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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
THE PRESIDENT'S
DAILY BRIEF
24 MAY 1965
PEGEL
50X1
23
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50X1
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DAILY BRIEF
24 MAY 1965
Dominican Republic
LATE ITEM
Aside from occasional shooting in-
cidents, there is little military activity
in Santo Domingo,and people are once again
beginning to move about.
Outside the capital, the situation
has remained generally calm. There are
reports, however, of an underlying popu-
lar uncertainty as people in the interior
towns wait to see how the political nego-
tiations develop. There continue to be
sporadic reports of Communist preparations
for violence outside the capital,
and there have been
rural attacks since early Saturday.
The Imbert regime is holding to the
line that the rebels must surrender uncon-
ditionally. Its radiobroadcasts stress
increasingly that no compromise can be
made with Communists. Rebel president
Colonel Caamano, on the radio this after-
noon in an appeal designed to capitalize
on popular aspirations, claimed that his
goal was to guarantee the constitution
of 1963. He promised that his group would
not retreat because "it has the majority
of the people behind it."
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50X1
no new 50X1
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100
105
110
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Lao Kay
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ong Hof
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ILLS DE
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NAMES AND BOUNDARY REPRESENTATION
ARE NOT NECESSARILY AUTHORITATIVE
110
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47238
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DAILY BRIEF
24 MAY 1965
50X1
1. Vietnam
2. South Vietnam
Soviet military equipment is con-
tinuing to arrive in North Vietnam.
High-altitude photography has con-
firmed the arrival of the three IL-28
bombers at Phuc Yen airfield near Hanoi.
Communications intelligence has provided
tentative indications that two more are
on their way through China.
Photography has also disclosed a
total of 63 MIG 15/17 jet fighters at
Phuc Yen, six of them in the process of
being assembled. The previous count was
57, with a possible four more at Cat Bi
airfield near Haiphon.
Premier Quat says that the long-de-
layed cabinet changes will be announced
tomorrow. He also says that the deci-
sion has been made to replace General
"Little" Minh as chief of the joint
staff.
Quat told Ambassador Taylor that
the principal generals had insisted on
ousting Minh. He will be replaced by
II Corps Commander, General Co. No date
was mentioned, nor was anything said
about Minh's future prospects.
The premier said that Chief of State
Suu has approved the cabinet reshuffle.
He complained, however, that Suu con-
tinues to insist on the need for national
assembly elections, which Quat considers
impractical at this time.
50X1
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3. Argentina
4. Colombia
5. Bolivia
Senior military officers are now
so dissatisfied with the 50X1
Illia government that they, are planning
some form of military intervention.
the decision 50X1
to intervene has been made, but the tim-
ing has not been determined. Also unde-
termined is the form--possibly a military
takeover or some "constitutional move,"
such as putting -up a military candidate
for election.
The dissatisfaction springs from
several causes, the latest being the
government's procrastination on send-
ing troops to the Dominican Republic.
Illia's delay in providing ;a badly wanted
military pay raise is a particular irri-
tant to the officers.
Security forces are keeping a tight
lid on throughout the country. Although
the students and leftists had made plans
for more demonstrations, they appear to
be having second thoughts as a result of
the government's strong stand during the
?past few days.
The military forces of the junta
began yesterday to move into the tin min-
ing complexes,and there have been some
clashes with the armed miners' militia.
The junta's military intervention,
designed to re-establish government con-
trol as a step toward economic rehabili-
tation, was originally planned for later
this week. It was probably precipitated
by provocative acts by the miners, such
as the attempted ambush of junta presi-
dent Barrientos on Saturday.
The junta seems confident of its
ability, to pull off the operation, and
the morale of its forces will be bol-
stered by today's defeat of a heavily
armed miners' militia unit holding a
mine complex near La Paz. The next few
days, however, will be crucial. An analy-
sis is at Annex.
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Natitingou
Kouande
Nigeria
Savalou
Zagnanad
Saket
thieme Anode
ORTO- VO
dab
?LOME
Cotonou
?''''''Grand Popo
BIGHT OF
BENIN
34415
Mlles 50
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6. Dahomey
Premier Ahomadegbe's recent arrest
of suspected plotters against his regime
may soon bring things to a head.
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h4420
650524
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ANNEX
The Situation in Bolivia
Since the 1952 revolution and subsequent na-
tionalization of the mines, the 28,000 Bolivian tin
miners, armed and controlled by extreme leftists, have
had a hammerlock on operations at the mines. Such
control, combined with years of poor management,
falling tin prices, and the degradation of ore depos-
its, has resulted in lowered production and operation
at a loss. This is critical for a country where tin
exports have traditionally contributed between 55%
and 70% of total export earnings.
The Triangular Plan, devised in. 1961 by the US,
West Germany, and the Inter-American Development Bank
as a rescue operation to finance the rehabilitation
of the tin-mining industry, was suspended in the summer
of 1964. . At that time it became apparent that the
government of Paz Estenssoro was not going to estab-
lish civil authority in the mines. When the military
junta under Barrientos took power last November, it
announced its intent toundertake sweeping economic
reforms.
This spring, junta leaders tried to arrange a
?boost in production through negotiations with the
miners. They met with no success. Early this month
they began at last to discuss a military intervention
to clear the way for an implementation of reforms.
A decree providing for increased labor discipline and
more economical mining operations was also drafted.
Originally, the plan was to issue the decree, and to
follow it with military action only if necessary to
enforce it.
On 15 May, the government arrested and exiled
Juan Lechin Oquendo, the miners' leader. This pro-
duced a sharp reaction among the miners and led to
the subsequent strikes and the present crisis. Vio-
lent action by the miners stimulated the government
to start its military intervention before various
contingency plans could be implemented.
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ANNEX (Cont'd)
The junta gives every sign that it will stick
to its guns and carry through with its plan to secure
outlying areas and then to move into the main mine
region near 'Oruro. Major mine areas have been de-
clared military zones and so far one truce proposal--
to end the strike.if the troops are called off--
has been rejected. However,.a successful operation
to assert control over the mines will require civil
order throughout the rest of the country; the armed
forces would be hard put to cope with a fight for the
mines as well as urban disorders in La Paz and else-
where. Some trouble was reported from La Paz today
from students and factory workers.
So far the junta, in which Barrientos and mili-
tary commander Ovando are rivals for power, has
stuck together. It managed last week to keep order
in La Paz and to restore a general strike situation.
In addition to army units and the police, the junta
can throw in armed peasant militia units. This com-
bination may, with the initial success near. La Paz,
serve to discourage the miners from prolonged resist-
ance.
The outcome of this struggle will have far-
reaching significance for the country and government
of Bolivia.
-2-
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