(Sanitized)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01676R001800010021-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 24, 2004
• Sequence Number: 21
• Publication Date: October 26, 1962
• Content Type: SUMMARY

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SUPPLEMENT 6
TO
JOINT EVALUATION OF
SOVIET MISSILE THREAT IN CUBA
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Guided Missile and Astronautics Intelligence Committee
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee
National Photographic Interpretation Center
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NOTICE
This supplement updates and amplifies previous reports. Emphasis is
placed on the READINESS status, construction pace and any significant
changes at the offensive missile sites in Cuba. This report is hasecI
primarily on preliminary analysis of thel low-altitude pho3.iog-
raphy, portions of which arrived during the preparation of this report see
Figure 1).
SUMMARY
rapid construction activity at each site. This activity apparently continue;
to be directed toward achieving a full operational capability as soon, aF
possible. Camouflage and canvas covering of critical equipment is also
continuing. As yet there is no evidence indicating any intention to move or
dismantle these sites.
2. There is one change in the estimated dates of operational canabils ty.
San Cristobal MRBM Site 2 is estimated to achieve a full operational capa-
bility on 26 October instead of 25 October, probably as a result of the heavy
rain that has recently hit this site (see Figure 2).
3. No additional missiles, missile transporters, or erectors have been
identified (see Table 1).
4. No new missile sites have been identified, although continued
analysis of previous photography has revealed some road improvement
activity in the Remedios area which is considered indicative of plans for
the second IRBM site estimated for this area.
5. The three Soviet ships suspected of being possible ballistic missile
carriers continue their eastward course towards the USSR.
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DISCUSSION
OFFENSIVE MISSILE READINESS (Figure 2)
General
1. The available evidence clearly indicates that the field-type MRBM
sites are for the SS-4 (SANDAL) 1020 nautical mile ballistic missile system.
All of the essential elements of this system have been identified: canvas-
covered missile transporters, launch stands, erectors, oxidizer and fuel
trucks, cabling, theodolite stations, power generators, and communications
equipment.
2. The evidence also clearly indicates that the Guanajay and Remedios
sites are for a different missile system than that employed at the field-type
~MRBM sites. The pad design, size, and separation are compatible with what
are believed to be IRBM installations in the USSR.
MRBM (1020-nm) Sites
San Cristobal Area
3. Site 1 (22-40-05N 83-17-50W)
Last coverage: Low-level Mission
a. Readiness Status
This site has a full operational capability at this time.
b. Supporting Evidence
Photography confirms that all four launch stands and erectors are
placed at the prepared launch positions and cabling has been laid from the
launch stands to camouflaged control centers in the woods. Four probable-
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theodolite stations have also been identified in the launch areas. Of the
eight previously identified missile transporters, only four (without nose--
cones) are now visible. The four missing missile transporters are prob-
ably in the ready tents. All of the propellant trailers are present.
c. Significant Trends Since Last Report
Four missiles in open storage have not been checked out or mated with
their nosecones. The status of the four which have probably been moved i nto
the missile ready tents cannot be determined; however, cabling can be s
running from the missile-ready tent into the woods where power generator,
are probably located. This strongly suggests that the missile is either being
checked out or is being held in readiness.
4. Site 2 (22-41-OON 83-15-OOW)
Last coverage: Low-level
a. Readiness Status
This site which was previously estimated to have a full operational
capability on 25 October will not achieve this capability until 26 (.-)ctober.
Heavy rains (mud and standing water can be observed) probably has delaveci
construction.
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b. Supporting Evidence
All four launch positions have been prepared and erectors and launch
stands are emplaced at two of them. These two launch positions were under
construction No erectors or launch stands are visible at '-_he
other two launch positions which were complete No cablin. 25X1
or theodolite stations can be observed at the launch positions. A total of
three missile-ready tents have now been erected.
c. Significant Trends Since Last Report
Preparation of all launch pads has been completed. Three missi e-
ready tents are now visible and only three of the five missile transports rs
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can be observed. Cabling from two missile-ready tents into the woods.
probably to generators, is an indication that two missiles are being checked
out.
5. Site 3 (22-42-40N 83-08-25W)
Last coverage: Low-level
a. Readiness Status
This site is considered to have a full operational capability.
b. Supporting Evidence
All four erectors and launch stands appear to be in place at the pre.
pared launch positions. Cabling has been laid and four probable theodolite:
stations have been identified about 60 to 70 feet from the pads. Only fou--
missile-ready tents have been erected. Construction activity is still
continuing in the probable regimental support area adjacent to the launch
site. Only four of the eight permanent barracks-type buildings have been
completed. Personnel are still quartered in tents.
c. Significant Trends Since Last Report
No propellant trailers have arrived at this site, and only one possbie
missile transporter has been observed. Although this site has a ful
operational capability, missiles and propellants would have to be brought
in from another location.
6. Site 4 (22-46-55N 82-58-50W)
Last coverage:
a. Readiness Status
This site will probably achieve full operational capability on 28 October.
b. Supporting Evidence
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There has been no new photographic evidence How-- .25X1
ever, available evidence and comparison with other sites in this area tend
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to support the above estimate.
c. Significant Trends Since Last Report
Low-level photograph was not available at the ?_ime :-- 25X1
report was prepared.
Sagua La Grande Area
7. Site 1 (22-43-44N 80-01-40W)
Last coverage: Low-level
a. Readiness Status
This site is considered to have a full operational capability.
b. Supporting Evidence
Only one launch position was covered by this mission, but it .{ppea r-e i
to be complete with erector, launch stand and installed cabling. Fifr:ccc
oxidizer and eight fuel trailers are in the propellant storage ardc..
c. Significant Trends Since Last Report
Construction activity is continuing.
Last coverage: Low-level
a. Readiness Status
8. Site 2 (22-39-1ON 79-51-
This site is considered to have a full operational capability.
b. Supporting Evidence
Four canvas-covered erectors and launch stands are in place on D c e-
pared launch positions, with cabling in place. There are now three mis,. il?
transporters and six missile-ready tents in the site area. Additiona
camouflage measures are being taken at one position to cover the ent. r :
launch area. A full complement of eight fuel and sixteen oxidizer trailer=
are present.
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c. Significant Trends Since Last Report
It appears that increased activity and site preparation is taking place.
IRBM (2200 nm) Sites
Guanajay Area
9. Site 1 (22-57-OON 82-39-25W)
Last coverage: Low-level
It is estimated that this IRBM site will have an emergency operational
capability on 15 November and full operational capability by 1 December
providing construction activity continues.
b. Supporting Evidence
The four concrete pads and control building are in a late stage of con-
struction.
c. Significant Trends Since Last Report
Preliminary analysis of new photography indicates that further con-
struction progress has been made at the site, although no personnel could be
observed in the area at the time of photography.
10. Site 2 (22-57-25N 82-36-55W)
Last coverage: Low-level
It is estimated. that this IRBM site will have an emergency operational
capability by 1 December and full operational capability by 15 December
providing construction activity continues as previously observed.
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b. Supporting Evidence
There is construction activity at the launch control building at the west
pair of pads and at all four pad areas.
c. Significant Trends Since Last Report
Preparation of this launch site continues.
Remedios Area
11. Site 1 (22-25-OON 79-35-00W)
Last coverage:
This site should have an emergency operational capbility by 1 December
and full operational capability by 15 December.
b. Supporting Evidence
No new photography of this site is available.
c. Significant Trends Since Last Report
Additional analysis of low-level photography I shows
that an improved road with wide radius turns has been observed approxi-
mately 3 1/2 miles southeast of this site. The road terminates at the edge
of a wooded area which may possibly be the planned location for a second
site in the Remedios area. The large amount of prefabricated concrete
forms and other construction material in open storage areas would be
adequate to support an additional site.
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Nuclear Warheads for Offensive Missiles
No change
Support and Supply
14. The three Soviet ships suspected of being possible ballistic missile
carriers, reported yesterday to have altered their course, continue their
eastward course toward the USSR.
Coastal Defense Missiles
No change
Air Defense Missiles
15. During the past 24-hour period there has been no change ir. the
status of the 24 operational SAM sites.
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17. The I low-level photographic coverage of the Bahia
Hondo SAM site indicates that three permanent barracks-type buildings have
been constructed and have apparently taken the place of the personnel enTs
observed previously. If all three buildings are EM barracks, the personnel
strength at the SAM sites in Cuba would appear to be consistent with that of
a SAM site in the Soviet Union (estimated 35 officers and 112 EM). Pre-
liminary analysis of the Cuban SAM sites appears to indicate that the
standard SA-2 associated support equipment is being deployed at the sites
and their support facilities.
18.
continuing.
construction activity on the SAM sites Is
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TABLE 1
SUMMARY OF MRBM AND IRBM THREAT IN CUBA
Status as of 0200 hours on 26 October 1962
Sites
Locations Total Probably
!Identified! Planned
Launchers
Total Probably
Identified Deployed*
Missiles Facilities For
Total Prob Basic Nuclear Warheads
Identified Load-`*
MRBM - Range 1020-nm (non-rotating earth)
0
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rn
n
Em
San Cristobal
4
4
15
16
23
32
2 prob facilities
y
(Z regts)
Sagua La
2
2
8
8
10
16
1 prob facility
Grande
(1 regt)
under construction
MRBM TOTAL
6
6
23
24
33
48
IRB
M - R
ange 2
200
-nm (non-
rotating ea
rth)
Guanajay
2
2
8 un
der
8
0
16
1 prob facility
(1 regt)
cons
tructi
on
under construction
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TABLE I (Continued)
Sites
Launchers
Missiles
Locations
Total
Identified
Probably
Planned
Total
Identified
Probably
Deployed-
Total
Identified
Prob Basic
Load-"
Facilities For
Nuclear Warheads
Remedios 4 under 1 prob facility
(1 regt) construction under construc
tion
0
IRBM TOTAL 3 4 12 under 16 0 32
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GRAND TOTAL 9 10 35 40 33 80
This reflects an estimate of 8 operational launchers authorized per regiment.
This reflects an estimate of 16 operational missiles per regiment.
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MISSION
DATE
TIME*
GUANAJAY IRBM COMPLEX
SITE 1
SITE 2
i
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00%/ r//000/~/D/,fffG//%= m
uooaiii /oaooxaiiooi k%//////// /////4 W &M
FIGURE 1. SUMMARY OF PHOTOGR ;PHIC COVERAGE OF OFFENSIVE MISSILE SITES IN CUBA.
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OCTOBER
NOVEMBER
DECEMBER
S
M T
W T
F S
S M T W
T F
S S
M T
W T
F S
S M
T W
T F
S S
M T
W T
F S
S M
T W
T F
S
M T
W
4
15 16
17 18 1
9 20
21 22 23 24
25 26
27 28
29 30
31 1
2 3
4 5
6 7
8 9
10 11
12 13
14 15
16 17
18 19
20 21
22 23
S
24 2
T F
S S M
T W T F
S S M T W T
F
1
WESTERN AREA
5
26 27
28
29 30
1121 3
4 1 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13
14 1
SAN CRISTOBAL
MRBM COMPLEX
'..
SITE 1
1
1 1
SITE 2
?
..
SITE 3
SITE 4
GUANAJAY
IRBM COMPLEX
SITE 1
SITE 2
CENTRAL AREA
?''
'
-
-?
SAGUA LA GRAND
...
. _
w, A
?_
_ ...
...
z
a.a
..;'..
: , ..
,
,
MRBM COMPLEX
SITE 1
SITE 2
REMEDI05
IRBM COMPLEX
SITE 1
NYC G-AYSI ;10621
PHOTO COVERAGE OBTAINED.
Z~ HIGH ALTITUDE N LOW ALTITUDE
A EMERGENCY OPERATIONAL CAPABILITY EXISTS WHEN A SITE COULD
LAUNCH SOME MISSILES SHOULD A DECISION BE MADE TO DO SO.
? FULL OPERATIONAL CAPABILITY IS ACH IEVEO WHEN A SITE HAS REACHED
A STEADY STATE OF READINESS WITH THE ABILITY TO SALVO ITS FIRST
MISSILE LOAD WITHIN ABOUT 6 TO S HOURS AND WITH THE ABILITY TO
REFIRE WITHIN A TO 6 HOURS.
FIGURE 2. ESTIMATED CHRONOLOGY OF OFFENSIVE MISSILE READINESS IN CUBA
0
0
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