DISCUSSION WITH ACDA ON OUR INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM, 'PROSPECTS FOR THE NON-PROLIFERATION TREATY'

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01495R000100010009-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 18, 2005
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: January 14, 1969
• Content Type: MF

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14 January 1969
MEMORANDUM FOR: Assistant Deputy Director for
Intelligence
SUBJECT Discussion with ACDA on our Intelligence
Memorandum, "Prospects for the Non-
Proliferation Treaty"
1. Mr. Culver Gleysteen, Deputy Assistant Director
of the Bureau of International Affairs, of ACDA came
over on 10 January to express his Agency's disquiet on
several points in this memorandum. Since the subject
covers a host of countries, we assembled six OCI officers
to talk to him.
2. Gleysteen's chief concern was that this memorandum
was damaging to ACDA in its own battle within the US
government to get up steam behind US ratification of the
NPT in general. He confessed to a fear that it would
reach the Senate Foreign Relations Committee (we assured
him vigorously that this would not happen through our
fault). He also indicated that opponents of the NPT in
State were drawing on the memorandum to argue against
ACDA.
3. He had a number of specific points to make.
Some of these concerned technical facts e.g., whether
Mexico had completed the entire process of ratification;
these were all regrettable but not significant. Others
had to do with the positions that individual foot-draggers
were taking. Here he thought we were exaggerating the
force of opposition, and his method of argument was to
say that various objections mentioned in the paper had
not been formally made by the countries concerned to the
US in government-to-government channels. We did not
find these arguments very impressive.
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4. When we got down to country cases, he had no
real objections to our presentations on West Germany,
India, Israel, Italy and several others. He did think
we greatly underrated the chances for Japanese
accession in a reasonable time. He also thought we
drew too tight and too negative a linkage among Brazil,
Argentina and Chile.
5. Because ACDA has a fairly optimistic view of
the treaty's prospects, Gleysteen objected strongly to
our statement that delay had already rendered the treaty
"moribund." My view is that this particular word is
probably an exaggeration, but I was not persuaded that
our general line of analysis was in error. In fact,
ACDA papers on the subject, which he left with us, make
most of the same points that we do.
6. Gleysteen hoped that we would rewrite the
paper, that is publish a new analysis which would be
closer to his own. I indicated that we had no present
plans to return to the subject but that the meeting of
the Eighteen Nation Disarmament Conference in March
and/or favorable action by the US Senate (which he
expects before 1 April) would probably provide a normal
occasion for us to write a new analysis. He confirmed
that, the next time we write such a paper, the coordi-
nation channel which we used in preparing this paper
would be the proper one to use again.
7. The discussion was amiable. Gleysteen at one
point suggested that perhaps ACDA might feel compelled
to produce a refutation of our memorandum, but he
quickly backed off. I made it clear, and he accepted
this, that we welcome discussion, wanted to get our
facts straight, wanted to know their views, but after
all consultation would still feel required to produce
and publish independent analyses
CCI/EUR
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 ApproveoYe1aeF200TiAIRDP80B01495R
TO:
FROM:
SUBJECT:
OCI Discussions with ACDA Man
Last week I called to
say that several people in ACDA had
serious problems with an OCI Memo on
the NPT. The paper had been prepared
in response to a request from the White
House. =wanted me to arrange a
meeting between the OCI analyst and an
ACDA man. I called OCI and arranged
for the meeting, but said that either
anrahan should
also be present.
The attached memo from
tells us what happened at the meeting.
I I did well.
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