TRENDS IN COMMUNIST PROPAGANDA

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CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7
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RIPPUB
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C
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51
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November 17, 2016
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April 7, 1999
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3
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Publication Date: 
January 19, 1972
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REPORT
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_ _ Y.Y ww , 4 TAfC~ Approved'For Reaa~ it RDPTb~75R AA3QA~ d i ~ 4 ~ "T 'F',F ') i !' ~ l1 j t D .. 4i1 : 1 .< c i , e Approved For Release 2000/08/09 :CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003 ~7~ / ~ ~~ ` ' Confidential T FOREIGN BROADCAST INFORMATION SERVICE ~Illllll~~iuiuuii~~~lllllll~ H ENDS in Communist Propaganda Confidential 19 JANUARY 1972 (VOL. XXIII, NO. 3) Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 This propaganda analysis report is based ex- clusively on material carried in communist broadcast and press media. It is published by FBIS without coordfnr.tion with other U.B. Government components. WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or receipt by an unauthorized person is pro- hibited by law. ONOUP I [eeluded hoe, eulemelk de-gred(ep oed d.derPNG116" Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CITAMP 4fllM75R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 CONTENTS Topics and Events Given Major Attention . . ... . . . . . . . . . i DRV, PRG Deprecate President's Troop Withdrawal Announcement . 1 Paris: U.S. "Obduracy," Support of Thieu Said to Block Peace . 3 Routine Moscow Propaganda Echoes Hanoi on Troop Withdrawal . . 5 PRC Reports Hanoi, Front Attacks on Withdrawal, U.S. Policies . 6 DRV Spokesman Protests U.S. Air Strikes, Attacks on Fishermen.. 8 PRG, DRV Statements Protest Resettlement. of South Vietnamese . 9 Laos: Communist Media Hail Alleged Capture of Long Tieng . . . 11 SINO-U.S. RELATIONS Peking Discusses U.S. China Policy Through Proxy Comment . . . 15 JAPAN Nixon-Sato Meeting Seen as Inconclusive by Moscow . . . . . . . 18 CHINA Economic Propaganda Continues to Reflect-Moderate Line . . . . 20 Military Regions Pick Up Call to Learn from People . . . . . 21 Several Provincial Party Chiefs Still Not Appearing . . . . . . 22 PRC NUCLEAR TEST USSR, European Allies Stress Radioactii.ity;.DRV.Ignores Test. . 23 KOREA Kim Il-song Calls for Korean Peace Pact, Political.Talks . . . 26 SOUTH ASIA Moscow Deplores U.S. Naval Presence in Indian. Ocean.. . . . . . 29 Peking Ignores Anderson Documents on Indian-Pakistani War . . . 30 Canal Issue Prompts Qualified Cuban Support for Torrijos . . . 31 (Continued) Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL, HIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 C 0 N T E N T S (Continued) USSR Assails U.S. Military Aid, "Secret Agreement" With Israel . 36 Moscow Launches Campaign. Against World Zionist Congress . . . . 39 AAPSO CONFERENCE Cairo Gathering Restrained in Stance Toward-Absent Chinese . . 42 TOPIC IN BRIEF: Ghana Coup . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY HIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 3972 TOPICS AND EVENTS GIVEN MAJOR ATTENTION 10 - 16 JANUARY 1972 Moscow (2753 items) Peking (1468 items) Indochina (14%) 10% Domestic Issues (39%) 41% China (8X) 9%* Indochina (19%) 18% (U.S. Air Raids (10%) 6%] [U.S. A-,lr Raids (2%) 2%] 5th AAPSO Conference, Cairo (--) 8% [Long Cheng Battle (--) 5%] (Brezhnev (--) 3%] Chen I Death (--) 9% Greetings PRC-Cyprus Diplomatic (--) 5% European Security (1%) 3% Relations Indian-Pakistani Conflict (9%) 3%* Indian-Pakistani Conflict (3%) 1% Middle East (2%) 2% Nixon-Sato Meeting (--) 1% These statistics are based on the volcccast commentary output of the Moscow and Peking domestic and international radio services. The term "commentary" Is used to denote the lengthy Item-radio talk, speech, press article or editorial, govern- ment or party statement, or diplomatic note. Items of extensive reportage are counted as commentaries. Figures in parentheses indicate volume of comment during the preceding week. Topics and events given major attention in terms of volume are not always discussed In the body of the Trends. Some may have been covered In prior issues; in other cases the propaganda content may be routine or of minor significance. * The China figure excludes commentaries on China's role in the Indian-Pakistani conflict. These commentaries are included in the figure on India-Pakistan and amount to 2% of total Moscow comment. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CON' tDENTIAL PETS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 IN50CIIIMP President Nixon's 13 January announcement to 1.eporters that 70,000 more U.S. troops will be withdrawn from South Vietnam during the three-month period February through April prompted comment from Hanoi similar to that on his last two announcements, in November and April 1971. Press comment came on the 15th in a NHAN DAN Commentator article: It acknowledged that U.S. troops strength will be down to 69,000 by next May but argued that the war remains an American one since the United States continues to supply money, weapons, and air and naval forces. The notion of maintainir.g a residual force of U.S. troops in South Vietnam as long as the POW's nave not been released is assailed in reaction to Secretary Laird's press conference, held immediately after the President's announcement, as well as in continued comment on the President's 2 January TV interview. Propagandists and the communist delegates at the Paris talks reiterate that the two basic points of the PRG's 1 July peace proposal provide the correct way to end the war and secure the release of prisoners. Peking has not commented on the troop withdrawal announcement on its own authority but has reported Vietnamese communist criticism, including the NHAN DAN Commentator article. Routine Moscow comment echoes Hanoi in assailing the VietnamizatLon policy and the announced U.S. intention to maintain a residual force in South Vietnam. Communist propaganda claims new advances in the fightini in Laos, particularly the alleged capture of Long Tieng on 12 January. The exploit was praised in a flurry of high-level propaganda including a Chou En-lai congratulatory message to Souphanouvong and a PEOPLE'S DAILY Commentator article, as well as in editorials in NHAN DAN and QUAN DOI NHAN DAN. At the same time, the dispatch of Thai troops to Laos is condemned in authoritative propaganda, including an NLHS Central Committee statement supported by a PEOPLE'S DAILY Commentator article and a NHAN DAN editorial. Moscow, as usual, has reacted to the developments in Laos in a more limited fashion, with only routine-level press comment and reportage. DRV. PPG DEPRECATE PRESIDENTS TROOP WITHDRAWAL ANNOUNCEMENT Initial Vietnamese communist reaction to the President's announcement of the next phase of U.S. troop withdrawal came from Hanoi radio on the 14th, and the following day the media carried the NHAN DAN CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FiIS TRENDS 1.9 JANUARY 1.972 Commentator article and Front comment, including a statement from the PRG spokesman in Paris.* The initial Hanoi broadcast set the tone when it said that public pressure and setbacks in Indochina had forced the President to make the announcement and when it complained that he continues to refuse to set a deadline for the withdrawal of all troops. A lengthy Hanoi radio commentary broadcast later on the 14th said that despite his response to public pressure, the President "is an inveterate U.S. imperialist and has refused for three years to withdraw all of the troops." It went on to say that adherence to the Vietnamization policy was shown by Secretary Laird's press conference following President Nixon's brief announcement, as well as in the President's 2 January TV interview.** It observed that Vietnamization is actually a way of establishing "a lackey pro-U.S. regime" and prolonging the war, though it claimed at the same tim- that Vietnamization is "neeting with more arduous trials" than ever before throughout Indochina. The comment uniformly assails Secretary Laird's statement that the United States will maintain a presence in South Vietnam until the POW issue has been resolved, as well as his reiteration of the point that air power will continue to be used to protect U.S. troops. In connection with the latter point, the NdAN DAN Commentator article took issue with Laird's statement that the use of air power has decreased during the Nixon Administration. * Hanoi has regularly responded to announcements of troop withdrawals with NHAN DAN Commentator articles, and prior to his 7 April 1971 announcement there had additionally been high-level official statements. Reaction to the President's 12 November announcement is discussed in the TRENDS of 17 November, pages 1-4, and 24 November, pages 9-10. ** The 7 January NHAN DAN article on the President's TV interview, which Hanoi radio in Mandarin attributed to "Commentator" (discussed in the 12 January TRENDS, pages 3-5), appeared in the press over the signature of Nguyen Huu Chinh. Chinh has frequently commented on U.S. affairs and on the President. His most recent previous article--on the foreign aid bill--is discussed in the 10 November 1971 TRENDS, pages 21-22. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1971 Commentator, in the course of condemning the Nixon Administration for "sabotaging" the Paris talks, claimed that "world public opinion" had condemned the United States for not attending the Paris sessions in December and for carrying out the sustained air strikes against the DRV. Commentator and the statement by the PRG spokesman in Pario again declared that the correct way to end the war and secure the release of American prisoners is the PRG's seven-point proposal, and both spelled out the demands in points one and two. FOREIGN MINISTER TRINH'S VNA on the 14th reported that DRV THANKS FOR SUPPORT Foreign Minister Nguyen Duy Trinh on 10 January had sent letters of thanks to the foreign ministers "of the fraternal socialist countries" and others who had condemned the massive U.S. air strikes against tt-s DRV and voiced support for the Vietnamese people's struggle. (Trinh did not list the "fraternal" countries, but TASS on the 14th reported that Foreign Minister Gromyko had received a "letter of gratitude." Endorsement of DRV Foreign Ministry protests over the air strikes had in fact come at the level of government statements from the Soviet Union and some of its European allies, though Peking had issued its statement at the foreign ministry level.) Presumably referring to the President's TV interview on the 2d, Trinh said that "of late the President has declared that U.S. involvement in Indochina will be ended, all U.S. troops withdrawn and the bombing of North Vietnam stopped only after the release of American prisoners." Trinh then went on to say routinely that the path to a peaceful settlement lies in the PRG proposals. PARIS: U.S. "OBDURACY." SUPPORT OF THIEU SAID TO BLOCK PEACE At the 13 January Paris session, the Vietnamese communists also routinely stressed the correctness of the PRG's peace initiative as the way to achieve a peaceful settlement of the Vietnam conflict. And PRG delegate Nguyen Van Tien* made a special effort to demonstrate that the Vietnamization policy and the maintenance of the GVN were blocking progress at the talks. * Tien was again substituting for PRG Foreign Minister Mme. Binh, who has not been present since the 12 August session. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 DRV delegate Nguyen Minh Vy--substituting for Xuan Thuy-- rebutted Ambassador Porter's contention at the previous session that President Nixon preferred a negotiated settlement. Vy said the President "has made it clear that from 25,000 to 30,000 U.S. troops will be stationed indefinitely in South Vietnam, and the bombing of North Vietnam as well as South Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia would also go on. indefinitely"; he added that the President's declaration that Vietnamization would be continued means that the Thieu "clique" will be maintained in power to prolong and expand the war. The VNA account of the session noted that Tien stressed that so long as the Nixon Administration refuses to withdraw all U.S. troops and "retains" the Thieu "clique," the South Vietnam problem will remain unsolved and the American militarymen "including those captured during the Vietnam war" cannot return to their families. The account also reflects the remerks of Nguyen Minh Vy, who spoke in more detail and repeated the elaborated demands of the rRG's 1 July proposal. VNA reports that Vy said a peaceful settlement requires that "the United States put an end to 'Vietnamization' of the war, withdraw all troops, advisers, military personnel, weapons, and war means as well as abolish bases in South Vietnam and stop all activities of the U.S. air and naval forces in both North and South Vietnam." VNA quotes Vy as saying further that the United States must respect South Vietnam's right to self- determination and "stop maintaining" the Thieu regime. NY TINES QUERIES Vietnamese communist media have not mentioned TO PHAM VAN DONG the New York TIMES' A. M. Rosenthal's communication to Pham Van Dong in which he asked whether Hanoi would negotiate on military withdrawal and the release of prisoners separately from questions pertaining to Vietnam's political future, and in which he posed a series of questions to Dong on the precise meaning of Hanoi's various demands regarding cessation of U.S. military involvement and support of Thieu. VNA's service channel to Paris on the 15th carried Rosenthal's questions along with a message from Ngo Dien, head of the DRV Foreign Ministry's information and press department. Ignoring Rosenthal's specific questions, Dien implied that point one, on U.S. withdrawal and prisoner release, could not be separated from point two on a political settlement in South Vietnam: Dien said that the President, by raising at the same time prisoner release and troop withdrawal "without renouncing all commitment to and support for the Thieu regime," does not aim at bringing the problem to a solution. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 ROUTINE MOSCOW PROPAGANDA ECHOES HANOI ON TROOP WITHDRAWAL Moscow promptly reported that President Nixon had announced a further withdrawal of troops from South Vietnam but did not specify that the total during the next three months would amount to 70,000. The initial TASS report, on the 13th, set the tone when it pointed out that Secretary Laird at his press conference reiterated the U.S. intention to keep a residual force and to continue using its air force. TASS commented that this probably implies new bombing raids on the DRV and added that Laird's "clarification" of the President's remarks only confirmed the U.S. intention of continuing aggression in Southeast Asia and protracting the war in Vietnam. Moscow says Secretary Laird's remarks indicate that the United States intends to continue the aggression and to seek a "military solution" 1.n Vietnam. A Shakov commentary broad-ast in English to South Asia on the 15th and a panelist in the Moscow domestic service roundtable discussion on the 16th both commented on the "division of roles" at the press conference, with the President acting as "peacemaker" while Laird's comments "obliterated all this peacemaking." The object, said the Moscow commentators, was to calm both doves and hawks, the doves being told about the reduction of forces and the hawks being assured that the United States is not thinking of a complete withdrawal and still intends to bring about a "military solution" in Vietnam. A 16 January IZVESTIYA article by Babenko said that the President and Secretary Laird were trying to reassure public opinion and to "create the impression" that the Administration is inclined to adopt a more "prudent line" on the Indochina question. But the "Pentagon's hypocrisy" is obvious, said Babenko, withdrawing "a certain number" of troops on the one hand while on the other intensifying the bombings. Thus, he said, "American newspapers" declare that the announcement of the forthcoming "slight reduction" of U.S. troops does not mean an end of U.S. armed interference in Indochina. A 14 January Moscow domestic services commentary cited UPI for the complaint that the President did not set a date for total troop withdrawal, adding that both the President and Laird "made excuses" fL.r retaining armed forces in Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. The commentary did not mention POW's explicitly, but a report on the press conferences published in PRAVDA on 16 January quoted Laird as saying "we shall stay in Vietnam until the problem of CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 the U.S. prisoners of war is resolved." The domestic service commentary said that Laird tried to convince the reporters that the United States wculd get out of Vietnam, but that he did not say when and failed to answer "direct questions" about the expansion of the conflict in Cambodia and Laos and the intensified air war. His statements on the "success" of Vietnnmization, said the commentator, caut3ed "laughter" among the reporters. A Radio Peace and Progress broadcast in Mandarin to Southeast. Asia on the 16th, commenting on the press conference, concluded that the threat of U.S. aggression in Vietnam is "still very serious" and took the occasion again to attack China's "double- faced policy" and "collusion" with the United States. The commentary repeated the line th.t the President's belief that Peking would not take any strong action encouraged him to carry out the bombings against the DRV. PRC REPORTS HANOI. FRONT ATTACKS ON WITHDRAWAL. U1S, POLICIES While offering authoritative comment on Laoe, Peking has avoided direct comment on Vietnam as such since the 8 January NCNA report on President Nixon's 2 January TV interview. Peking has, however, continued to provide a forum for Vietnamese communist statements criticizing the Nixon Administration's Vietnam policies and calling attention to the Paris conference as the focus for negotiations on Vietnam. The President's 13 January announcement that 70,000 more troops will be withdrawn from South Vietnam by 1 May was acknowledged in NCNA accounts of the NHAN DAN Commentator article and of a Liberation Radio commentary attacking the announcement. Citing the NHAN DAN article as charging that the President was forced to reduce troop strength in order to placate public opinion but that the United States will continue its direct and indirect prosecution of the war, NCNA quoted Commentator's conclusion that this proves the "deceitfulness of Nixon's hocus-pocus about an early end to the war." NCNA also quoted NHAN DAN's denunciation of the President's "sabotage" of the Paris conference, along with the article's assertion that the way to end the war and secure the release of American prisoners is shown in the PRG's seven-point program. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 After having departed from its usual practice by reporting the 6 January Paris session, Peking has not reported the proceedings of the session on the 13th. However, on the 14th NCNA belatedly reported the 4 January statements by the DRV and PRG spokesmen at the Paris conference condemning President Nixon's remarks in his 2 January TV interview for using U.S. POW's as a "pretext" for escalating the war. NCNA cited their criticisms of the Nixon Administration for refusing to engage in "serious negotiations" at Paris and for opposing the seven-point proposal. Other recent Peking pickups of Vietnamese comment similarly publicize the communists' negotiating position and cite the POW question in connection with the seven-point plan. A 15 January NCNA report of DRV Foreign Minister Trinh's letter of gratitude to "socialist countries" and others which condemned the U.S. air strikes noted Trinh's charge that the attacks "revealed more clearly the true features of the Nixon Administration" and "further laid bare its peace swindles." NCNA quoted Trinh's reference to the seven points as the basis for a peace settlement and repatriation of American prisoners. Unlike Moscow, Peking has not reported its specific receipt of a message. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONIC I1)1;NTiAi. F11111 TRENU14 I!'r JANUARY 1972 DRV SPOKESMAN PROTESTS U.S. AIR STRIKES# ATTACKS ON FISHERMEN 't'he URV Foreign Min.tNtry spokuvimtut .issued the second and third protUNLN or the new yonr* against U.S. nets against the DRVs A Statement on the 18th charged the United states with attacking two tislsing bonts a-od one on the 19th denounced U.S. attnckN tsga Inst Nghe An I'rov.in_c. Giving sparse detail on the air strikes, the protest on the 19th charged that U.S. planes in "flight after flight today continuously attacked a heavily-populated area in Nghe An." It said that the armed forces and people in the province, "upholding their vigilance and :fighting well, brought down two U.S. war planes and crippled a number of others." Earlier on the 19th, Hanoi media had reported the downing of two F-4'e, bringing Hanoi's total of downed planes to 3,431. On the 16th, Hanoi had claimed that the people and armed forces of Quang Binh downed art unmanned reconnaissance plane on the previous day. Using somewhat strong language for a spokesman-level protest the statement on the 19th said that "following their frenzied war escalation in the last days of December, this is an extremely serious war act of the U.S. imperialists, grossly encroaching upon the DRV's sovereignty and security, a new crime against the Vietnamese people." It called the action a "very insolent challenge" to world public opinion and said that it "has further exposed the very obdurate and bellicose aggressive nature of the Nixon Administration and its peace hoax." In more routine language it sternly denounced the "very serious war act" and demanded an end to all U.S. ac's of encroachment upon the DRV's sovereignty and security. ATTACKS ON The foreign ministry protest on 18 January FISHERMEN atypically charged the United States with attaching fishing boats. Occasional charges of U.S. harassment of NoLth Vietnamese fishermen have been lodged in the periodic DRV War Crimes communiques. The protest "sternly condemned"the United Otates for sending "combat vessels to attack the people's fishing boats in Nghe An Province," and claimed that on the 16th, two boats belonging to the people of Dien Bich village, Dien Chau district, Nghe An, were sunk * The first protest of 1972 was issued on 7 January. See the 12 January TRENDS, page 10. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 c;01411IDIT,141' IAI. 1111114 'illlUI,n 19 JANUARY 1972 while ,riahittg oft the Nglie An coa"t," It further charged that nine people were killed and seven wounded and that the wounded people were "detait5ed and interrogated before being released," The ataterlent cal.led the alleged action "a serious War act of the U.S, imperiall.atn in international waters" and a "barbarous crime against the Vietnamese people." It added that the "pi.ratic maritime art has trampled on all principles on freedom tti move in international waters.` The D14V Foreign Ministry, it said "severely condemns this crimp" and "firmly demands that the United States immediately end all of its piratic sea act" against the DRV." DRV, PRG STATEMENTS PROTEST RESETTLEMENT OF SOUTH VIETNAMESE The resettlement of some 1,300 South Vietnamese, which began on 5 January, from the northern province of Quang Tri to Phuoc Tuy Province prompts a flurry of derogatory Vietnamese communist propaganda highlighted by PRG and DRV Foreign Ministry statements on the 17th and 19th respectively. The foreign ministry protests do not spell out the details of the transfer, but earlier propaganda, including LPA on 12 January and NIIAN DAN on the 14th, noted that 273 families totaling 1,363 persons have been flown to Phuoc Tuy Province. A llanoi radio commentary on the 12th had said that according to Saigon and Western sources the relocation was to consist of four phases: the first began in December, the second will begin in February, the third in Murch, and the fourth in June.* * A document made public by the War Crimes Committee in South Vietnam c 24 December--carried textually by LPA on 28 December-- on allied crimes in the past three years of "rural pacification" included the passage that "recently, the U.S.-puppets began a major migration plan aimed at removing about two or three million people from the five northern provinces of South Vietnam to provinces in Nam Bo and southern Truong Bo." It said that they had been "forcing 2,000 families in 'strategic hamlets' of Gia An and Gio Son, Quang Tri to migrate to eastern Nam Bo. What they had done previously against separate hamlets, villages or relatively small areas is now applied to entire provinces." The resettlement plan was mentioned more briefly in earlier communiques; issued by the DRV War Crimes Commission, including that of 10 November. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 (:oNi1IIV4NTIAl, t'h111 tltl'Nlttt 19 JANIiARV 1'J; The 1'1((; ho-pigo H1111atry ntatema!t-t charged that "thin wicked, tanning PS'--pmp and PMttemely ruthless act of the U.11, clique In aimed at averting total defeat" In Vietnamleatiutt and ttanaforming the provinces juat mouth of the demilitarised tone (r)MI, into a "white none no that the clique can catty out itn de atrto ctIon and perpetual division of Vietnam." It vtttiolically assailed thin "new heinous crime of Nixon find Thieu" an "moore ruthless than those of fanctat Hit let, who in corned brevet by mankind." The l)ItV Poteign Ministry statement, calling it the "biggest migration plan over tarried out," asserted that the aim of the resettlement was to turn the provinces south of the DMZ "into a free fire and bombing tone in an attempt to nave Vietnam fiat Ion" and to counter the p)pular movement in South Vietnam which to "neethingly opposing U.S. imperialism and the Nguyen Van Thieu warlike and dictatorial regime." And it claimed that the "mad and barbarous degree" of the relocation program "has laid bare the deceitful arguments" of the Nixon Admtnimtratton in saying that the United States is ending its involvement in the war. Voicing full support for the PRG statement, it echoed that statement in "strongly denouncing and sternly condemning before ;public opinion at home and abroad the schemes and criminal acts of the U.S.- hieu clique." But only the PRG statement voiced the conviction that world opinion "will promptly and severely condemn" the relocation plan and "adopt positive measures--together with the Vietnamese people--to stay the clique's bloodstained hands." The resettlement alto come under attack from the PRG delegate at the 13 January session of the Paris talks. Nguyen Van Tien, in the course of an attack on allied policy, especially pacification, said that "one of the most barbarous crimes" being committed by the U.S. and Saigon authorities is the current "deportattin" of the population in the northern provinces aimed at "forcing over one million inhabitants" to leave their homes for the "concentration camps" in the South zones. And Hanoi meJia on the 15th reported that the acting head of the PRG special representation in Hanoi, Nguyen Phu Soai, at a press conference the previous day denouncing allied war "crimes" committed during the three years of Vietnamization, "attracted the journalists' special attention when he told of the U.S.- puppets criminal plan to force tens of thousands of our compatriots near the 17th parallel to go and live in concentra- tion camps in Nam Bo." Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 C)NrIUl!N'I'IAL 111111 'IIIIcN1111 1') JANUAIIY 1'112 LAOS: C(YNIST MLNA NAIL ALLtGrb CAP71JtL O1 LONG TICIVC The alleged Capture of the Long Tieng base In northern Laos on 12 January by common tat troops is praI.aed In a flurry of high-level 11ektng and Ilanol propaganda including a congratulatory message to Nouphanouvong from Chou l n-1 a i. and a 1'IiOI'LE' N DAILY Commentator article on the 15th, and NiIAN DAN and QUAN 1101. NIIAN DAN editorials on the 14th. The 11athet Lao radio first reported the Long Tieng exploit on the 13th when It said that "the Xiang Khouang armel forces and people" had captured positiona on surrounding peaks and finally "the airstrip and heart of Long Tieng" the day bafore. The radio said that on that day the "banner of the Xiang Khouang armed forces and people" flew over Long Tieng after the Vang Pao and Thai defenders "fled helter-skelter." Souphanouvong, in a telegram commanding the Xiang Khouang armed forces and people on the 14th, praised the "unprecedented victory," which he called "another severe setback" to the implementation of the Nixon Doctrine in Laos. But he warned that the United States continues to implement the Nixon Doctrine and plans to dispatch more Thai troops to Laos, and he called for heightened vigilance. A Radio Pathet Lao commentary on the 14th asserted that the recapture of the Sam Thorg-Long Tieng area was "indisputable, legal, and responsive to the aspiration of the Lao people." It repeated the claim made in Souphanouvong's 8 January letter to the Lao King that the "whole of Xiang Khouang Province" has been controlled by the NLHS and Patriotic Neutralist Forces since 1961 and that the Sam Thong-Long Tieng region was "illegally" captured by the United States and its "henchmen" after the signing of the 1962 Geneva agreements. This argument is also echoed in Vietnamese communist comment on the alleged fall of Long Tieng. HANOI AND The NHAN DAN editorial on the i4th also called FRONT MEDIA the capture of Long Tieng a defeat of the Nixon Doctrine and said that the exploit underscores the Lao Liberation Armed Forces' "rapid growth and outstanding skill in engaging in coordinated combats." This victory, along with other victories in northern and southern Laos earlier in the year, said the editorial, proves that "the steadfast offensive position of the Lao revolution has become increasingly Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 (lt)NI'IUIcN'1'IAL I'11111 TitRNDli 19 JANUARY 191) strong as the fight continues." The aituation in Long Tieng, It added, "ham caused deep confusion to U.H, and Lao circles in Vientiane, and creates a very difficult position for the Nixon Adminlatration." The QUAN Dot NIIAN DAN editorial, also on the 14th, praised the battle an "a strategically significant dafer4t, militarily and politically, for the Amarricans and their lackeys," and called it "primarily a fatal blow to the Vang Pao rebel forces." The Xleng Khouang armed forces and people, it said, "not only recaptured an important area and a crucial operational aria for consolidating the strategic Plain of Jarm area, but also destroyed one of the Americans' biggest military bases In Laos, wrecked an important part of the Americans' and their lackey' force deployment system, and created a new military situation that is favorable for the Lao people to develop their forces and their victories." The victory, it concluded, is a "serious setback for the Nixon Doctrine," and contributes to developing "the common strategically offensive position of the peoples of the three Ind-chinese countries." A 1Lanoi domestic service commentary on the 16th brought up the question of DRV security in connection with Long Mang when it said that the base was, among other things, a key point in the U.S. defense system in northern Laos and a springboard from which the anomy could launch nibbling attacks against the Plain of Jars and Xieng Khouang area and "threaten the northwestern part of the DRV."5 It went on to may that the base fell under "the most violent attack ever made by the A Some DRV comment on the December fighting in the Plain of Jars had also raised the question of a threat to the DRV. A 22 December NIIAN DAN article said that the Lao "victories" in the Plain frustrated schemes by the "U.S. aggressors and their lackeys" to "occupy the liberated areas on Laotian territory bordering on the northern part of our country." DRV Defense Minister Giap, in an 18 December speech marking the anniversaries of Resistance Day and Army Day, had even more emphatically asserted that the United States was bringing in Thai troops to join the "special forces" and "rightist army" in Laos in attacking "the liberated zone and threatening North Vietnam." A 10 November statement by a DRV Foreign Ministry bpokesman protesting intensified U.S. air operations in Laos stated that the increased use of U.S. air power was part of a scheme to widen the war in Laos and "directly threaten the security of the DRV." Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CUNP 1I) EN'f IAI. P1i I S 'l UlrNI)tl III JANUARV 1911 Lao Liberation Armed N(,rcee" and that thin is the "moat nerioun setback for the U.N. nttategic design on the Lan battlefront.'' Along with dpfeata on the Ilolovenn Plateau, the d2featn in the Plain of Jarn and Long Tt.eng "have violently shaken the entire defenne system in Laos of the U.S.aggrennora and their henchmen,' A Liberation Peens Agency commentary on the 1.4th went no fat an to claim that the U.S. defeats In the Plain of Jara-Muong S(.iot and !am Thong-Long Tieng areas, together with those sustained in South Vietnam and Cambodia, "created a turning point leading to the total collapse of the U.S. aggressors' design" in Lava and the rent of Indochina. The victories, it said, contribute to "a radical change of the battle array in the whole of Indochina." PEKING Chou En-14i'n congratulatory meanage to Souphanouvong* on the 19th called the Long Tieng "victory" another "heavy blow to the k xon Doctrine," adding that it is "of great strategic significance and constitutes a new contribution to the three Indochinese peoples' war against U.S. aggression and for national salvation." He expressed the belief that "in the present excellent revolutionary situation in Indochina," the Lao people, uniting with the Vietnamese and Cambodian people, will win atilt greater victories. El The PEOPLE'S DAILY Commentator article of the 15th praised the "spectacular" victory an a "telling blow" to U.S. Imperialism, the Lao rightist forces, and Thai troops, and as a "significant contribution to the struggle of the three Indoohinese people." The destruction of the Long Tieng base, it said, is "of great significance to the consolidation of the liberated area in upper Laos and the development of the war situation in the whole of Laos," and proves the "raps,! growth and development" of the Lao Patristic Armed Forces. The situation in all cf Indochina is "excellen." now, it concluded. MOSCOW Moscow's reaction is more limited and less authoritative, as customary, with only a 15 January PRAVDA article saying that the victory is "striking evidence of the upsurge" of * Chou has not previously sent such a message on victories in northern Laos, although on 29 March 1971 a message from Mao, Lin, and Chou--addressed to the leaders of the NLHS, FUNK, NFLSV and PRG, and DRV--had congratulated them on recent battlefiel(t victo:ies, specifically during the Lam Son 719 campaign in southern Laos and South Vietnam. Approved For Release 2000/08/09: CIAg1kffWJffd'5R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 (:0NV11) V,N7IAt, VNIN 14,14 14 1'I JANt,AUY 1'112 the Lao peopia's llbetation at toggle and A "gtave blow" to American tllana to "Vietnamio;e" the war fit Indochina, t'UAVIA alluded to this security intetestn of the t)1W when it "aid that the Long Tteng Bane had l'"pn or significance for teronnaissance IIIghta oust t.aoa and the I)tIV and wan the nerve center of the "ystem for controlIIng Amar.tcan operations in "northern Indochina." The "fa 11" of Long TIeng, t'RAVOA concluded, was the Collapse of ohz of the military props of Washtfigton's "fat -reachinA PO l.It IcaI plans, and not only in t,aos. The militaty defeats of American Imperialism undermine Its political plans in Indochina." T441 TROOPS iligh-1sve1 communist propaganda Also excoriates the dispatch of That troops to Laos in implementation of the Nixon Doctrine, noting among other things that Thai troops took part in the battle of Long Tieng. An 14LIIS Central Cr .iaittee statement of the 17th says that "many more That battalions" were sent to Long hang after late 1971 Bangkok consultations between Souvanna Phouma and Thanom Y,Ittikachon and a visit to Bangkok by General Abrams in early January. A 19 January MAN DAN editorial supports the NLHS statement as well as a 15 January RGNU statement denouncing an alleged plan to send That troops to Cambodia. NHAN DAN warns that Thailand is making a mistake by allowing itself to be used by the United States now that the Nixon Doctrine is "on the verge of bankruptcy" and other U.S. allies havi begun to "desert the sinking ship." Peking also supports the NLHS and RGMU statements with another PEOPLE'S DAILY Commentator article on the 18th. TASS reports the NLt1S Central Committee statement on the Thai troops, but there is no Soviet coranent. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 !;~J~1N 1 UJ;N'1 I AL 1q - SIN 0-U, S. RELATIONS Nnl 'iUl;Hfl4 19 JANUARY 191) PEKING U15CU55L5 U.S. CHINA POLICY THOUGH PIM CC+ILNT While critic1 ing 1'residpttt lilxon's position on Indochina and giving extensive publicity to Vietnamese communist reaction, Peking has not reacted directly to the President's recent remarks regarding Taiwan and has not originated comment on the Nixon-Sato San Clemente talks. Washington's China policy has, however, been discussed In PAC mei;ia through the proxy of Albanian and North Korean comment on the President's 2 January TV interview and his meeting with Sato. Peking's differentiated reactions reflect its concern to reassure Hanoi regarding the Implications of the President's visit next month--particularly In calling attention to the Vietnamese communists' negotiating position end focusing on the Paris conference*--while approaching seneltive Sino-U.S. Issues In a cautious and unprovocaUive manner. Thus, in an evident effort to keep the atmosphere for the Peking summit as propitious as possible, ('eking has avoided direct assessments of the President's Chinn policy, choosing to air such issues as Taiwan by means of selective accounts of comment from communist allies. Peking's first acknowledgment of the President's remarks on China in his TV interview appeared in a 10 January NCNA account of an Albanian article of the previous day attacking the President's views across a wide range of issues. While toning down the editorial's harsh personal invective against the President, the i4C14A account picked up the editorial's denunciatton of the President's China policy, including the charge that he had reaffirmed "the notorious policy of hostility" toward the PRC and again demonstrated a stubborn intent to pursue a "two- Chinas policy." NCNA specifically cited the President's assurances of continuing political and defense ties with Taiwan as proof that the United States intends to prolong its "occupation" of Taiwan as a "military base for aggression" against the PRC. There was no reference to the President's comments on his forthcoming visit to China. * See the Indochina section of the TRENDS. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONNI111711'TlAI, , 1 , , ON 9 ,tA~itt~, 'Y 1411 Ppklog t-n tits I211, carried excerpts from a worth I?:otean editorial of the t;revInue tiny detnoutir Iug the ti axon-Nato meeting on 6-1 January, marking the first reference to the talks to appear in PIC medta.* 'T'hough muting the editorial's charges that the United !;tntee anti Japan are "intensifying" aggression in Asia, the t;hineee account repeated Pyongyang's strictures against the N1xon doctrine, particularly the role allegedly being played by Japanese militarism, and quoted the aditorial.'a attack on the "Nixon and .-into cliques" for maintaining treaty ties with Taiwan and persleting in efforts to keep the island independent of the mainland. Peking's avoidance of direct continent on the Nixon-Sato talks was pointed up by NC1W,'e account of a 16 January banquet welcoming visiting Japanese labor union representatives. While the Japanese speaker at the banquet was quoted as attacking the joint statement Issued In San Clemente, the Chinese speaker, Wang Kuo-chuan, did not mention the talks. Wang made no comments on Sino-U.S. relations. restricting himself to attacks on the Sato government's policies on China and Taiwan. However, sensitive Sino-U.S. Issues which Peking has been avoiding were reportedly discussed by the highest-ranking Chinese official in attendance, Keng Pinto, head of the CCP's international liaison department. According to a Japanese press account, Keng discussed the President's visit, saying the Taiwan question will be a major subject and demanding that the United States withdraw its military forces from Taiwan. Keng was quoted as charging that the President is still plotting to create two Chinas. NCNA did not report Keng's remarks, noting simply that he and other Chinese officials had a conversation with the Japanese before the banquet began. ?eking's most recent authoritative formulation of its position on the Taiwan issue appeared in a PEOPLE'S DAILY editorial an 14 January hailing the establishment of diplomatic relations * Reaction to the Nixon-Sato meeting is discussed in the Japan section of the TRENDS. Peking's coverage of the President's meetings with allied leaders prior to his Peking and Moscow trips has not followed a regular pattern. The Chinese ignored his sessions with Canada's Trudeau and the FRG's Brandt but commented on the meetings with French President Pompidou and British Prime Minister Heath. In the latter two cases Peking played up French and British opposition to American policies. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONIt11)h;N11A1, 111111 TItIrNIM 19 ,IANIIAIUY 191) With Cyprus, Call.itig the I..'I4C Uovernttlpnt "Lila aol.a 1.00011 governtnont f@Ptaaanting the ent.tra Chine010 paopl0"--t'42king's optimum tarrna, to which Cyprus acceded in the r0cognltlon agreement--Lila 0dl.totl.a.1 repeated i'ek.ing'a claim to Taiwan and 1-t01 objectionp to ouch formu.lan nos "one China, one Taiwan," "one China, two governments," the etatua of Taiwan remains to be determined, and an independent Taiwan. These objections had also been reg.l.tater.ed in the Now Year's tiny joint editorial, which want on to demand the withdrawal. of U.S. troops from Taiwan and to make the stock avowal of a determination to "liberate" the inland. The editorial. did not, however, convey a sense of urgency or threat, expressing confidence that "the day is bound to come" when Taiwan will be liberated. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CON1l ii1!NT IAL P1,11.11 'I'lll?NhU 19 JANUARY 1972 J A P A N NIXON-SATO METING SEEN AS INCONCLUSIVE BY MOSCOW Soviet commentators claim that the San Clemente talks between President Nixon and Premier Sato failed to resolve the important issues dividing the United States and Japan. Japan should move to develop new ties with other areas 0 the world, it is argued. ('eking has not yet commented directly on the tnl.ku, although NCNA has reported some foreign criticism. The Japan Communist Party aliages that the communique revealed an intention to strengthen "the Japan-U.S. military alliance." MOSCOW On 9 January, Radio Moscow told its Japanese audience that the Nixon-Sato talks failed to resolve "the setiouo differences of opinion between the United States and Japan." On the 8th. TASS reported that 'the only tangible result is an exact data for the return of Okinawa seized by the United States 27 years ago." TASS said the Japanese press and public are increasingly demanding that the Japanese Government "reject the policy of following in the wake of the United States and insist on conducting an independent policy answering the country's national intervats." A reiterated argument is that Japan, facing a trade war with the United States, must develop new ties, and particularly economic ties, with other nations. A domestic service commentary on the 15th specifically affirmed that 'economic collaboration with the USSR is useful and necessary for Japan." PEKING On 13 January NCNA released, without comment, an 11 January NODUNG SINMUN commentary on the talks. Omitting those portions of the North Korean article which specifically attacked President Nixon by name, NCNA carried only the sections aimed primarily at Sato. It was asserted that the recent talks were arranged by "the U.S. imperialists and the Japanese militarists" in order to "strengthen their collusion along the aggressive line of the Nixon Doctrine." Sato was apecifically denounced for "his insistence on maintaining the Japan-Chiang treaty" and "his ambition for territorial expansion over Taiwan," as well as for "continuing to push obdurately his ignominious policy of tailing after U.S. imperialism." Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONP iu1 NT1AL VOTS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1.972 The next day NCNA rul.ensud nn article from V.1,1111, I POPULLIT, the Albanian UP organ, which portrayed the San Clumante joint statement as further evidence of "Washington-Tokyo collaboration for continued :implumantntion of the imperialist counterrevolutionary policy in Asia." It was alleged that Japan's "special role in the Nixon Doctrine" has revealed "the open expansionist plans of Japanese militarism directed against the people of Asia, first of all against the Chinese people." On 17 January NCNA reported a speech by Makoto Ichikawa, chairman of the general council of trade unions of Japan and head of a trade union delegation now in Peking. Ichikawa charged that "the Sato cabinet is becoming more and more isolated in Japan" and claimed that the "Japan-U.S. Joint statement issued in San Clemente has aroused growing indignation among the broad masses of the Japanese people." lie asserted that the "fraud of the agreement on the 'reversion' of Okinawa" will meet "with strong resistance from the one million Okinawan people." JAPAN CP AKAHATA, reacting promptly to the talks, carried an 8 January statement by Koichiro Ueda, foreign policy committee chairman of the central committee of the JCP, who argued that the Sato-Nixon meeting was held "to work out uniformity of purpose on the common strategy in the post-Okinawa reversion agreement" and to "repave the route of the aggressive strengthening of the Japan-U.S. military alliance." The statement denounced the joint communique as a further indication that "Japan is to share the more important wing of the Nixon Doctrine," which is "nothing but a policy to let Asians fight against Asians under the hegemony of the U.S." The Sato Government was assailed for "subordinating" such "Japan-U.S. confrontations and contradictions as the yen-dollar issue and trade problems . . . to the Nixon Doctrine and the aggressive strengthening of the Japan-U.S. military alliance." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FDIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 C H I N A ECONOMIC PROPAGANDA CONTINUES TO REFLECT MODERATE LINE PRC propagandists are continuing to advance "party policies" intended to promote balanced economic development while providing sufficient material incentive to assure increased production. While the thesis that local unite must furnish their own funds for improvements and not rely on state aid is still being pressed, commentators also affirm repeatedly that individual incomes must rise in keeping with production and that the plowing of profits back into improvements has its limitations. As an article in HUPEH DAILY put it on 10 January, communes should increase collective funds, but "they should not accumulate too much all at once." Some provinces are indicating opposition to these moderate policies. An INNER MONGOLIA DAILY editorial on 29 December which thrust strongly at "left opportunist" policies aimed at speeding the transition to communism criticized the idea of "going beyond a policy." The editorial indicates that some cadres have felt that it is all right to go to a higher stage if their units are ready, and that to retreat to a lower stage called for by party policy is "going backwards." The cadres now being criticized strongly resemble those formerly praised for having resisted "Liuist" efforts to retreat to previous forms in the early 1960's. Cadres of the Tachai model brigade have frequently been lauded for resisting attempts to persuade them to retreat, and the frequent policy twists and turns of recent years may have convinced many cadres that their future careers may best be served by resisting any retreat until there is more leadership stability in the center. Another aspect of the moderation evident now in Peking policies is the increased attention to consumer desires by commercial departments. On 5 December NCNA popularized a new type of neighborhood store which aided shopping convenience, and an article broadcast by Radio Peking on 6 January indicates further efforts to aid the consumer. The 6 January article, implicitly overturning cultural revolution shibboleths about stores stocking only "proletarian" goods, notes that workers and peasants "want Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 not a few goods and services which have a touch of tradition." The article warns commercial departments that the sale of such goods, when requested by the people, should not be discontinued "under the pretext that the goods serve only a few bourgeois individuals." All such pretexts are "left in form but right in essence," and commercial workers must cease mouthing them. During the cultural revolution commerce departments were warned not to stock goods that serve the bourgeoisie, but concentrate instead on necessities of life and goods required for production. Cultural revolution propagandc. did, however, foreshadow current moves to aid shopping convenience by advocating longer hours of opening and special services for the ill and the aged. MILITARY REGIONS PICK UP CALL TO LEARN FROM PEOPLE All of China's military regions except the Peking and Sinkiang regions have issued circulars in line with the central State Council-Military Commission circular on 3 January. This is the circular that quoted Mao to the effect that the PLA must learn from the people as well as the people learning from the PLA. The new Mao directive, an expansion of the earlier injunction that the people learn from the army, was first surfaced in the joint New Year's Day editorial. Similar circulars from a number of provincial military districts have also been monitored, and it is possible that every such district has issued a circular. None of the military regional or district proclamations monitored ',eve failed to mention the need to learn from the people. Those issued prior to the release of the New Year's editorial did not, however, always phrase it exactly as in the Mao instruction. Most provincial revolutionary committees have also issued circulars for the "support the army" activities. In line with previous practice, these are chiefly devoted to praise for the PLA's achievements and injunctions to organize aid for soldiers and their dependents. In general these circulars avoid all reference to the recent problems of the PLA and do not note that the PLA s now enjoined to learn from the people. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09L,()1M-15gPfRLT00875R000jqP15QIRflSNI)N 19 JANUA1tY 1972 Stnklnng, rrom whoMu military region no circular has boon nwnltorad, (lid declare that the PLA muMt look to the people, in a revolutionary committee directive broadcast on 2 January. 't'he Sinkiang directive, issued In advance of the central ct.rcular and apparently based on the New Year's editorial, also called on the military to "respect local unite." SEVERAL PROVINCIAL PARTY CHIEFS STILL NOT APPEARING Provincial turnouts for New Year's celebrations, "support the army" gatherings, and various plenums and other meetings have recently brought many of the provincial Chinese leaders back into public view. However a number of party secretaries, including five first secretaries, have made no appearances since Lin's apparent fall in mid-September. In two provinces, Kweichow and Kiangsi, no party secretaries have appeared during this period, judging by monitored broadcasts. The missing include Politburo members Hsu Shih-yu and Hsieh Fu-chih. The latter is known to be in very poor health, but his failure to send a wreath to Chen Its funeral seems to indicate political problems as well. In four oL''er provinces the first secretary has made no appearances since October. While it seems likely that some of the missing secretaries have been purged, there are many precedents for leaders dropping from sight only tc reappear with status apparently unchanged. Others may return with lower status, as recently occurred in Chekiang, where secretary Chen Li-yun, missing since January of 1971 when the provincial party committee was formed, reappeared at a "support the army" rally according to the provincial radio on 7 January. Instead of being listed among party leaders, as he was at last year's rally when he followed the province chief, he was listed much further down among military district officers. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONir 11)1,N'1' 1 Al. PRC (NUCLEAR THPT 1111N 111141,11uto 11) JANUARY 191) USSR. EUROPEAN ALLIES STRESS RADIOACTIVITY) DRV IGNORES TEST Wh.tIc Peking mud In have refrained from In11owup comment on the annou?-:r.munt of Lite I'IW'N 7 Jnnunry nutlenr tout, to I4Pepin;. with, truatwnnt or Lite last two tout announcements in November. 1971 and October '969, Mogeow has NuNtnined Ito propnknnln nttoutiun to Lite subject"-chiefly through tendentiouN r.epor.tittg, with streNs on the effects of Lite radioactivity. Japanese reaction in high- lighted in Soviet publicity for worldwide expressions or "indignation." Moscow's orthodox East European allins have followed its lend. Romania, alone citing i4CNA rather than the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission as the source of its initial report on the test, upheld Bucharest's neutral stance in the Sino-Soviet conflict by editing an anti-Soviet passage out of the NCNA announcement. DRV media still have not been heard to mention thrl Chinese test-- the first one not to draw public North Vietnamese approbation. SOVIET REACTION In reporting the Chinese test in advance of the IICNA announcement and citing the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission as the source, Moscow followed the precedent set at the time of the last test in November 1971.* Its normal previous practice had been to wait for the WCNA announcement, then to cite it briefly and with no followup to speak of. The 8 January TASS report on the latest test also followed the pattern of the initial TASS report in November in noting Japanese concern over the effects of radioactive fallout-- thn theme now pursued in the continuing Soviet accounts of world r;.sction. Soviet media have publicized the formal protest by the Japanese Foreign Ministry, and the coverage of Japanese reaction is ? typified by a 14 January TASS report that the Tokyo press "has sounded the alarm that 'ashes of death' are again swirling over Japan." TASS observer Kornilov on the 17th impugned Chou En-lai's assurances to Japanese businessmen in December that Chinese tests * The November test is discussed in the TRENDS for 24 November 1971, pages 31-32. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 r:n1~NIUfJi7IALL I'11114 'I III".l41H4 19 IA1411APY 191i were "harmless" and "( lean"i currently, Kurnltov ealtt, there are "danger signals In the Japanese press about increased radir,a(?t Ivity III a number (if (lenseIy populated tinrt.s of the ("nitt ry, 1( The rut tent protngandn serves further to buttress Moscow 'n allegations, pruminetlt since the confrontation In the U14 General Assembly III the fall, that the Chinese are vigorous opponents of disarmament bent on strengthening their own military capabilities. An IZVESTIYA dispatch carried by TASS on the 14th noted that UN Secretary General Waldheim had expressed regret over the detonation end had recalled UN resolt.ItIons urging cessation of all nuclear tests in the (atmosphere. The same dispatch cited a Bulgarian press c,om(';tent to the effect that the partial test-ban treaty, "which has already prevented the settling of strontium In our Lungs and bones," is viewed by ('eking as "a scrap of paper." Soviet broadcasts to Chinese listeners have pl.eyed up the dangers of radioactivity. A Radio Moscow commentary in Mandarin on the 10th said the latest test had "polluted the atmosphere with harmful radioactive substances which may be spread by the wind over a vast area" and which can "cause death or illness." Radio Peace and Progress observed in a Mandarin broadcast that medical experts, when discussing causes of "the increasing incidence of cancer and leukemia" In Asia, "often refer to tl,n nuclear tests in China." LAST LUROPE Illustrative of the, East t;uropean propaganda in the same vein, East Beri'n's I7EUES DEUTSCIILAND followed up its 10 January report of the Japelese Foreign Ministry protest with a succession of reports on increased radioactivity in Japan and the Indignation of the Japanese press and people. On the 12th NEUES DEUTSCHLAND reprinted a commentary from the 11 January PRAVDA by Igor Biryukov noting that the test took place at the time Peking had indicated its intention to attend the UJ--sponsored international environmental conference to be held in Stockholm in June. Prague and Bratislava media, in reports on plans for the June conference, noted that Peking has accompanied its decision to send a deltgatiou to Stockholm with a nuclear test that has "poisoned" the atmosphere. All the Soviet bloc countries except Romania attributed initial reports of the Chinese test to the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission, not NCNA. The Bucharest domestic serv'ie and SCINTEIA on the 10th carried a virtual text of the 9 January NCNA announcement, CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 t,ttUP1111.1)'1IAI, PnIt; TN11,1J111; 19 :IAU1IANY 1912 -ntnua the polemical sentence to the effetl that the, l'NC ce,nduc:tq Ita teata t(, break the "nuclear fl!nnopoly" and "nuclear blackmail" of "the two superpowers." ALHNIIA Tirana media predictably put) licifed the text of Lite NOM announcement, f o i l owed by press comment hailing the teat. HASIIKIMI on the Ilth called It another blow at the "nuclear monopoly of the superpowers" and a further step In building up Chinese defense. 71,111 1. Pt1PULLIT on the I`sth defended the right of the PIIC and "revolutionary forces everywhere" to possess nuclear weapons and assailed the "imperialist-revtaiontst" agreements on disarmament, aimed at "hindering the consolidation" of the PAC's defense capability. As reviewed by ATA on the 15th and picked up by NCNA the next day, however, this article (lid not specifically mention Lite latest test. NORTH VILTiNAM VLM and Hanoi radio have remained silent on the test. Unlike the first nine announced Chinese tests, the 10th one last November had not occasioned a congratulatory meieage from the DRV leadership,, but Premier Pham Van 1)ong, in speeches in Peking on 20 and 23 November, had hailed the test and pointed to the PRC'a taptd advances in the nuclear and space fields. I4OPTI' KORLA Pyongyang radio reported the Chinese test on the 10th, citing NCNA, but there has been no further monitored North Korean reference to it. Kim 11-song had sent congratulatory messages to the Chinese leaders after aach of the first three tests, after the September 1969 experiments, and after the detonation in November 1971. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 :CIA RDP85T00875R00030P0015S0003.7. 19 1AU$;AHY 1911; K0U#A KIM I L-SONG CALLS FOR K N PLACE PACT # POL I T I CAL TALKS in an interview with journalists of the Japanese newspaper YoMIUUI on 10 January. Kim 11-song stressed the need for a "peace agreement" between North and South Korea and called for North-South "political. negotiations." Kim's formulations are phrased in such a way as to suggest greater flexibility on Korean unification, N,ot his calif for a pests pact and negotiations are not now and the peace pact proposal is made contingent on U.S. troop withdrawal from South Korea. His effort to project a more flexible position may be intended to capitalise on the hopes aroused by the Red Cross talks and to contrast a conciliatory Pyongyang approach with ROK President Pak Chong-hut's 6 December d,claration of a state of emergency.* Pyongyang may also be seeking to adjust to the new atmosphere arising out of 5ino-U.S. developments. Kim noted in the interview that the Seoul rulers sewn frightened by "the rapid change of the Internal and external situations to their disadvantage."** He added that the situation has changed from the time when the United States could determine affairs in Korea and elsewhere. Both the Pyongyang domestic radio and the KCNA international service carried the Kim interview. North Korean media have not reported any other o! the several recent interviews Kim has granted the Jaranese press, including a 28 September ASAl1I EVENING NEWS interview in which he suggested that Pyongyang might be willing to abrogate its treaties with Moscow and Peking in order to facilitate Korean reunification. It is possible that Pyongyang's release of the 10 January interview may have been * High-level Pyongyang re'ction to the ROK state of emergency is discussed it the TRENDS of 15 December, pages 18-22. ** In another section of the interview, Kim alluded to President Nixon's forthcoming Peking visit in observing that the President has been "compelled to go on a tour o mendicant diplomacy with his head lowered." In addition to Korean unification, the interview covered international questions, Pyongyang's independent line, and the six-year economic plan. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 1(001UW MUTAt, Yblp TUPNlili 19 .AWAY 1912 In toactlof/ tit speculation atvused by the Initial atmonty published in YoNIUbt on the .11th to the effect that a peace pact could precede the withdrawal of U.A. forces, the Pyongyang domestic service broadcast the text of the interview on the 14th--the day a longer versio:t appeared In YoMttl l.--and KCNA diaaetai.nated the text on the next day. PtACt PACT Both Pyongyang's text and the Japanese version quote Kim as saying that the North Korean program for peaceful reunification has not changed, recalling the April 1.971 eight-point program, Kim's 6 August speech, avid his New Year's address. Kim went on to aaaerti In order to remove tension In Korea, It is necessary, first of all, to reple,ta the Korean armistice agreement with a peace agreement between the North and south. We hold that a peace agreement should be concluded between the North and South 11i,j YOMIURI version inserts here the phrase "in which each will declare that it will not attack the other"] and the armed forces of North and South Korea be cut drastically under the condition where the U.S. Imperialist aggressor troops are withdrawn from South Korea. This formulation may have prompted speculation over whether Pyongyang was off4ring a peace pact prior to a complete U.S. troop withdrawal. Past North Korean statements nad asserted emphatically that "first of all" U.S. forces must be withdrawn before any further mvve4 toward unification could be. made. Calls for a "peace pe.t" or "nonaggression pact" betweer. North and South Korea after the withdrawal of U.S. troops were a staple of Pyongyang propaganda for years. For example, a letter from the Committee for the Peaceful Unification of the Fatherland sent in the name of Kim Il-song to Byungcholl Koh in New York, reported by KCNA on 3 June 1970, reviewed North Korean proposals on reunif icaticn--including proposals for a peace pact--since the 1950's. A letter from this committee to Youngjeung Kim, president of the Korean Affairs Institute in Washington, D.C., reported by KCNA on 1 February 1971, called for conclusion of a peace agreement after U.S. troop withdrawal, but the proposal then dropped out of available Pyongyang propaganda until a 7 December 1971 DPRK Foreign Ministry statement denouncing the ROK's declaration of a state of emergency. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CoNMitANTiAI, P"I" 1'IihNbti 19 JANUARY 1912 flit, April 1971 eight-point program, which did not include the pu e pact proposal, stressed that the first order of business was the withdrawal of U.S. troops, after which the armed forces of North and South Korea should be reduced to 100,000 or lass, the ROK should abrogate its treaties with the United Stater and Japan, and other North-South stops be taken. In now reviving the peace pact proposal and seemingly downplaying the demand for U.S. trorip withdrawal. Kim ties assumed a more conciliatory approach and in effect invited the South Koreans to consider deepening contacts with the North in a time of a declining U.S. presence in Asia. This approach was foreshadoweu in the 7 December foreign miniotry statement, which said that the D1?RK has consistently called for "concluding a peace agreement between North and South, reducing the armies and relaxing tension." In the next sentence the statement added that the DPRK will continua to rAert uftorts toward peaceful unification "after making all foreign troops withdraw from South Korea." POLITICAL TALKS After calling for the peace pact, Kim went on in the interview to propose "North-South political negotiations," expressing readiness to "have negotiations with all political parties of South Korea including the Democratic Republican Party, the New Democratic Party, and the Nationalist Party." '"his appears to be an elaboration of Kim's offer in his 6 August speech last year to have talks with "all political parties including the Democratic Republican Party, public organizations, and individual parsonages." Adopting a conciliatory tone, Kim said in the interview that he was willing to contact anyone who, "though he committed crimes against the country and people, sincerely repents of his past doings." In his New Year's address Kim more specifically said that if the "South Korean rulers" renounce their "treachery" he would "not ask about their past but will peacefully settle the question of national reunification with them." In the past, as in the eight-point program, Pyongyang had not gone beyond a vague proposal for a consultative meeting of "all" political parties and public organizations of the North and South to negotiate steps toward unification, and that proposal was qualified by an expression of North Korean willingness to talk only with "patriotic-minded new figures" who would come to power sifter the withdrawal of U.S. troops and the ouster of "traitor" Pak Chong-?hui. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CUN1I.DINTIAI, lelRIS '11END1I .19 JANUAIIY 1.972 S O U T 1 1 AS I A MSOCOW DEPLORES U,S, NAVAL PRESENCE IN INDIAN OCEAN Soviet comment has criticised U.S. naval activity in the Indian Ocean no a source of tension and an attempt to put pressure on the states in that area. Moscow has avoided, however, any dis- cussion of grant-power naval rivalry, a theme which Poking sounded in its reaction to the presence of a U.S. task force in the Indian Ocean. The 'PASS account of Indian Prime Minister Gandhi's year- and press conference noted that she "stressed that the Indian Ocean should be a zone of pence and that the Indian Government would exert ovary effort to achieve this," but Moscow has not further commented on the notion of a peace zone. Articles in PRAVDA on 8 January and RED STAR on the 12th cited the documents released by Jack Anderson to deplore the Pentagon spokesman's announcement regarding U.S. Seventh Fleet patrols in the Indian Ocean. Citing the documents as revealing that an American task force had been deployed to the Bay of Bengal in order to exert pressure on the Indian Government, PRAVDA decried what it saw as a long-term policy of constant pressure on states in the region in the manner of the Sixth Fleet in tho Mediterranean. RED STAR note.' "ill-omened analogies" between events in the Bay of Bengal and the Tonkin Gulf in condemning U.S. military opera- tions in the Indian Ocban as a source of dangerous tension. An 18 January IZVESTIYA article by Kudryavtsev introduced the factor of Sino-American relations in assessing the U.S. moves. These "new gambles," according to Kudryavtsev, are motivated by U.S. failures in Indochina and South Asia and by the "present direction of American-Chinese relations," which the commentator interprets as showing that the United States does not have to f ear any steps by Peking in defense of national liberation movements in Asia. NEW TIMES commentator D. Volskiy, writing in the weekly's second issue for 1972, took note of indications. that Peking may seek to exploit India's nationality problems. Citing Chou En-tai's 16 December statement that "the fall of Dacca . . . will lead to endless strife," Volskiy observed- that thiswas "in the nature of a directive to the appropriate Chinese services." According to Volekiy, the Chinese warning that India "will reap the bitter fruit which India itself has nurtured" means that "Peking evidently intends to speculate on internal national and religious differences in India and to encourage subversive activity there by extremist elements." Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIXARM689TIW5R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 COW 1, DENTIAL 11118 TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 PEKING IGNORES AMERSON DOCIIIENTS ON INDIAN-PAKISTANI WAR Poking has remained silent about the documents released by Jack Anderson dealing with the Indian-Pakistani conflict. Reflecting sensitivity on the matter., Peking's reaction to one development related to the Anderson documents--State Department spokesman Bray's 11 January remarks about an international consortium to aid the Cambodian regime--avoided acknowledging the-.source of the disclosure. An NCNA account simply noted. that Bray confirmed the news "after it was disclosed by the U.S. press." Peking has fallen silent on developments in.Bangladcsh after previously having denounced the new regime as an Indian puppet. The Chinese have not reported the release of Mujibur Rahman by Pakistani President Bhutto and seem to be waiting for the dust to settle in Bangladesh before reacting further. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 "ONP IUE11TI.AL PH[H 11LIeNU8 19 JANUARY 1972 PANA HA CANAL ISSUE PROMPTS OWILIFIED CUBAN SUPPORT FOR TORRIJOS Havana editorial comment and reportage marking the anniversary of the January 1964 riots in the Panama Canal Zone, an occasion virtually ignored by Cuba in recent years, registers a newly cordial view of the Panamanian Government,and a revised assess- ment of Panamanian military leader Torrijos on grounds of his "anti-imperialist" struggle for recovery of Panamanian sovereignty over the Zone. The new line, which. has been developing since September, is in keeping with other moves in the current evolution of Castro's foreign policy--his extended visit to Chile, his dabbling in personal diplomacy in Peru and Ecuador, and in general~ the -greater- flexibility that has marked his approach to relations with Latin American governments. While Havana's new expressions of support.for the Panamanian regime have until now been confined entirely-..to the canal issue, the Cuban party organ's editorial on the.. anniversary of the riots introduces references to "advances". An Panamanian domestic. policy that accord with Castro's stated:.criteria..for Cuban approval of Latin American regimes. Panama is still in a class apart from such countries as Chile and Peru (and Bolivia before the coup last August) in the Cuban triew. But the manifestations of approval for the Torrijos' regime's actions square with Castro's declaration on 26 July that Cuba, seeking "the develop- ment of revolutionary processes" in Latin America, is favorably disposed toward governments "with their. own. independent criteria, . . . capable of defending their. national interests, the resources of their countries, and of acting- independently of Yankee imperialism." On 2 December 1971, PRENSA LATINA cited. the ..weekly. BOHEMIA for the suggestion that Panama was "seriously: studying:. the reestab- lishment of relations with Cuba" and added thar."this is the first mention published in Cuba" of the-.-possible-.resumption of Cuban-Panamanian relations. Off icial- expressions. of.-support.. for the Panamanian regime on the canal issue?were- put on record CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONI'IU1rN'I'I.AL 10111.8 THIrNUIJ 19 JANUARY 110172 in two Cuban-Soviet communiques during the some period, in October and December, as well as in speeches by Castro and by Cuban Labor Minister Jorge 11usquet.* Except for thu references in the joint. communiques, Soviet propa- ganda attention to Panama and to the canal..negotiations has been virtually non?xistnnt. The only available Soviet commentary since the 30 October communique, a 16 November domestic service commentary, praised the "firmness" of Torrijos' government and his consideration for "the will of the popular masses" in soaking the return of the Canal Zama, adding Vv it,.the Panamanian position indicates "not only the si. rengthening of the _progressive forces in the country, but also `:l,e anti-imperialist movement throughout the Latin American continent." COMMUNIQUES, Along with standard ..rof stances to the govern- CASTRO SPEECH ments of Chile and- Peru,. Panama-..was the only other Latin- American. country.-.. mentioned in the 30 October Soviet-Cuban communique, issued ?at-.the conclusion. of Kosygin's visit to Cuba. The same' three.. countries--with the addition of Ecuador, prompt,ad by.Castro' s.early~ December stopover in Guayaquil--were again singled out in. the.29..December communique marking the conclusion of Cuban President. Dorticos' visit to the Soviet Union. The October communique ..noted.that! .both..countries "expressed sympathy with the striving..of.. the-..Panamanian people to exercise full sovereignty over .the:.whole-..of ..their national territory." In a similar but- milder...ref erence. to, the Panamanian situation, the December communique noted simply. that the Soviet and Cuban peoples "follow closely the..atruggle of the Panamanian people in defense of their sovereignty." Denouncing those who were seeking. to. create ..tension in Cuban- Panamanian relations as.a..result-of the..Cuban..capture of two Panamanian-flag ships in early December, Castro. on. 22. December. spoke favorably of . the ".historic struggle''-.of the people of * The last previous reference to.Panamain Soviet-Cuban .communi- ques had appeared in the one issued -following- Castro's -visit. -to the Soviet Union in January 1964--the month in-which the Canal Zone riots occurred. That communique. condemned. the bloodshed in the riots and the "encroachment'. on.. the..sovereignty!' .of Panama by U. S. troops. It expressed support. for.. the. people..of . Panama. in "their just demand" for sovereignty over. the canal and "their right to a revision or their demand for abrogation" of the "unequal agreements" on the Canal Zone area. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL V111-8 TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 "this uistar republic" in "dumanding sovereignty over . . . thuir. Lerritory and the canal." Citing the "strong stulemuntu" by I'nnmmnninn leaders "demanding sovereignty of that strip or Panamanian territory," he declared that Cuba has high esteem for the Panamanian people and line pro- found sympathy for their demands for, sovereignty over the canal. We support the Panamanian people in their struggle. We support the Panamanian. .poop le's demands and wu view their struggle with sympathy. We sympathize with the attitude of the Panamanian Government in demanding sovereignty over the canal. Echoing Castro's declaration of support, Cuban Labor Minister Jorg: Risquot, speaking on 2 January in Santiago, Chile, at the celebration of the 50th anniversary of the?.Chilean Communist Party, proclaimed that Cuba "supports. the. firm decision of the Panamanian people and the position of the goverawent in. the recovery of the nation's sovereignty over the Canal Zone, which has been under Yankee occupation since 1903." REPORTS ON Led off by a 28 September GRANMA.article accusing NEGOTIATIONS U.S. legislators who oppose the return of the Canal Zone to Panama of having a "colonialist soul," Cuban media have keyed a succession of commentaries and reports on Panama to the U.S.-Panamanian. canal negotiations, with stress on Panama's efforts to regain sovereignty over its own territory. PRENSA LATINA interviews with Panamanian Foreign Minister Tack, distributed on 18 October and 13 January, portrayed Panama's position as "reasonable"--the return to Panama of all occupied territory in the Canal Zone. in..exchange for acceptance of a limited period of time during which. the% United ..States may continue dealing with interoceanic traffic--and depicted Tack as optimistic on prospects for an agreement. The 13 January inter- view quotes Tack as stating that Panama would be willing to place the canal problem before the UN Security Council,..but only "as a last resort." Havana radio on 20 October had reported a.statement, of "the Union of Panamanians in Cubd'which stressed that "the sovereignty of Panama cannot be negotiated" and warned the Panamanian people "to remain alert and prevent the insertion ..into -any. -agreement of clauses which would deny them territorial integrity or sovereignty from ocean to ocean and border to border." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 THE 9 JANUARY Marked with substantial Cuban comment for the ANNIVERSARY first time in recent years, this year's anni- versary of the 9 January 1964 riots occasioned n GRANMA editorial on the 8th, accompanied by a moderate volume of other comment and reportage on observances.of the event. Stressing the Panamanian people's "demand ..for.,the return of sovereignty over the Canal Zone," the editorial declared that "Panama is not alone," that its demand for sovereignty "is supported by all progressive peoples and by all the socialist countries, including Cuba," and that the. Cuban..revolution."has offered and is offering its disinterested aid and militant soli- darity to the anti-imperialist cause." Havana radio on the 11th reported a student rally in the Cuban capital."in support-of the struggle waged by the people of Panama against.the imperialist government of the United States and in favor of their. independence and sovereignty over the Panama Canal." NEW VIEW OF The GRANMA editorial of the 8th illustrated the TORRIJOS changed Cuban view of the Panamanian Government and of Panamanian military leader Torrijos. GRANMA observed that "events in..this fraternal -country" are characterized by some "social, educational,, and agrarian advances, a positive and realistic international policy, and a demand for the return of sovereignty over the.Canal Zone"-- the first Cuban comment to praise the regime for. its domestic policies. It added that "the masses and. government sectors increasingly support the nationalist movement led by" Torrijos and that "the struggle to regain possession of the Canal Zone is more than a slogan; it is the supreme expression of the freedom epitomized by the heroes of 9.January and..emphasized by General Torrijos." The same view was conveyed in an 8 January Havana radio interview with a Panamanian student leader, who contended that "forces have emerged within-the.. current Panamanian Government" and within the National Guard "which refuse to submit to the policy of the oligarchy and to imperialist interests" and which are waging "a patriotic struggle." A31 December Havana radio commentary had noted that in the face of U.S. efforts "to make the government of Torrijos knuckle under," Torrijos "does not waste any opportunity to reaffirm his position" of "no concessions." It quoted Torrijos as saying that "all this will find us either standing up or dead, but never down on our knees before the United States." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 .CONFIDENTIAL .FBIS TRENDS ?19 -JANUARY 1972 Cuban media had charged .in tl#e past that -the .CZA was .involved in Torrijos' rise to power-An a.military coup-..on -11,-October .1i)68. They viewed his military junta as yet -another group-.of "gorillas in power," fully identified with..U.S. interests, and saw the advent of his regime as presaging "greater -Yankee. meddling in Latin American politics." Havana asserted in 1968 that the "key" to the coup was that the United States- a certain atmosphere of tranquility to get the new..canal.treaties signed" and implied that Torrijos was handpicked .by the United .States to accomplish that goal. In December-1969-..Havana radio -commented that Torrijos, "following instructions from the .United States, is prefabricating in Panama a 'representative democracy' which suits the interests of the imperialists." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 (ONFIDENTIAL FlilS TRENDS 19 JANUARY 1972 MIDDLE EAST USSR ASSAILS U,S1 MILITARY AID. "SECRET AGREEMENT' WITH ISRAEL Low-key Soviet propaganda on the Middle East continues to assail the United States for the decision on further Phantom deliveries to Israel, and now seizes on the U.S. "admission" of "another secret agreement" with Israel, the November memorandum of under- standing on the production in Israel of U.S.-designed military equipment. The American actions are uniformly characterized as confirming U.S. support of Israel's "expansionist' policy" and constituting further obstacles to a peaceful settlement in the Middle East. Israel's recent incursions: into Lebanon are cited by Shakhov in a foreign-language commentary on, the 14th as one consequence of the U.S.-Israeli "military alliance," and a commentary in Arabic on the 15th claims that Tel Aviv, "encouraged by Washington," has started to carry out expansionist plans against southern Lebanon. Comment takes passing note of Jarring's renewed efforts to find a political solution. Domestic service: commentator Ryzhikov on the 13th, for example, observed that such efforts are "more than timely," and Demchenko said in the 19 January PRAVDA that there is a "realistic opportunity" for beginning to settle the crisis and Jarring's mission "may facilitate this task." Moscow does not raise the issue of any role by the Security Council permanent members other than to denounce Peking's refusal. to participate with the other powers in seeking a settlement.. There is no further publicity for the Soviet proposals'for.a Mideast settle- ment after a brief flurry of attention. highlighted-by .Primakov's 5 January PRAVDA article, seemingly only an exercise to recall Moscow's past initiative and confirm its continuing validity. U.S.-ISRAELI In addition to continuing complaints against MEMORANDUM further U.S. Phantom deliveries *o Israel, Moscow promptly exploits the 14 January New York TIMES report, and State Department. confirmation, of the 1 November signing of a U.S.-Israeli memorandum:.of understanding on the production in Israel of U.S.-designed-defense equipment.* * In November Moscow had picked up. reports--emanating from an 11 November speech by Senator Dole--on the U.S.-Israeli memorandum, charging that it coincided with stepped-up military preparations by Israel. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CON 10I1)V, N'1'IAL Ir1111U 'I'Ul?NI)11 11J 1ANUARY 19/l Kepor. t.ing tli a TIMES story, TAUh on Lite 1.4th e 1 so c 1. ted the Utete Department npokunmun an nnying the memorandum enV.lsahes the trana- Cur or American LuCitnicetl data and technical. expertlae essential for i lie manul'uctur.a of it number of types of weapons, It said he "admitted" that the United h1tates took this step in Lite interest or strengthening Israel's military potential. observing that the State Department had confirmed resumption of U.S.-Inr.nell talks on additional aircraft to Tel Aviv, a Shekhov foreign-language commentary on the 14th asserted that "Nl:son ptasanted the matter as though lie was reluctant, but was compelled under the pressure of public opinion" to permit new arms supplies to Israel-. A kyzhikov domestic service commentary on the 15th, declaring that the Administration has decided to provide Israel with its own base for the production of "heavy offensive weapons," warned that a decision of this sort could so anger Arab public opinion that the United States might lose what influence it still had in Cairo and other Arab capitals. The TASS-reviewed Uemchenko article in 1'KAVDA on the 19th, summing up the "new American-Israeli collusion," concluded that the United States has passed "from 'mediation' and 'quiet diplomacy' to overt l.elp to Israel and stronger hostility" toward the Arabs. f'o)Itical settlement, not "rearmament of the Israeli aggressor," is a guarantee for reestablishing peace, Demchenko declared. Noting Egyptian reaction, TASS on the 18th reported the Egyptian Government spokesman's statement characterizing the U.S.-Israeli agreement as evidence of new U.S. hostility toward the Arabs. TASS cited the Egyptian statement as saying "this change in the U.S. Government policy" came after the secret agreement with Israel on manufacture of American arms in Israel "with no limitations being imposed on mutual commitments and responsi- bility." On the 19th TASS reported Egyptian President as-Sadat as telling an expanded meeting of the new Egyptian cabinet* the previous day that the U.S. decision "to.establish a war industry" in Israel is a dangerous new step, and that the United States "has become one of the sides opposed to us." * Moscow has given little attention to the formation of the new Egyptian "confrontation cabinet" announced on the 17th. Congratu- lations from Kosygin to new Prime Minister 'Aziz Sidqi and from Gromyko to new Foreign Minister Murad Ghalib were reported by TASS on the 18th. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 ("I 114P 1I111,14T I Al, 1'11111 11t1;NIH1 111 JANUARY 1 v l J P(141 P', Moat ow feIled to take mite of I4Q6retary Rogers' 11It)PaVIIW atknowledgmpnt, In respunse to a rluestioo in hip 5 January AI{t; Interview, that the balance of fort as In the HIdd le Last has Hot pitiftttd in the Egyptians' favor The TASS account on the fith said only that. "without offering any weighty arguments," Secretary Rogers ",)usttflad" the U S. deciplon to grant additional consignments of Phantoms to Israel. And .!r, Arabic-language commentary on the ith, touching on the Secretary's interview, also failed to mention his remark, citing him only as saying that the United States did not. want to leave an impression with the Arabs that it was encouraging Israel to continue the aggression. The omissions are the more noteworthy in view of TASS' treatment of Egyptian ['resident ae-Sadat'p 13 January address to the nation In which he made repeated references to Rogers' remark; such Soviet evasiveness might reflect Egyptian arguments with Moscow on the issue of military supplies. Thus while as-Sadat attributed to Rogers the remark that the United States will supply Israel with more Phantoms even though the balance of power is in favor of Israel, 'LASS merely reported as-Sadat as a4,ying that Secretary Rogers declared the United States would have delivered t:.e planes to Israel "in any event." AS-SADAT The TASS account of as-Sadat's address also ignored ADDRESS his statement that "continuous earnant negotiations" are taking place between Cairo and Moscow "at the highest level." and his subsequent stress that the "decision in this battle in our decision and not anybody else's." Nor did it mention his decision in December to postpone the battle because of the Indian-Pakistani conflict which "also became a battle between the major powers which actually affects our battle." Predictably, TASS did single out as-Sadat's reaffirmation of Egyptian acceptance of Resolution 242 and.readiness to cooperate with Jarring in achieving a peaceful settlement. (In keeping with Moscow's continued portrayal of the Egyptians as seeking a political solution, TASS on the 7th cited AL-ANRAM chief editor ltaykal as "replying to those calling for military action" by pointing out the importance of continued quzsts for a political settlement.) Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 L f 41 DENT IAI P111fi 1urNIi.1 114 JANIIAHY 1141'l. 5(NILt There is tits aubanquent publicity for the (Soviet PROPOSALS proposals on a Middle East settlement following the brief flurry of mentions in late December.. early January, which seemingly only served to remind the public, both domestic and foreign, of this Soviet initiative after. its tong absence from view. Aupecte of the plan were first briefly recounted in a Maslov domestic service commentary on 18 December; subsequently, t'rimakov discussed the plan In the domestic service commentators' roundtable on the 19th, a few days later in a foreign-language commentary, and, more fully, in the 5 January t'RAVDA. Belyayev did make a passing reference to the Soviet plan In the commentators' roundtable on 9 January, but with no details. In this period, the only other available discussion of the substance of the proposals came in an article by Uevatov in NEW TIK;;S No. 52. Atypically, the English-language edition of NEW TIMES has Usvatov calling for Israeli withdrawal from "the sizeable part" of Arab territory captured in the six-(!ay war. But the Russian-language edition of the weekly, however, calls routinely for withdrawal from "the extensive (obshirnikh] territories" seized by Israel. Moscow has not boon known t:; hint at any territorial adjustment. Calls for withdrawal from "all" occupied territory have been common to elite statements and routine. propaganda, although Moscow at times, without any apparent significance, simply urges withdrawal from occupied territories, in the mp'aner of Security Council Resolution 242. MOSCOW LAUNCHES CAMPAIGN AGAINST WORLD ZIONIST CONGRESS Moscow mounts a new anti-Zionist effort to counter the 28th World Zionist Congress which opened in Jerusalem on the 18th. But the campaign so far shows no sign of assuming the proportions of past anti-Zionist endeavors, such as those in May 1971 at the time of the trial of the Leningrad hijacl'ers, in February 1971 during the Brussels conference on Soviet Jewry, or in March 1970 when Moscow incorporated an anti-Zionist campaign into its extensive protests against "criminal" Israeli actions following Israel's 12 February bombing of the UAR metal works at Abu Zabal.* * The anti-Zionist material accounted for 4.6 percent of total broadcast comment during the peak week of publicity on each of these three occasions. The present campaign accounted for only 0.7 percent of total comment in the week ending 16 January. (See the TRENDS of 4, 11, 18, and 25 March 1970 for discussions of the anti-Zionist campaign at that time.) Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CT 875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONPtMMMSNT1AL IN1S 114tNDU 19 JANUARY 1912 The _drr@nt campaign wao inaugurated on 13 January with a public meeting in Moscow which, as reported by TABS, adopted an open letter to the public of all countries protesting "flionist crime,' and the "no-called" World Zionist Congrasu in Israel. whose "chief motive force" is anti-Sovietism and anticommunism. Speeches by Soviet citizens at the meeting were summed up by 'PASS and some were later singled out for individual publicity by the agency. The open letter set the tone for letters to Moscow papers by Soviet citizens supporting the protest meeting, denouncing "Zionist slander" of the Soviet Union, and affirming the equal rights and productive lives of Soviet Jews. but while 'PASS reports letters in MOSKOVSKAYA PRAVDA, VECIIERNYAYA MOSKVA, and SOVETSKAYA KULTURA, theta are no iddications that such tatters have arpaared in the major papers. PRAVDA, IZVESTIYA, SOVETSKAYA ROSSIYA, And TRUD nil carried proc:ast letters from "citizens of Jewish nationality" during the March 1970 campaign, which extended for some four weeks and was highlighted by a Moscow press conference held by Soviet Jews, Press attention to the congress is keynoted by a Bolshakov article in the 16 January PRAVDA assailing international Zionism for an "anti-Soviet campaign under the entirely false slogan of 'defending Soviet Jews' from the 'official anti-Semitism' which allegedly exists in the Soviet Union." Bolshakov denounces the "varied anti-Soviet measures" drawn up by Zionist organizations in a number of capitalist countries, including those of the "most active" organization, that of the American Zionists. He accuses the Zionists of trying to "complicate Soviet-American relations" and to create "anti-Soviet moods" in the United States and other capitalist countries. And he alleges that these actions "have the blessing of influential forces in U.S. ruling circles." TASS press reviews on the 18th mention articles in other Moscow papers "exposing the anti-Soviet aims" of the World Zionist Congress. And TASS summarizes a Korneyev article in SOTSIALISTICHESKAYA INDUSTRIYA on the 18th charging that international Zionism is not only a "reactionary racist-nationalistic ideology of the big Jewish bourgeoisie" but also an "interconnected system of super- monopolies." Korneyev claims that Zionism, military business, and "the imperialist military" in the capitalist countries act jointly in support of Israel's expansion, step up the arms race, and aggravate international tension. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 c,ONI I UIN'I' I Al, 11111H '114ItN11S 19 JANIJAIRY 1.972 An JZVIt811YA article on 18th, as reviewed by 'PASS and in Itnglish- linguaga broadcasts, linked the I4Chauar affair, -the expulsion of U.S. Represdntative Schauer from the USSR on the 15th for alleged misconduct--with the Zionist congress. Tha paper claimed that Congressman 3clleuar and hall, members of a delegation visiting the USSR to study the education system, had "triad to collect slanderous information to send to Israel to the so-called World Zionist Congress," Concurrently, ~joscow continuer to underline the disenchantment of Soviet Jews who emigrated to Israel and now desire to return, 'PASS on the llth reviews a LITERATURNAYA GAZE'CA report that lpttars have been received by "competent Soviet organs" from over 1,500 Soviet citizens of Jewish nationality who had left for Israel, requesting permission to coma back. While Soviet propaganda in recent monjths has guardedly and defensively acknowledged the fact of itmigration to Israel, it insists that few Soviet Jewish citizens wish to leave and that the USSR cannot "supply Israel with soldiers." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONY I UItN'f I. At, lit I II '1'ItlEN0H 19 JANUARY 1911 - 142 - AAPSJ CONFERENCE CAIRO GATHERING RE$TRA,INED IN STANCE TOWARD ABSENT CHINESE 'ftie Influence of the absent People's Radublic of China was clearly in evidence at the long-delayed fifth conference of the Afro-Asian Peoples Solidarity Organization (AAPSO), hold in Cairo 10-13 January. Vounded in 1957, AAI'SO's last conference had been held in Winneba, Ghana, in May 1965 and was marked by bitter Sino-Soviet polemics.* The Cairo conference, against the background of Paking'o newly emerging role in international affairs, wad generally restrained. Open attacks on the Chinese in Soviet comment on the gathering went beyond what was said on the conference floor or in the conference documents. Seeking in its propaganda to picture an essentially harmonious gathering of Afro-Asian nations, grateful for Soviet help and wary of the Chinese, Moscow glossed over ':he single most contentious issue--the question of admission of the new state of Bangladesh to AAPSO, which tita conference decided to shelve for the time being in evident i.~.arenca to Chinese sensibilities. Peking media so far have ignored the Cairo meet'.ng. BANGLADESH ISSUE In daily accounts of the .onference proceedings, including summaries of the delegates' speeches, Moscow departed only once from its portrayal of a prevailing atmosphere of harmony when TASS on the 12th reported "a debate" in the organizational committee "on the question of admission of the Bangladesh delegation to AAPSO." TASS added that "proceeding from the interests of keseping the full unanimity of views of the member organizations on this matter, the committee recommended that the conference authorize the AAPSO Permanent Secretariat to finally decide within one or two months" on the admission of Bangladesh. * In the wake of the 1965 conference, KWANGMING DAILY said that despite Soviet, Mongolian, and Indian opposition, the conferees had decided to hold "the fifth" AAPSO conference in Peking in 1967. Moscow media ignored this alleged decision and instead publicized Soviet support at Winneba for Cuba's proposal to hold the "next" conference in Havana with the participation of three continents. The "second Bandung" Afro-Asian conference, scheduled for November 1965 in Algiers, was postponed under the threat of a Chi?..tese boycott if the USSR were invited. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 C(fl VIDINTIAI I'llill 'HWNUll 1'') JANUAIIY 1912 The !loviet accounts include(! no details or the delthwenti.ona that led up to the eOft ntttee's decision against immed!:ate at1BllaA.l.on of Bangladesh, which the Cairo MINA said resulted from a rioel vote in which the Soviet delegation was in the minority. Nor did Moscow mention that the I'akistani delegate walked out of the conference on the 11th, in protest against the presence or the Bangladesh delegate, despite strenuous efforts by the head of the Arab Republic of Egypt delegation to persuade him to stay. Predictably, Moscow also failed to mention the Bangladesh delegate's expressed hope, reported by MINA, that "through Afro-Asian efforts the Chinese leaders will change their stand regarding our country." Moscow's pique over the failure of its efforts to get Bangladesh admitted to AAI'SO may be mirrored in an article in the 18 January PRAVDA by the paper's Lagos correspondent Zenovich. Chinese propaganda, Zenovich says, "with its striving to please bc,th nationalism and the leftist groups, disorients in some degree certain groups in the African liberation movement and sows discord" in this novement. As summarized in a TASS report, which does not mention the Cairo conference, the article remarks that "solidarity of Peking and Washiligton in the India-Pakistan conflict had a sobering effect on those in Africa who were taken in by the slogans of Maoist propaganda about Chinese support for liberation struggles." ATTACKS ON PEKING Conference delegates lavishly praised the assistance given by the Soviet Union and other socialist countries to national liberation movements but did not go beyond veiled references to "imperialist" efforts to split national liberation forces. Brezhnev's 9 January message of greetings to the conference similarly warned against "imperialist" efforts aimed at "splitting and weakening the unity of anti- imperialist forces," and the chief Soviet delegate, Armenian CP First Secretary Anton Kochinyan, confined himself to a plea for strengthening "solidarity among all the forces of the world revolutionary movement." But comment on the conference in Mosr..w media was typified by Soltan's remark, in a talk first broadcast to Africa, that "the Peking leadership willingly helps" the imperialists, who "place their faith essentially on dissension and splitting" of the anti-imperialist force3. Soltan also mentioned "the Chinese leadership's treason" against the liberation struggle. The Moscow domestic service roundtable show on the 16th included a charge of "betrayal" against the Peking leadership, with an added thrust to the effect that "it is no coincidence that Mao Tse-tung and his group" are kindly regarded in imperialist capitals. Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA=RDIW1 k75R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CONYIflI1TIAL I'lltH Tt11Mt)8 19 JANUAIIY 1972 A broadcnat to Mandarin over the purportedly unofficial Radio fears and Programs on the 11th claimed that "many delegates" of the "more than 70" Afro-Asian solidarity committees rppraaantad at Cairo were "indignant over the Chinese leaders' hoattle ntnnu toward the national liberation movements of the peopten of vartoua countries." Approved For Release 2000/08/09 Fi ~,*00875R000300050003-7 Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7 CUNT+1.1)INTIAt, 1'HIS '114I NI1i1 19 JANUARY 1972 TOPIC I;! BRIEF GHANA CCIJP Moscow media have been at pains to indicate a r.endineuu for normal relations with the new military regime, headed by Colonel Ignatius Kuti Achaampong, which took over in Ghana in a bloodless coup on 13 January during the absence in England of Premier Bueia. In a succession of factual reports of the government change, carried in Soviet media since early on the 13th, TASS an the 17th highlighted Col. Achunmpong'a statement to foreign diplomats that day that the now regime would adhere to "the principles of nonalinement and positive neutrality," combat "colonial domination," reject the "dialog" policy, and transfer power to a democratically elected government "as soon as circumstances permit." The day before, TASS had reported, also without comment, that the ruling National Redemption Council would govern by decrees which have the force of law. Peking media have not so far mentioned the coup in Ghana, but the .PRC's closest friend in Africa, Tanzania, has denounced it. The Dar es Salaam daily NATIONALIST commented on the 14th that the coup was merely one "imperialist master" taking over from another, adding that any regime which started off with a summary condemnation of the socialist program of former President Kwa'ne Nkrumah was no good to Africa. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2000/08/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000300050003-7