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Document Creation Date: 
December 28, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 3, 2008
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PDF icon CIA-RDP73T00325R000100020031-7.pdf58.57 KB
Approved For Release 2008/06/03: CIA-RDP73T00325R000100020031-7 P R'O D U C T I O N F O R E C A S T I N G To develop an automated system which-will predict production anomalies and provide management with: a. A yearly forecast, in monthly increments, showing the required vs the available manpower for each production division, and b. A monthly forecast, in daily increments, showing the status of each production division by "skill code" and "account code block", in terms of forecast vs actual expenditures of manpower. A PROPOSED SOLUTION 1. Identify and isolate the.production type personnel. 2. Accept the "on-the-job" availibility of each production type person as being 1,500 manhour a year. 3. Eliminate the "activity codes" and establish ""skill codes". 4. Tie."skill codes" into the Personnel Accountin System. 5. Eliminate the use of %_ 60 74 8,C3, 9C a thousand account cods blocks" by production type personnel. h , 16. The production divisions, in coordination with the Personnel Branc will forecast the monthly availability of productive manhours. ,'. Develop a set of averages for each "account code block" and "NTP Functional Area Code" using the FY 70 MIS. t d e . Combine para 7 with CIA, DIA, Army, Navy and NPIC projec estimates of product completions. f. Use the RGEN/Project Monitor Option to portray estimated vs actual monthly "account code blo ck" and "skill code" information. . Develop a program which will consolidate the entries in para 9 to show gross monthly forecasts for the next twelve months. REQUIREMENTS FOR IMPLEMENTATION 1. Daily MIS manpower inputs with daily report output. 2. Program update capability, when required - eg, major changes to estimate. 3. Only production type personnel time is recorded. 4. Time will be recorded by appropriate project number. 5. Least time recording increment - one-half hour. Establish a 250000 and a 450000 project, with splits, to reflect support to Center requirements. ,Z, h 0p rn!Pcta .o r cnncLinte and external P train ? .nrg.~ Approved For Release 2008/06/03: CIA-RDP73TOO325R000100020031-7