Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
Body:
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
(:)X1
THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST-12 OCTOBER 1962
1. FRANCE?BERLIN
A. DE GAULLE STILL HOLDS THE VIEW THAT THE ALLIES
SHOULD BRING HOME TO MOSCOW THAT ARMED INTERFERENCE WITH
THEIR ACCESS TO BERLIN WOULD MEAN NUCLEAR WAR, MOREOVER,
HE WANTS CONTINGENCY PLANS ON BERLIN TO BE SO CONSTRUCTED,
B. IN THIS VEIN, THE FRENCH FOREIGN OFFICE HAS TOLD
THE BRITISH THAT LORD HOME TOOK THE WRONG TACK IN SAYING
BEFORE THE UN THAT THE WEST WOULD TRY TO "ISOLATE AND STOP"
ACCIDENTAL HOSTILITIES IN BERLIN.
2. SOVIET?CHINESE RELATIONS
A. THE CHINESE COMMUNISTS HAVE TOLD MOSCOW IN STRONG
LANGUAGE THAT PEIPING WILL SPEAK FOR ITSELF WHEN IT COMES
TO RENOUNCING THE RIGHT TO NUCLEAR ARMS!
Co
PEIPING HAS BEEN SAYING PUBLICLY:
THAT THE PURPOSE OF OUR ARMS LIMITATION PROPOSALS IS TO
CHEAT THEM OUT OF NUCLEAR ARMS,
50X1
50X1
50X1
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
3. YEMEN
A. BOTH THE REPUBLICANS AND THE LOYALISTS ARE CLAIMING
PUBLICLY THAT THE FIGHTING BETWEEN THEIR FORCES WAS HEAVY
YESTERDAY,
B
50X1
THE BASIC SITUATION REMAINS 50X1
THUS: 'SUPPORTERS OF THE IMAMATE ARE DOMINANT IN THE NORTH
AND NORTHEAST; AND THE REVOLUTIONARY COMMAND IS IN CONTROL
OF THE MAJOR POPULATION CENTERS.
C. THE REPUBLICANS ASKED OUR CHARGE IN TAN YESTERDAY
WHETHER THE US WOULD BE WILLING TO SUPPLY 20,000 TONS OF
WHEAT, A REQUEST WHICH THE CHARGE INTERPRETS AS "COMPELLING
CONFIRMATION OF THE REGIME'S DESIRE FOR FRIENDSHIP AND
COOPERATION WITH THE US."
?2--
50X1
50X1
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5 50x1
4. CONGO
A. TSHOMBE YESTERDAY DECLARED PUBLICLY THAT HEWOULD
MAKE GOOD ON HIS PROMISES TO UNDERSECRETARY MCGHEE, E.G.,
TO MAKE A PAYMENT EQUIVALENT TO $2 MILLION INTO THE CENTRAL
GOVERNMENT'S TREASURY; REOPEN THE BRIDGE LINKING KATANGA
TO KASAI PROVINCE; THEREAFTER DISPATCH A COPPER SHIPMENT
BY THAT ROUTE TO A TRANSSHIPMENT POINT ON CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
TERRITORY,
B. THERE. ARE SIGNS ALSO THAT TSHOMBE IS WAVERING ON
HIS DEMAND THAT UN FORCES BE INCLUDED IN ANY CEASE-FIRE, ?
.A POINT .WHICH WESTERN AND UN REPRESENTATIVES ALIKE REGARD
AS THE ACID TEST OF HIS GOOD INTENTIONS.
C. _ALTHOUGH MCGHEE AND THEWESTERN- CONSULS IN. ELISA?
BETHVILLE.. SEE GROUNDS FOROPTIMISM IN THE TSHOMBE- ATTITUDE,
THE UN'S CONGO CHIEF, GARDINER, .WHO WAS. IN. ELISABETHVILLE
YESTERDAY, IS GLOOMY',
D. AS GARDINER SEES IT, ALL TSHOMBE HAS GIVEN SO FAR
IS A SERIES OF CHEAP, DEMONSTRATIVE GESTURES, HE SAYS
THAT. HIS STATUS REPORT TO U ?THANT WILL HAVE TO RECORD THA.T
KATANGAN INPLEMENTATION OF THE RECONCILIATION 'PLAN IS
NEAR ZERO.
5. ?VENEZUELA-
A. PRESIDENT BETANCOURT MAY HAVE HIT UPON ?A DEVICE TO
GET AT THE COMMUNISTS AND. CRYPTO-COMMUNISTS WHO HAVE BEEN
PROMOTING VIOLENCE FROM THEIR- PARLIAMENTARY HAVEN.
-3-
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
50X1
B. HIS SCHEME IS TO CALL ? ON THE SUPREME COURT TO
NULLIFYINEIRELECTION AND THEREBY ABOLISH THE IMMUNITY OF
THESE CCNGRESSMEN. THE. GROUNDS FOR. THIS ACTION WOULD: BE.
THAT THEY "FALSELY REPRESENTED THEMSELVES AS. SUPPORTING
CONSTITUTIONAL GOVERNMENT."
C. .THERE IS. A GOOD CHANCE THAT--HIS COALITION PARTNER,
THE SOCIAL CHRISTIAN PARTY, i WILL PARTWITH BETANCOURT OVER.
THE TAINTED LEGALITY OF THE MANEUVER, BUT WITH THE MILITARY
STILL _BREATHING HARD DOWN HIS NECK HE IS LIKELY TO GO AHEAD
ANYWAY.
6. . USSR
? A.. WE ARE SEEING SIGNS
IN. VARIOUS.
PARTS OF THE USSR THAT MOSCOW IS LEADING UP TO 4 FAIRLY
EXTENSIVE REORGANIZATION OF ITS ECONOMIC AND ADMINISTRATIVE
APPARATUS.
IT APPEARS THAT THE PARTY'S SUBSIDIARY FOR YOUTH,
50X1
THE KOMSOMOL, AND SUCH PSEUDO-SEPARATE HELPMATES AS THE 50X1
TRADE UNIONS AND THE PRESS WILL BE TOUCHED BY THE CHANGES.
THE MEETING OF THE PARTY'S CENTRAL COMMITTEE, WHICH WE
EXPECT SOMETIME NEXT MONTH, WILL SET THE SEAL ON THE
REALIGNMENT.
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
50X1
50X1
50X1
?
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
\J" I
7. WEST GERMANY
A. BONN IS DICKERING WITH THE HUNGARIAN GOVERNMENT TO
SET UP A WEST GERMAN TRADE MISSION,IN BUDAPEST.
B. THIS WOULD NOT BE A MOMENTOUS MOVE BY ITSELF, BUT
IT SHOWS THAT THE BONN GOVERNMENT, AND FOREIGN MINISTER
SCHROEDER IN PARTICULAR, ARE IN EARNEST ABOUT TRYING TO
"NORMALIZE" RELATIONS WITH EASTERN EUROPE.
C. AS OF NOW, THE BONN?BUDAPEST DISCUSSIONS ARE IN
A TUGGING?AND?PULLING STAGE, WITH THE HUNGARIANS TRYING TO
EXTRACT A PUBLIC STATEMENT FROM THE GERMANS THAT THEIR
TRADE MISSION WOULD REPRESENT A FIRST STEP TOWARD DIPLO?
MATIC RECOGNITION.
8. ALGERIA?CUBA
A. BEN BELLA, WHO WE REPORTED WAS BEING ENCOURAGED TO
CANCEL HIS HAVANA VISIT, ANNOUNCED IN NEW YORK YESTERDAY
THAT THE TRIP IS STILL ON.
B. HE SAID THAT ALGERIA WANTS TO COOPERATE WITH EVERY?
ONE WHO WANTS TO COOPERATE. TO THIS HE ADDED: "MY VISIT
TO WASHINGTON HAS A SPECIAL CHARACTER AND AT THE SAME TIME
?5-
50X1
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5 5oxi
IT IS PRIVATE, BECAUSE WE CAN NEVER FORGET THAT PRESIDENT
KENNEDY TOOK AN HONEST AND COURAGEOUS STAND TOWARD THE ALGERIAN
QUESTION BEFORE BECOMING PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES."
9. NOTES
A. ARGENTINA: THE GUIDO GOVERNMENT APPEARS TO BE HEAD-
ING STRAIGHT INTO MORE STORM CLOUDS BECAUSE OF A STEADY
DECLINE IN THE VALUE OF THE PESO (FROM 127 TO THE DOLLAR
ON 20 SEPTEMBER TO 140 ON 10 OCTOBER).
B. INDONESIA-MALAYSIA: INDONESIA IS TURNING A RESENT-
FUL EYE TOWARD THE EMBRYONIC FEDERATION OF MALAYSIA. IF THE
FEDERATION THRIVES AFTER ITS BIRTH NEXT YEAR, THE INDONESIANS
WILL HAVE A RIVAL FOR PRIMACY IN THAT PART OF THE WORLD.
THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT DJAKARTA IS WORKING UP A PROGRAM
OF SUBVERSION, WITH THE FOCUS ON SARAWAK, BRUNEI AND NORTH
BORNEO.
C. BRAZIL: PRESS DISPATCHES FROM RIO DE JANEIRO YES-
TERDAY HAD QUADROS CONCEDING DEFEAT IN HIS RACE FOR THE
GOVERNORSHIP OF SAO PAULO. WE ARE STILL AWAITING FINAL
RETURNS ON THIS AND OTHER CONTESTS.
D. ECUADOR: ECUADOREAN COMMUNISTS HAVE AMBITIOUS
PLANS FOR GUERRILLA OPERATIONS, TIMED TO BEGIN NEXT MONTH,
WHICH WOULD HAVE THE GOAL OF SEVERING THE COASTAL AREA OF
THE COUNTRY FROM THE HIGHLANDS, THEY SAY THEY HAVE SOME
CUBAN ARMS ALREADY AND CAN COUNT ON A GOOD DEAL MORE IF
THEY GET OFF TO A GOOD START.
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
50X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
E. EASTERN EUROPEAN HARVEST: IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE
EUROPEAN SATELLITES ARE IN FOR A HARD WINTER IL THE AFTER?
MATH OF A GRAIN HARVEST WHICH WE FIGURE TO BE THE SMALLEST
IN 5 YEARS. THE USSR'S WEAK AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE AND
THEIR OWN SCANT FOREIGN EXCHANGE HOLDINGS MEANS THAT THE
SATELLITES WILL BE HARD PUT TO GET OUTSIDE HELP.
F. JORDAN?LEBANON: BOTH JORDAN AND LEBANON ARE GETTING
READY TO ASK THE US TO SUPPLY ANTI?AIRCRAFT MISSILES TO
MATCH THOSE PROMISED ISRAEL.
?7?
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A001100090001-5
50X1
50X1
Declassified in Part- Sanitized Cop 4(!,!?,!p