
LI DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS jai
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
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AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE: REVIEWER: , 3.5(c)
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SEC INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Soviet official suggests armistice solution lies in New York
(page 3).
FAR EAST
2. Enemy twin-jet bombers arrive in Manchuria (page 3).
3. Chinese Communists concerned over possible Nationalist
invasion (page 4).
4.
5.
6.
7.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
Deteriorating political situation confronts Iraqi Regent (page 4).
Egypt's participation in MEDO depends on British evacuation
of Suez (page 6).
General Nagib's moderate policy reportedly hampered by
lack of Western aid (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Italian ratification of EDC to await French parliamentary
action (page 7).
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GENERAL
1. Soviet official suggests armistice solution lies in New York:
Comment: The USSR has launched a
campaign to undermine the Unite,d States stand on the Korean
question and create dissension among, UN members.
FAR EAST
2. Enemy twin-jet bombers arrive in Manchuria:
�Eight Soviet 1L-28 jet bombers flew from
Chita in Soviet Russfa to Tsitsihar in
Manchuria
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Comment: These twin-engine light bombers
may be destined ultimately for Port Arthur ,to replace the TU-2 bomb-
er division which left there in early October. Since they represent
the only known jet bombers in Manchuria, their presence in MuMen,
even on a temporary basis, would increase the capability of ComniuniSt
air power against UN targets in Korea.
3. Chinese Communists concerned over, possible Nationalist invasion:
The Chinese Communists expect an early 3.3(h)(2)
invasion of mainland China by the Nationalists
from Formosa, according to continuing
reports received by the American Consul
Cieneral in Hong Kong. These reports
suggest e new invasion precautions which have been taken in
many coastal cities are a result of fear aroused by Nationalist aerial
reconnaissance and guerrilla raids in sensitive areas.
Comment: The recent large-scale Nationalist
raid on Nan Jih Island, off the Fukien coast about 80 miles northeast
of Amoy, may have been regarded by the Communists as a prelude
to invasion of the mainland.
NEAR EAST \ - AFRICA
4. Deteriorating political situation confronts Iraqi Regent:
Four political parties in Iraq are reportedly 3.3(h)(2)
ready- W. boycott the fo-rthtoming elections Jr
the Regent turns down a series of reforms,
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palace officials 3.3(h)(2)
in Baghdad have resolved to bring the deteriorating political situation
to the attention of the Regent.
Comment: Parliament was dissolved on
27 October. Iraq, now governea-Tay a caretaker government, awaits
the decision of the Regent on the date of the elections, which will
be held shortly, on whether there are to be reforms, and on the
make-up of the caretaker cabinet which will conduct the elections.
The political parties threatening a boycott are extremists and
their demands for electoral reforms have had the backing of the
Communists.
These reports indicate that the political
pressures which have been causing upheavals in Syria, Jordan,
Egypt and Lebanon may also be powerful in Iraq.
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6. Egypt's participation in MEDO depends on British evacuation of Suez:
General Nagib and the 7vntian Forpign
Minister have informed
that Egyptian
participation in MED is impossible as
long as British troops remain in the Suez area. Nagib stated that
while he would not be "so foolish as the Wafd" and fight the British,
he could not accept anything short of British evacuation of the
canal zone.
The general stated that it was in Egypt's
Interest to enter an organization such as MEDO, but also pointed
out the disadvantages which he believed Egypt would suffer in
joining. Its participation, he said, would induce the other Arab
countries to follow suit. If Egypt subsequently withdrew, other
countries, particularly Syria and Iraq, might remain and Egypt
would then be isolated.
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Nagib informed
however, that he would continue studying the question of participation
and discuss the matter with him in two or three weeks.
Comment: This is the clearest statement
to date of the Egyptian military regime's attitude on the withdrawal
of British troops from the canal zone. It is also the first suggestion
that the Cairo government might not join MEDO even if Britain
evacuated the Suez area.
7. General Nagib's moderate policy reportedly hampered by lack of
Western
General Nagib is quoted as complaining
that he has not yet received any advantage
from his friendly policy toward the West,
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and consequently is experiencing difficulty in controlling the
nationalist members of his cabinet, who he says are inclined to
favor Russia.
Nagib cited his failure to obtain jet aircraft
and the release of 5,000,000 pounds from Great Britain as handicaps
that make it difficult for him to convince extremists in the cabinet
thata pro-Western policy is worthwhile.
Comment: The British Cabinet is expected
to decide shortly whetherTiFrie ease some of the 65 jet aircraft
ordered by Egypt. Release of the 51000,000 pounds is still under
discussion.
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Italian ratification of EDC to await French parliamentary action:
The American Embassy in Rome states that
the Italian Government will await clarifi-
cation of the French parliamentary situation
before seeking ratification of the EDC treaty.
The Embassy believes that it will be under heavy attack for failure
to secure concessions on Trieste, and will therefore not be receptive
to pressure for prompt ratification.
Comment: Italy's own requests for concessions
in American aid, and for support of its position on Trieste in return
for ratification of EDC, may well depend ill the parliamentary
recommendations which Pinay has invited on possible "additions"
to the EDC treaty.
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