WEEKLY SUMMARY

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
24
Document Creation Date: 
December 21, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 19, 2007
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 12, 1974
Content Type: 
SUMMARY
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6.pdf1.85 MB
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Approved For Release 2007/11/19: CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6 Secret Weekly Summary State Dept. review completed Secret No. 0028/74 12 July 1974 COPY N2 58 Approved For Release 2007/11/19: CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6 Aft Approved For Release 2007/11/19: CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6 CONTENTS (July 12,1974) 1 After the Summit: Europe and Moscow 3 Canada: A Comfortable Majority 4 Cuba: Castro Ready to Talk 5 China: Governing From The Clinic urrent Intelligence, reports and analyzes signif- fes material coordinated with or prepared by is of the week through noon on Thursday. it Research, the Office of Strategic tEKLY 5U",, MA Y, issued every Friday morning by ed separately as Special Reports are listed in the reguirtnu more Comprehensive treatment and therefore 25X1 EAST ASIA PACIFIC 7 Laos: The Demise O "he ssem 8 Cambodia: An Olive Branch 9 Thailand: A Forceful Approach 10 Western Europe: Plane Shopping 12 United Kingdom: EC Renegotiation 13 Portugal: Cabinet Shake-up 14 Italy: Austerity Begins MIDDLE EAST AFRICA 15 Iraq: Kurdish War Grinds On 16 Ethiopia: Keeping Things Moving 17 Lebanon: Seeking Security WESTERN HEMISPHERE 18 Argentina: Outwardly Calm 19 Venezuela: Against the Critics 20 Mexico: President's Southern Trip 20 Bolivia: Banzer Gives In Approved For Release 2007/11/19: CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6 Approved For Release 2007/11/19: CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6 SLUKL I After The Summit WESTERN EUROPE REASSURED U [The West European allies seem satisfied with the results of the Nixon-Brezhnev summit and are delighted with the detailed briefings they received both before and after it. The summit was regarded as a test of the greater consultation pledged in the recently signed Atlantic Declara- tion-7 '1. [Press commentary in Western Europe wel- c%med the agreements limiting underground nu- clear testing and deployment of ABMs. While there was some regret about the limited nature of the curbs on strategic arms, there was general agree- ment that detente had reached the point where dramatic developments could not be expected. Much of the commentary, in fact, expressed relief that the results were relatively meager in some areas. Before the summit, the fear had been widely voiced that the US might make deals with the Soviets-especially on the European security conference and the force reduction talks-without taking European interests into account./ ` FOnly the passage on the European security conference in the summit communique threat- ened to dampen the satisfaction of the Euro- peans. They felt that this leaned too far in the direction of Soviet interests by seeming to en- dorse the progress of the conference and by coming close to agreeing that the conference's final stage could be held at the summit level. lAt the NATO ministerial in Ottawa last June, the US and the West Europeans had agreed to a far less forthcoming description of the con- ference's status and prospects. Moreover, the EC foreign ministers recently deplored the lack of progress at the conference and concluded that no decision could be made about the level of the final stage until the results of the present stage are known. The West Europeans believe that the best way to break the deadlock at the conference is to stand fast until Soviet concessions are made, especially in the area of the freer movement of people and ideas. ti ISome dissatisfaction with the summit communique was also expressed by Western dele- gations at the security conference itself. They were particularly sensitive to the fact that the communique used traditional Soviet language in referring to a summit-level conclusion of the conference. Their resentment deepened as Eastern delegates began using the communique to argue against a summer recess so that the conference could conclude speedily at the summit.] I~ In Brussels, Secretary Kissinger was able to pers ade most of the allies that the US had not 31given in to the Soviets on security conference issues. His explanation, according to one report, 4 prevented some of the West Europeans from delivering critical statements in the North Atlan- tic Council. In Bonn, Kissinger's conversations may have helped put the West Germans-the most intransigent of the allies at the conference-in a mood to make compromises. The secretary and Chancellor Schmidt reportedly agreed that the security conference's problems could be solved, and that the final stage could be held-possibly at the summit level-by the end of the year] 3 [The allies found little to object to in the summit communique's expression of support for the Vienna force reduction negotiations. They are not at all distressed that force reductions were apparently not discussed in detail at the summit because they think NATO should hold fast to its proposal for the time being and offer the Warsaw Pact only limited hints of flexibility.] JWest German Foreign Minister Genscher %summed up the European view of the consulta- q tions surrounding the summit when he said that they were "in accordance with the letter and spirit of the Atlantic Declaration" and had been "fully satisfactory and proof of the revival of the Atlantic alliance." The allies realize, however, that these consultations are only a step toward more regular and detailed consultations between the US and Western Europe. Until that elusive goal is reached, the West Europeans will continue to be uneasy-as they were during this SECRET Page 1 WEEKLY SUMMARY Jul 12, 74 Approved For Release 2007/11/19: CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6 Aft Approved For Release 2007/11/19: CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6 SECRET summit-about the possibility of bilateral US- Soviet agreements.] MOSCOW EMPHASIZES ACHIEVEMENTS fl he Soviets are haying that the recently con- cluded Moscow summit was "a major new contri- bution" to improving US-Soviet relations, despite the absence of "sensational develop- ments." The Soviets have also suggested, however, that more might have been accomplished, par- ticularly in the arms control area, had it not been for the constraints on the President resulting from Watergate and the continued truculence of the Pentagon. At the US Independence Day reception in Moscow, several Soviet guests professed to believe that more might have been achieved in the arms control area had not domestic difficulties limited the President's freedom to negotiate such sensitive national security problems. With the exception of an insinuation along these lines by Brezhnev during the course of the summit, how- ever, the Soviets have studiously avoided such linkage in public. Over the past week, the Soviets continued to give heavy news coverage to the results of the summit, playing up the salutary effect of regular exchanges between the leaders and emphasizing the breadth of support for detente in the US. Pravda called the summit a "milestone" in the history of US-Soviet relations. Other news com- mentaries, drawing on Brezhnev's statement to the press on June 28, characterized President Nixon's visit as a further demonstration of the resolve of both sides to maintain the course laid out in various documents and decisions over the past few years. Soviet propagandists have taken the line that the importance of the Moscow meet- ing stemmed not from the number of agreements signed, but from the evident intention of both sides to maintain the momentum of improving relations, The President with Soviet leaders Podgorny, Brezhnev, and Kosygin SECRET Paae 2 WEEKLY SUMMARY Jul 12, 74 Approved For Release 2007/11/19: CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6 Approved For Release 2007/11/19: CIA-RDP79-00927A010800160002-6 Jtumt= I %NWI Canada: A Comfortable Majority a FThe victory of Prime Minister Trudeau's Liberals in the July 8 elections gives the party an unexpected majority in the 264-member House of Commons] The strong Liberal showing contrasted with poll!; that indicated throughout the campaign that the electorate would not return a majority admin- ft istration. The Liberals gained chiefly in the swing province of Ontario, where they picked up 19 seats. They also gained several seats in the Atlan- tic provinces, Quebec, and British Columbia October 1972 July 1974 Liberals 109 141 Progressive Conservatives 107 95 New Democrats 31 16 Social Credit 15 11 Independents 2 1 future, however, because their high cost would threaten any efforts to counter inflation The win is a personal victory for Trudeau, whose perfunctory 1972 campaign contributed greatly to the Liberal setback that year. This time, the Prime Minister adopted an aggressive, highly visible style that was more convincing to the voters. Mrs. Trudeau, who previously guarded her private life and shunned political activity, campaigned actively and no doubt helped her husband regain some of his popularity.? 10 rA majority Liberal government without pres- sure from the nationalist-minded New Democrats, who held the balance of power in the last Parlia- ment, might be less influenced by the "Canada first" approach that frequently surfaced during the term of the minority Trudeau government. The current policy of trying to lessen Canada's dependence on the US,-,however, will still have strong bipartisan support