NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL AGENDA

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CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3
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RIPPUB
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S
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50
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November 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 22, 1998
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2
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Publication Date: 
June 6, 1955
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AG
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Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-WP:! 3,443R000400040002-3 Copy No. 32 NBC-251st Meetime JUne 6, 1955 NATIONAL SNCURITY COUNCIL AGNIME ear the Meeting to be held in the Conference Room of The White Rouse, Thursday, JUme 9, 1955, at 10:00 a.m. ITEM FOR CONSIENRATION ITCM 1 imm(X3CY frumccativroN MAR?RATIONAL mown cculEn (fisc 5521) 11111111P For consideration of the draft statement on the subject con- tained in the reference report (NBC 5521). The Attorney General, the Chairman, Atomic Nnergy Commission, and the Federal Civil Defense Administrator are being invited to participate with the Council in consideration of this it. In* FCR DISCUSSION ITER 2 -- SIGNIFICANT WORLD ENVELOPMENTS APVICTIRO U. S. SECURITY For discussion in the light of an oral briefing on the sub- ject by the Director of Central Intelligence. ADDITIONAL rnim FOR CONBIDNRATION ITsm 3 -- u. S. poucy as ALL-VIETNAM UNCTIONS (incNSC 5519; NBC Action No. 13164; Memo for NBC from buicutive Secretary, some subject, dated Ju M; 2, 1955) For consideration of the draft statement of policy on the subject contained in the reference report (ROC 5519) in the light of the views of the Joint Chiefs at Staff transmitted by the reference memorandum of ;Nam 2, 1955. N8C-251st Meeting NNW Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 O1 titil6ilitT- Approved For Release 199?/ i Jose 1936 SOUTh VlbISAM f r*baIXteus sect forces apparently Melug y dsnt with by force of arms. 3.5r)o A. attf t bis fellow Boa Ilao rebel, General as *boerrots discount pout lit 4raucb will resupply rebels C. Prospect is that lea Mao dist a. talks. has so i I ? 1, reduced five level of military to level of a police problem *ming question elsewhere os horizon is problem 165 talks with 'let Minh on all- Jetsam pre 20 July sward as specified hiWeer* d.c lar&tlea. lasted a let* topping op its *tattoo of Gssev *lel eisp an speech cit ng "sew plum* neva agreement. important problem to eight was to r consultations to e held from 25X1 A9a t to sabotage fiction tialsed Defeats* Secretary Osneva,bad made clear US intent to sake Mateo* desarcat line permaneet, like Korea. Approved For Release 1999/09/08 P8OR01443R000400040002-3 04 OVO Of Approved For Release 1999/69i0 IA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 . Olap praised Fresch spokesmen for their assurance* that Geneva terms would be faith- I *1.iy adhered to. 4. At press conference in ea U Viet Tine Prowler (Phen Vas Deng) Azited Geneva term* in hreshiag aside question whether consultation con ference sight sot he held. 1. Boast put rrench on notice, stating 'the other signatory of the Geneva agreement*, and the interested parties must execute their obligation.' A. flirt Minh epekeenen always take care to *tate tuat all guarastees neceseary will No given to insure completely free electloas. I. Modes belly Berber correepondest, tilfred berehott, reliably reported to have stated at Bandung is April that Viet-ass vas ose place where elections could he held os dr t model. since Consuniets sure of wishing. as Oeneva signatory, &hewing coscern regarding reeposelbiiitles oestraeted for. k. rrisch see Dien** propeeed Saigon 4-Power conference U good opportuaity to put Western pressure- on Vietaaseee to tale initiative regardiag consultetionn with Viet bleb. b. lerench $uggest that Wester* OWOrs at 4aigon stmt. Approved For Rfiptiws41902M98italtik-araP449,01442iF10081$000400004 and 144e**iiWrr Approved For Release 1999/09/0e.' A-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 Cl' tag to Roo say talk*? by its tor** sly a popularly sot come Aga. b such vital *otter*. .4 tao status et tij et elections. D. Si regard* it sesautiel that Vtitaaaoo iiivesignty tee migimatiosed and couplet* bitter* any deciaretloa ou free olectiess is *ado. 1. At that time Di whets to tally tsssist? bio goveramomt troll Goseva aeoords Me fool* this necessary to prom Co which ha preheat.).y distrusts, from cooing Ia aad tablas over election arrangements. South Vietnemese point* will searc.iy isprsosViet Slab or?perhaps afire impowtaatly?otio ladle**. Approved For Release 1999/09/0 -RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 Approved For Release 1999/09/ RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 A. *0 lo resimillag oloctioos uatil bottal *Milli. *iip port ot Polito Approved For Release 1999/09/0.8.....LIAAWOR01443R000400040002-3 ApprovIFFMNite 1999/091MDP8OR0814W0945050040002-3 SOUTH VIETNAM I. Vietnamese Army apparently moving cautious- ly against Hoa Hao rebels (7,6)0) under General Soai. A. No major fighting has yet developed; att:204 Soai's troops apparently To tn. small quadrilateral between Bassac and Mekong Rivers. B. Other rebel force (3,000) under Ba Cut, --although given to tough talk--has not moved to support Soai nor has Vietnamese Army moved against it. C. Anti-Soai campaign might end quickly through large-scale rebel defections, or could drag on for weeks as clearing operation. D. But Army's heavy superiority in numbers and weapons leaves little doubt of eventual outcome. Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 Approvqci ForZgliewelnK09 Fs'gqM64,g3000400040002-3 horizon is problem of July '55 talks with Viet Minh on '56 all-Vietnam elections. A. Viet Minh stepping up campaign to put over its own interpretation Geneva terms. B. C-in-C Giap, has made speech (22 May) citing "new phase" in struggle to implement Geneva agreement. 1. Said most improtant problem in sight was to prepare for consulta- tions to be held from 20 July onward, as specified by Geneva declarations. C. Giap blasted alleged US effort to sabotage election plans; c Defense Secretary Wils 1 on eve of Geneva, had mad ear US intent to make Vie demarcation line permanent, ,,4afrii-terfrer. -2 Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 9900@ligal. Approved For Releiase an/0197M11FerlatIltlilnRe000400040002-3 for their assurances that Geneva terms would be faithfully adhered to. D. At press conference in Hanoi on 6 June, Viet Minh Vice Premier (Phan Van Dong) cited Geneva terms in brushing aside question whether consultation confer- ence might not be held. 1. Dong put French on notice, stating "the other signatory of the Geneva agreements, and the interested parties must execute their obliga- tion." E. Viet Minh spokesmen taking care to state they will give all guarantees necessary to insure "completely free elections." -3- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 miA4NRENTomme Approved ForReleiase9/09/711Morly301M.114,SMOR4R30040002-3 London aily Wilfred Burchett, reliably reported to have stated at Bandung in April that Vietnam was one place where elections could be held on British model since Communists sure of winning. III. France, as Geneva signatory, showing con- cern regarding responsibilities contracted for. A. French see Diem's proposed Saigon 4-Power Conference as chance to pressure Vietnamese to take initiative on pre-election consultations. B. French suggest that Western powers propose either that two Geneva presi- dents (Eden and Molotov) make approach to two Vietnam parties or that ICC do so; French prefer former. -4- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 iJLJcnrT Approved For Release 1999/097(@?8InDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 C. French state they have information India is preparing plan to get two Vietnams to meet; they justifiably fear adverse reaction of South Vietnam authorities to any Indian initiative. IV. Diem government, meanwhile apparently planning to use two arguments as basis for backing away from any talks with Viet Minh, at least in July. A. Main argument is that South Vietnam not a signatory to Geneva agreement, thus not bound by its terms. B. Other argument--or stall--is that only popularly elected National Assembly (which will not come into existence before fall) can deal with such vital matters. C. In addition, Diem has recently linked the status of the French Expeditionary Corps to subject of elections. -5- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 t'Et4TET TIMMER" Approved For Releiae aq/agfii gitk-wramo4thwpoo400moo2-3 Vietnamese sovereignty be un- questioned and complete before any declaration on free elections is made. D. Diem also points out that his case different from Adenauer and Rhee who have full backing of Western powers; he wants similar Western agreement on his government. E. When any declaration on elections made, Diem wants to fully dissociate his government from Geneva accords. F. He feels this necessary to prevent ICC, which he profoundly distrusts, from coming in and taking over election arrangements. . These South Vietnamese points will scarcely impress Viet Minh or--perhaps more im- portantly--the Indians. -6- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 ? CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 SigigIfirmW Agefter Approved FoueelgamiginitG19/8fia:iGh4.4R,DB808t014a158R000400040002-3 "if French had authority and its has passed to Vietnamese, the latter are responsible; but we do not know how much has passed to Vietnamese." B. Questioned on whether Vietnamese "automatically inherit" responsibility of Geneva signatory, Indian said that is legal question to be studied when it arises. C. Canadians on ICC take position that Commission members have no role re- garding elections until both sides agreed on all details. D. But Indians, with support of Poles, unlikely to accept so passive a role. Approved For For Release 1999/09 h6fRDP8OROI443R000400040002-3 Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 A A loltal *kick stwict: kt23 base stout ity, Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 -4- oleetteae by eeeret ballet. is *rdr thst t* restoration of postee asy have made 4utfielent amid tbet there hey b*0 promotet all the saeosaary aoaditioa* to 'Await the free eavr-:111 ot astioaal w111. general 41ostiono will tea:4p pleas to July ? unaor the control of ea latersstiousl 01011.01u61012 401tvoea rwirviv011ail4 of the state* iblehAtro mewheri. ok th, international commlasien for wavervietoa *a4 coittrol t4ia the IlWeta4f4' th ti attt.Coo*ulto Sous will tato ilascv oe thi* **bloot betweea olootelati,at reprovoutUtivv suirhueiti404, ut, ttAv two suovA alter ;MI 4(6 1Vtg, - Tiaw Iripach rtoreigs CUtcree'stiv stKtk,4 that M4 logsl office ha* isterproted thiu article so. aesalag that yftetaameett -Viet Miab coateot abool-4 take olhOo Jai 1944$ sea mot juot at 4iose tiae Avebeequeat thereto. , Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP8OR01443R000400040602-3 Approvgacf8MUNe1999/09ffitt*RDP804b441Rdaio0040002-3 BACKGROUND--GENEVA REFERENCES TO ALL-VIETNAM ELECTIONS I. The agreement for the cessation of hostili- ties in Vietnam, which is the document actually signed at Geneva by representatives of the commanders-in-chief of the Viet Minh army and the French Union forces in Indo- china, makes only one brief reference to future elections. A. This is contained in article 14(a) which states: "Pending the general elections which will bring about the unification of Vietnam, the conduct of civil administration in each regrouping zone shall be in the hands of the party whose forces are to be regrouped there by virtue of this agreement." II. The main Geneva reference to elections in Vietnam is contained in the final declara- tion issued by the Conference Secretariat, the validity of which the South Vietnamese Approved For Relesseit999/991.0fini CIA-REIMFLOW3R000400040002-3 ISCCIASET Approved ForAl3elimeteign9 gipplgyalW400040002-3 /Par= -RN "The conference declares that, so far as Vietnam is concerned, the settlement of political problems, effected on the basis of respect for the principles of independence, unity and territorial integrity, shall permit the Vietnamese people to enjoy the fundamental freedom guaranteed by democratic institutions established as a result of free general elections by secret ballot. In order that the restoration of peace may have made sufficient progress and that there may be present all the necessary conditions to permit the free expression of the national will, general elections will take place in July 1956, under the control of an international commission composed of representatives of the states which are members of the inter- national commission for uspervision and Approved For Releastr111991060TeCIAGRDR6CM1443R1380460040002-3 .166i?NiMig" Approved For Re!wee agnkyigg :0fii,,-(ttRuymo:43wp_400040002-3 sultations will take place on this subject between competent representa- tive authorities of the two zones after July 20, 1955." B. The French Foreign Office recently stated that legal office has inter- preted this article as meaning that Vietnamese-Viet Minh contact should take place on 20 July 1955, and not just at some time subsequent thereto. Approved For Release 1999/09/08 ?-drA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 @Lsilfte, NscAppievadTor Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R00040024010)225-3 FRENCH NORTH AFRICA /5 I. Although general tension4mounting throughout French North Africa situationAdifferent in each of three political divisions. A. In "protectorate" of Tunisia, French have recently con- cluded agreement with "native" Tunisian government, granting limited home rule. B. Haggling over interpretation of agreement, together with local disorders, likely to complicate and delay transfer of governmental functions from French to Tunisian control. C. Prospect of more self-government for Tunisia encourages nationalist campaign in "protectorate" of Morocco and nominally "metropolitan" Algeria, where security situation steadily deteriorating. II. In Tunisia, which has been a French "protectorate" since 1881/3: A. Ponderous series of conventions (signed Paris 3 June) define extent of home rule. I. Due for ratification by National Assembly in July; Embassy Paris thinks chances good. 2. Tunisian approval (by Bey) expected to be automatic. B. Under conventions, France will retain control over Tunisian foreign affairs, defense; will begin to transfer police services (after 5 years) judicial services (after 10 years) to Tunisian control. 1. In interim, French interests to be protected by High Commissioner's office. 01,Maimi? Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 491111016Bi1 Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 III. Proposed conventions opposed by: A. Reactionary French settler element (principally French members Tunisian civil service). Bureaucrats are exerting maximum possible pressure prevent French Assembly approval. B. Extremist wing of otherwise moderate Tunisian Neo-Destour ("eonstitutioni)) party (under leadership Salah ben Youssef). Extremists have strong ties with Arab League. C. Other Tunisians in opposition include small but fanatic Old Destour Party (8,000), and smaller (1,500) ineffective Tunisian Communist Party. IV. Conventions supported by: A. Minority of unorganized French business and professional residents Tunisia. B. Majority of 800,000-strong Neo-Destour party, whose president (Habib Bourghiba) has acted as behind-the-scenes guide of compromise settlement. However, Bourghiba has clearly stated conventions only first step toward full independence. C. Many French officials privately admit inevitability of Tunisian independence. D. Implementation of conventions probably will be strife-ridden. V. In Algeria, picture complicated by fact that three coastal divisions (Constantine, Algiers and Oran) have been considered departments of France (residents nominally voting citizens) since 1848( /Our interior divisions are under military occupa- tion). - 2 - 411649PIER Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 "MOO Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 A. French had to impose state of emergency 7 April: since then guerrilla attacks in eastern Algeria (Constantine) stepped up drastically. B. French have reinforced Algeria with more than 20,000 troops, withdrawn from forces committed to NATO--total in Algeria now more than 110,000. C. US consul characterizes French security measures as inept, unsuccessful. Army apparently guarding Europeans in towns, while countryside Moslems unprotected against outlaws. D. French-Moslem antagonism increasing steadily and North African native troops can no longer be relied on. 1. Some "captures" of native units believed desertions. 2. Algerian light infantry units being rotated to Germany, replaced by French units. E. French government yielding to extremist settler demands, allowing formation oi settler militia--essentially vigilante gangs--to "aid" in police activities. F. Essence of problem is that Algerians who seek independence are considered de facto traitors, since French make juridical claim that Algeria c'est la France. VI. In Morocco, which has been a French "protectorate" since 1912: A. Sharp upsurgelJast two years' terrorism, concentrated Casablanca area, began late May '55. Moslem resentment over heavy-handed French repressive measures now acute: Europeans in Casablanca said to face danger of massacre. of B. Paris apparently at last convincedneed to solve burning "dynastic issue" by replacing unpopular sultan (Ben Arafa-- - 3 ? 40.0,Morm Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 imposed by French,August 1953), C. However, Paris rejects possibility re-enthroning French- deposed Mohamed ben Youssef. 1. French can find no acceptable qualified candidate among many Alaouite princes. 2. May resort to device of Regency Council. D. No action to better Moroccan conditions probable until after Tunisian conventions approved by French Assembly. 1. Protectorates Minister July, told Foreign Affairs Commission of French Assembly: "Never has the maxim 'to govern is to choose the lesser evil' been more apt." VII. North African Nationalists capabilities difficult to assess. A. Almost no information available on quantity, type arms available. B. Weapons captured by French usually light, of World War II or earlier vintage: very few automatic weapons discovered. C. Nationalists probably doing some smuggling--by sea or overland. Also probably Arab States collaboration. 1. Logistics problem involved makes massive overland supply from Libya or Egypt improbable. 2. Most likely source--"private enterprise" gun-running by sea. D. Nationalists in different parts of French North Africa probably do not now have sufficient military equipment to launch coordinated rebellion. 1. However, can continue tie down significant portion France's military strength. Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 E. Inflammatory radio broadcasts from such disparate points as Cairo, Damascus, Spanish Morocco and Budapest--all in colloquial Arabic--are claimed by France to be major factor in current unrest, disorders. IX. Outlook colored by variety of factors: A. More than 200,000 French troops and police in area give reasonable assurance France can maintain some sort of position in North Africa. B. However, frustrations over course of events in Indochina ArgeA may make French exaggerate presentthreat, in hopes of getting unqualified US support. C. Problem further complicated by anti-Americanism, suspicion US intentions prevalent among French settlers and officials in North Africa who see US ousting French. 1. At same time, American popularity declining among natives; Communists exploiting French use of American arms. D. Meanwhile, rising terrorism poses threat to all Europeans, including more than 15,000 Americans now in Morocco. E. Only place where situation likely to improve is Tunisia, where France may avert serious disorders by firm implemen- tation agreed-upon autonomy. F. Restoration of Algerian Moslem confidence--end to "second- class citizenship" for natives--appears prerequisite to restoration order there. G. Unless essential dynastic change made in Morocco, there is increased possibility organized guerrilla operations there. -5- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 NKBRIE.FING, Approved For Release 1999/09/Mnift158S0133M400040002-3 FRENCH NORTH AFRICA I. Although general tension mounting throughout French North Africa, situation different in each of three major areas. A. In Tunisia (a French "protectorate" since 1881/3) peadorees-series of "conventions" (initialed Paris 3 June) now define extent of "home rule." B. France will control Tunisian foreign affairs, defense, but will begin to transfer police services (after 2 years), judicial services (after 5 years) to Tunisian control (full transfer will not be completed for 20 years). C. French High Commissioner (new post) will be in charge foreign affairs, defense; will also be watchdog over continuing French economic, cultural "interests." II. Tunisian conventions opposed by: A. Reactionary local French (principally French members Tunisian civil service). Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 Approved ForBRelwteran/tO9RM o 911M2 gligsmovwcon3 Tunisiam Neo-Destour party, which has ties with Arab League. C. Small but fanatic Old Destour Party (8,000), and smaller (1,500) ineffec- tive Tunisian Communist Party. D. Conventions supported by minority of unorganized French business and pro- fessional residents Tunisia and majority of 800,000-strong Neo-Destour party. N e-o- 6-eo E. Party president (Habib Bourghiba) has k acted as behind-scenes guide of com- promise settlement. F. However, Bourghiba has clearly stated conventions only first step toward full independence, and many French officials privately admit its in- evitability. -2- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 ? CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 aggrrOli; tiftft8fm, Appro9cif.oripkwalMJAHriafl&FIWNUMMACMCW40002-3 by fact that three coastal divisions (Constantine, Algiers, Oran) have been considered "departments" of metropolitan France since 1848 (four less populous interior divisions are under French mili- tary administration). A. Thus French say "Algiers, c'est La France", and consider all who seek Algerian independence de facto traitors. B. However, French law has effect of dividing some 9 million Algerian popu- lation into 10% "first-class," 90% "second-class" citizens, largely along racial/religious lines. 1. Although all "inhabitants" were declared French "citizens" in '47, only Europeans (plus Moslem favored few) possess full French "civil status." -3- Approved For Release 1999/09aagDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 Approved Forcl.,elcAsues1,92?/gONMsDgOlg1NNA00400040002-3 National Assembly and 120 to local Assembly, but representation is split 50-50 into two "Colleges" so that half the total is elected by only 350,000 voters (mostly French), and other half by the Moslem electorate (some 800,000 "qualified" voters out of total 8 million). 1. Example--four interior districts have total population of 800,000, of which 12,000 "non-Moslem." 2. Area's "first-class" registered voters (I College) total 12,000, while "second-class" voters (II College) total 110,000. IV. Nationalist-inspired terrorism came to sur- face in Algeria in late '54: by April this year, French had to impose state of emergency. -4- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 18@akifi Approved For Release 1999/094/MMDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 A. Since April, guerrilla attacks in eastern Algeria (Constantine) stepped up drastically. B. French are reinforcing Algeria with more than 20,000 home troops withdrawn from forces committed to NATO, also calling up 9,000 resident reservists-- total in Algeria will be more than 110,000. C. French-Moslem antagonism increasing steadily and North African native troops can no longer be relied on. 1. Some "captures" of native units believed desertions. 2. Algerian light infantry units being rotated to Germany, replaced by French units. 0.2440A D. US consulicharacterizes French security measures as inept, unsuccessful. Army apparently guarding gemod&ftg Europeans in towns, while countryside Moslems (neutral or friendly) are left unpro- Approved For ReleasetidanitillestGiatRDIMR01443R000400040002-3 `11Agiiifirmmm -5- Approved For Release 1999/0?frgrrDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 V. In Morocco ( a French "protectorate" 'Wee since 1912),4has been sharp upsurge in two-year-old terrorism, concentrated Casablanca area, since late May '55. A. Moslem resentment over heavy-handed French repressive measures now acute: Europeans in Casablanca said to face danger of massacre. B. Paris apparently at last convinced of need to solve burning "dynastic issue" by replacing unpopular sultan (Ben Arafa--imposed by French, Aug '53). C. However, Paris rejects possibility re- enthroning French-deposed Mohamed ben Youssef. 1. French can find no acceptable qualified candidate among many Alaouite princes. 2. May resort to device of Regency Council. -6- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 OFFLaNirT Approved For ) R. elsiaoseanmoTogrVMD, ongsalitt4A9Rwat0002-3 probable until after Tunisian conven- tions approved by French Assembly (expected in July). 1. Protectorates Minister told Foreign Affairs Commission of French Assembly: "Never has the maxim 'to govern is to choose the lesser evil' been more apt." VI. North African Nationalist's overall capa- bilities difficult to assess. A. As to military potentia almos4?ael? Jo. Captured weapons usually light, of World War II or earlier vintage: very few automatic. B. Nationalists probably doing some smuggling--by sea or overland. Also pasetalny Arab States collaboration. -7- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 6491301NIVIEn CUM" Approved For Releia.se amotwgg :pca-Neggpmswoomoo2-3 overland supply from Libya or Egypt improbable. 2. Most likely source--"private enterprise" gun-running by sea. C. Nationalists in different parts of French North Africa probably do not now have sufficient military equip- ment to launch coordinated rebellion. 1. However, can continue tie down significant portion France's military strength. D. Meanwhile, inflammatory radio broad- casts from such disparate points as Cairo, Damascus, Spanish Morocco and Budapest--all id colloquial Arabia-- are claimed by France to be major factor in current unrest, disorders. VII. Outlook for future colored by variety of factors: -8- Approved For Release 1999/0 ? - DP8OR01443R000400040002-3 Approved ForARelvon g2how t. V' I - rlit'gRRRIalaRcal00040002-3 police in area give reasonable assur- ance France can hold on to some sort of position in North Africa. B. However, frustrations over course of events in Indochina may make French exaggerate present threat, in hopes of getting unqualified US support. C. Problem further complicated by anti- Americanism, suspicion US intentions prevalent among French in North Africa who see US ousting French. 1. At same time, American popularity declining among natives; Communists exploiting French use of American arms. D. Meanwhile, rising terrorism poses threat to all Europeans, including more than 20,000 Americans now in Morocco. 1. US personnel number 13,689 military, plus 4,718 dependents; 4,700 other Approved For Release 114970,064VIMREWESOR0?44tRNOW040002-3 "MN Or Approved FoOelcan vino/ e:r - Rffermkagpopoo40002-3 improve is Tunisia, where France may avert serious disorders by firm imple- mentations agreed-upon autonomy. F. Restoration of Algerian Moslem confi- dence--end to "second-class" citizen- ship for natives--appears prerequisite to restoration order there. G. Unless essential dynastic change made in Morocco, there is increased possi- bility organized guerrilla operations --like Algeria's--there. Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : Ckes),RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 Ittur mttlt Approved For Release 1999/09 .' A-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 NSC BRIEFING 7 June 1955 SOVIET BLOC'S FACSIMILE NATO I. The "Treaty of Cooperation, Mutual Assistance and Defense," signed in Warsaw on 14 May by the USSR and all 7 Eastern European Satellites marked the culmination of a drive to erect a facsimile NATO that had begun with the incalling of Satellite bigwigs to Moscow in Dec '54. A. The treaty provides for the establishment of two organizations: a combined military command and a political consultative committee. II. Comparison of the Warsaw Treaty with NATO shows how closely the Soviet instrument is modelled after the West's. A few clauses even appear to be almost direct translations. A. Both agreements provide for "joint measures" in case one of the signatories is attacked. B. Both recognize the ultimate authority of the UN. C. Both pledge the contracting parties to seek to settle all disputes "without use or threat of force" and not to join any "contradictory" alliances. III. As the overall agreement mirrors NATO, so the combined military command is facsimile of SHAPE. A. A unified headquarters will be established in Moscow, with Soviet Marshal Konev as Commander-in-Chief. Each Satellite defense minister, or his appointee, will serve with the rank of deputy to Konev, efti.1464- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 "1411kkika? Approved For Release 1999/09/08 -CatIRDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 B. A permanent staff, composed of representatives of the General Staffs of each participating country, will also be located in Moscow. C. Not all Satellites countries will have their military units included in"the complement of the joint armed forces." 1. Specifically, participation of East German forces was deferred to a later date. 2. Also, it is not known what proportion of existing Satellite forces will be assigned to the "joint forces." IV. From a military standpoint, creation of this combined com- mand is largely a formalization of existing Soviet-Satellite relationships, although the new machinery may make things work better. ra A. Interesting to note that a-I-to-up Satellite ground. force strength totals slightly over 80 divisions (not in- cluding USSR. B. This is almost exactly equal to NATO members' total ground divisions (not including US). V. The political consultative committee will be composed of political representatives of each signatory country (thereby creating a facsimile of the Atlantic Council). A. This Committee will "effect the consultations envisaged in the treaty...sand examine other questions arising in connection with the implementation of the present treaty." -2- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 Approved For Release 1999/09/08: CIA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 B. With such broad powers, the political consultative committee could logically be made responsible for planning and coordination of political and economic-- as well as military--policies of the Satellites, 1. There has been speculation that the Committee would have such broad powers. VI. Although creation of this elaborate counterpart to NATO have been inspired in part by military considerations, there is substance for speculations that the USSR has broader aims, A. Ambassador Bohlen has suggested that the USSRts public confession of error during the Belgrade pilgrimage was in part designed to permit a new sort of relation with its Satellites. VII. This broader Soviet aim may be brought into open at time of Summit meet, A. Alterations of Soviet control mechanism in the Satel- lites might be designed to parry any Western efforts to make the status of the Satellites a subject of Big Four negotiations. B. Soviet troops stationed as "joint armed forces" in the Satellites can no longer be called occupying forces, which would tend to offset Western objections that the Satellites ate not independent. may -3- Approved For Release 1999/09/08: G R01443R000400040002-3 TA400111, Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 VIII. Indeed, the whole "fascimile NATO" is expendable, and, at the Summit, the USSR might offer to abolish its new organization in exchange for the disbandment of NATO, or even go so far as to offer to withdraw Soviet troops from some Satellites in exchange for similar US troop withdrawals from Western Europe, A. The fact that East German participation was deferred to a later date strengthens the Soviet position in demanding West Germany's withdrawal from its NATO commitments. B. A further indication of such possible bargain offers at the Summit came when the Soviet pilgrims at Belgrade asked how the Yugos would feel about Bulgaria joining the Balkan Alliance. -4- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 OR01443R000400040002-3 ApprovggCFPgretffb 1999/09r:MDP8OR044iWtr001M)40002-3 SOVIET BLOC'S FACSIMILE NATO I. The Warsaw "Treaty of Cooperation, Mutual Assistance and Defense" (signed 14 May by USSR, all 7 Satellites) was culmination of Soviet campaign to erect "facsimile NATO" which had started with in-gathering of Satellite bigwigs at Moscow (Dec '54). A. Treaty provides for two organizations: combined military command, and politi- cal consultative committee. ALtto D . Lo?e_ox evt_ II. Comparison of Warsaw Treaty with NATO shows Soviet instrument closely modelled after the West's, with some clauses almost direct translations. A. Both agreements provide for "joint measures" in case one of signatories is attacked. B. Both recognize ultimate authority of UN. Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 sarkilfter" 'nentuFm Approved Folellmstlppaik,W0ethic14-paR1OFAItlitle3BCIQP400040002-3 seek settlement all disputes "without use or threat of force," and not to join "contradictory" alliances. III. As Warsaw Treaty mirrors NATO, so the combined military command is parallel to SHAPE. A. Unified headquarters will be in Moscow, under Soviet Marshal Honey (C-in-C). Defense minister in each Satellite, or his appointee, will hold rank of deputy to Konev. B. Treaty does not create special role for Soviet Marshal Rokossovski (Polish Defense Minister and only Soviet officer who holds such a post in any Satellite). I. Early rumors held that Rokossovski would get some sort of NATO-like "regional command," but Treaty provides for no such commands. Approved For Release 1999/0951EdeDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 Approved ForcRelm1.0,494/ppittir*CM.F(91440gRat040002-3 staff," composed of representatives from General Staffs of each participat- ing country. D. Not all Satellites military units will be included in the "United Armed Forces": to date, no allocations have been announced. 1. Additionally, participation of East German forces has been deferred to aulater" date. F. Soviet "line of communication" troops (now in Hungary and Rumania with total ground strength: 59,000) are nominally stationed there by treaty only while USSR maintains Austrian "occupation zone." 1. Troops could now remain indefinite- ly, and new Soviet forces could enter any other Satellite under Warsaw Treaty terms, as matter of "sovereign" agreement that such "United Armed Forces" were required Approved For Release c999/691OrtIcAel8515801A01443R000400040002-3 al30?144ENTm Approvg4forMyvsnlMONCCATAF.110gpaffigq91400040002-3 this combined command is largely a formali- zation of existing Soviet-Satellite re- lationships (chart), although the new machinery may make things work better. A. Interesting to note that Satellite ground force strength (not including USSR) totals slightly over SO divisions B. This almost exactly equal to NATO mem- bers' total paper ground strength (not including US). V. Although this elaborate "facsimile NATO" possesses military utility, there is sub- stance for speculations that the USSR has broader than merely military aims. A. Political consultative committee, for example, will be composed of political representatives from each signatory (i.e.: facsimile of Atlantic Council). B. Committee will "effect the consultations envisaged in the treaty...and examine Approved For Relen.phig.:glb on- risin in connection R01443R000400040002-3 other UV.; 1:V t, .L: Approved FotReltsn119t9M.9 PF84)Fct1ignaGa4Q(440002-3 could plan and coordinate political and economic--as well as military-- policies of all Satellites. D. Ambassador Bohlen has suggested that public Soviet confession of error during Belgrade pilgrimage was in part designed to permit a new sort of re- lation with its Satellites. VI. This broader Soviet aim may be brought into open at time of Summit meet. A. Alterations ofSoviet control mechanism in Eastern Europe might be designed to parry any Western efforts at Summit to negotiate on status of Satellites. B. Soviet troops stationed in Satellites as "United Armed Forces" could not be called occupying forces: Warsaw Treaty emphasis on "sovereignty" of signatories would tend to offset Western charges that Satellites not independent. Approved For Release 1999/09/08 :111A-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 mStiushAlifff GAMONRENF Approved EockliZeinatte NEP 9/1)81 Wi-fgaeifil BO 1441360 QOA21040002-3 be used at Summit as expendable bargaining point. A. USSR might offer to abolish new organi- zation in exchange for the disbandment of NATO. B. Might even go so far as to offer with- draw Soviet troops from some Satellites in exchange for similar US troop with- drawals from Western Europe. C. Fact of deferred East German partici- pation strengthens Soviet position for demanding West Germany's withdrawal from NATO commitments. D. Indication of such possible bargain offers at Summit came when Soviet pilgrims at Belgrade asked Yugos if they would favor Bulgaria's joining Balkan Alliance. -6- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 ? CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 afirgi6ihrmg ApprovaiT&RMaidice 1999/09761MWDP801*14113R01664)0040002-3 ICFTU CONG ESS \At F T J- FnmA.A. 4S7 - u FtsuA.4.4 c-F- I) I. Most significant development at last month's ICFTU Congress at Vienna was decision to establish a Director of Organ- ization med step-up ICFTU anti-Communist activities. A. Since organization, ICFTU has made substantial progress in uniting free trade unions of world. 1. Today, has 109 affiliates in 75 countries (combined membership-- 54,500,000). B. However, resources have not been ade- quate to fight Communist infiltration, manipulation of world labor movements (especially in underdeveloped areas). II. Some members have insisted that ICFTU could best meet Communist threat by concentrating on improvement of workers' social, economic Approved Forealcat?9W9dioNeCIIMP8OR01443R000400040002-3 siiireiii?41?"` Approved ForAReleRosfeRplOMM:8(1RIA AA 00A:1400040002-3 established trade union centers have been captured by Communists and fellow-travelers. B. This demonstration of inadequacy in approach gives particular significance to ICFTU's creation of Director of Organization. III. This new official will have the dual job of organizing and strengthening trade unions (particularly in underdeveloped areas) and also directing more aggressive anti-Communist campaign. FunCommit_t_ff_jjiskeited) B. Director will be selected by committee of three (Meany, Geddes, and Khatib of Pakistan), which is expected to announce choice in Sep '55. C. Among candidates are Becu, and Pat Conroy (Canadian labor attache in Approved For Reletaath1fileggyQ8 : CIA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 agifit -2- teelfiltiP Approvet FortriatikyaSeta9MOitint(Cltot-FilineROAMHZCIONIOD040002-3 lateral foreign operations when new arrange- ments go into effect. A. New system will be financed by increase in annual dues of ICFTU affiliates. B. Meany has informally agreed to con- tribute substantial part of fund. 1. For both AF of L and CIO, amount would total $150,000. V. Other actions at Vienna Congress included: A. Acceptance into ICFTU membership of the Union Marocaine du Travail (organized in defiance of French law prohibiting indigenous trade unions in Morocco). 1. Under this law, native workers must join existing French unions which, in many cases, forced them into Communist-controlled CGT. 2. Action is significant since it lends_ support to nationalist aspirations Approved For ReleaseltS99106041=MOR04449MOIMR0002-3 -3- Approved For Rel'.se 3". lOntflirttraYNOV469wR400040002-3 for allegedly supporting colonialism. B. ICFTU rebuke of two international trade secretariats (Miners' Inter- national Federation and International Federation of Building and Woodworkers) for accepting Tito-controlled affiliates into their membership. C. Summary rejection of WFTU invitation for "unity of action" by all inter- national labor organizations. 1. ICFTU Secretary General suggested that WFTU's affiliates make a genuine effort to introduce free trade unionism in their own countries before making further overtures. VI. One of most noteworthy aspects of Vienna Congress was emergence of US leadership in ICFTU affairs. Factors contributing to Approved For %%9Q8 : CIA-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 =5Etkitefm= -4- 5149140Pm, Approved FoutReleased.99/29/68tieb%-RDP8ORM4413R000408040002-3 gations of intention to remain in 'crew, make it a more effective organization. B. Forthcoming merger between AF of L and CIO. C. Delegates' awareness of heavy US financial contributions. D. Atmosphere of unity among US and Canadian delegations and lack of friction between US and UK delegations. Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIW-RDP8OR01443R000400040002-3 agiarriCw'r Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-R*91714-44) CIO and TUC withdrew from the WFTU on 18 January 1949. The ICFTU was officially established at a Congress in London on 7 Dec. 1949. The main AFofL & CIO delegates were as follows to the Vienna Conference of the ICFTU: AFofL: George Meany Irving Brown David Dubin.sky Jay Lovestone CIO James Carey Jacob Potof sky 0. A. Knight Victor Reuther Michael Ross /fld Pevva/c/ 0002-3 Approved Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3 NSC BRIEFING tee& 8 June 1955 E. Finally, American influence shown in meeting of challenge from both German and Jap delegations. Germans came to Vienna under mandate to resist rearmament proposal prior to unification. Jap delegation proposed resolution calling for ban on mass destruction of weapons. F. US delegation proposed alternative resolution calling on democracies to "improve their efforts to obtain collective security to strengthen their capacity to deter and prevent aggression and war through adequate defense measures." Resolution also called for system of enforceable international control and inspection of atomic b61- 04> resources and denounced Soviet Union such a system. Approved For Release 1999/ DP8OR01443R000400040002-3 Approved For Release 1999/09/ ? P8OR01443R000400040002-3 NSC 8 June 1955 0 u.k VSA iiktt44td f G. Zianr1 resolution supported both German and Jap delegations. Also as result American proposal, tentative plans being made for a Labor Conference On Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy to precede UN general conference 4 August. UM- -7- Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP80R01443R000400040002-3