CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/03/20

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03160430
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2019
Document Release Date: 
December 20, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 20, 1957
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15755703].pdf315.89 KB
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LLI LL TI Zd/r/ ..Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 CO/e3;0/160427/0"7/7/34 3.5(c) erf orf erj � � DOCUMENT NO � Of NO CHANGE IN CLASS. ef DECLASSIFIED or,/ CLASS CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: / d r # f, re /00 fe � 1// rrd, 13.7711/7 20 March 19 57 Copy No. 131 REVIEWER: OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 N., x-11-"...,11.1.a 1 CONTENTS 1. SOVIET DISARMAMENT PROPOSAL INCLUDES EUROPEAN AERIAL INSPECTION ZONE (page 3). 2. USSR COMPLAINS TO EGYPT 3. HAMMARSKJOLD'S NEGOTIATIONS WITH NASR (page 6). 4. THE SITUATION IN SY 5. THE SITUATION IN JORDAN (page 5). (page 7). (page 8). � 6. MOSLEM PARTIES STALL EFFORT TO FORM INDONESIAN CABINET (page 9). 20 Mar 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 TVIA 1. SOVIET DISA MENT PROPOSAL INCLUDES EUROPEAN AERIAL INSPECTION ZONE Comment on: The new Soviet disarmament proposal made on 18 March contains features de- signed to show some accommodation to previously announced US positions. The USSR said it would accept aerial in- spection over a zone extending 500 miles to the east and 500 miles to the west of the line dividing the NATO and Warsaw treaty nations. The Soviet proposal of 17 November 1956, which referred to a similar zone, promised only "to examine the question" of employing such a method of inspection. Mos- cow still has not precisely indicated the geographical limita- tions of such a zone, although the Soviet ambassador in London reportedly stated that the eastern limit of the area would ex- tend from Riga to Odessa. A member of the Soviet delegation to the United Nations said on 9 January that the zone would be subject to negotiations once the "principle" was accepted. He said the 500-mile limit was an "approximate area," that the lines would "zigzag," and that the area probably would include some portion of the Soviet Union. The Soviet proposal also responded to the United States' proposal of 14 January for the control of guided missiles. It stated that this question "is closely connected with the banning of atomic and hydrogen weapons as a whole," since the danger of these weapons derives not so much from the mis- siles themselves as from atomic and hydrogen warheads with which they could be fitted. Another point intended to show some move- ment toward the US position was Moscow's offer to ban the 20 Mar 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 1.2i JP cVe1117"F Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 'LFI. L...1 CPUs .11.1.1.1 11. NIMO manufacture of atomic and hydrogen weapons prior to their withdrawal from national armaments and destruction. The rest of the proposal reiterates other Soviet proposals made during the past year, especially those of March and November 1956 which contain features unaccept- able to the West, such as a pledge not to use atomic and hydro- gen weapons, a ban on nuclear tests, and the removal of bases from foreign countries. 20 Mar 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 ifJ1 LUKL I Ti 2. USSR COMPLAINS TO EGYPT Comment on: Moscow has again complained of Egypt's failure to co-ordinate its diplomatic moves with the USSR Soviet deputy foreign minister Zorin ex- pressed his disappointment to the Egyptian ambassador that there have been "no official comments" by the Arab states favoring the Soviet proposals of 11 February on the Middle East. Seeking even partial endorsement of the proposals, he stated that "Arab official comment can pick up what suits it from the Soviet principles for approval." he complained that the Soviet statement of principles was treated by the Arab governments "on a par with the Eisenhower doctrine." Zorin previously requested closer liaison between the USSR and Egypt, stating on 15 February that Mos- cow was unfamiliar with developments in Egypt and the main line of Egyptian policy, and lacked the information necessary t3 be of help. 20 Mar 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 TOP sFcrIrT Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Ulf/ '147 /1J,12./ N / 4111, 3, HAMMARSKJOLD'S NEGOTIATIONS WITH NASR Secretary General Hammarskjold, who left for Cairo on 19 March, believes that he has three "weapons" to use in dealing with the Egyptians. The first is the possibility of breaking off the talks and referring to the General Assembly the whole question of canal settlement and the disposition of the UN Emergency Force (UNEF). Hammarskjold doubts, however, that this would prove effective because of the difficulty in marshaling a two-thirds majority in the assembly. His second "weapon" is the threat that the UNEF may be withdrawn. Because the Egyptians know a UNEF withdrawal would be followed by an Israeli move into Gaza and other areas, Hammarskjold feels he has a strong bargaining point. He stated that he had used the with- drawal threat on Egypt three times last November "with good effect' His third "weapon" is the argument that the UN is Egypt's "bridge to the world" and a stiff Egyptian attitude toward the UNEF could alienate sympathy among UN members. Hammarskjold implied this would be his main ap- proach. 20 Mar 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 3E.,L,AL I 4. THE SITUATION IN SYRIA Comment on: A temporary truce between contending rightist and leftist officer factions in the Syrian army apparently has been reached, probably because neither fac- tion felt certain it could attract and hold sufficient military support to prevail. leaders of the rightist Nufuri and leftist Sarraj fac- tions were summoned before Chief of Staff Nizam al-Din, Defense Minister Azm, and other cabinet members to reach agreement on a major reshuffle of Syrian army officers pro- posed by Nufuri, until now G-1 of the general staff. The meet- ing agreed the chief of staff would reappraise the transfers and carry them out "insofar as they were for the general good." The agreement merely glosses over violent dissension in the Syrian army. Leftist elements probably will soon move to strengthen their grip on the country. The Egyp- tians appear to seek a mediating role, while according to other reports, Saudi Arabia is backing the rightist group and especially President Quwatli. The proposed transfers would have sent Colonel Sarraj, Syrian strong man who has been head of army intelligence, to Cairo as military attach�but the ambiguous reference to the transfers in the re- port of the truce suggests he may remain in Damascus. 20 Mar 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 3L-1-Arve, I Nid 5. THE SITUATION IN JORDAN Comment on: Jordan's Prime Minister Nabulsi and left-wing cabinet ministers feel strength- ened as a result of recent developments, according to high-ranking officials in Jor n s Foreign Ministry. The Nabulsi group is now will- ing to risk open defiance of the king since they consider that it would be virtually impossible for a new cabinet to be formed under present circumstances. In conversation with Ambassador Mallory on 18 March, King Hussain appeared "not at all certain of his ground," despite his earlier expressions of confidence that he could implement changes in the government after termi- nation of the Anglo-Jordanian treaty. 20 Mar 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430 I. L I4ak-, 6, MOSLEM PARTIES STALL EFFORT TO FORM INDONESIAN CABINET Comment on: Cabinet formateur Suwirjo's efforts to form a new Indonesian government have been at least temporarily blocked by the refusal of the Nandlatul Ulama (NU) to accede to President Sukarno's demand that the anti-Communist Masjumi be ex- cluded from the cabinet. Moslem unity, if maintained, will be a serious setback to Sukarno's plan to eliminate the Masjumi as a political force and to increase Communist influence in the government. The NU is also reported to be negotiating with Sukarno to leave the Communists out of the projected ad- visory council. Sukarno continues to refuse to discuss any political questions with former vice president Hatta., who is popular with the Moslem parties and non-Javanese leaders, and he has not invited Hatta for talks as was reported in the Indonesian press. Meanwhile, the army commanders' con- ference in Djakarta, which is being attended by commanders from most of the dissident provinces and which was scheduled to end 18 March, has been extended for an indefinite period. The army leaders may be standing by to play a decisive role if necessary. 20 Mar 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 SITRFT Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160430