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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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30 OCTOBER 1964
--TOP-SEC-RE-T-
26
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1. Bolivia
a. Pro-Paz police and militia,
strong in the La Paz area, cracked
down hard on student rioters in the
capital last night, forcing
their "unconditional surrender."
b. Though the first round in
the current struggle now seems to
have gone to Paz, he is still not
out of the woods. The threat of
further disturbances hangs over
a number of provincial centers.
c. He also has the unruly tin
miners to deal with. So far he has
had the support of the armed forces
in this. Yesterday, the army tried
to move into the Huanuni area but
was repulsed./
d. How long the military will
go on supporting Paz is open to ques-
tion. We are again hearing rumblings
that Barrientos
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tends to return to his Cochabamba
stronghold today.
e. This would edge the na-
tion closer to real civil war with
Barrientos and such of the mili-
tary as he can take with him aligned
with the tin miners and other anti-
government groupings./ Against this
array would be Paz, supported by
loyalist military, police, and the
relatively potent peasant militia.
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003200230001-6
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2. Indonesia-Malaysia
a. Malaysian security forces,
aided by Commonwealth troops,
have moved swiftly to contain some
60 Indonesians who landed on the
southwestern coast of the Malay
Peninsula yesterday.
b. Press reports say that by
this morning 50 had been captured.
This continues the poor Indonesian
showing in these affairs. Only 24
of 204 earlier infiltrators on the
peninsula have escaped the Malaysian
security net.
c. The ease with which the
Indonesians have been rounded up
this time makes it unlikely that
there will be a British-Malaysian
retaliation./
d. Still, these latest in-
cursions have dimmed prospects for
negotiations between the Indonesians
and the Malaysians. Djakarta had
put out feelers, suggesting that
it was calling a halt to these in-
filtrations.
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3. Cuba
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a. There are indications that
SAM sites in the eastern part of
Cuba may be concentrated in the
Holguin area
b. This would complete the
shift from the island-wide SAM cov-
erage set up by the Soviets to a
point coverage of Cuba's three
most important military and govern-
mental complexes at Havana, Santa
Cruz,- and Holguin.
c. Though the shift will leave
some 60 percent of the island's land
surface uncovered by SAMs, it does
provide for a system of interlock-
ing and mutually supporting SAM
sites which will improve the system's
ability to handle multiple targets
over the main military and urban
centers.
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4. Sudan a. President Abboud seems still
to be hanging on, but just barely.
5. UN Arrearages
b. Protracted negotiations
yesterday between old-line mili-
tary leaders and their civilian
challengers produced a jerry-built
coalition which retains Abboud as
chief of state. At the moment,
however, civilians appear to domi-
nate the government.
c. The coalition is not.likely
to last long.
d. For one thing, the civil-
ian leaders have already fallen
to fighting among themselves over
the spoils of their unexpected vic-
tory. For another, the ousted mili-
tary figures still have substantial
followings and are likely to be
heard from again.
a. The USSR, like a growing
number of UN members, is showing
little stomach for a US-USSR con-
frontation over voting rights and
UN arrearages.
(Cont 'U)
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b. A Soviet attached to
the UN Secretariat has called for
private Soviet-American talks on
the subject, suggesting that these
could spread over several months.
A defeat on this issue could lead
to an across-the-board Soviet boy-
cott of UN activites.
c. A number of nonaligned
nations are also trying hard to
find a formula which will permit
the issue to be sidestepped when
the General Assembly meets on 1
December. If no SuchHformulacan
be found, they plan to move for an
immediate adjournment until one is.
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6. UK-Rhodesia
a. Prime Minister Smith, im-
pressed by the show of_firmhess from
the new British Government and dis-
mayed by indications that even South
African support would be minimal,
now says there is no prospect for
independence before the first of
next year.
b. While the danger of an
immediate crisis has now passed,
and Smith is going to London later
in November for talks, the basic
constitutional issues between Lon-
don and Salisbury remain as in-
tractable as ever.
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NOTES
B. Cambodia - South Vietnam
Sihanouk
boasted that his forces had bombed a South
Vietnamese outpost and that the US would
do nothing about it because of a fear of
"being punished" by Communist China.
C. Laos The military situation is generally
quiet, but the spurt in Communist truck convoy
activity, which began in September,continues.
D. Communist China - Canada Already in hock for
a record import of 6.4 million tons of grain
this year, Communist China is reportedly nego-
tiating with the Canadians for yet another
million tons for delivery before the year is
out.
(Cont'd)
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E. Pakistan Although Fatima Jinnah is giving
Ayub quite a tussle in the election campaigns
for local government councils ending today, we
expect that when the council members meet next
March to choose a president they will give a
solid majority to Ayub.
F. West Germany - Israel The West Germans have
now publicly confirmed that they have a mili-
tary aid agreement with Israel and have been
helping the Israelis in the atomic energy
field. Both programs are of several year's
standing and have been surfaced now in an
effort to counteract Israel's campaign
against German scientists serVing the UAL
G. UK-US The British press has been expressing
its satisfaction with Gordon Walker' g reception
in Washington, the range and substance, of his.
talks here, and with the absence of any US
pressure on the new government.
For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A003200230001-6