INTER-AGENCY VIEWS ON SE - 25 : MILITARY INDICATIONS OF A POSSIBLE LARGE - SCALE COMMUNIST ATTACK IN KOREA IN THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79S01011A000600060002-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 21, 1998
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: April 23, 1952
• Content Type: MF

,.,`-"Approved For Release 19009/08
TBJECT: Inter-Agency views on SE-25: Military Indication
a Possible Large-Scale Communist Attack in Korea
the Immediate Future
l A000600060002-6
"-- 7:314-e
23 April 1952
Security Information
date` ~ p~1
MEMORANDUM For THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
BACKGROUND
1. This estimate was scheduled on a "crash" basis pursuant to
IAC action on 15 April. The IAC decided that in view of the u.r-
ent nature of the estimate, the report of the Watch Committee for
the week ending 16 April would be used in lieu of agency contribu-
tions.
2. The representatives were agreed that the military indica-
tions were completely inconclusive.
3. This estimate covers the same ground and is consistent with
the Watch Committee report covering,the period 10 April to 16
April. Because of its limited scope, SE-25 adds essentially
nothing to this Watch Committee report. Some of the representatives
suggested, in one part of the estimate or another, that political
factors should be considered. It was agreed, however, that a frag-
mentary and superficial examination of political factors would not
be useful, and that a thorough examination of the Korean problem
in the context of Communist global intentions should be reserved
for the forthcoming NIE-64, Part II: Probable Soviet Courses of
Action through Mid-1953.
4. Colonel Hodgson has asked that this estimate be shown to
The Board believes that there is nothing in the
estimate which is not suitable The TAO repre-
sentatives indicated general agreement, but were not in a position
to make a final judgment, 25X1A9a
DOCUMENT N0.
NO CHAp4 tts
CLASS. ^
0 DECLASStrtt r
CLASS. C%ANCE TO. TS
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Approved For Release 1999/09/0
SHERR1AN KENT
Assistant Director
National Estimates
tz~
 Approved For Release I 999/09/08?x,, ? 1r g101lA000600060002-6
WOrrratiaR "W 75312-e
Security tY
CONFIDENTIAL
23 April 1952
I >MQ t 3DU?M P T DIPECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
SUB JE T: Inter-Agency Views on SE-25: Military Indications of
a Possible Large-tale Corm unist Attack in Korea in
the I ediate Future
BACKCE#3,OU` D
1. This estimate was scheduled on a i* crasha} basis pursuant to
IAG action on 15 April. The IAC decided that in view of the ur-
gent nature of the a t:bmate, the report of the 'watch Cor ttittee for
the week eading> 16 April would be used in lieu of agency contribu-
tions.
SUBSTANCE
2. The representatives were agreed that the military indica-
tions were cortpietely inconclusive.
3. This estimate covers the wire ground and is consistent with
the Watch Co .ittee report covering the period 10 April to 16
April. Because of Its li Anted scope, SE,-25 adds essentially
nothing to this Watch Committee report. Sore of the representatives
suggested, in one part of the estimate or another, that political
factors should be considered. It was agreed, however, that a frag-
mentary and superficial examination of political factors would not
be useful, and that a thorough examination of the Korean problem
in the context of Coni a nist r;2obas l intentions should be resarved
for the forthcoiting HIE-64, Part II Probable Soviet Gourses of
kcti:can: through =iid-1953
Via, Colonel Hodgson has asked that this estimate be shown to
The Board believes that there is nothing in the
estimate which is not suitable The IAA' repre
sentatives indicated general arreeren. u were not in a position
to make a final judgment.
SHE&AN
Assistant Director
National Estimates
CONFIDENTIAL
Approved For Release I 999] ~79SOI01lA000600060002-6
 Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : C P , 01 lA000600060002-6
CONFIDENTIAL
23 . pri . 1952
Tv In'i er.-i envy views on SSE-25: i4tlit y Indications of
a Possible Large- 'tale Co a:nist Attack in Korea
the Tywroftnte Future
1. This estimate was scheduled on a "crash" basis pursuant to
1 action on 15 Ap .. They 144 decided that in view of the ur-
gent nature of the ectieaate, the report of the qti;t i; Co .ittse for
the week *nding 16 mil zld be used in lieu of agency contribu-
tions*
2. The representatives were agreed
tions were co rletely incoi.3lusive.
and and is c ,nedster t with
:ia Coi tt report covering the Period 10 April to 16
. Because of ite Si ted ecope,, S1.1-25 adds essentially
d perficial exaftination of political fact-ore would not
ld be considered. It was arced? however,, that a frame
this Watch Ct-4ttee report. Some of the representatives
in one part of the estimate or another, that political
thorough examination of Vie Korean probamm
at ,lobal intent-tons should be reserved
judgment,
953.
M,.64, Part lit Probable Soviet G r s of
d,son has asked that this estimate be shown to
e Board belies that there is nothing in the
h is not suitable The IAC repreA-
dic ated general agree n MUM-re not in a position
CONFIDENTIAL
Assistant Director
National :ti?tes
Approved For Release 1999/0696` '1''CiIA=R1DR79S0101lA000600060002-6