THE CRISIS USSR/CUBA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP80B01676R001800010030-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 20
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 18, 2005
• Sequence Number: 30
• Publication Date: October 30, 1962
• Content Type: MEMO

TOP SECRET
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
~MLPL---l
THE CRISIS
USSR/CUBA
Information as of 0600
30 October 1962
NGA Review Completed.
DIA, NRO, NAVY and USAF review(s) completed.
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LAOS -- Situation more or less on dead center. Pathet Lao
still very sticky on ICC inspection -- kwarn= latest hooker is
to insist on being provided with exact location, unit designation
and name of commanding officer before letting ICC team in. Fr,-,nch
military advisory role still in negotiation stage.
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SQUTH VIETNAM
No sign that enemy is being seriously hurt, despite heavy
casualties. Organized Viet Cong strength now 23,000. Support fro4i
north continues --
Viet Cong are losing
fear of government aircraft and improving their antiaircraft capab-_lity.
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SINO*INDIAN WAR
Temporary lull in action -- Indians have admitted 2500
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dead or m3ssing -- Looks pretty clear that Sovs will not come thrDugt
with MIG 21's and may not deliver helicopters. Moscow also taking,
public line more favorable to China. Despite India's need for
Western support' 'sign that Nehru will fall very far off his
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The central theme of Moscow's propaganda commentary
for the last 24 hours has been to portray Khrushchev's 28
October letter to the President as a new peace initiative
by the Soviet leader. Specific indications as to which
areas of international dispute may become the subject of
new Soviet initiatives for negotiations are lacking, how-
ever,
The USSR is still attempting to broaden the President's
commitment not to invade Cuba. Talk of the alleged anti-
Castro activities of Cuban "counterrevolutionaries" contin-
ues to appear in bloc broadcasts, with a Soviet commentator
asking whether President Kennedy, in permitting the "shady
maneuverings" of these counterrevolutionaries to continue,
is living up to his guarantee that Cuba will, not be invaded.
Reaction from Peiping continues to be at variance with
the propaganda from Moscow and Eastern Europe. Peiping yes-
terday carried an extensive TASS item on Khrushchev's 27
October offer to swap missiles'in Cuba for US missiles in
Turkey, but has played down the final agreement. An NCNA
review of the October 30 Peiping press says that "top promi-
nence" is given to Castro's "important" statement of Sunday
upholding Cuba's independence and sovereignty. A Western
news agency in Peiping reports that news of Khrushchev's Oc-
tober 28 letter was received with "surprise and disapproval,
and that the highest political circles in Peiping are talk-
ing of a "Soviet Munich."'
SOVIET MILITARY STATUS
No major changes have been detected in the past 24
hours in the disposition or readiness posture of the major
Soviet and satellite military forces.
Surveys of rail yards, highways and airfields in the
Moscow area on 28 and 29 October revealed no indication of
unusual military activity. Police surveillance of the
attaches was reported to be normal. The army and air attaches
in Warsaw report no evidence of unusual movement by air or
ground units in Poland, and have heard no rumors of troop
movements as had been the case during the Berlin crisis of
1961.
There has been a relaxation of Soviet restrictions on
travel by western attaches. On 29 October the Soviets tele-
phoned permission for a trip by auto from Moscow to Lenin-
grad the same day the request was made; such speed in
granting a request is highly unusual.
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4. Restrictions on travel of Western attaches in the USSR were at least partial'v
lifted on 29 October, but we have as yet no first-hand observations of the si?ruatia n
outside Moscow. No unusual activity has been observed in Moscow. Our attaches in
Eastern Europe generally have not been restricted from travel, and, except in Hungary,
d' d I. I
cap=
obse t' h
rv
ro
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a
a
ns ve n
it a training or troop activity outside garrison a
Checks of several rail lines in Poland have revealed no increase in rail traffic.
5. In East Germany, there are signs of some Soviet field training, including the
probable movement of elements of one division Into the temporary restricted areas in
southwest East Germany. Portions of one of the Sovi ipelines into this
general area were reported removed on 25 October.
We h-owe oted no significant civil defense preparations in the Soviet Bloc.
Critical Areas
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2. Berlin and Gem: A pending change in procedures regarding rail freight
traffic between West Berlin and West Germany, including that of the Allies, Es
suggested by the recently reported East German construction of new barbed wire
train enclosures and custom barriers at two East German railroad stations The re-
ported newly constructed arrangements for processing at passenger crossing paints
at two other stations ma also indicate forthcoming changes in rail passenger pro-
cessing at those points.
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4. Sino-Indian Border: Further military action is believed impending in the Nt.l i,
area, w ie in lad kh the Chinese have now seized virtually all the territory- which
they had claimed <
Ill. Bloc International Position
2. A "high" Soviet military source is quoted in the press as saying on 2V
October that Castro would have to accommodate himself to Soviet-US ar ongemen-~
for settling the Cuban crisis. In this connection, it is noted that Peiping h08 giver
some prominence to Cuban demands that the US must withdraw from Guantanamo,
while Moscow merely printed but gave no further dissemination to Castro's 2d Octobe
statement containing this demand. Castro and Soviet Ambassador Alekseyev reportedly
r- I
held a "long" conference the night of 28-29 October.
The some source also reportedly said that Moscow will ship no arms to India
a d su rts Peiping`s territorial claims in the Sinn-Indian border dispute.
o
n
p
he Soviet delivery of MIG-21s to India, scheduled for
December, is off, and that the supply of Soviet HOUND helicopters may also have
been held up. This further Soviet shift in favor of Communist China follows Peiping"i
sharp expression of dissatisfaction on 27 October over inadequate Bloc support in site
Sino-Indion border dispute.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGE CY
OFFICE OF THE DEPUTY DIRECTOR
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30 October 1962
1. The following information obtained entirely from Lundahl and
Scoville.
2. Missions are established by NRO and directed by the JRC.
Naval planes fly out of Jacksonville and films are processed there. Air
Force planes fly out of McDill and films are processed there.
(Cap
3. Clear-cut DOD instructio - to both Jacksonville and McDill
require the immediate production at "`e r photo labs of an original
negative, a duplicate positive, and a duplicate negative. The fi rst two
are transmitted urgently to NPIC via Andrews Air Force Base. They
are delivered to the NPIC courier at Andrews. The third (duplicate
negative) is delivered directly to .iitland to NAVPIC and NAVPIC is
charged with production and wholesale distribution to whomever is
authorized the product. `e"AC dots te Aawe. , iv* O. MtriU1.
4. It was reported that General Sweeney saw the wet negatives of
Mission 29211, noted information of interest, alerted General LeMa, who
in turn apparently alerted the Joint Chiefs anc
others. The film from this mission arrived at NPIC at 0530 this me rnin#;
and went immediately into processing by our PI's.
5. There were also some Navy films delivered yesterday. The
Air Force film was grainy and very poorly processed. Some of this
could be from the rainy conditions at exposure but probably considerable
of it occurred in the developing. This, however, can only be tied dc-Nn
exactly by careful chemical analysis. The film delivered to NPIC was
not boxed and was not titled -- both of these actions should have been don