NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY FRIDAY 18 MAY 1984

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05354130
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 25
• Document Creation Date: March 9, 2023
• Document Release Date: April 27, 2021
• Case Number: F-2017-00184
• Publication Date: May 18, 1984

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Director of
OCPAS/CIG
CY, 285
(b)(3)
(b)(3)
(b)(6)
-roireecret�
CPAS NID 84-117JX
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18 May 1984
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Warning Notice
This Document Not To Be Reproduced
Intelligence Sources or Methods Involved
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Foreign government information
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(b)(3)
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� Contents
El Salvador: Postelection Situation
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EL SALVADOR: Postelection Situation
Both the government and the guerrillas are preparing to increase
military activity, and President-elect Duarte apparently has
decided on most of his cabinet selections.
Army units have begun operations in
Uhalatenango and San Miguel Departments. Another sweep is under
way along the northern border of Morazan and La Union, with the elite
US-trained Belloso Battalion spearheading the operation. The other
elite units�three immediate reaction battalions and an airborne
battalion�are still in garrison
one of the two largest
guerrilla factions will soon become more active in and around San
Salvador. The group plans to burn buses, plant bombs and harass
government and military installations the
faction will begin the campaign in the capital this month.
(b)(3)
Meanwhile, press reports indicate Duarte has nearly completed the
selection of his cabinet. About half the appointees are Christian
Democrats, while the remainder are technocrats. The current Foreign
and Defense Ministers�Fidel Chavez Mena and General Eucienio
Vides Casanova�evidently will retain their portfolios.
Comment: The Army, buoyed by its success in providing security for
the election, is anxious to resume operations against the insurgents. It
evidently is restinc and refitting most of the elite units for the new
operations
The guerrillas appear under pressure to regain credibility following
their failure to disrupt the election. They may see Duarte's
inauguration on 1 June as an opportune time for scoring tactical and
psychological successes.
The retention of Chavez Mena and Vides would give the Duarte
government essential continuity in key cabinet positions. In addition,
military anxiety about the possibility of sweeping changes in the high
command will be allayed. On the other hand, Duarte's apparent
failure to include other political parties in the cabinet, especially the
moderate right may give rise to additional concerns among them.
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