CHINA TRIP

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6
Release Decision: 
RIPLIM
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
January 11, 2017
Document Release Date: 
December 8, 2010
Sequence Number: 
5
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 18, 1973
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6.pdf553.83 KB
Body: 
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6 SANITIZED COPY FOLLOWS No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6 qAP,A Date o4 4 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL INFORMATION TO SECRET / SENSITIVE ~~L, USIV,,RLY,. Y ONL MEMORANDUM FOR: HENRY A. SUBCT;China Trip I suspect t yob,, as are somewhat concerned that we have not yet heard fro the ,' .,:......fin dates fox your trip... I suggest that the following, e th individually or col tfve y4",' y ;behind the delay: t',#av been. un - ft s Y Your nerving, to say the least, In addition to ' , oid that You, ore bed h0P st, . thy, there is the tougher 4ueatl of what to do about It. y c o d :,, o se, simply decide to let you come, to Peking,, br m a n drop the subject. But there must also be some thought about whether to move to something more substantive with the 34 i :plied in your rex Garb s to Huang Ghe Tit U. S. f4A your. ,y r.se cannot be Vin easy .ci sio, particularly if there are still,i~rison?? th, in the leadership. In any a ept'.,, w th;;a lpa,rty congress in the offing, this issue must eve occasion *d some difficult (and time -c s ')debate. 2 C 2!La: Every:. i,ksave seen would indicate that Peking get yo ;tag,, er th Sihanoult. But PRC flexibility must be Id e to L ntraa ,ed"by the need to water Moscow and Hanoi flanks - particularly if there is any question of S han uk's acceptability (or staying power) with the n all hon .. about "secret negotfatio s ', and yob possible meeting with Sihanouk, must have put the,- Chinese on the spot with Hanoi, f '? ` , i4olft g 6y and Snook y. Peking may well, believe it was '"had" as part o ' he, fete debate here with the Congress, ."E.the n rd' was dyed effectively to 'obtain a orit do io cosltinue the bombing for an " ddit .o i 45, 44 ye? 3. Teter" .`: I am, the last to claim any expertise in 'this area, but given the two issues discussed above, I cannot but wonder whether TOP ORET / I :TIVE EXOI SI `E Y EYE ONLY No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6 ~,... ~~ ZXCl Ya "EYES ONLY whatever i0etU4 :ccorx odations were made to pelt the PRC to move toward'a new relationship with us may not have been te..r41 shaken. There surely must be those who fear too rapid movement; them, the report on the Bre zhnev visit may have looked like an effort to force the pace* any event, e#410, , have overdr the Bre zhnev and Cambodian elements of the equation, we n: to re pine t Peking (or parts the leadership) listsee your next visit , potentially a new benchmark 'txx -- and therefore.an, event to be approached with caution and thorough a3 ?`...o; views before any decisions are made. In the An*!' analysis, my bet is that Peking will want you to come soon; Braev thing must concern em deeply. they will want to hear ImAbr'e about It even f . n decide not to pursue it further. The pt' m wM- be Camabodl.- ' " re they wii hive 'a hell of a time. I simply am unable to come to any real judgment on how they will come out either in trnrs of the degree to "w'hi'ch) they will pres sure Sihanouk, or, howw suecessf l thaey'willA be if they do so I would guess that they will apply sO.e'; r'. u!re;I have no guess whatsoever on how successful that pressure w -M In -getting Sihanouk or some of his people to sit down with you: There is, I suspect, little we can do to affect either the pace or the con- tent-of *'; Es reply. On ~aiready weak hand could be weakened further by any sign oaf ty. As I indicated , in ` my + arlfi.er o to you, however, do ~ ire potenti' a . lever l prrb le"bhi s , concern over, "your report on the Brezhnev" sit I still believe it a card worth playing, but only gently, aan o .y itb a recognition that it may ba re (in term of Chinese acquires ei icein "d laying yo ,4t visit) TOP SECRET f S $XTIVE ExIttk & ziY 't3]il ' " No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6