Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
Release Decision: 
Original Classification: 
Document Page Count: 
Document Creation Date: 
March 18, 2019
Document Release Date: 
March 28, 2019
Publication Date: 
April 22, 1951
Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 602733118  1%pf� U lin  22 April 1951  Copy No. e -  CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN  5  DOCUMENT NO.    NO CHANGE IN CLASSY  DECLASSIFIED  CLASS. CHANCED 'TO: TS toii'  NEXT REVIEW DATE:  AUTH: HR 70-2,05,  DATE. 11414..:DREVIriVVER:  Office of Current Intelligence  CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY  3.5(c)  3.5(c)  3.5(c)  3.5(c)  Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2733118  pproved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2733118  Itei I  3.5(c)  SUMMARY  FAR EAST  1. Chinese Nationalists lack capability for mainland invasion (page 3).  2. Communist prisoners taken recently in Korea expect heavy support  for coming offensive (page 3).  NEAR EAST  2  3.3(h)(2)  3.5(c)  TO CRET  Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2733118  3.5(c)  meApproved for Release: 2-6.19ii/03/14 CO2733118  4100  3.5(c)  FAR EAST  1. Chinese Nationalists lack capability for mainland invasion  In,conversation with US UN delegate Gross, 3.3(h)(2)  T. F. Tsiang, head of the Chinese UN dele- gation, who has just returned from Taiwan,  stated that responsible leaders on Taiwan do  not feel that the Chinese Nationalists have the capacity for a successful  invasion of the China mainland at this time. Tsiang added that of the  600, 000 ground forces now on the island approximately 300, 000 could  be considered as l'conibat effectives. "  Comment: In February, General Sun Li-jen,  Commanding General of the Nationalist ground forces, asserted that  in addition to logistic support, diversionary actions would have to be  undertaken elsewhere in China by military forces other' than Chinese  to insure success of a Nationalist mainland attack, and that operations  then in progress in Korea and Indochina were not sufficient for this  purpose.  2. Communist prisoners taken recently in Korea expect heavy support for  coming offensive:  1 r  North Korean and Chinese Communist prisor3.3(h)(2)  taken since late February have reported over- hearing or being told that a great quantity of  air, armor, and artillery support was being  assembled in Manchuria to be sent into Korea to support a coming major  offensive. Estimates varied from 4,000 aircraft and 3, 000 tanks to a  vague reference to a "large number of tanks, artillery and 400 aircraft  to be received in time for the ?May offensive.'" CINCFE evaluates these  prisoner of war reports on increased Soviet supply of materiel and plans  for stronger air and armored support as "probably true. "  Comment: The large number of reports re- ceived, not only from Korea but also from sources within China, con- cerning the expected scale of Soviet materiel support for Communist  - 3 -  TOP ET  3.5(c)  Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2733118  eApproved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2733118  Tjtizxi  3.5(c)  troops in Korea lends added credence to the probability that any future  offensive would be supported by additional heavy equipment, probably  manned by Chinese Communists or North Koreans.  NEAR EAST  3.3(h)(  3.5(c)  Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2733118