CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/11/04

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02692639
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: November 4, 1952

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SECURIT NFORMATION
4 November 1952
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Office of Current Intelligence
DOCUMENT NO. 94
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
n DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: PIO
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE:
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
SECURI NFORMATION
REVIEWER:
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Chinese schedule attack for 4 November in central Korea (page 3).
2. Relief of Chinese armies decreases immediate capability in
Korea (page 3).
3. Chinese Communist maneuvers reported in South China (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Mossadeq expresses appreciation of Point IV (page 4).
5. Nagib's call for Arab League meeting attributed to German insult
(page 5).
6. Sudanese leaders enthusiastic over Egyptian agreement (page 5).
7,
EASTERN EUROPE
Hungary may be producing radar znagnetrons
WESTERN EUROPE
8. De Gasperi willing to postpone Trieste issue until after Italian
elections (page 7).
9. Communist penetration of Austrian police held continuing security
problem (page 7).
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FAR EAST
1. Chinese schedule attack for 4 November in central Korea:
Comment: The early October series of
heavy limited-objective attacks by the Communists was Similarly
indicated by the forward movement of Chinese armored elements.
There is no indication that this attack will be more severe than those
which have occurred in the past two months.
2. Relief of Chinese armies decreases immediate capability in Korea:
The Far East Command estimated on 3
November that the relief of two front-
line Chinese Communist armies, the
12th and the 68th, in east central Korea
in the past week has decreased the enemy's immediate capabilities.
Strong centrally located reserves are
still available for early commitment, however, as the relieved
armies remain in close proximity to the front.
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3. Chinese Communist maneuvers reported in South China
he Chinese Communists are par-
ticipating in "fairly large-scale" army
maneuvers in several areas of South China,
including Swatow and Canton. one purpose of these
maneuvers may be to test the combat efficiency of units which may
be used against strong Nationalist guerrilla raids on the China coast.
Comment:
elements of the Chinese Communist 4th
Field Army were moved from Canton to positions along the China
coast. There are nine Chinese Communist armies totaling about
270,000 men in the two provinces opposite Formosa.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4, Mossadeq expresses appreciation of Point IV:
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Prime Minister Mossadeq on 31 October
told Ambassador Henderson and the
Point IV Director for Iran that he appreciated
deeply the program's efforts in Iran and
wanted it to succeed because it was so closely involved with his own
administration. He hoped, however, that no high mission officials
would go to northern Iran and that the mission already in Azerbaijan
would work quietly in order to avoid a Soviet reaction. he also left
the impression that he desired closer American coordinatitan on
Point IV with the Iranian Government.
Comment: Mossadeq has so far resisted
extremist demands for the cancellation of the Point IV program. His
interest in agricultural and economic reforms and his desire for
continued aid will probably cause him to retain the mission as long
as it does not come under sharp nationalist attack.
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5. Nagib% call for Arab League meeting attributed to German insult:
General Nagib's decision to call a special
meeting of the Arab League to discuss
Arab-German relations is apparently
his reaction to an alleged insult to the
Egyptian delegate on the Arab mission which discussed the German-
Israeli indemnity in Frankfurt.
The "insult" was the suggestion by the
German Deputy Foreign Minister that the Arabs cease propagandizing
against the German-Israeli reparations agreement or leave the country.
Comment: The Arab League will meet on
5 November in Cairo to decide What steps to take in regard to Germany's
agreement to pay an indemnity to Israel for the victims of Nazi perse-
cution. Although the Arabs threaten Germany with an economic boycott
and a severance of diplomatic relations, their hostility is more likely
to express itself in opposition to Germany's current efforts to establish
a strong political, commercial, and technical position in the Arab
states.
6. Sudanese leaders enthusiastic over Egyptian agreement:
The Mandi, pro-British leader of the
Sudanese Independence Party, told the
British Ambassador in Cairo on 30
October that he was well satisfied with
his agreement with the Egyptian Government which assures full
Sudanese sovereignty. The Mandi expressed the hope that Great
Britain would accept the principles of the accord.
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Speaker Shinkaiti of the Sudanese
Legislative Assembly, now in Cairo, told Ambassador Caffery
that he is "delighted" with the agreement. He added that there
were reports from Khartoum that "some of the British administration
are not happy" and that objections might come from Sir James Robertson,
Civil Secretary to the Sudanese Government. He concluded that the
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"British administration in the Sudan would make a grievous error
if they fought this agreement because the whole of the Sudan would
turn against them."
Comment: The Egyptian Government on
2 November announced that the several parties in the Sudan which
advocated union with Egypt had merged into a single party which would
endorse the Egyptian proposal. The strong endorsement by the pro-
British Sudanese leaders who have opposed union with Egypt will put
pressure on Britain to include at least some of the Egyptian proposals
in the new constitution.
EASTERN EUROPE
Hungary may be producing radar magnetrons:
Hungary demonstrated an urgent interest
in special vacuum tube cathodes "for
delivery through 30 Sune 1952" in late
1951 negotiations between a Hungarian
foreign trade agency and a Swiss manufacturer. The Hungarians
ordered 55,000 heavy-wall nickel cathode sleeves as well as
cathodes of sizes used in standard radio tubes.
The size of this order suggests that
Hungary is beyond the prototype stage and is now producing radar
magnetrons. Specification details correspond to those of heavy-wall
cathodes used in the United States exclusively in the manufacture of
magnetrons for ground and airborne search and fire control radar.
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WESTERN EUROPE
8. De Gasperi willing to postpone Trieste issue until after Italian
elections:
Premier de Gasperi has informally told
Ambassador Bunker that a definitive
settlement of the Trieste question could
be postponed until after the 1953 elections
Without jeoparctiztng ins electoral prospects, provided Italians in
Zone B were guaranteed fair treatment and elementary human rights.
De Gasperi stated that a division of the
Free Territory along present zonal boundaries was impossible but
that a continuous ethnic line solution was both, possible and practical,
particularly if the United States indicated to Tito that he must cooperate
toward such a solution in return for American aid.
Comment: The Yugoslays have already
suggested that the Trieste issue be laid aside and that Italy and
Yugoslavia undertake to improve relations in other spheres.
The Yugoslays have given every indication
that they would strongly resist outside pressure intended to force
concessions on the Trieste issue.
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9, Communist penetration of Austrian police held continuing security 3.3(h)(2)
problem:
\the Vienna police has been penetrated
"to a considerable extent" by the Communists
and hence that any information reaching the
Vienna Police Directorate is available to the Communist Party. The
Ministry of Interior may also be penetrated, but the Federal Gendarmerie
is considered relatively secure.
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The only potential Communist striking force in
Austria, the Werkschuetz or factory guard, is now estimated to number
3,000 men armed with small weapons. Neither the Werkschuetz nor the
Communist youth "activists," however, are believed to have received
military training.
Comment: Despite the Communist sympathizers
in the police and the potential availability of the Werkschuetz, there is
no evidence of any serious deterioration in the security situation in
Vienna.
Outside Vienna, the most serious security
problem is the poor logistical support of the Austrian gendarmerie and
Soviet domination of the border guards along the eastern frontiers.
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