TRENDS IN COMMUNIST PROPAGANDA

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CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5
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27
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April 7, 1999
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4
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January 24, 1973
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 1999/09/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875ROO~iai FBA "TRENDS in Communiaf Propaganda STATSPEC Confidential 24 JANUARY 1973 (VOL. XXIV, N0. 4) Approved For Release 1999/09/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999~IlI~1~' '~P85T00875R000300060004-5 This propaRandn analysis report is based exclusively ors material carried in foreign broadcast and gross media. It is published by FBIS without coordination with other U.S. Government components. STATSPEC NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION Unauthorized disclosure subject to criminal sanctions CONFILENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 19~~,~~~IA-RDP85T~(~~7,~~3~0300060004-5 24 JANUARY 1973 coN~rcNTs Topics and Evenre Given Mai or Attention INDOCHINA i Hanoi, Front Media Publicize Vietnam Peace Accord l Moscow Reports Agreement, Expresses CauCious Hopes. 2 PRG Council Sets Tasks, nears Military, Diplomatic Reports. 5 Hanoi in Wake of Bombing ~Ha1t Citea Heroism, Vigilance. l0 DISARMAMENT Moscow Clarifies Stand on Teat Ban,. Latin Nuclear-Free Zone ll CZECHOSLOVAKIA - FRG Foreign Minister Chnoupek Welcomes Brandt Statement on Munich l4 CUBA - CHILE Havana rledia Play Down Reporting on Problems Facing Allende l6 SZNO - U.S. RELATIONS Peking Ofrers Straightforward Accot:nt of Inaugural Address. l8 CHINA Several Provincial Young Communist League Organs in Offing. 20 Provincial Comment Explains Priority Task of Criticism. 2l Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/0`~~~~`~5R00~l~~b0'~~4-5 24 JANUA1tY 1973 TOPICS AND BVEN'.CS GIVEN MAJOR ATTENTION 15 - 21 JANUARY 1973 Moeco~~ (27.57 items) Peking (1107 items) Luna ~1 Moon Landing (2%) 10% Domestic Issues (44%) 53% Vietnam (10%) 7% Indochina (13%) 11% Brezhnev/Pompidou (12%) 6% [Vietnam (6%) 8%~ Talks in Minsk Zaire President (8%) 8% Soviet Note on (--) 6% Mobutu in PRC Reduction of Forces Japanese Trade (--) 4% in Europe China (6%) 2% These statistics are based on the voicecast commentary output of the Moscow and Peking domestic and international radio services. The term "commentary" is used to denote the lengthy item-radio talk, speech, press article or editorial, govern- ment or party statement, or diplomatic note. Items of extensive reportage are counted as commentaries. Figures in parentheses indicate volume of comment during the preceding week. Topics and events given mayor attention in terms of volume are not always discussed in the body of the Trends. Rome may have been covered~in prior issues; in other cases the propaganda content may be routine or of minor significance. Approved For Release 1999/09/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/25cbt~'~ni'N'triP85T00875F~~~~Q3 R~Nn~Q004-5 24 JANUARY 1973 INDO%HINA Hanoi maintained cautious restraint regarding the peace settle- ment in the period prior to the simultaneous U.S.-DRV announce- ment fast an agreement had been initialed on 23 January and would be signed in Paris on 27 January.' While the announcement Chat Kissinger and Ise Duc Tho would resume talks on 23 January "to complete thy: text of the agreement" Baas carried by VNA and Hanoi radio in their English-language transmissions, it is not known to have been broadcast to Vietnamese audiences. Hanoi'8 careful avoidance of any reference to the private talks was also apparent in a NHAN DAN editorial on the 22d which repeated Hanoi's stereotyped call for the United States to sign at once the accord it had agreed to in Oct:obey and complained that "President Nixon in hie inaugural address put forth nothing def initr? about restoring peace in Vietnam." Elements of the peace accord, including issues reportedly in dispute between Washington and Hanoi, were reviewed by PRG President Huynh Tan Phat in his report to a regular PRG Council of Ministers session, publicized on the 18th. The session, held from 8 to 10 January, followed the pattern of meetings for the past three years in reviewing the situation in the South and setting forth tasks. But in apparent anticipation of the peace agreement and of a shift to a political struggle, the conference for the first time defined the main task as expanding the "united front." tioreover, concern Chat policy guidance be disseminated widely in this critical transition period seemed reflected in the media's release for the first time of malor.~ reports delivered at the meeting. Moscow carried prompt reports on the announcement of the initialing of the peace accord and on President Nixon's address. The first official Soviet reaction came from Kir ilenko in a 24 January speech in which he expressed "hope that we are now on the threshold" of the end of the war and praised t:he agreement as a victory for the Vietnamese people and for the "solidarity of the fraternal E~acialist countries." Having abstained from comment while calling attention to s'gns of movement toward a settlement, Peking promptly repl,s;-ed thF. DRV's announcement of the agreement. PRC media have not mentioned a brief foreign ministry statement welcoming the agreement, as reported by REUTER. ? HANOI. FRONT MEDIA PUBLICIZE VIETNAM PEACE ACCORD In tandem with the United States, Hanoi at 0300 GMT on 24 January transmitted a DRV Foreign Ministry communique containing the point Approved For Release 1999/~~~~~}i~RDP85TOQ~,~~0060004-5 24 JANUARY 197 U.S.-DRV announcement of the conclusion of the Vietnam accord and began to publicize the text of the agreement at 1500 GMT. The only followup comment from the DRV at this writing has comp from nRV Premier Pham Van Doug, at a gathering held on the 24th to mark Foreign Minister Nguyen Duy Trinh's departure for Paris to sign the accord. Zn his remarks, carried by Hanoi radio at 1120 GMT, Dong portrayed the agreement as a "great victory" and "great success" and indicated that the Vietnamese people will "continue to step up their struggle" for their "groat revolutionary cause" while implementing the accord .and urging others to do likewise. The send-off ceremony was attended by First Secretary Le Duan and all the other North Vietnamese party Politburo members known to be in Hanoi. Politburo member Hoang Van Hoan, who was not present, has not appeared in public since 29 December, when he was in Moscow as part of a Vietnamese delegation attending USSR anniversary celebrations. Liberation. Radio carried the DRV Foreign Ministry communique announcing the conclusion of the accord at 0400 .GMT, an hour after Hanoi released it. A little more than an .hour later, the Front radio carried a PRG Foreign Ministry communique repeating the details of the DRV camn~unique and pledging that the PRG will "seriously implement" the accord. The PRG Foreign Ministry communique was reFeated in all subsequent Liberation Radio programs on the 24th. The Front radio joined Hanoi in broad- casting the text of the agreement at 1500 GMT. Front media have not yet broadcast a 24 January statement by the PRG delegation, to the Paris conference, transmitted by VNA's Paris off ice to the VNA off ice in Hanoi at 1113 GMT. The statement went further than the terse PRG Foreign Ministry communique when it briefly su~mnarized the agreement, among other things stating that it recognizes the existence ~n South Vietnam of "two administrations, two armies, two zones of control, and three political forces." The statement evaluated the accord .as "a great victory for the Vietnamese people, the American people, an3 the peace-and-~ustite-loving forces in the world ." MOSi:OW REPORTS AGREEMENT, EXPRESSES CAUTIOUS HOF~S Moscow carried prompt reports of the announcements by the DRV Foreign Ministry and by President Nixon of the peace agreement initialed in Paris. A TASK report of the President's speech Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 CONFZDENTZAL 1~'BZS TRENDS 24 JANUARY 1973 singled out without comment hig statement Chat the United States will continue to recognize the Saigon regime ae the sole legitimate government of South Vietnam. As would be expected, the report dial not acknowledge his remarks directed at the USSR and China, urging restraint in order that the peace can be kept. Moscow also reported the departure of DRV Foreign Minister Trinh for Paris to sign the agreement. Soviet reports of the statements by Pham Van Dong and the PRG delegation in Par~.s emphasized their assertions that the initial+.ng of the agreement is a victory for the Vietnamese people and for the "solidarity of the fraternal socialist and other countries" and that it has the consent of the PRG. The first official Soviet comment came in a speech by Kirilenko at a 24 January congress of scientific and technical workers. Calling the initialing of the agreement an "important milestone," he observed cautiously that there are now "grounds for hope Chat we are now on the threshold of the liquidation" of the war. Like Pham Van Dong, he assessed the agreement as a victory for the Vietnamese people and for the "militant solidarity of the fraternal socialist countries rendering all-round assistance and support to the Vietnamese people," as well as for the forces of peace. Prior to the announcE,ient of the initialing, Moscow had carried typically brief reports of the developments in Paris, including Kissinger's a~:rival, talks with Le Duc Tl~o, and return to the United Stags. Restraint .and caution had marked Moscow's limited comment, typified by a 22 January domestic service commentary which said the talks were regarded as "signif scant".by "international public oi,inion," coming as they did after "considerable progress" at previous meetings. Adding that "political observers abroad" noted that the new round of talks had come only after the December mass bombings "failed," the commentator said the observers also pointed out that the war-- and Vietnamese "vigilance"--were continuing. Other commentaries noted that world L~action to the bombing halt had been "mixed" and "restrained" because the wcr was continuing and the United Staten had in the past halted and then resumed the bombing. Moscow media duly reported President Nixon's assessment, in his inaugural address, that the war was "drawing to an end," but a Moscow domestic service report said that this statement was received with "reserve" by Americans who had heard such assertions too of ten in the past. TASS noted that antiwar demonstrations took place throughout tt.e United States on inauguration day and Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/~Qo~/~~~~~~RDP85T0~,~~~SF~~00060004-5 24 JANUARY 1973 that nearly 160 congressmen boycotted the ceremony ':o protest the delay in reacning a paace settlement. SOVIET Moscow publicized ito support of the Vietnamese. SUPPORT with brief reports that Ksrushev received the DkV ambassador on 18 January for talks on "further development of Soviet-Vietnamese cooperation" in a "cordial., comradely atmosphere." No further details were given, but Vice Premier Novikov--who customarily handles Soviet aid to the DRV-- received DRV Vice Premier Le Thanh Nghi, who stopped in Moscow on his way home for hie annual tour of East Europe to sign aid agreements. Le Thanh Nghi and Novikov had signed the Soviet-DRV a1d agreement on 9 December. Le Thanh Nghi arrived in Moscow on 20 January and saw Novikov on the 22d for a talk in an atmosphere TASS characterized as "friendly." Nghi left Moscow the same day for North Korea. TASS briefly reported Mme. 8inh's 20-21 January stopover in Moscow on her way pack to Paris but did not indicate that she conferred with any Soviet leaders. Last month, when she was attending the USSR anniversary celebrations before proceeding to Hanoi, she was received (on 26 December) by Gromyko for a discussion or the Vietnamese struggle on "the military, political, and diplomatic fronts" in an atmosphere of "friendship and cordiality." Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 CONFIDENTIAL FDIS TRENDS 24 JANUARY 1973 PRG COUNCIL SETS TASKS, NEARS MILITARY, DIPLOMATIC REPORTS Judging by the communique of the 8-10 January PRG Council of MinisteY:~ meeting, broadcast on the 17th, the session followed the pattern of similar Council meetings at the beginning of each year, reviewing the situation in the South and setting forth guidelines and tasks for the future. Since the founding of the provisional government in June 1969, its Counci~. of Ministers has met every year in January or February and in 1972 a meeting was also held in June.* In addition to broadcasting the communique of the 8-10 January meeting, Liberation Radio departed from Asst practice by releasing the mayor reports t~~ the Council by PRG President Huynh Tan Phat, Foreign Minister Nguyen Thi Binh, and Le Chanh, a representative of the PLAF Command and the PRG Defense Ministry. 'the PRG has not publicized speeches rt~ade at any previous Council m:~tings; it seems likely Chat they were released this time in anticipation of a peace accord and a shift to a political struggle. The speeches are probably intended to supply policy guidance during the critical transition period. An 18 January Hanoi broadcast indicated that other reports were a18o presented at the meeting, including a "diplomatic report" delivered by Tran Buu Kiem, minister attached to the off ice of the PRG president. EXPANSION OF In a departure from the pattern of the two UNITED FRONT most recent PRG Council of Ministers communiques, which stressed strengthening the revolutionary administration, this one stated that "the most important and basic task i$ to further strengthen and enlarge the national united front." It said Chat diverse elements must be gathered together to "oppose the U.S. aggressors and the stubborn, be111cose Nguyen Van Thieu lackey clique." Atid it went on to note that the Council had agreed that "the national concord policy is the most appropriate policy in line with the realities of the present situation in South Vietnam and with the requirements for our national salvation and building." Groundwork for elevating the expansion of the united front to the status of the mayor task had been laid in the past six months. * Previous Council of Ministers meetings are discussed in the FBIS 9.~~.NDS of 14 June 1972, 2 February 1972, 24 ?ebruary 1971, and 4 February 1970. ' Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 24 JANUARY 1973 Thus, the communique of the June 1972 session, while giving primary stress to strengthening the revolutionary administration, also noted that the session had "paid special attention" to "promulgated policies aimed at expanding the anti-U.S. national salvation unity front." More recently, a communique issued by a point conference of the NFLSV and Vietnam Alliance on 1-2 November 1972--five days of ter Hanoi released the draft peace accord--declared that the two groups considered national reconciliation and concor$ to be their "foreu~ost, fundamental, and long-term policy."* The current PRG communique, after lauding a policy of national concord, endorsed "the basic present and future policy" set forth at the November Front/A111ance meeting. Huynh Tan PhaC's report to ?'he Council of Ministers meeting, broadcast in installments beginning on l8 January, included the injunction contained in the communique that the moat important and fundamental task at present is to broaden the national united front. Phat scored the allies for attempting to divine the people and set Vietnamese against Vietnamese, and he repeated the contention that "except for a handful of uprooted people who have deliberately served as lackeys for the enemy," the overwhelming, ~a~ority of th~- people are unanimous in their "hatred for the enemy." He voiced an emotional appeal to "unite and love one another" and eliminate antagonisms so as to reunito families and bring harmony and happiness to all hamlets. Phat urged that Chose who have gone astray be persuaded to return and that the people unite to fight and delve out the "U.S. aggressors and their lackeys," heal the wounds of war, rebuild the country, and "restore to everyone a meaningful and beautiful life." Speaking of people who had "served the enemy," Phat maintained Chat the PRG "advocates unity and collaboration with al.l those who want to return to the nation and contribute in the glorious national salvation undertaking, except for a number of henchmen who deliberately oppose the revolution and follow the enemy to the end to ki1~. the people." Phat's statement of policy on this question is consistent with past communist pronouncements, most notlbly a l0-point pol{.cy toward members of the ARVN and their * The NFLSV/Alliance meeting is iiscuesed in the 8 November 1972 FBIS TRENDS, pages 5-6. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 CONFIDENTIAL ,FBIS TRENDS 24 JANUARY 1973 families adopted at the January 1972 Council of Ministers meeting which seemed aimed at bringing about affiliation with. the PRG of the widest possible range of people in South Vietnam.* Phat related the PRG's concern for unity to ~rhe proposed provisions of the peace accord: The PRG, ha said, is convinced that with the implementation of the principles in the October agreement "there will be sufficient favorable conditions for eliminating hatred, achieving unity, healing the war wounds, and leading South Vietnam to a stable, lasting era." Here he echoed the 28 October PRG statement endorsing the 26 October DRV Government statement in which the substance of the peace accord had been revealed. Phat pointedly recalled that the PRG had advocated formation of a coalitio-: government and "f firmly continues to demand" the establishmen*_ of a three-segment Council of National Reconciliation and Concord. OTHER TASKS The Council of Ministers communique, in addition to stressing the united front effort, outlined other "guidelines and tasks" for the coming days, including a call for the offensive and uprising to be stepped up so as ~o "completely defeat" Vietnamization. It also urged that any new allied schemes be shattered and that the United States be "forced" to sign "the agreement already approved." In addition, the communique called for building and developing political and arched forces and consolidating the liberated areas and revolutionary admi.tistration, "insuring that we defeat the enemy under any circumstances and advance toward total victory." Phat's report provided a more detailed list of "immediate tasks" in which he called for stepped-up military and political activities, for strengthened unity and insistence that Lhe Waited States sign the already reached accord, for development of she political and military forces, for the immediate construction and conr-olidation of revolutionary administrations, and for efforts to win foreign backing. In the course of his discussion, Phat noted that "the problem of administration is a fundamental problem of all revolutions." He cited specific problems faced by local administrations including the need to "eliminate [quets sach~] spies and lackeys left by the enemy." . * The 10-point policy and earlier policy statements are discussed in the TRENDS of 2 February 1977., pages 21-23. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 CONFIDENTIAL FIlIS TRENDS 24 JANUARY 1973 ISSUE OF SETTLEMENT Foreign Minister Nguyen Thi Binh, in her report to the Council of Ministers meeting, claimed that the PRG's serious attitude and good will had been reflected last year in its initiatives for a settle- ment, including the 1J September PRG statement which, she said, "contributed to leading the U.S. and DRV governments" to achievement of the October accord. She scored the United States for "refusing to sign the agreement as reached" and for asking for modifications in its content, but she did not discuss the substance of the accord. By contrast, Huynh Tan Phat's report to the Council meeting summarized the accord in terms similar to those used by Nguyen Huu Tho in hie speech on the 19 December NFLSV anniversary. Among other things, he stated that the United States had agreed to "recognize the reality that there are in South Vietnam two administration., two armies, and three political forces' and that a National Council of National Reconciliation and Concord would be set up "at various levels" composed of the three segments. Other Hanoi and Front comment in December contained such a reference to the formation of councils at various levels, departing from the language of the accord which specified that "the two South Vietnamese parties will consult about the formation of councils at lower levels." MILITARY SITUATION Liberation Radio's account of the report by Le Chan, broadcast on 21 January, did not indicate what position he holds, merely identifying him as a "representative of the PLAF Command." The 18 January Hanoi Radio report on the meeting said he also represented the Defense Ministry. The usual spokesman on military affairs would be PRG Defense Minister Tran Nam Trung, who delivered, for example, the military report at the November 1972 NFLSV/Alliance conference. Le Chan reviewed the fighting since the start of the communist offensive late last March and maintained: "After one year of fierce test of strength and hard, tenacious, and valiant struggle, our. southern compatriots and PLAF won strategically significant victories in every respect, changing the balance of forces and the war situation and revealing that our military line is correct snd creative and our military art is skillful." Discussing the military science revealed by the offensive, Le Chan lauded the coordination of attacks in different areas of the South, the launching of "complicated point operations," the successful centralization of leadership, and the close coordination among the armed services and of the m111tary, Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/25 : ~=~ .y 8~~T00875R0(~$90Qp$14-5 24 JANUARY 1973 poliCical~ and proselyt~ng activities, Lilce other communist analyses o# the o#fenei~re ].set year ~ hie report claimed that the communist attacks succeeded in limiting the response o# the allies aircraft and artillery and in causing Saigon to move its main forces around haphazardly. Le Chan also noted that the alJ.ies were surprised by the communists' ability to fight in any region in both the dry and rainy seasons. Reviewing the factors responsible for "victories" in 1972 Le Chan incJ.uded a gratuitous allusion to North Vietnr~m'e troops in the Routh. He said the victories resulted in part from "the considerable contriburione in mattpuwer and materiel, from kith-and-kin r.ove~ from the noble sacri#ices~ and from the wonderful fighting coordination of the valiant nu~Lbern fighters and compatriots." Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 19~~~,~~~,~~IA-RDP85~g~7~0~0300060004-5 24 .1ANUARY ,1973 WANOI IN WAKE OF BONGING WALT CITES WEkOISM. VIGILANCE With the ceeea.ti~~? of U.S. bombing of the North, Hanoi has confined ~1t3 comment: on that subject to praise of heroic actions of various units, comb,ned with affirmations of their determination to maintain "r.ev~lutionaiy vigilance." A i7 January order by President Ton Duc Thar.~g awarding, medals to 140 localities and units for their actions in opposingz the "U.S. aggressors" since last April drew editorial praise the following day from both NHAN DAN and QUAN DOI NHAN DAN. The party paper set ::orth the future tarke of ouch unitr+ and localities in general terms typical of comment on the subject. It said the Vietnamese people are determined to constantly heighten their vigilance and combai: readinese~, to step up all activities, to quickly overcome the consequences caused by the enemy, to care for and stabilize the livelihood of the victim compatriots, to firmly maintain and develop production, to strengthen tt~e aconomic and national defense potentials, and to worthily fulfill the obligations of the great rear base toward the great frontline. The bombing halt itself was disc~~gsed directly in a 19 January LPA commentary which described Press Secretary Ziegler's announcement of the halt as mere "drumbeating about the U.S. good will" on the part of the Nixon Administration, carried out in order "to placate public opinion." It claimed that "everybody knoae that the United States has many a r+~te declared total or partial cessation of the bombing and shelling of North Vietnam, but later resumed it with even greater violence." It went on to demand that the United States end its involvement in the South and sign the peace agreement. Other criticism of the Nixon Administration was confined to reports of such criticism as that by various peace delegations ~?tsiting Hanoi. Premier Pham Van Dong's remarks to three of these groups, as reported by VNA on 19 and 20 January, merely expressed thanks for their support and that of "peace forces *'roughout the world." Hanoi radio on the 19th quoted Western sour.;.3 on criticism of the December bombing by former CIA Director Richard Helms and Ohio Senator William Saxbe. Reportage of U.S. and foreign. demonstrations on Inauguration Day focused on the demonstrators' demands that the President sign the peace agreement immediately and withdraw U.S. forces from Vietnam. The harshest language appeared in a Vietnamese- language item of the 21st whi~?.h described the burning of the President in effigy at rallies in several European countries and referred to shouts "opposing the Americans and cursing the new Hitler." Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/2~~N~~~85T00875~Q~0~+~?~i0004-5 2~i JANUARY 1973 D I SARMAMEPJT MOSCOW CLARIFIES STAND ON TEST BAN. LATIN NUCLEAit-FREE ~nNE An article by A. Alekseyev in the year's first issue of MLZNDUNARODNH:4 ZNI,ZN, explair,ing the Soviet votes on diearrnament issues at the UN General Aesc:mbly session last fall, expr~,seed in unequivocal ternre the position that all states possessing iauclear weapons must adhere to any future comprehensive test ban agre~ner.x--a question on which prior Soviet statembnts had hedged. Alekb?yev's formulation may reflect increaA~d Soviet concern over end Chinese nuclear capability. Th~a article also ~uetif ied Moscow's opposition to a Latin American nuclear-free zone as defined in the Treaty of Tlatelo.lco, in effect responding to Chinese effrxte to denigrate the Soviet Position in the eye9 of the Third World. Aleksegev'8 comments on he question of a world disarmament. conference (WDC), following the UNGA'e establishment of a committee to study various countries' views on the aub1ect, aimed .some explic~: babe at Peking rztd served to underscore the propagandistic motivations of the USSR's WDC proposal. TEST BA~~ TREATY Alekseyev'e a~.~ticle, defending the USSR's abstention in the UNGA on a resolution calling for unilateral cessation of underground testing by 5 August 1973, stated that Moscow now considers a comprehensive test ban pobsible "only on the basis of an international agreement to which all nucl:3r power-, are parC.y." Previous Soviet comment had left open the possibility cf some form of agreement without China and France. Alekseyev's newly categorical statement, taken together with hie own and other recent Soviet press comment on the chemical weapons (CW) issue, suggests that the Soviet Unian hopes to deemphasize discussion of restrictions on weapons testing at the f arthcoming session of the Gene~~a Conference of the Committee on Diearmsment (CCD) opening 20 February and to focus on CW. The latter objective had already been anticipated by Ukrainian Foreign Minister Shevel in an UNGA speech last fall, reported in the 2 October PRAVDA UKRAINY, when he said chemical weapons should be the subject of the "next" agreement at Geneva. While repeating Soviet assertions that seismic technology had progressed to a point where "national means" were sufficient to monitor a comprehensive test brn and that only a "political decision" was needed to reach an agreement, Alekseyev said Moscow Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 19990081'g~v7~~lA-RDP85TOAk~TBt~D10A300060004-5 24 JANUARY 1973 had offered at the last UNGA session to broaden international cooperation in tha exchange of seismic data within the framework of a comprehensive test ban treaty as "an important supplement" to verif ication by n+~tional means. Although they have r.ot recently broached the issue in publ1.c, Soviet spokesmen in the past have indicated that such exchanltes could take place only on a strictly voluntary basis. Alakseyev's remarks appear tc indicate some `lexibility on the iseue.~ Alekscyev reaffirmed Moscow's recent positions in the CW discussions at Geneva, noting that the main poire of disagreement continue to con ::ern the scr.pe of a CW agreement e~rd procedures for monitoring it. Recent articles in PRAVDA and KRABaAYA ZVEZDA have reported on continuing CW research 8nd development activities in the United States and have cited the 8ritioh mage~?zine NEW F.CIENTIST in asserting that the "volume" of U.S. research o~: CW hra almost doubled in the last three years. Neither article mentioned the CCD, although hcth criticized continued U.S. delay in ratifying the 1925 Geneva Protocol. LATIN AHERICAN ZONE Thy. 5.~~idt Union abstained in the UNGA last fall on a?reeolution which cal.~d nn France and the USSR to adhere to the Treaty of Tlatelolco. '~wSS and central press dispatches on the progress of the 27th UNGA session did not report the debate, nor was it menti~ned.in post-session wrapups. Responding to Peking's attempts--through NCNA reportage-- to make propaganda capital of the Soviet position, a Radio Peace and Progress commentary on 24 November had justified that position by noting that the treaty did not restrict U.S. nuclear weapons at ba3es or on ships in the area and asserted that Moscow would recognize Latin America as a nuclear-free zone when all nuclear powers agreed to do so. The NCNA reports had focused on Moscow's objections to the treaty provision on zone of applicability which allowed Latin American nations to def ine~ their territorial waters unilaterally. Moscow has been reticent on this issue in the past, but Alekseyev cited the full argument which had been put forth by Soviet delegate Roehchin in the First Committee debates, including the * Moscow media have reported that the point U.S.-Soviet agreement on enviromaental cooperation includes provisions for the study of earthquake prediction, but they have not reported thRt the two countries will set up seismic detection facilities un each other's territory, as reported in the West. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/~~r~~~,R~P85T0087~,~Q~~~~60004-5 24 JANUARY 1973 complaint that "the designation of the area of the zone in the treaty was madF~ in violation of existing generally recognized norms of international law, and in particular of the 1958 Geneva ~;onvention on the Open.Sea." Roehchi.n had been slightly more explicit, asserting that a state has no right to e.~~ablish, without the consent of other interPSted slates, a particular regime on the high seas at its own discretion. Peking's comment on the UN debate had sought to play on Moscow's vulnerai,.:.ity on the Latin American zone, and specifically the territa~ial waters issue, in the eyes of the Third World. Peking cited Moscow's position on the Mexican-sponsored resolution ae well as its abstention on the other Third World disarr.:ament initiative--Sri Lanka's resolution on establishing a zone of peace in the Jndian Ocean area. In both cases, Peking contended, Moscow had exposed .its posture on authentic disarmament measures as opposed to those emerging from the CCD discussions, which hay only served to maintain the nuclear monopoly of the "euparpoWers." DISARMAMENT CONFERENCE Moscow and .Peking have recently traded charges over last fall's UNGA action on a world disarmament conference. T. Kolesnichenko in the 9 January PRAVDA attacked the Chinese for declining the seat reserved for them in the study committee on WDC called .f or by the UNC:~ resolution and subsequently nsmed by the Assembly President, Poland's Trepczynski, and accused them of "backstage intrigues" aimed at wrecking preparations for the conference. Peking in turn, in a statement by its permanent representative Huang Hua reported by NCNA on 12 January, accused Trepczynski of "catering" to Moscow by naming a committee that violated the sense of the UNGA resolution, by failing to .consult w+_th regional groups, by reserving places for the.four nuclear-weapon states .other than the Soviet Union, and by basing the membership on that of the CCD--a forum Peking has long rejected. With res~:ct to the .position of other states, Moscow has mentioned only that the majority favor a speedy convocation of the study committee. Further underscoring the propaganda nature of th~~. Soviet Union's WDC initiative, Alekseyev's MEZHDUNA~tODNAYA ZHIZN article focused on U.S. and PRC oppositio:~ to the Soviet-proposed WDC and noted that "Third World co~intries regard a world confe:rence.as a rostrum for bringing pressure to bear on the enemies of disarmament for the purpose of spurring all the mayor states. and prianarily the United States, to initiate substantive measures to limit the race in both conventional and nuclear arms." Alel:seyev reaffirmed that Moscow . did not envisage a conference that would detract in any way from the Geneva CCD forum. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300060004-5 CONFLDENTLAL FBLS TRENDS 24 JANUARY 1973 - 14 - CZECHOSLOVAKIA-FRG FOREIGN MINISTER CHNOUPEK WELCq~1?_S BRANDY STATEMENT ON MUNICH Prague'8 efforts to maintain a position of flexibility on the issue of the invalidity of the Munich pact ar.d revive the stalled talks with the FRG were ref le:ted in its positive reaction to Chancellor Brandt's 18 January statement welcoming an early FRG-CSSR agreement "so that the Munich agreement will no longer impede relations betweer. the two states." The prompt response by Czechoslovak Foreign Minister Chnoupek, in an interview with CTK the next day, did not include Prague's once- standard condition that the FRG acknowledge the Munich pact as invalid "from the beginning"--a condition involving the invalidation of all legal acts concluded by residents of the German-occupied regions of Czechoslovakia after the 1938 Muni-ch agreement. Chnoupek noted Chancellor Brandt's statement "wir:Z interest" and reiterated Prague's long-standing desire for "normalization" of relations with the FRG, which he Said would include "the formulation of the nullity of the so-called Munich agreement that would be acceptable to both sides." Chnoupek hopefully observed that "now, after the statement of the Herr Bundeskanzler, the pause fur reflection ends and a period beltins in which the FRG Government will t?.ake concrete initiative steps." Chnoupek's reference to a "pause for reflection" was in rebuttal to a statement by the FRG side, after the June bargaining session in Prague, that the talks had reached an impasse requtring a "pause for reflection" by both sides. TASS on the 20th reported Chnoupek's interview.. including his remarks on Prague's readiness to resume negotiations, on the Munich pact, and ?his hope that the FRG would take concrete steps to nullify Munich. However, the TASS report made no reference to the policy statement by GMzncellor Brandt which had evoked Chnoupek's response. On the 18tr~, TASS had reported details of Chancellor Brandt's policy statement, including his expression of hope thbt the Munich agreement would crane to complicate relations between the FRG and CSSR. BACKGROUI~'D Since the windup of the biaa.teraY talks last June, statements in Prague and other Soviet bloc media have dioplayed inconsistency and a measure of flexibility on the Munich pact issue. While some statements still insist trat the FRG declare the pact invalid ab initio, others have skirted t