OFFICIAL DIARY (AD/RR ACTING)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-01041A000100020124-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 4, 1998
• Sequence Number: 124
• Publication Date: September 19, 1952
• Content Type: NOTES

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Official Diary
(AD/RR Acting)
19 September 1952
Attended PRC meeting.
2. Conferred at some length with AD/NE on the revision of NIE-4.6
(Iran). We are both agreed that a well rounded estimate dealing with all
reasonably conceivable actions and reactions should be prepared if for no other
reason than to protect us against the charge of riding on an obsolete estimate
in view of grave indications of trouble. I think this should be pushed no matter
25X1A9a how strenuously OIR balks. Found out at lunch that _ of OIR, is in favor
of going ahead although his most knowledgable guy is in Iran.
3. Met with Brigadier General Porter, 14.00-1500, 19 September. Also
present were Cols. Dunn, Lansing, and Hibbert of the Joint Staff.
a. Porter presented me with the "war-gaming" comments on NIP-64
which I, in turn, delivered to AD/NE who can now proceed to button up
NIE-64 fairly expeditiously. The revision of LE-33 is the primary
topic, but this report is necessarily fuzzy because of my not being
cleared to see it or to receive its substance. Have asked
25X1A2g to clear you and me for this 25X1A9a
b. It appears that December 15 is a firm date for the meeting of
the NATO Standing Group. At any rate, only action by the Secretary of
State on a multi-national basis could change it. Working backward from
this date, General Ridgway requires some six weeks to prepare his
contribution on forces available, two weeks are required for the tri-
partite meeting here, and so said meeting will convene on 2 October.
In that meeting, American delegation must have staff guidance covering
not only military, but also economic and political matters. A joint
25X1A8a staff team are preparing same, and OIR has indicated
that State will want to participate on the political aspects, i.e.,
intentions.
c, I agreed, as AD/RR, that my office would review the economic
sections with two objects in mind: to make them as accurate as possible
and to be sure that no generalization or detail therein would
unnecessarily contradict similar portions of our contributions to NIE-65.
d. Porter stated that he had urged Cabell to defer this paper
until after 65 is done, but such action is totally beyond the scope of
JCS*
e. The prop em remaining for you, as I see it, is whether this
exercise constitutes national intelligence within the meaning of NSCIDA
amended, and if not, should the matter anyway be handled through the
IAC. Porter's view and hopes are that both parts of the question be
answered in the negative. As a tyro, I venture the opinion that this is
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Official Diary (AD/RR, Acting)
19 September 1952
not national intelligence despite the fact that it covers most of the
ground that will be covered in forthcoming estimates because it provides
guidance not to the NSC but to a foreign body which has dealings with
specific US Departments. The analogy I would draw would be to the
intelligence portions of a policy paper prepared by State to guide its
UN delegation.
f. Substantively, I believe there will be no difference between
25X1 X7 ourselves and on the basic capabilities portions of the intelli-
gence and that the dispute will come on the intentions, with our people
taking the position that since this is a revision exercise? basic con-
clusions of the IZ-33 statement should not be altered in the light of
the absence of positive intelligence as to changes in intentions since
the basic paper was prepared.
SPECIAL PAPER ON MIDDIE EAST
25X1A9a
On return from Presidential briefing this morning, DCI directed
to have prepared a two-page round-up of the Middle East to give the Candidates
at their next briefing.(Eisenhower, 25 September; Stevenson, 1 October.) It
25X1A9s agreed by- and myself, and others, that this should cover Iran, Lebanon,
25X1A9a
25X1X7
Iraq, Syria, Egypt and Afghanistan,
discussed the matter with iftift-iind Sheldon who have a
paper in hand for submission of draft Monday or Tuesday. Somewhat uncoordinatedly,
I spoke to AD/NE to alert him and he is prepared to have the Board, or a special
panel thereof, consider the estimative aspects of the pa er upon receipt of the
0/CI draft. He stresses the importance of having the 07CI people present to
support their position or any criticisms of suggestions by Board of Estimates
members. When I explored this arrangement with AD/CI I received a calm but firm
reaction of extreme displeasure and was informed that AD/CI feels you have, or
are about to adopt, a policy whereby hasty internal CIA estimates not looking
more than six months into the future shall be the prerogative of 0/CI. I can
assure you, from my earlier conversation, that this will not sit well with AD/NE.
Not wishing to get involved in this unnecessarily, I have let the matter rest
for the weekend on the basis that 0/CI will prepare a draft and that you will
make any decisions as to 0/NE participation in the exercise.
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